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Disney | Fundamental Analysis + Next TargetWhen it comes to the success story of 2021, one such example might seem to be the Walt Disney Company. This is the studio behind two of this year's highest-grossing movies. In addition, Disneyland in California reopened in the spring, and the company resumed its cruise ship voyages in the summer. In the latest quarter, the company's revenues grew 45% higher than expected, the biggest annual growth in the company's history, though of course, these numbers followed depressed results the year before. Disney is back in business, but the same cannot be said for its stock chart. After climbing 26% last year -- when the company was underperforming -- the stock is down 4% in 2021. That seems unfair, so let's break down why Wall Street isn't so happy about the House of Mickey Mouse's success these days. An assessment of this year's seemingly inexplicable decline must begin with an assessment of last year's inexplicable rise. Disney was hit hard by the pandemic, posting double-digit year-over-year revenue declines for four consecutive quarters before this year's spring rebound. With theme parks either closed or running at limited capacity and big-budget movies not being released in theaters, it's easy to see why last year was a tough one for the House of Mouse. Disney+, however, has proven to be a kind of silver bullet in this pandemic. Launched in late 2019, the premium streaming service has swiftly burst into homes around the world through 2020. There are now 116 million paid subscribers worldwide. Although it accounts for a small portion of Disney's revenue mix, the success of the new service has given investors reason to view the media giant as a promising streaming stock for which broader valuation multiples are acceptable. However, Disney+ was not a driver in the 2021 calendar year. Subscription growth slowed and average revenue per user declined as the service rolled out to new countries where monthly subscription rates are lower. The move has brought attention back to Disney as a blue-chip media mogul, and that's not as easy a sell as it might seem in the current environment. Income investors who rushed into Disney when the company suspended payouts in the early stages of the COVID-19 crisis have no intention of returning because the company has no plans yet to restore payouts Disney seems in no hurry to return money to its shareholders in cash payouts, especially when that money can be used to create streaming content, upgrade theme parks and expand its cruise ship fleet. As popular as Disney+ is, Disney doesn't expect it to turn a profit until the fiscal year 2024. Its broadcast and media networks division, which held up reasonably well last year as people spent more time watching TV at home, still faces a problematic future with consumer abandonment of cable and satellite TV services. If all this sounds bleak, let's end with a fabulous ending worthy of a classic Disney cartoon. Disney stunned investors when the theme park segment returned to profitability in the last quarter and the future became even brighter with new monetization initiatives that will lead to per capita spending growth next year. Disney is already winning at local theaters again but is holding back some of its biggest blockbuster releases in the coming quarters for now. The fiscal year 2022 -- which began less than two weeks ago -- will be a strong year for Disney. The company's stock may not reflect that right now, but with only a trading day or two left before a positive 2021, it wouldn't be a surprise if Disney rises higher by the end of this calendar year. Disney stock may drop for a while, but it's certainly not over.
NYSE:DISShort
by FOREXN1
Disney | Fundamental Analysis 🔔So many things are going on at the Walt Disney theme parks in Florida this week. Disneyland officially turns 50 on Friday, and unveils 18 months of new rides, attractions, and themed merchandise that should make turnstiles click and cash registers ring. The media titan stunned investors when the theme park segment returned to profitability last quarter, much quicker than anticipated. Now it's time to see if theme parks can turn back to pre-pandemic revenue levels. That achievement may be easier to accomplish than you think. Disney has set its sights on increasing its per capita income to the point where it can make more money with fewer guests than before. Paying more attention to higher-paying visitors through a tiered park reservation system, raising admission prices for day guests and annual passes, and introducing premium entrance to expedited lines are largely unpopular moves for Disney World fans. But they are the reason Disney will not only withstand but flourish over the next 18 months. The most challenging attraction in all of Disneyland was the "Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance" attraction. Since its debut at Disney's Hollywood Studios in late 2019, people have had to secure a boarding group through the My Disney Experience app. Until Thursday of last week, to get a virtual boarding group from stock, which usually ran out within seconds, you had to walk up to your phone by 7 a.m. Another similarly short window opened at 1 p.m. for those who were already in the park. Because the high-tech attraction was frequently out of service during most weekdays, and visitors favored the no-rail, dark Star Wars-themed attraction, Disney encountered a supply and demand problem. After the attraction began running more steadily (and the crowds were few and far between in the seasonally sleepy September), the boarding process was modified on Thursday of last week. Disney World did away with the virtual line. People can now get in line for the ride just like they do for the rest of the resort's dozens of rides. The transition has been refreshingly smooth. According to some initial reports, wait times were as long as three hours, but most of the reported wait times were within an hour or two, which is more than reasonable for an attraction that raises the bar for critics. Opening access for the ride is very important. Guests who want to visit the attraction no longer have to give up the idea if they plan to come to Disney's Hollywood Studios later in the day. Financially, the transition now opens the door for Disney World to begin charging for access to the new Lightning Lane+ queue, which will allow park guests to get through to the attraction even faster. Disney will soon begin introducing lucrative (but controversial) premium pricing for expedited queues, as most of its smaller competitors have long done. As wait times for "Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance '' and other famous attractions are expected to jump this weekend (and remain long for most of the next 18 months), a lot of money can be made by allowing visitors to pay for shorter wait times and more time elsewhere. Another effective and less provocative development working in Disney World's favor is that international travel restrictions for European visitors will be relaxed in November. Since its opening, Disney's domestic theme parks have been forced to cater mostly to visitors from the states. Now the door is finally starting to open for lucrative international tourists -- just in time to partake in the golden anniversary celebrations. On Friday, all eyes will be on the Magic Kingdom theme park, where it all began 50 years ago. Epcot Park, located within the resort, will also draw crowds of visitors as the new Remy's Ratatouille Adventure attraction opens Friday. Both parks will also feature new nighttime shows, and both parks will have new roller coasters open for 18 months. The other two Disney World theme parks will not attract as much attention as the resort's two original parks, but they will become tourist magnets for people spending a week or more at the resort. The advent of Lightning Lane+ will also make the resort's two most popular attractions -- Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance at Disney's Hollywood Studios and Avatar: Flight of Passage at Disney's Animal Kingdom -- more accessible to those willing to trade money for time. All of this will lead to big business in the Disney theme park segment. Even those regulars who don't normally buy trinkets may not be able to resist buying commemorative merchandise for the milestone. Less frequent visitors who have been putting off a trip to Disney World will have few excuses not to visit now if they can afford the increased prices. This is a golden anniversary for Disney, but also a golden chance for a major travel and tourism industry company.
NYSE:DISShort
by FOREXN1
4
WALT DISNEY:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION|NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔Over the past 18 months, investments in the Walt Disney Company have been very risky. Virtually every aspect of the company's business has been severely limited or even halted at various points because of the pandemic. At present, it appears that Disney's recovery will be a mixed success. Disney management made the right decisions early in the crisis when it took steps to shore up its balance sheet by suspending dividends and raising new capital and accelerating the expansion of its Disney+ streaming TV service. But risks remain, and it's worth examining whether they can be overcome to help the stock outperform the S&P 500 index over the next 10 years, as it has in the past. The irony of the recent conflict between Disney and "Black Widow" star Scarlett Johansson has not gone unnoticed by investors. The award-winning actress sued Disney, claiming that her contract was breached when the company released the long-awaited movie for purchase on Disney+ at the same time as the theaters. Since the lawsuit was announced, Disney's stock price has fallen for five straight days, dropping nearly 4 percent, a far greater potential blow to profits than what Johansson claims she did not receive in compensation for her work. The company's streaming service, considered the only shining star during a painful pandemic when user numbers exceeded expectations, has suddenly become a new and very public risk. In the first six months of 2021, Disney's share of the direct-to-consumer media and entertainment segment grew 65% year over year. This was driven in large part by growth in the Disney+ segment. As of April 3, the company had increased the service's paid subscribers to 103.6 million in just 18 months after its launch. However, growth began to slow in the last quarter, which disappointed investors. Now the situation has become even more complicated as Disney argues that the lawsuit has no merit. But even if the company wins the dispute on legal grounds, it could cause negative publicity among movie fans and also change the company's film distribution strategy. The streaming strategy and its potential to boost future profits have received much publicity since the launch of Disney+, but the overall business still relies heavily on Disney theme park operations. Before the pandemic, the parks segment generated 38% of revenue in the fiscal year ended Sept. 28, 2019. In the first six months of 2021, that share of total revenue dropped to 21% as the parks opened slowly and with some capacity constraints. Now the delta variant is causing a new spike in COVID-19 cases. As a result, Disney has reinstated the mandatory use of masks for all theme park visitors in the U.S. over the age of 2, and business recovery in the parks has become more uncertain. Another area of the company's business affected by the pandemic condition is, of course, Disney's cruise business. Undoubtedly, the risks to the company remain as long as the pandemic continues. Investing in any stock involves risks, and those risks are unique. The company currently believes it will operate at a Disney+ profit in the fiscal year 2024, but this is not a given. Without knowing how the rest of the business will evolve, it is difficult to determine a short- or even medium-term stock valuation. However, the company has proven that it can succeed over the long term. As mentioned earlier, it has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 Index over the past decade. At some point, the pandemic will officially end. Also, at some point, Disney will feel confident enough to either recover its dividend or use its excess cash flow to invest in the business -- or a combination of both. Long-term investors should feel confident that the brand will remain strong enough to support any future direction of the business. That brand and the diverse businesses built around it are what make an investment in Disney worth the risk in a portfolio built for the long term. The company will report its fiscal third-quarter earnings today, and then investors will have an update on the success of all segments of the company.
NYSE:DISLong
by FOREXN1
13
DIS stoch Parham DIS shares The trend of these stocks in the long run is quite upward There was a conscious failure in this share Conscious failure means that in an uptrend we cross a resistance range and return twice below the resistance range. This movement breaks consciously and if the chart can regain the conscious failure range (resistance range) in a short time, we can make a low risk purchase. Now in time H4 we see that the conscious back failure has been created and the chart is again approaching the conscious failure range (resistance range) and it is possible to take back this range with a strong candlestick and enter this range by retrieving it. Sl = 170.00 Tp1 = 198.78 Tp2 = 210.00 Thanks
NYSE:DISLong
by parhamfdg
Breakout on DIS after 120 days inside a Flag PatternToday we will speak about DIS; what are we observing right now? a) The price has been on a Flag Patter for almost 120 days. Yesterday we observed a major breakout of it, and now we have defined confirmation levels for the bullish movement b) Let's speak about the context first: -The price is above a dynamic support resistance zone (positive for the bullish move) -The Price is above the current ascending trendline (positive for the bullish move) -We have observed a clear Weekly flag pattern above all the two areas, and now we have the breakout of it c) Relevant levels: If the price reaches the Green horizontal line, we will consider that as a confirmation for our bullish view. If not, we will not execute the setup. Our stop level and also invalidation level (in case the price never executes our setup) is the red horizontal line (below the flag pattern) d) We have defined two targets using fibo extensions. The first one can be used as a protective area where we move our stop loss to the entry-level or also as a preliminary take-profit zone. However, our final target is the 2nd fibo extension, where we will close all the setup if the expected movement happens. e) How long can the setup take?: If the movement is successful, we think the resolution can be between 150 and 250 days. f) How much would you risk on a setup like this?: ALWAYS 1% to 2% of our capital, Never more than that. Thanks for reading!
NYSE:DIS
by ThinkingAntsOk
3
DISNEY opportunityKeeping a close eye on the current structure with Disney at the moment, I have been a long term trader/investor with Disney for a while and its served me well how ever reduced position over the march push as the amrkets seemed a little cooked and been waiting to reenter and start pyramiding orders again. Pretty clear H&S forming on the daily right now and a large gap between the current formation and the structure from mid to late 2020, not to mention price chopping below the 100 day EMA A break down of this formation and support level could see fairly sharp price action between these price points and a much better entry (Im not trading options just spot) The other possibility is we bounce on this neckline, crack the right shoulder and continue the current macro bull whilst the fed continues to print bills into QE which should see the markets artificially move with it. Ill be keeping a close eye on the volume and candle formation over the next week looking for signs of bulls entering here, an increase of volume, coupled with maybe a morning start close to this support could be enough to give me a the confirmation to take the entry...how ever ill be cutting losses early if its quickly met with a break down or volume diminishes straight after my entry. The key here is conviction, I need volume to back up my decision or im out and waiting for a lower entry back around 152 or even lower as that sell off could trigger a considerable down trend. Give it a few more days either we stay invested with disney or shelf it on the watch list for a few months lol
NYSE:DISLong
by DeNomics
Walt Disney Company | Fundamental Analysis - Opportunity ? 🔔he Walt Disney Company ended the second fiscal quarter with 103.6 million subscribers to its streaming service Disney+. Although that was more than double the number in the same quarter last year, analysts had expected Disney+ to have 109 million subscribers at the end of the quarter. The stock has dropped sharply since the earnings report was released and is now down 4.3 percent year-over-year. Investors are probably questioning if Disney is still a good investment. Here are some important points from the Q2 results that hint that the House of Mouse is doing well and the current decline could be a good buying opportunity. Disney was already actually set to frustrate investors after Netflix missed its own subscriber forecast in the quarter ended March. There was a strong surge in subscribers to streaming services during the pandemic, which may take a quarter or two to level off. Nevertheless, there were lots of aspects in the earnings report meaning that Disney+ is still on track to meet its long-term subscriber goal. For instance, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney "grew subscribers faster in the last month of the second quarter than in the first two months." And that's in spite of the first price increase for Disney+ since launch. Covering the near-term outlook, CEO Bob Chapek said: "We're on track to reach our forecast of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of the fiscal year 2024." Even after price increases last quarter, Chapek said that "we haven't seen a significant increase in subscriber churn after price increases in region." The company anticipates subscriber growth to be greater once content production returns to full capacity. Chapek said that "the anticipation for the new Marvel series "Loki," which will be released June 9, is off the charts." Don't forget that Disney has racked up more than 100 million subscribers without using the deep pipeline of Star Wars and Marvel content that company executives announced in a December presentation to investors. As the company adds more content from these powerful franchises, the number of subscribers should increase. Disney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter. It, of course, contrasts with Netflix's 6% annual growth in the last quarter. But there's more to it than that. The drop in ARPU is due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which brings in less revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets. Excluding Hotstar, Disney+'s ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61. "As we move into the rest of the year, we should start to feel the positive effect on Disney+ ARPU from the price increases we have undertaken around the world," McCarthy said. Of course, theme parks are still an important part of Disney's business, with revenue of $26 billion in fiscal 2019. Revenues from Disney's parks, attractions, and products fell 44 percent year over year this quarter. But that's an improvement over the 53% drop in the previous quarter. Company executives said more good news during the earnings call. "At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to improve steadily throughout the second quarter, and guest per capita spending was up again by double digits from the previous year," McCarthy said. Disneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is "very enthusiastic" about the response from guests. It's hard to say where the stock will move in the short term, but Disney franchises are some of the most valuable in the entertainment industry. It's safe to say that once Disney adds more content from its top brands on Disney+ and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, you could consider the price decline a good buying opportunity. Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Day trading !
NYSE:DISLong
by FOREXN1
10
Analyzing the current situation on Disney (DIS)Today, we will take a look at the DIS chart: A) The price is above a broken ascending channel which tells us about a bullish trend that has been accelerating B) Finding Support on the cloned channel, we can see a clear corrective pattern (yellow lines) C) From a Technical Perspective, this type of structure after the breakout tends to show continuation movements as the previous impulse. D) The horizontal line is the activation level in which we consider our Analysis is active E) We are using Fibo extensions to get an idea of possible Targets F) The invalidation level is below the corrective structure.
NYSE:DIS
by ThinkingAntsOk
Walt DisneyThe overall trend is bullish. This company represents communication services sector which market weight is 10,78% according to Fidelity research and it is worth investing in. Right now price is in the correction phase which gives us a good opportunity to take advantage of. So, my recommendation for speculating purpose is to wait till price breaks this correction trendline and then buy, for investing purpose - wait for a deeper correction and buy low. Write in the comments below which company you'd like to see in my next analysis.
NYSE:DISLong
by Stan_Leimanis
Clear bullish potential for The Walt Disney Company Today we will explain the reasons we see a clear path for DIS towards the All-time highs zone. a) We can see an ascending trendline that has been respected b) Currently, we see a corrective structure (sideways movement composed by an ABC) c) Remember that corrective structures are a continuation pattern when being preceded by an impulse d) If we have a breakout of the corrective structure (yellow line) we expect a continuation movement towards the all-time highs zone e) Also we know that any forecast can go wrong and we have an invalidation level (red line). If the price reaches that zone we will assume that we were wrong and we will cancel any pending setup f) Remember: Protect your capital, and trade safe!
NYSE:DISLong
by ThinkingAntsOk
Disney: Bullish Consolidation Analysis 1H (Apr. 21)X FORCE GLOBAL ANALYSIS: In this analysis, we explore the bullish probabilities for Disney's case (DIS) based on its bullish consolidating technicals and strong fundamentals. Technicals - We see a textbook ascending triangle pattern, which is a bullish consolidation pattern - An ascending triangle pattern in a downtrend signals a potential bullish trend reversal - We can count Elliott Triangle Waves (ABCDE), and see that wave E has completed forming as well - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows great strength on the daily, creating higher lows and higher highs - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also shows increasing bullish histograms on the daily as a sign of momentum Fundamentals - When Disney is not aggressively investing into its direct-to-consumer business, it has generated close to $8 billion of free cash flows. - Disney's balance sheet is strong and affords Disney plenty of flexibility - With that said, half of Disney’s operating income is generated from its Parks, Experiences and Products segment - Considering the Parks closed so far and the potential closure of others will have a substantial effect on Disney’s near-term overall profitability - However, Disney's fundamentals remain exceptionally strong, and the long term picture still remains intact What We Believe We believe that Disney is an impressive business, with broad diversification, expected to grow consistently over the medium-term. While this company was hit by the Corona Virus (COVID-19) more severely so than other companies, technicals demonstrate potentiality for a breakout, leading to a small bullish rally. Trade Safe.
NYSE:DISLong
by XForceGlobal
9
Walt Disney Company (DIS) - Opportunity to SELLHey everyone, here's the analysis on DIS. Hit the LIKE button, follow us & leave a comment on ideas you would like to see next! Summary: Current price could drop from our R1 zone to our S1 zone, presenting us with a good opportunity to sell. Action: Sell Limit: 109.65 - 112.00 Stop Loss: 123.00 Take Profit: 96.40 Analysis: On the monthly chart, R1 zone was a key breakout zone along with a strong fibonacci confluence and a pullback of our trend line. There is limited upside in the current price and it could drop to our S1 zone, as illustrated by the yellow dotted lines. If the S1 zone does not hold, we could see price drop lower to our S2 zone before a bounce there. Disclaimer: There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading and investing. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Trading BEAN and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. All contents featured here are solely for educational purposes and ARE NOT investment or trading advices. Please do your own due diligence and trade at your own risk.
NYSE:DISShort
by TradingBean
5