Wallstreet
BUY $HYLN - NR Picks Dec 06EN: Hyliion Holdings Corp. (HYLN) is a SPAC that develops and sells electrified powertrain solutions for the commercial transportation industry, such as Class 8 trucks. On October 1, 2020, it completed its merger with Tortoise
Acquisition Corp (SNPR) producing approximately US$ 520M of net profits to finance growth plans and long-term goals that we believe are sustainable and profitable.
As all Ev's companies, in November Hyliion went through a 48% rally in their share prices, thanks to new gas emission reduction policies in the UK and the announcement of Tesla's (TSLA) addition to the S&P500 index that
boosted the EV's sector.
In recent weeks a profit-taking has been appreciated in this sector and the company lost much of that rally by placing itself on a sideway channel between $24.01 and $17.85
We expect a new rotation to the Ev's sector taking advantage of the euphoria that Tesla's entry into the S&P500 in the coming weeks and despite the fact that competition in EV's is tough and there're a lot of good
companies. Hyliion has a very interesting operating model where its technology is based on renewable natural compressed gas which in the environmental field makes it one of the best alternatives for investors, that is
why, we like Hyllion over others to take advantage for that possible rebound of the sector, and purchasing a return of approximately 17%.
ES: Hyliion Holdings Corp. (HYLN) es una SPAC que diseña, desarrolla y vende soluciones electrificadas de tren motriz para la industria del transporte comercial, como los camiones Clase 8. El 1 de octubre de 2020 la compañía
logró completar su fusión con Tortoise Acquisition Corp (SNPR) produciendo aproximadamente US$ 520M de ganancias netas para financiar sus planes de crecimiento y objetivos a largo plazo que creemos son sostenibles y
muy rentables.
Como todas las Ev's, durante el mes de noviembre Hyliion atravesó un rally del 48% en el precio de sus acciones, gracias a nuevas políticas de reducción de emisión de gases en el Reino Unido y el anuncio de la incorporación
de Tesla (TSLA) al índice S&P500 que impulsó al sector de EV's en general.
En las últimas semanas se apreció una toma de ganancias en este sector y la compañía perdió gran parte de ese rally ubicándose en un canal lateral entre los US$24.01y US$ 17.85.
Nosotros esperamos una nueva rotación al sector de Ev's aprovechando la euforia que generará el ingreso de Tesla al S&P500 en las próximas semanas, a pesar de que la competencia en las EV's es dura y existen numerosas
compañías. Hyliion tiene un modelo operativo muy interesante donde su tecnología se basa en gas natural comprimido renovable lo que en el ámbito ambiental la convierte en una de las mejores alternativas para los
inversores, es por esto, que nos parece una buena alternativa por sobre otras para aprovechar ese posible rebote del sector, y ofrecernos un retorno de 17% aproximadamente.
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BUY $CNK - NRPicks Dec 13HIGHLIGHTS
ES:
Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK), es una de las compañías de cine más grandes e influyentes del mundo que debido a la naturaleza del sector en el que opera se ha visto perjudicada por la pandemia del Covid-19.
El precio de sus acciones se impulsaron en Noviembre aproximadamente 100% debido al excelente rendimiento de los principales índices que alcanzaron máximos históricos por las noticias positivas relacionadas a las candidatas como vacunas Covid-19.
Fundamentos:
- Growth
- P/B 1.9x VS 3.9x de industria
- 99% crecimiento estimado en ganancias netas para los próximos 3 años
- ROE 8.4% VS 16.3% de industria
- Precio actual de $16.25 VS $35 Fair Value (50% subvaluado)
- 236% Deuda/Capital
Técnicos:
- Rebote SMA 200
- +200% volumen promedio diario (4 Mes)
- RSI (M) sobreventa
- +100% upside promedio en el último mes
Después de una corrección de 20% en diciembre, detectamos un rebote justo en su media móvil de 200 días acompañada de un cruce de su media móvil de 20 días que indicaría que la acción podría dispararse y alcanzar su nivel más alto de Junio que significaría un 24% de retorno, asimismo, limitaremos la perdida con un stop loss de 8%.
EN:
Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK), is one of the largest and most influential film companies in the world that due to the nature of the sector in which it operates has been harmed by the Covid-19 pandemic.
The price of its shares was boosted in November approximately 100% due to the excellent performance of the market that reached historical highs by positive news related to candidates as Covid-19 vaccines.
Fundamentals:
- Growth
- P/B 1.9x VS 3.9x industry
- 99% estimated growth in net earnings for the next 3 years
- ROE 8.4% VS 16.3% industry
- Current price of $16.25 VS $35 Fair Value (50% undervalued)
- 236% Debt/Capital
Technical:
- SMA 200 bounce
- +200% average daily volume (4 Month)
- RSI (M) oversold
- +100% upside average in the last month
After a 20% correction in December, we detected a rebound right on his 200-day moving average accompanied by a 20-day moving average crossing that would indicate that the action could jump and reach its highest level in June which would mean a 24% return, plus we will limit the risk with a stop loss of 8%.
BUY $CHL - NRPicks Dec 13HIGHLIGHTS
ES:
China Mobile no solo es el mayor operador de telecomunicaciones de China por el número de suscriptores móviles (946 millones), sino también el más grande del mundo.
El precio de su acción sufrió un retroceso de 18% desde el 11 de noviembre, y se ubica dentro de una tendencia bajista desde el 2015. Este comportamiento es propiamente sectorial y lo podemos corroborar en compañías comparables como Telefónica ($TEF) y América Móvil ($AMX).
Fundamentos:
- Defensiva
- P/E Ratio de 7.2x, VS 42.3x y 19.8x de la industria y de mercado respectivamente
- P/B 0.7x VS 1.9x de industria
- ROE 9.4% VS 4.8% de industria
- Precio actual de $28.29 VS $142 Fair Value (80% subvaluado)
- 6.2% Deuda/Capital
Técnicos:
- Debajo de SMA 200
- +150% volumen promedio diario (1 Mes)
- RSI sobreventa
- +12% upside promedio en los últimos meses (Retroceso Fibonacci)
La compañía no ha sido afectada por problemas operativos debido a que mantiene un nivel de ventas constante y nivel de deuda controlado.
EN:
China Mobile is not only China's largest telecom operator by the number of mobile subscribers (946 million), but also the largest in the world.
The price of its stock suffered an 18% decline since November 11, and is within a downtrend since 2015. This behavior is very sectoral and we can corroborate it in comparable companies such as Telefónica ($TEF) and América Móvil ($AMX).
Fundamentals:
- Defensive
- P/E Ratio of 7.2x, VS 42.3x and 19.8x industry and market respectively
- P/B 0.7x VS 1.9x industry
- ROE 9.4% VS 4.8% industry
- Current price of $28.29 VS $142 Fair Value (80% undervalued)
- 6.2% Debt/Capital
Technical:
- Under to SMA 200
- +150% average daily volume (1 Month)
- Oversold RSI
- +12% upside average in recent months (Fibonacci)
The company has not been affected by operational issues because it maintains a consistent level of sales and controlled debt level.
US30 07/28/2020Trading the US30 market this week might be a little tricky but here is my personal opinion of what I think the market will do.
I see a new resistance area forming around 26725 and that leaves a possibility of the market breaking the channel's support area at 26393 and being Bearish down till 26093 (which will be my Stop Loss for this trade) before the bulls try to buy back into the market and push price up.
Personally, I believe that if this happens then it is only a short reversal as I expect Price to break the 26725 resistance area and go Long till 26892 which will be my Take Profit 1 and also a possible future resistance area . I'm going to Close some positions in Profit at that point and continue to ride the Uptrend through the Consolidation at Take Profit 1's resistance area until it breaks and shoots up to 27170 which will be my Take Profit 2 .
I expect the resistance at 27170 to be quite strong but I also plan to Hodl some position through it because I believe Price may still go up to 27546 which will be my Take Profit 3 for this trade.
Warning!!!
US30 is a very volatile and shifty market and may no go according to analysis. Please stay away from this trade if you're a new trader or your account doesn't have large enough equity to handle draw-downs or losses on this trade. This is my personal opinion on the market behavior and what I think will happen in the future for the particular market and is only shared for educational purposes. I recommend you always back-test before taking any trades given through analysis, always re-analyse to reduce your chances of losing a trade. Also, make sure to use appropriate lot size recommended for your account and equity size. Good Luck!
US30 Long 12/09/2020I expect to see a pushback to the resistance area and see price break through the consolidation to go for a long. This is my personal belief for what I believe the market will do, kindly double check and re-analyze before taking a trade with this analysis. And be careful with Volatile Markets. Good Luck!
BUY $UVXY - NR Picks Dec 06EN:
The investment seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to one and one-half times (1.5x) the performance of the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index for a single day. The index seeks to offer exposure to market volatility through publicly traded futures markets and is designed to measure the implied volatility of the S&P 500 over 30 days in the future.
We view levels 11 - 12 as key for the remainder of the year and some volatility could be observed in the following weeks considering the market situation that reached all-time highs in recent weeks.
ES:
Este índice busca ofrecer exposición a la volatilidad del mercado a través de los mercados de futuros que cotizan en bolsa y está diseñado para medir la volatilidad implícita del S&P 500 durante 30 dÍas en el futuro.
Consideramos los niveles 11 - 12 como claves para lo que queda del año y se podría observar algo de volatilidad en las siguientes semanas considerando la coyuntura del mercado que alcanzo máximos históricos en las últimas semanas.
BUY $FE - NR Picks Dec 06EN: FirstEnergy is one of the largest utilities in the United States with ten distribution companies serving six million customers in six Mid-Atlantic and Midwest states.
FistEnergy is an operationally good company, but it continues to have bribery problems on the directors which has pushed the share price down to low levels. The company also shows stability in dividends, the delivery is
quarterly and the yield is greater than 3% in the last 5 years.
The company has a low exposure to the market, therefore, it is a good option to avoid a lot of exposure to the market. Let us remember that optimism is reaching a drain. With respect to the company, being a Utility
generates constant income which allows it to meet its annual financial obligations.
ES: FirstEnergy es una de las empresas de servicios públicos más grandes de los Estados Unidos con diez empresas de distribución que atienden a seis millones de clientes en seis estados del Atlántico medio y del medio oeste.
FistEnergy es una compañía operacionalmente buena, pero continua con problemas de soborno sobre los directivos lo cual la ha hecho retroceder el precio de la accion a niveles minimos. La compañía tambien muestra
estabilidad en dividendos, la entrega es trimestral y el rendimiento mayor al 3% los ultimos 5 años.
La compañía tiene una baja exposición al mercado, por lo cual, es una buena opcion para evitar mucha exposición al mercado. Recordemos que el optimismo esta llegando a un desgate. Con respecto a la empresa, al ser
una utility genera ingresos constantes los cuales permiten poder cumplir con sus obligaciones financieras anuales.
Projection off of Vol Candle x100 Tezos potential ETH DominanceLook at the massive accumulation candle from the March 2020 Dip! That's a lot of buying power.
I'm generally bullish on any coin I believe has interesting and groundbreaking technology. Sometimes I am right and sometimes I am wrong. I know the space is crowded, but so is The Nasdaq.
I really like the Tezos set up for a massive bull run potential.
This is not trading advice.
WALL STREET | US30USD | Multitime Frame Analysiswe can see,
from the Monthly prespecive a strong Resistance line "TREND LINE",
Weekly, the price brom the Resistance line and confirmed it with red candle stick,
Daily we have strong Resistance area, the Red line, before reaching the new High price,
4H frame, i drew to white arrows, predecting the movement of the market, wait for the last confirmation from there,
TO BUY WITH LOW RISK OR NOT TO BUY IT,
I hope you will enjoy it,
have a good trading days,
you are welcome to reach me by privet messages,
enjoy it.
Viscious Wall Street Bulls on the MEGAPHONE!So, Corona is on everyone's lips but how long will it keep the raging bulls from taking charge?
Any signs of, mitigation measures against the pandemic will provide massive reprieve for the fallen giant DOW Jones!
It may as well have begun....
The image above shows a classic MEGAPHONE in a bullish trend, We have just jumped out of the bear trap, cannot say it's over, but when it does, it will be viscious, the momentum will obliterate the alarms.
I'll be looking to cut my Short positions and prepared to begin the "Long" return home :)
Will you Join me?
Weekly Market Update | Week ending on 13th November 2020Hello traders! This is the Weekly Market Update for the week ending on 13th of November 2020.
1. Lets get started with the performance of the major indices day by day first.
On Monday we had strong gains for Dow Jones and S&P 500 - news that the experimental coronavirus vaccine co-developed by Pfizer and BioNTech prevented more than 90% of infections in a large-scale study. However, the indices closed far from the highs of the day, as the frantic rally, as well as last week's strong profits, gave investors the opportunity to secure profits. At the beginning, the Dow Jones jumped to a new all-time high with a jump of 5.5%, while the wider S&P 500 also recorded a rally record of 3.7%.
Dow Jones: + 2.95%
SP500: 1.17%
Nasdaq: -1.53%
On Tuesday we had mixed signs with the Dow Jones industrial average adding another 262 points. The technology Nasdaq recorded strong losses for the second consecutive session and now loses 2.9% since the beginning of the week.
Dow Jones + 0.90%
S&P 500 -0.14% (recovered nicely from the low levels of the period, with an early loss of 1.1%)
Nasdaq -1.37%
On Wednesday we saw positive signs as investors preferred the security of the shares that performed well in the coronavirus crisis.
Dow Jones -0.08
S&P 500 +0.77
Nasdaq + 2.01%
On Thursday, the growing number of cases in the US has raised concerns about the health of the economy as the year draws to a close.
Dow Jones -1.1%
S&P 500 -1%
Nasdaq -0.7%
On Friday, we ended the week with a mini rally, with investors' "appetite" fueled by hopes that an effective coronavirus vaccine may soon be available. However, there are concerns about the number of coronavirus cases both in the US and in other countries with one negative record being broken after another.
Dow Jones + 1.37%
S&P 500 + 1.36%
Nasdaq + 1.02%
On weekly basis the Dow Jones had a gain of +4.1%, the S&P 500 +2.2% while the Nasdaq had a loss of 0.6%
2. The outlook of Wall Street right now is : Uptrend. . The Uptrend was confirmed on 4th of November with our follow through days on Dow and SP500 and on 5th of November with the follow through day on Nasdaq. The distributions days are 1 for SP500 and 2 for the Nasdaq.
3. Technical Analysis for Nasdaq
Resistance : 12081
Support : 11542 (which is also the EMA21)
4. Expectation for the next week : Higher
XTZ on the next Bitcoin $250k Peak with three possible pricesXtz on three possible price points going into the next Bitcoin Bull Run 2023. Keep in mind Tezos is a baby platform but with a massive war chest of over $600 million from their ICO. They are a likely candidate like Cardano to displace Ethereum as the number two in crypto rankings. Tezos has brilliant coders/programmers and tackling the STO market which will be a massive shift from conventional Wall Street markets. This is a gem waiting to explode. The three price targets I have her are between $250.00 up to $2,500.00. Please keep in mind that this is only my opinion and I am basing this on the current trendline trajectory that is apparent on this three-year chart.
Which Companies May Win More from the U.S. Election GridlockThe only manifested gainers from a lasting uncertainty surrounding the final U.S. election results seems to be, for now, some European, Asian and other non-American stocks. For example, the German Xetra DAX 30, as well as the French CAC 40 and pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 indexes are climbing higher for the fifth straight trading day in a row. China’s Shanghai Composite (SSEC) also added around 3% compared to last Friday's closing price. The Shenzhen Component rose 1.72%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index soared 3.25% today. Even in Australia, the broad S&P/ASX 200 index gained 1.28% today and around 3.5% since the beginning of the week.
As investors await to see who will be recognised as the legitimate political leader of the United States after a series of lawsuits claimed by the juridical team of the incumbent President Donald Trump, the U.S. S&P500 and high-tech Nasdaq indices are also in overdrive, going up on the path of least resistance, maybe because the stock markets are used to growing year by year under both Republican or Democratic administrations inside the White House. So, it is not a big surprise that after the previous technical correction large amounts of the financial flows were redirected outside the United States in this suspended situation.
At the same time, it may be argued that if formally leading Biden wins the election, then a corporate tax increase promised by him may temporarily play against the market and negatively compensate for the yet-to-be-adopted stimulus package, which may add to rival attractiveness of assets from Europe or Asia. In case that Trump succeeds in court, the U.S. market could get an additional burst that may continue a four-year long "Trump-rally" by inertia, which also could quickly help other markets.
Perhaps for these reasons, Europe and China are now getting a fair slice of the investment pie. For example, Hong Kong stocks of Alibaba jumped 5.7% for the next 24 hours after Election Day, even though Chinese regulators halted the Shanghai and Hong Kong arms of Ant Group’s IPO, an affiliate FinTech unicorn company of Alibaba Group, which was expected to become the world’s biggest IPO listing. Of course, Chinese companies are partly hoping for tariff relief on the American market in case of Joe Biden's arrival to the White House. A situation with a rather weak next President may not be considered so bad for Chinese manufacturers and IT-companies, as any next U.S. President could be tied in his decisions after the nation was so divided politically.
Meanwhile, the Democrat candidate Joe Biden claimed victory in the states of Wisconsin and Michigan earlier in the day, which inches him closer to the White House. However, the decisive battle of 2020 has not yet been lost by Mr Trump. So, it seems that he has a real chance of successfully challenging the alleged oddities with the ballots in the courts: as in Michigan when all of a sudden 128,000 votes for Biden appeared after one of the official counting updates, but for the same short period there were not even a single vote for Trump. This could be considered a clear reason to request the re-counting of all votes in this state. There was also a strange situation in Pennsylvania where Trump was leading 56% vs 42.5% by half a million voices before the very end of counting all in-person votes. Trump’s advantage in this situation may be seen as too large to overcome with mail-in ballots. However, the margin narrowed by European midday today to just 2.6%, but still in favour of Trump, and so far the sitting President also has a chance in Nevada, where 25% of the ballots have not yet been counted, and the difference is only 8,000 votes in favour of Biden. The gap in the key Wisconsin state is also only 20,000 votes, so the Trump team demanded a recount there. It may take a couple of weeks to figure out all these nuances.
As for the U.S. market, mainly those companies whose position are doubted are growing in price. For a long time these have been big techs, with Google, Amazon and Apple as bright representatives, and retail chains or food and drink companies, which do not require their consumer to spend a lot of money. It's hard to expect that profits of companies like Coca-Cola or Walmart, Starbucks or McDonalds would critically depend on who is the President of the United States or even on the pandemic. The last thing that people of large cities and small towns of the world may save on, even in a tight economic situation, is a fast-food breakfast or a subscription to a channel with fairy tales and cartoons for their children like Disney. That's probably why shares of all the companies listed above added between one and two percent yesterday, and some of these companies have even grown more since the beginning of the week. For example, a battery car maker Tesla or shale oil companies and banks are potentially more dependable on the election results.
In Germany, especially in the retail sector (+1.75% until noon), pharmaceuticals and healthcare sectors (+0.75%) plus financial services (+0.95% for the first two trading hours) led shares higher today. The technology sector (TecDAX index) climbed almost 2%, in addition to 2.49% on Wednesday's close. As for the French market, it would be worth a separate mention that CAC 40 futures price is already approaching its peak levels of mid-October despite more than 10% losses in price at the very end of the month which were caused by natural worries, as it all came after the rather strict orders by Palais de l'Elysee for the partial quarantine measures throughout the country.
ArcelorMittal is also in European focus after the Luxembourg-headquartered company, which produces around 5% of the world's steel, beat the average Q3 2020 expectations for its financial results. After the spring lockdown lows, the steelmaker said its core profit fell 15% from a year earlier to $901 million, compared with an average forecast of $838 million in a company-compiled poll. CEO Lakshmi Mittal remarked that steel markets had recovered from "a very challenging second quarter", with particular improvements in profits in Brazil and its unit grouping South Africa, Kazakhstan and Ukraine.
DJI (8H) - still a bear marketI show why the DJI (Wall Street) is still a bear market - at this time (only). Expand the chart for a better view.
There is what looks like a parallel channel heading south and two sharp ATR switches. Price moves around in the channel, breaks out and back in. Note also that what looks like a channel now, could change into some other formation. The market does as it likes. This formation is not predictive. It can give an idea of what to expect, from wherever you find price on your chosen time frame.
Very unusual things can happen with channels. Some may have seen a recent fallout on the 2H time frame (which doesn't mean the same thing will happen on this time frame. )
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
It's not a bird. It's not a plane! It's a channel.
Nobody really knows for sure why channels develop. There are loads of theories. I'm not interested.
A channel is usually discovered late, obviously because the channel is evolving and then you see it. Unbelievable as it is, it is there.
So what do you do. Well, I don't give advice. What I do is understand that there may be limited opportunity to exploit. I say limited because when late in the game, price can break up out of the channel or down out of the channel. That means that if price approaches either end of the channel, it is a critical time.
All one can do is take the loss! It's called a stop loss.
Channels also do strange things like break out and then go madly the other way. If everybody had a magic formula how to work them, everybody would be zillionaires. It ain' t happening!
But there is still money to be made by following microtrends. That's where you follow small trends from 3 min to 15 min. These can take days to play out.
For newcomers it's not a good idea to work blindly in a channel. Find other indicators to assist.
Experience is also an important thing. As I always say blowing up 10 Tradingview paper trading accounts is far better than blowing up one live account. Get the safe experience almost totally for FREE!