S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 index experienced a severe drop below our Mean Sup 5203; however, the market rebounded swiftly and returned to an active crime scene. The current upward trend indicates that it will reach the target of Key Res 5260 and, subsequently, Outer Index Rally 5280, the long-awaited target. On the downside, Spooz may revisit the newly created Mean Support level of 5150, which is expected to act as a launching point to reignite its bullish trend.
Wallstreet
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 29, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 index experienced a change in direction during its journey toward a Mean Support level of 5177 and bounced back to retest the Key Resistance level of 5260. The current upward trend indicates that it will reach the target of Outer Index Rally 5280, which has been long-awaited, with a high possibility of continuing the upward trend to the next Outer Index Rally of 5342. On the downside, Spooz may visit the newly created Mean Support level of 5203, which is expected to act as a launching point to reignite its bullish trend.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 22, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 (Spooz) index has continued to move on to new highs in this week's trading session. The current squeeze movement is posed to target Mean Sup 5177 with the possibility of extending the squeeze to the next Mean Sup 5120. On the upside, the Spooz is aiming for a newly created Key Res level of 5260, which is anticipated to serve as a pushing point to Outer Index Rally 5280.
Short Meta updateThe recent top is our first pivot point, we will anchor short entries below the 472 level with target 1 at the previous top 384. This is the first test trade against a pivot top and a tight stop range should be set.
There is a massive short coming which will be a steep fall, a crash fractal unless the cycle alters in an unlikely event.
Trade safe, stay connected..... good luck
Reddit Braves Wall Street with 48% Pop in Debut. When Growth?Traders upvoted Reddit’s IPO but can the buzzing social media platform earn its stripes as a public company now?
Table of Contents:
⦿ Reddit Surges in Public Market Kickoff
⦿ If Wall Street Bought, Should You?
⦿ Reddit Stacked Up Against Rivals
⦿ Ad Posts Looking Like User Posts?
⦿ Bottom Line
📍 Reddit Surges in Public Market Kickoff
Reddit (ticker: RDDT ) stepped into the public-market space this week with a flashy and splashy IPO (initial public offering) in New York that chalked up a 48% gain on its debut day. The listing was met with lots of cheer from Wall Street as it was the biggest one for a social media company since Pinterest hit exchanges in 2019.
Shares of Reddit surged to $47 out of the gate to make its first deals at a 38% premium to the company’s IPO price of $34 a share. Valuation soared to $9.5 billion by the end of the session when shares closed at just over $50 a pop.
Reddit’s listing day with the Snoo—the website’s official mascot. Source: Reddit.
By the looks of it, investors upvoted Reddit—a chat-room powerhouse and a stalwart of community-based culture venues sprawling from cat-praising r/CatsInSinks and owl-loving r/Superbowl to the intimidating trading hub r/wallstreetbets that bankrupted GameStop short-seller Melvin Capital.
📍 If Wall Street Bought, Should You?
So the question is, if Wall Street scooped up Reddit shares… should you?
Let’s take a behind-the-curtain look at Reddit’s business model.
It’s been three years of trying for Reddit to get listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Finally, it issued 22 million shares for flotation, of which 8%—or 1.8 million—were reserved for friends, family and volunteer moderators. Those are unpaid users who make sure all the online communities are running smoothly. And they are also the content creators, because—unlike Netflix (ticker: NFLX ) or Spotify (ticker: SPOT )—Reddit doesn’t pay for its content.
The platform boasts roughly 73 million daily active users spread across 100,000 online chat rooms, or “subreddits.” Despite the wide reach and 19 years of existence, the platform has never seen what a profitable year looks like.
Its revenue comes predominantly from selling ads to companies who paid $804 million last year while the bottom line arrived at a $91 million loss. The revenue figure was a 20% increase from the $668 million picked up in 2022.
📍 Reddit Stacked Up Against Rivals
And while revenue growth can be seen along the years, investors are betting that Reddit will ultimately catch up to the big shots in the social-media space. When Meta (ticker: META ), formerly Facebook, kicked off its public endeavors in 2012, it soaked up a market value of $104 billion and raised $ $16 billion for its IPO. Elon Musk’s X Corp, formerly Twitter, landed its first public deals at a $14 billion valuation, having raised $1.8 billion. In comparison, Reddit raised $748 million at an IPO valuation of $6.4 billion.
Reddit carries the lowest valuation at IPO among social media peers.
📍 Ad Posts Looking Like User Posts?
Against that backdrop, Reddit is taking a sketchy approach to bolstering its ad sales. Apparently, the folks at the upper echelons of the company decided it’s a good idea to make ad posts look exactly like user posts . The so-called “free form ads”, the company said, will mimic the popular user post type “megathread” and will “encourage users to deep dive into the topic at hand.”
The community, on the other hand, didn’t show much love to that new advertising strategy. “Enable comments on ads, you cowards,” said one Reddit user while related threads were loaded with users’ comments of disapproval.
📍 Bottom Line
And there you have it, 19 years of posts, 100,000 subreddits, and 73 million users who churn out all the content and self-sustain operations. Reddit gave us the meme stock craze back in 2021. Is it going to give us a rerun of the stock frenzy with its own shares this time? Or will the folks at r/wallstreetbets flip the script and short it?
💬 Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below!
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Short METAThe recent top is our first pivot point, we will anchor short entries below the 472 level with target 1 at the previous top 384. This is the first test trade against a pivot top and a tight stop range should be set.
There is a massive short upcoming which will be a steep fall, a crash fractal unless the cycle alters in an unlikely event.
Trade safe, stay connected..... good luck
Bullish DXY Awaits U.S. Interest Rate DataThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains in bullish territory, with buyers maintaining control as investors eagerly await the release of U.S. interest rate data.
Context
The focus is squarely on the Federal Reserve (FED), and markets are hanging on any hints regarding the future of interest rates. While no rate changes are expected, analysts are alert for any signals indicating a slowdown in rate hikes.
Inflation Reports
Last week's stronger-than-expected inflation reports have led market participants to revise their expectations for rate cuts this year. Traders now estimate that monetary easing will be around 75 basis points over the course of the year.
Key Levels
At the time of writing, the DXY is trading at 104.08 points, marking the ninth consecutive daily gain since its March 8 low at 102.32. Key technical levels include:
1. Next Resistance (104.77): This level corresponds to the triangle pattern's upper boundary on the daily chart. A breakout above this level could open the door to further gains.
2. 38.2% Fibonacci Resistance (105.07): If the DXY manages to surpass this mark, it could strengthen its bullish position.
3. 50% Fibonacci Support (102): This level acts as a floor for DXY's price and could be crucial in case of corrections.
Note: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a professional before making investment decisions.*
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 15, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Based on the chart analysis for March 8, it has been observed that the S&P 500 (Spooz) index has initiated a renewed downward trend from the completed Outer Index Rally 5170. The Spooz targets a newly created Mean Support level of 5096, which is anticipated to serve as a rebound point, enabling the index to retest the completed Outer Index Rally 5170. The subsequent important target for the index is the Outer Index Rally 5280. However, it is essential to note that there exists a possibility of the index experiencing a dip and resting at the Mean Support level of 5060.
BTC 15K to 73K, the beginning of the HOLDER dream pre-Halving!!
1. BTC is trading around 72.5K, surpassing its **all-time high (ATH) of 69K.
2. From its minimum around 15K, the original cryptocurrency has appreciated by 383%.
3. BTC HODLERS have experienced significant gains, with most of them currently in a profitable situation.
4. The critical question that arises is: **When will be the right time to sell?
The Crypto Community Profits After the Longest Bear Market in History
They say that after a long wait, substantial benefits emerge. And this is precisely what's happening in the crypto world. Traders, HODLERS, and crypto investors have weathered one of the worst bear markets in history. Many abandoned ship before it sank, but the wisest persevered. Their incredible profits today are a testament to their tenacity and patience.
Technically, BTC/USDT is on an upward trajectory since the 42.5K mark, appreciating by 73% from that level. Corrections will continue to weed out inexperienced traders who jump in during bullish market conditions, but the bullish targets remain steadfast.
1st bullish target: 80K
2nd bullish target: 120K
3rd bullish target: 150K
4th bullish target: 185K (only if it closes above 150K and that level becomes support; otherwise, it could signal the start of a new BEAR MARKET)
Regarding support levels, as long as we remain above the ATH (69K), the bullish trend remains secure. Additionally, if BTC enters a sideways phase and BTC DOMINANCE starts declining, it might be the perfect moment for ALTCOINS to continue their upward trajectory.
Remember: This is not investment advice and should not be taken as such. Each individual is responsible for their actions as a trader or investor.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
According to the chart analysis for March 1, the S&P 500 (Spooz) index continued to perform exceptionally well, achieving our expectations again. The index bounced off the solid Mean Support level of 5060 on March 5 and reached our designated target of the Outer Index Rally at 5170. This was a significant achievement, as it triggered designated a pivotal squeeze aimed back to the Mean Support level of 5060. The index has the potential to visit the well-established Mean Support level of 4950, which has proven to be a very steady level in the past.
It is worth noting that once the pivotal pullback level is achieved, the index will continue its journey toward the outer index rally at 5280. This indicates that the index is on a steady upward trajectory and is expected to perform well in the near future, and traders and investors can expect positive investment returns.
Apple (AAPL): Rangebound with Support in Sight?Key technical levels and potential price swings for Apple stock.
Apple (AAPL) has been trading sideways within a well-defined range of roughly $168.25 - $197.30. The recent price action has seen the stock gravitate towards the lower boundary of this consolidation zone.
Technicals hint at a potential reversal:
Given the stock's close proximity to support around $168.25, a rebound back toward the weekly pivot point could be on the horizon. This would align with a return to the midpoint of the established trading range. Additionally, the presence of a double-top pattern near the upper end of the range bolsters the support argument.
Breach of support could trigger a selloff:
However, a break below the critical $168.25 level could ignite further selling pressure, potentially pushing the stock lower. Notably, a breakdown below the neckline of the double-top formation would provide a strong bearish signal, significantly increasing the likelihood of a more substantial decline.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.