Apple: Top and DropAs part of Apple's ongoing wave (2) correction, we assume that the subordinate turquoise wave X still needs to conclude in the short term before the price can drop into our magenta Target Zone between $209.57 and $196.05. There, we anticipate a bullish reversal, which should offer trading opportunities for the long side and mark the starting point for the next major upward move. Alternatively, there is a 37% chance that the low of wave alt.(2) has already been reached, which will be confirmed if the price surpasses $260.10.
Waveanalyses
Oracle: Tilting Downward…After a sharp rebound from the $152.02 support following the steep drop from the peak of the beige wave II, Oracle is once again tilting downward as expected. The next step should see the price fall below $152.02 to reach the projected low of the beige wave III. After a countermovement of wave IV, the broader downward movement as part of the beige five-wave decline should extend further, ultimately driving the stock to the low of the overarching blue wave (A). If Oracle instead breaks above the $198.31 resistance in the short term, the macro-level light green wave alt. will rise to a new high. However, this alternative scenario holds only a 34% probability. Primarily, we assume that wave was completed with the December peak.
Disney: Recovery?!Disney appears to have stabilized after its recent sell-off, holding above the $106.26 support level. From here, the price should push beyond the $123.74 resistance during the turquoise wave 3. However, if it drops below $106.26 (41% probable), it will trigger our alternative scenario, signaling a move into our blue Target Zone between $97.27 and $91.46. After the wave alt.(ii) low in that range, the stock would quickly resume its upward trajectory.
PepsiCo: Strong ReactionThe Pepsi stock recently showed a strong reaction to the support at $141.52, reinforcing the significance of this level. However, we primarily anticipate that this level will be breached next. During the ongoing magenta wave (5), the price should drop into our beige Target Zone (coordinates: $131.12 – $124.50), which presents potential long-entry opportunities. We primarily expect the beige wave a to conclude within this Zone. But if the stock instead breaks above the resistance at $165.13 (probability: 31%), this will confirm that the low of the beige wave alt.a was settled prematurely.
VeChain: Down AgainAfter a brief recovery, VeChain is trending lower once more. The low of the orange wave ii from early February is approaching but shouldn’t be undercut for the structure of the orange impulse wave iii to remain intact. Soon, we expect a decisive and sustained breakout of this wave iii above the resistance at $0.08. As a mid-term target, the entire orange five-wave sequence should ultimately complete the blue wave (iii).
Coinbase: Brief BreakoutCoinbase’s positive earnings initially served as a catalyst for a brief breakout from the previously established range, with shareholders enjoying a nearly 16% gain. However, the euphoria was short-lived, and the stock quickly retreated. We attribute the current fluctuation to the blue wave (v), which should provide further increases and ultimately complete the larger magenta wave above the resistance at $343.92. Adjustments to our wave count will only be necessary if the price falls below the support at $224 (probability: 33%).
Ripple: Short-term Sell-offs ExpectedRipple’s recent upward push didn’t prove to be sustainable. Anyway, we primarily anticipate another significant sell-off, which should drive the price down into our magenta Target Zone between $1.69 and $1. These declines should allow the corresponding corrective wave (4) to establish a proper low. Only after this bottom has been settled do we reckon with the extended rise of the magenta wave (5), which should target new all-time highs beyond the $3.39 resistance. If XRP breaks above this green level sooner than primarily expected, the magenta wave alt.(5) will begin prematurely. Under this 33% likely alternative scenario, the magenta wave alt.(4) would have already concluded with the February 3 low, and our magenta Target Zone wouldn’t be reached.
Boeing: More RoomBoeing recently climbed higher, and we still grant the magenta wave slightly more room on the upside. However, this corrective upward movement should come to an end below the resistance at $197.20 and transition into the sell-off phase of the same-colored wave . This movement, in turn, should complete the overarching turquoise wave 2 while remaining above the support at $137.03. Afterward, the price should surge beyond the resistance at $267.54, allowing the larger magenta wave (1) to conclude. On the other hand, we see a 30% chance that Boeing will form a fresh low below the $137.03 mark during the green wave alt. .
Coca-Cola: High in Sight?!Coca-Cola has gained around 9% over the past two weeks and should now be approaching the high of the turquoise wave 4. As soon as this top is established (below the resistance at $70.74), we expect sell-offs down to the forecast low of wave (A) in magenta below the support at $60.62. However, if the stock breaks above the resistances at $70.74 and $73.53 during its current upward move, we will consider wave alt.(A) in magenta as complete. In this scenario, the subsequent wave alt.(B) would already be underway, aiming for a high within our beige Target Zone between $75.32 and $80.36 (probability: 39%).
Cloudflare: ProgressCloudflare has demonstrated impressive upward pressure, surging more than 40% in just a few days. In response, we now consider waves 3 and 4 in green as finished and locate the stock in the final stretch of this impulse move, which should ultimately complete the orange wave iii. Given that key expansion levels have already been reached, we expect the wave iii high to form soon. Afterward, we anticipate a sharp wave iv correction, with downside potential toward the $122.68 support.
Hedera Hashgraph: Target Zone AwaitsFollowing the recent sharp sell-off and the immediate rebound, Hedera Hashgraph’s HBAR has stabilized just above $0.20. Currently, the coin is attempting a small breakout to the upside. If HBAR manages to surpass the $0.39 resistance at this stage, the next impulsive move of the green wave alt. will begin earlier than primarily expected (33% likely). In our primary scenario, however, the price should still drop into our beige long-entry Target Zone between $0.17 and $0.08. There, the low of the green correction wave should be settled before wave can advance beyond $0.39.
Qualcomm: Target Zone Active!QCOM is still trading outside our blue Target Zone, which spans from $159.57 to $121.52. While the stock has fulfilled the technical minimum requirement for the blue wave (IV) by reaching this range, we primarily expect further sell-offs and lower lows before the correction is complete. A premature breakout will only be confirmed if the price sustainably surpasses the $182.08 mark (37% likely).
Polkadot: Back on the Rise?Following the recent sharp pullback, Polkadot has established an important low just above the support at $3.56, completing the orange wave ii. In the medium term, the subsequent orange impulse wave iii should drive the price significantly higher, breaking past the resistance at $11.88. However, if DOT falls below $3.56, our 39% likely alternative scenario will come into play, and the magenta wave alt. will reach a new major correction low. For this case, we have outlined our orange alternative Target Zone between $2.40 and $1.07.
Cardano: Target Zone ReachedCardano entered our blue Target Zone between $0.73 and $0.49 during the recent sharp sell-off but quickly rebounded above its upper boundary. While it’s entirely feasible that the low of the blue wave (ii) has already been settled, another dip to finalize this intermediate correction remains possible. Once wave (ii) has indeed found its bottom, the blue impulse wave (iii) should take over and drive the price above the resistance at $1.32.
Meta: Breakout!META has successfully broken out of its previous consolidation, extending a powerful uptrend. This nearly “correction-free” rally has once again pushed the stock to new record highs, which aligns perfectly with our primary expectation of further gains during the larger green wave . However, given the extent of this advance, META remains vulnerable to pullbacks. Thus, we assign a 33% probability to an immediate transition into a wave alt. correction, which would be triggered by a drop below the $547.57 support.
Google: Room to Head HigherFor the past two months, GOOGL has been stuck in a sluggish sideways phase, with even its latest breakout attempt quickly sold off. During the magenta wave , we still expect a new high, though a direct transition into the subsequent wave remains technically possible. In our 33% likely alternative scenario, we would have to reckon with a significantly delayed continuation of the overarching upward cycle. In this case, GOOGL would still be working through the (intermediate) correction of the green wave alt. , which would bottom below the support at $147.22.
Ripple: Approaching Our Target ZoneWhat a strong sell-off for XRP! Since last Friday, Ripple has dropped nearly 45%, yet it still hasn’t reached our magenta Target Zone between $1.69 and $1. While XRP saw a strong rebound after the sudden plunge, the magenta wave (4) should still head for a lower low within our Target Zone in the short term. Only after this price range has been reached do we anticipate the following magenta wave (5) to strive for new record highs above the resistance at $3.39.
DUOL: mid-term trend structure Until price is holding above 13th Jan lows, my operative scenario is continuation of the upside momentum towards 420-450 resistance zone.
Moving and holding above 450 level increases the probability of a continuation move towards higher resistance levels at 590+.
Otherwise, until price holds bellow 450, there are significant odds of deeper correction in the mid-term before continuing macro uptrend
My previous idea on NASDAQ:DUOL from Dec'23 topping actions:
and update on break-out potential from Sep'24:
Thank you for your attention!
BTC to new high...It seems that BTC to be at the beginning of wave c:B. price is supported in green zone that it includes fibonacci 1.618 of wave W and fibonacci 0.5 of wave a:B and fibonacci 1.272 wave X. I expect that price to rise to red zone that it includes fibonacci 1.38 and fibonacci 1.23 of wave A and fibonacci 1 of wave a:B.
after that price completes the extended flat pattern in red zone, I expect the price to decline below the end of wave A and probably below 80,000.
Amazon: Volatile!The Amazon stock has shown significant volatility recently but managed to recover its temporary losses of over 7% just as quickly. We still position the stock within the turquoise wave 3, which should have additional upside potential. Once this high is established—something that may have already occurred—we anticipate a wave 4 pullback before wave 5 completes the larger magenta wave (3) further to the upside. As you can see in the daily chart, this magenta wave (3) acts as a subwave of the green wave , which in turn should lead to the peak of the even larger beige wave III. Following this, we expect a more pronounced wave IV correction before another round of impulsive rallies drives the stock to new highs.
SUI: Further DownSui has sold off sharply in recent days, losing around 35% of its value since the top of the turquoise wave B at the resistance near $5.36. In the short term, this decline should continue until the price reaches the anticipated low of the magenta corrective wave (4) within the same-colored Target Zone between $3.23 and $2.70. From there, we expect an impulsive rise with the magenta wave (5), allowing Sui to break well above the $5.36 resistance and establish the high of the larger green wave . A premature breakout beyond $5.36 has a 30% probability according to our primary scenario.
Uber: ConsolidationThe rally that began at the turn of the year has recently transitioned into a phase of consolidation, leaving our primary outlook unchanged for now. During the magenta wave , we anticipate another pullback toward the support at $53.26, where the subsequent wave should begin. This wave should eventually propel the price beyond the resistance at $87, where we also expect the high of the broader turquoise wave 3. A premature breakout is also conceivable, given the extent of the current pullback. However, for this 30% likely alternative scenario to be confirmed, the stock would need to decisively breach the $87 mark.
Procter & Gamble: Target Zone Ahead!Wave in dark green has been successfully completed, creating a new support level at $157.47 with its low. PG is currently working on the countermovement of wave , and we have outlined a Target Zone for the expected top (between $171.66 and $177.84). This price range could be an opportunity to take profits from long trades or establish new short positions. However, our alternative scenario, which allows for a breakout to the upside, holds a 34% probability. If the stock manages to climb above the resistance at $180.43, this will suggest that the broader uptrend continues. In this case, the low observed would not correspond to wave in dark green, but rather to wave alt.(IV) in blue. So, potential short positions could be secured with a stop-loss set 1% above the upper boundary of our Target Zone.