How to trade in times of war. What if WWIII begins.In this chart you can visualize how the Dow Jones performed during WWII.
The Dow experienced high volatility during WWII. Its lowest point (-29%) was reached on april 1942.
But, surprisingly, the Dow gained 33% in the period between the beginning (September 1, 1949) and the end of the WWII (May 7, 1945).
Source:
United States Holocaust Memorial Museum. “WORLD WAR II TIMELINE.” Holocaust Encyclopedia.
encyclopedia.ushmm.org
WAR
BTC CAN GO LOWER!hi trades. After the rsi line was broken, the sellers regained power, so we enter the sell position with a stop loss of 38,600.i think the price can see the pervious low.
if you agree with this idea please like and comment blow
on the fundamental and momentum view i think the gold will open high base on the btc move in this hours!
Oil making it's way back to $100?oil drove to $100 due to fear of supply with Russia invading Ukraine. This is the first time oil has hit $00 since 2014, so of course it will not just bust through like we all wish it would. The market needed to correct itself first, pulling back to $90.50.on the 4hr time frame you see a fakeout of the trendline, indicating oil is going to push up some more. it is respecting the current uptrend as of right now. I see oil atleast going to $94 as of right now. I will watch the market and the news before making further decision. on smaller timeframe there is a small bullish divergence indicating a buy is coming as well.
USDRUB Long entry (Long live Ukraine)Firstly, my sincere best wishes go out to all of the Ukrainian residents, their families and loved ones staying behind to protect their land, my thoughts are with you.
Putin lost his mind back in 2014, now he's gone on another bender with this terrible act.
I was wanting to take a look at the Russian stocks market website, but it seems to have been shut down, by "Anonymous" maybe? LOL. Shame I was wanting to see which Russian stocks to short. Does anyone have any Russian stocks to share they feel will tank?
The Russian economy has already lost $150 billion, and counting so far. Ruble had lost 33% of its value and there's still room for it to lose even more as the West impose Sanctions on Russia ability to transfer funds around the world. It's not completely cut off. The Russian Federation still has the ability to use crypto to move funds around. And of course, I bet China will also help Russian Federation with that too.
Should the western world get a sniff of China helping Russia move funds then another **** storm won't be far away.
So, I've gone long here target is 90.00, I'd expect this to reach the High of the pin within two weeks. If successful I'm looking for a return of around $34,000.00
EURUSD's Snap Bullish ReboundEURUSD's price action rebounded promptly from the previous swing low at 1.11250, as per the expectations of the Wyckoff method. It is now set to probe the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.12642, as adverse volatility from the war in Ukraine mounts .
The behaviour of the price action around this crucial threshold will determine the next most likely direction for the pair.
GBPUSD Bearish, Short Short ShortGBPUSD
1DTF
The market took a turn this week. The main news came from Ukraine-Russia. We hope peace will be restored soon.
Observation:
Look for the opportunity to Short
KAJU X: Bear since 23Feb
KAJU FUSION: Bear since 24Feb
RSI oversold on 24Feb but not on 25Feb (retracement to ema3)
MA100,MA50,MA20,EMA10 are close to each other and act as the current Resistance.
Strong Support: 1.31601-1.32125
Watch NATO, USA news for Trend updates
Trade Idea
Sell: 1.35074 - 1.35351
TP1: 1.34074
TP2: Let Profit Run
SL: 1.36351
Are Bullish for the Gold?Effect Rusia VS Ukraina it's warning for the Gold and the market. I see August 2020 had a same happening at Beirut and it's make the Gold Fly high and i think the gold can be fly high again and reach the top 2075 like before. Now, all the market is messy and be affected.
That's my opinion...
Have a nice day...
The Effect of Regional Conflict on the MarketIn this post, I'll demonstrate the impact of regional conflicts on the market; whether what we're seeing is the beginning of a recession, or a reversal.
I'll be going over Russia's invasion of Ukraine, referring to historical examples of regional conflicts and the impact they had on the market.
War is tragic. I would like to clarify upfront that this post is apolitical. It simply assesses current events and market movements from the perspective of an investor.
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Analysis
- With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, we have seen this bull market’s first correction.
- Many fear that this may simply be a deadcat bounce before further downside, but this once again proves that this event was a case of ’sell on fear, buy on the bullets’.
- Pressure is applied to the financial markets as fear of war starts, and is relieved when the actual conflict starts.
- So contrary to common belief, the beginning of war, as tragic as it is, is a bullish sign for the markets.
- Markets move on surprises, and what’s happening in Ukraine is nothing new or surprising.
- Not only has there been tension building up for the past few weeks, we were aware of such a scenario for the past few years, with Russia’s takeover of Crimea.
- The point is that the more discussions there are about the plethora of probable scenarios and possibilities, the less likely it is for the market to crash when something worse occurs.
- Unless this war spreads to a global scale, which I doubt it will, I think the damage will be regional, and thus unlikely to cause a bear market.
- We’ve seen this through multiple cases in history: the Korean War, the Vietnam War, Gulf War, Afghanistan War, Iraq War, and the Crimean Crisis.
- This isn’t because armed conflict is good for the market.
- The conflict ending uncertainty is what drives the market upwards.
Conclusion
Headlines, responses from communities online, and fake news can drive short term reactions via sentiment, but it’s important to take a deep breath, and listen to what the market is trying to tell you.
Taking all of this into account, I believe that it’s more likely for us to see a recovery or return to the uptrend sometime later this year, with some turbulence early on. However, remember that the name of the game is to buy when it’s cheap, and sell when it’s expensive. By the time you realize that we’ve returned to a steady, sturdy bull trend without any factors of fear and bearishness to hinder the momentum, it may already be too late to buy cheap. Hence, my preference to buy 1000 shares of $SPY at $430, rather than buying 10 shares at $350.
While my entire long term outlook on the market remains optimistic, it’s important to remember that volatility is unpredictable. But that doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s everlasting either. I anticipate that there’s a high probability that the bull market continues, but volatility will play its role in shaking out the weak hands.
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If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
WAR WeStarter most undervalued crypto incubatorWAR WeStarter will soon launch CryptoSteam
Aaron Pulkka, former vice-president of Activision Blizzard , founded CryptoSteam, a crypto-games publishing platform, and invented the concept of GameFi 2.0.
The vision of CryptoSteam is to become the infrastructure provider of Metaverse, and be the bridge to connect all other meta-universes together.
WAR WeStarter is a cross-chain token initial swap platform which selects high-quality crypto projects that need fundraising before listing to major exchanges.
It was launched in May 2021 at $2. Due to market conditions, the price is now $0.06 and the market cap is less than $1 million.
The first financing was completed on April 15th, and the participated investment institutions include Continue Capital, SevenX Ventures, NGC Ventures, AU21 Capital, Spark Digital Capital, LD Capital, Power Law Capital, Kyros Ventures, DoraHacks Ventures, SkyVentures, DEFI TIMES CAPITAL and others.
A similar incubator is SFUND Seedify, has a mk cap of $143Mil.
So The upside potential is 143X from here just to reach SFUND`s market cap.
Extremely low circulating supply, with few thousands usd, you ca substantially move the price.
The RSI shows a massive bullish divergence. Increase in volume while decrease in price. Oversold area!
Minimum upside potential is 10X in my opinion.
Bullish during the War
Weekly Timeframe
Awesome Oscillator is still having its Bearish Retracement. We are looking for green volume next week to see more upside candles. Ichimoku-Cloud is still holding on, we are still inside the cloud which is fairly bullish. EMA Ribbon is still bullish it hasn't changed really from being bullish since 2011. We are currently experiencing two spring up. if we close with green candle we can expect more to the upside.
1D Timeframe
This is Double Bottom that has huge potential to the upside. We already broke the cloud and the next rejection area is $42,221. We just need to hold on to this line of support and wait for the push up after consolidation; and if we don't, then we can see a movement to the downside. Our retracement in daily time-frame has shown green volume already in AO, it means this is the beginning of more volume and candle to the upside. The bottom are reached in the Retracement. RSI is also about to cross its Moving Average which means we are crossing a bullish zone for RSI.
4H Timeframe
200 Moving Average in 4h timeframe becomes weak and easy to break. We have broken the resistance in the second retest, so we can expect more to the upside. We need to break $39,904 and hold it as our support area then break $40,646 to continue the bull run. AO is already bullish and no sign of retracement yet.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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Disclaimer: Above technical analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin bull run time? 22.2.26Bitcoin is approaching below its resistance area, which can be revised up to 36,500 due to the weakness. But there are signs of a reversal of the downtrend. Breaking the 41,500 range and the downtrend line and stabilizing them above is necessary for the climb
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto
📅 26.Feb.22
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
How Will the Russian Invasion of Ukraine Affect Crypto?The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused the Russian stock market to collapse (as low as 50%), taking crypto prices along for the ride in a very clear way. As the news unfolds we're likely to see more divergences in the way individual coins operate, but for now, the patterns between Russian/US stocks and crypto seem to be moving in parallel.
One thing to be wary of is that during wartime, misinformation and propaganda campaigns tend to intensify, so you need to take everything you read on the news/social media (on both sides) with a grain of salt. Some of the things to look out for to make sure you don't get misdirected during these turbulent times.
Note that while the US media has been saying how great their markets are doing right now, they're also in a precarious situation since a recession is looming just around the corner. What happens exactly, is TBD.
KEY Support & Resistance Zones.Let's keep an eye on these key S/R zones.
Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Bitcoin Long Position 22.2.25Bitcoin was supported about 35K area and it can be move up to 50-51K. I think its formin head and shoulder pattern and if it return to 36500 area slowly and observe reversal candel, long position can be actived with 35K SL and 50500 last target. Other resistances can impress the price, so suggest you to save your profit step by step.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto
25.Feb.22
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Tesla: update: don't enter until reaching the strong resistanceAs the Ukraine - Russia war crisis boosted the down trend of stocks and the possibility of ranging inside of a triangle has expired, we expect tesla to reach at least the strong 500 - 550 resistance level. So, don't rush to enter long, because the whole market is downward now.