Mixed Medium-Term Outlook for Wal-Mart (WMT)On March 29, 2017 Wal-Mart (WMT) crossed above its 200 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 192 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to rise. It has a median gain of 3.407% and maximum gain of 36.667% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 58.1906. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral and looking for direction but slightly moving up at the moment.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 7.9533. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is up. Even though it is still a positive number, it is trending downward.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.000 and just crossed over the negative indicator. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending upward.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, and VI levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be slightly trending upward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in a downward trend channel, the stock could gain 0.71% over the next three weeks. The stock recently broke out of its most recent downward micro trend channel and appears to be using the old resistance as the new support which is common. Over the next few months the stock will approach the bottom of its major support channel that is pointing upward. For this reason, I do not expect much upward movement over the next three weeks.
WAL
TARGET DA TARGETHoliday sales this November for Thanks giving would suck for sure. And also same for X-mas and New Year for Target.
TGT TARGET FROM 2015 July high $85 it is slowly trickling down. If you draw a line from that high to 2016 march high you will get a better clear picture. It may not get bankrupt but stock will be in a good position to buy if it breaks 2 support level either @ $52 or $47 range. A good target to buy would be sub $10
WAL-MART plungin nextWMT Wal-Mart made their high in 2015 and ever since it's going down. More problems will surface with this company as more days pass by. But there are only 3 Green support lines @ work 1997, 1987, 1982. Probably the next good support is area of $50-$45. Then when it breaks it is possible to re-visit $5 area for ultimate buy zone. With the time line analysis it may take some time to plunge around 2024 or before.
Retail markets all around the US are doing almost the same though.
WMT poking its head and looks ready to goNice, bull candle closed near highs,that resolved wedge with bunch of inside, choppy and noisy candles.
Lets see to what it leads, need to hold breakout point at $76.90.
As markets recent momentum remains neutral to negative and long-term macro picture in Wal-Mart is neutral it makes probability of this trade lower. I manage probability of trades with tier system. So, may initiate long trade above $77.50 with tier 1.
Wal-Mart Potential Diamond Top Breakout, Aiming for $67.50We note that price has been trading along bullish uptrend line, from Aug 2011 to May 2013. However price has been consolidating sideways since June 2013 until now.
We note a possible Diamond Top Formation close to breaking out. The breakout will likely happen after price manages to trade and sustain below 75.00.
The objective of the pattern will be to reach 67.50, by around 22 Oct 2014.
Risk; There is a risk that the breakout will be stalled when it reaches support level at 72.50 and the pattern changes into a rectangle sideways consolidation. This is why partial profit taking at 72.50 might be a good idea.
For more information on the Diamond Top Pattern: thepatternsite.com
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