Wave5
BTC/USD(Breakdown)Impulsive Elliott waves onto 5/5Labelled chartPart of an update on the previous chart that hit it's targets for wave 4.(just had to be posted)
To some extent disappointing that wave 4 did not hit the higher variation(6800 0.382), but nevertheless it's time to start labeling wave 5 and it's variations.
There's typically 2 variations:
1. 1.62x Wave 1(Target 5450+/-)
2. 2.62x Wave 1(Target 4800+/-)
However I cannot dismiss 5000 as a psychological support, which just so it happens to currently sit around the 100 week moving average. As I always say by this point everyone knows whats going on, which makes wave 5's the least trustworthy of all.
Now that's been said, I do expect a pull back after wave 5 is over, possible in the range of 7100/ or at least retesting the bottom of the labelled white triangle.
The big elephant in the room is that, if by any reason the week closes decisively bellow the 100 week moving average, I'm quite literally expecting a blood bath. WE all know how sensitive the crypto market sadly is. Chances of this happening luckily are very,very low!
Please let me know in the comments, if any of the calculations are unclear or how'd I get to them. I'll try to keep this chart updated as much as I can.
-Happy trading folks-
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Disclaimer:
//This is not a buy or sell sign, you decide what to do with your own money!//
If you liked my take on bitcoin , and/or other markets, comment your thoughts, agree or follow for more interesting analysis, much appreciated, thanks!
Foot Locker Set To Take Large Strides Over Next 3-4 MonthsFoot Locker is setting up to fly high over the next 3-4 months before reaching its next top. This top coincides with my projected market top during the October/November timeframe this year. Based on comparative trend analysis and derivative analytics, Foot Locker should reach its next top between August 9 and November 20 of 2018. The top should occur between 62.12 and 68.84. The minimum move to 62.12 from today's close of 51.92 would generate 19.64%. I am expecting the top to occur in early to mid October around 64.41.
Unlike some of the other stocks I am following, The 2019 pullback for Foot Locker should not be as drastic as the rest of the market.
A Final Hurrah For Micron Technology, 50-100% Over Next 6 MonthsMicron is in Cycle wave 5 & Supercycle wave 5 which is the last hurrah for the stock for now. The top of this wave should occur between October 12, 2018 and February 13, 2019. The top should occur between 79.22 and 95.24. These dates and numbers are based on comparative trend analysis and derivative analytics.
EOS ready for a move up?Quick one today everyone.
The first wave up went to just above $18, then corrected to just below the 0.786 fibo.
The second wave up went to just above $23, and then corrected, currently sitting just below the 0.786 fibo.
Is EOS ready for a move up? Using the ratio of peaks (second peak / first peak), the projected target for the third peak is $28 ... but $30 can easily be a level that it gravitates to.
On the downside, of course BTC going down will likely cause further EOS correction ... but I do see the $6 range as strong support. Likely the buy zone is $6 to $7 and the we wait it out ... if BTC starts a rally, EOS could do very well.
Remember, only a fool relies on one potential outcome!
Do not use this information for financial decisions. For educational purposes only.
Amazon - In an exponential rally. Next target seen at 1,862It should be clear to everyone, that Amazon is in an exponential rise and they even ever ends well (just remember the last one we saw in Bitcoin).
The indicators shows a negative divergence relative to the price movement indicating that this rally is loosing strength and the potential upside is becoming limited. The next possible target for wave 5/ of 5 is seen at 1,862, but exponential rallies has a way of exceeding even the most optimistic, so I wouldn't be overly surprised to see an extension closer to 2,177, before wave 5/ of 5 peaks.
However, all warning lights has started flashing, so keep your stop tight.
TRON opportunity with mainnet expectationTRX is on its fifth of Elliott impulse wave after a strong pullback... and btw TRX is an ERC20 Token but at the end of this month it will starting to operate on its own network. With mainnet price would go up further if nothing goes wrong. Always take care on BTC along with these analysis. If BTC goes under 7800 trade will be cancelled automatically.
My Next Projection For Pre-Memorial Day S&P 500Wave 3 took off as projected and it appears wave 4 just completed at the end of trading on Tuesday with a perfect 61.8% retracement of wave 3's movement. The next question is where will wave 5 lead?
I project wave 5 will occur by the end of this week, which means next week could have some downward movement. Before that drop lets look at the top. My maximum movement could be a 215% extension of Wave 3 which would bring the S&P 500 up to 2780.35. This seems quite extreme and would require 20-30 point moves each day for the next 3.
The most likely extension will be 138.2% of wave 3 which would bring the index up to the 2754 mark. My minimal projection would be around 2745. I am positioning for a move between 2745 and 2760 over the next 3 days.
Let's see what happens...
ETH, big move up??Well, those of you who got into ETH down below should be happy.
But there might be more, as long as BTC doesn't mess this up (and I have a feeling it will)...
There are some nice jumps to be made with ETH between heavy resistance.
Alts are fairly coupled with BTC and if bitcoin gives them that little push they need to get over resistance, then we have situations like ETH today.
It looks like we are in wave 5 of an impulse right now. I look at a few clues, the first being the length of wave 3 relative to wave 1. For an ABC correction, I typically look for wave 1 and 3 being similarish in size. Clearly wave 3 is much longer than wave 1, so it could very well be an impulse, and we have 1 more leg to go. Wave 5's are a pain to predict ... inducing some mega confusion. The length is also unpredictable, if wave 3 is longer than wave 1, which is the case here.
But I do see some strong resistance at 760. So I'm looking for another 30 points up from the current 730 range.
Assuming that's the end of wave 5, it will then correct ... and formation of the right shoulder of an IH&S is totally possible.
That makes it really interesting because the head is 120 points ... would $880 for ETH be possible in the next few days ... yes, BUT only if BTC behaves ... and I don't think the odds are in our favor ... a BTC short from $9k is a high possibility.
Anyhow, something to keep an eye on people, this could be the story over the next few days, especially given the exposure ETH gets on Wednesday this week at Consensus.
Remember only a fool relies on one potential outcome!
Do not make financial decisions based on this information. For educational purposes only.