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Waveanalyses

RENDER: Is the Correction Over?RENDER has surged nearly 20% at its peak recently. This prompts the question of whether the wave 2 correction low may already be in place. We continue to consider this scenario as our alternative outlook, in which we would anticipate direct gains above the resistance levels at $6.08 and $11.82 (probability: 40%). However, our primary expectation remains that a new low will be set within our magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $5.43–$1.81) before the projected upward moves unfold. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:RENDERUSD
by MarketIntel
1
Cardano: Eyeing Alternative Rally ScenarioCardano’s ADA token has realized further gains. As a result, we’ve increased the probability of our alternative scenario—in which the low of the wave (ii) correction is already in place—to 40%. For ADA to take this “shortcut,” the next step would be to break above resistance at $0.86, followed by a move past the $1.32 level. For now, however, we’re maintaining our primary outlook and are preparing for a new low in blue wave (ii). In this scenario, the price should hold above support at $0.31. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by MarketIntel
Microstrategy: Renewed Upside MicroStrategy has continued to face downward pressure recently but is now showing more decisive signs of an upward move. We still see greater upside potential in the current magenta wave , though we expect the peak to form below resistance at $671.32. Afterward, the bearish wave should complete turquoise wave 2—while still holding above support at $153.49. Wave 3 should then usher in a longer upward phase, with momentum likely to ease only well above the $671.32 level. At the same time, there remains a 33% probability that the stock has already entered this upward phase. In that scenario, turquoise wave alt. 2 would already be complete, and the price would move directly above $671.32 as part of wave alt. 3. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by MarketIntel
1
₿itcoin: ATHBitcoin recently marked a new all time high. Our primary expectation is for an even bigger breakout to the upside, allowing green wave B to reach its peak within the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. After this corrective high, we anticipate a sharp sell-off during green wave C, which should drive Bitcoin down into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323—where we also expect the low of the larger orange wave a. This move should, for now, signal the start of another corrective rally along orange wave b, with a retest of the freshly marked all-time high well within reach. Once this countertrend move concludes, another significant decline should follow as orange wave c develops, targeting the low of the higher-level blue wave (ii). Alternatively, there remains a 30% chance that the preceding wave alt.(i) is still in progress, which could result in a direct breakout above resistance at $130,891. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
1
Google: Upcoming TopWe locate Google in turquoise wave 2 (of a downward impulse). In more detail, we see the stock developing a complex - - - pattern and expect turquoise wave 2 to conclude imminently with wave . All the while, the price should maintain a safe distance from resistance at $209.28. Looking ahead to turquoise wave 3, we anticipate sell-offs down into our magenta Target Zone between $123.92 and $98, before wave 4 likely triggers a temporary rebound up to the $138.35 level. Ultimately, the entire turquoise downward impulse should bottom out again in the magenta zone, which would also mark the completion of waves (C) in magenta and in green. Since a new larger upward phase should begin afterward, the magenta zone presents an opportunity to establish long positions. However, if Google were to break above the $209.28 resistance next, we would have to expect a new high for magenta wave alt.(B) —which would only temporarily postpone the anticipated sell-off though (probability: 24%). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by MarketIntel
1
Airbnb: Downtrend Set to Resume SoonSince our last update, Airbnb has experienced a rebound, which diverted the stock from the anticipated sell-off. However, the price is expected to soon resume its downward trajectory and, as the next key step, break through support at $108.60. This move should complete turquoise wave 3, with all subsequent waves of this downward impulse likely to unfold below this level. Ultimately, the stock is expected to finish the broader correction of the beige wave II. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:ABNBShort
by MarketIntel
3
Coca-Cola: Nearing Final Wave III HighDespite recent sell-offs, we still expect Coca-Cola to reach a final high of magenta wave within our beige Target Zone between $76.58 and $81.51, which should also mark the completion of the broader beige wave III. However, an alternative scenario—with a 38% probability—remains in play: in this case, the top of beige alt.III would have already occurred, and a direct decline below $60.62 would likely follow. In either scenario, once the high of beige wave III is established, we anticipate a significant correction. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NYSE:KO
by MarketIntel
Ethereum: Eyeing New Highs?Ethereum has surged recently and continues rising in turquoise wave B. The next target is a break above the June high, with potential upside to resistance at $4,107. A direct breakout above this level (27% probability) would suggest green wave alt. ended in April. However, our main scenario expects a reversal below $4,107, with turquoise wave C likely dragging ETH into the Long Target Zone between $935.82 and $494.15 to complete wave . 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by MarketIntel
Apple: More Room to RunWe still allow more room for Apple’s magenta wave (B) to extend upward before wave (C) takes over, pulling the stock toward the low of green wave . Thereafter, green wave should start (above $168) and initiate the next advance, lifting the stock toward resistance at $260.10. A break below $168, however, would activate our alternative scenario, in which blue wave alt.(IV) targets a deeper low (32% probability). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by MarketIntel
NVIDIA: More Room in Wave BNvidia’s strong rally over recent weeks lifted the stock above resistance at $153.13. Despite a brief pullback on Tuesday, we still expect beige wave B to extend toward $178.39. Afterward, beige wave C should initiate a substantial correction, likely finding its low above $81.98 to complete blue wave (IV). If Nvidia rallies directly through $178.39, that would support our alternative view that blue wave alt.(IV) has already bottomed (37% probability). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MarketIntel
3
SUI: Closing in on the Target Zone?SUI should continue closing in on our blue Target Zone between $2.27 and $1.72. We expect blue wave (ii) to complete there, ideally above support at $2.02, before the next move higher kicks off in wave (iii). However, because the June 22 low came within just $0.03 of our zone, we must consider the possibility that blue wave alt.(ii) has already concluded. In that case, a direct breakout above resistance at $3.60 could follow (33% probability). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:SUIUSD
by MarketIntel
1
Tesla: Back on Track?Tesla has resumed downward momentum, aligning with our primary scenario and moving away from resistance at $373.04. As part of the ongoing turquoise wave 5, we expect continued selling pressure: it should break below the $215.01 support. This would complete magenta wave (3) of the current bearish impulse. A reversal back above $373.04 – and especially a breach of $405.54 – would force us to adopt the 38% likely alternative scenario. Under this count, the correction low of blue wave alt.(II) would be already in, and Tesla would now be rallying in wave alt.(III) . 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarketIntel
NASDAQ: Minor Pullback, Still on TrackOn Friday, the Nasdaq experienced a slight pullback, which was quickly absorbed at the start of the week. Currently, the index is still developing the turquoise wave B, which should top out just below resistance at 23,780 points, signaling the start of the bearish wave C. This move should lead to the low of the magenta wave (4) within our turquoise Target Zone between 17,074 and 15,867 points. Alternatively, there is a 42% probability that wave alt.(4) is already complete. In this scenario, the magenta wave alt.(5) could carry the index immediately above the mentioned resistance. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by MarketIntel
5
BYD: Heading for the Low!BYD remains on a downward trajectory, with the current leg expected to carve out the low of magenta wave while staying above key support at HK$111. Under our primary scenario, this level should trigger a strong upward reversal, which should set the stage for the completion of the broader green wave . Only after this upside move do we expect a deeper correction, which should eventually break through support at HK$111 and HK$67.60 to form the low of green wave . That said, we can’t rule out an earlier breakdown. There’s a 33% probability that the high of green wave alt. is already in. In this case, the price could breach support sooner, suggesting the low of wave alt. may form ahead of schedule. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
HKEX:1211
by MarketIntel
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊 The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC We trade across three market cycles: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend. MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC. LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend. Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm. Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze: HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders). MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily). LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour). Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach. While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships. Trading Scenarios: When to Act Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout). Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry. Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend. Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend. Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave. Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC): Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure. Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high. Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario. Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10). HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly. Final Vibe Check This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Education
by SkepticWise
1
S&P500: Target Zone DeactivatedThe S&P 500 extended its bullish trend yesterday, moving beyond our now-deactivated (formerly magenta) Target Zone. Existing positions remain intact, as the stop set 1% above the upper boundary has not been triggered. In our updated primary scenario, we anticipate continued upward movement within magenta wave (B), potentially reaching the resistance at 6675 points. Once this peak is established, we expect a corrective decline to begin in the form of wave (C), which should guide the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4988 and 4763 points. There, the larger green wave is expected to complete. A sustained breakout above the 6675-point level would shift the outlook in favor of the alternative scenario. In that case, green wave alt. would be considered complete—a trajectory we currently assign a probability of 40%. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
1
PayPal: Bears Losing Control – AgainPayPal (PYPL) has faced renewed downside pressure since our last update, but the bears failed to maintain control for long. The stock quickly rebounded toward key resistance at $78.86. If this level is decisively breached, we will consider the broader correction complete with the alternative low of beige wave alt.II. This would position the stock in the early stages of a new bullish impulse – wave alt.1 – with a 45% probability assigned to this scenario. However, under our primary scenario, we still envision wave II reaching its regular low below support at $50.18. Thus, renewed selling pressure is expected to push the price beneath that level in the near term. Once the low is in place, we reckon with a new impulsive advance. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:PYPL
by MarketIntel
Nasdaq: At the Upper EdgeYesterday, the Nasdaq climbed above resistance at 22,475 points. Currently, the index is positioned outside our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), which remains active. Stops for short positions 1% above the zone have not yet been triggered. Our primary scenario remains intact for now: technically, there is room for wave B to reach the next resistance at 23,229 points. Following the B-wave peak, a downtrend is expected with the corrective wave C. With a 42% probability, we anticipate that wave alt.(4) is already complete, and the index may break directly higher within the magenta-colored wave alt.(5), surpassing the 23,229-point mark. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by MarketIntel
2
Decentraland: Bottom Confirmed!Decentraland (MANA) has delivered a convincing upward reaction within our orange Target Zone ($0.28 – $0.22), confirming the low of orange wave ii. Under the primary scenario, the token is now advancing in wave iii of the same degree. This leg should propel MANA toward resistance at $0.85, with the full five-wave orange sequence expected to surpass that level before completing blue wave (i). That said, we still assign a 33% probability to the alternative scenario, which would imply one final corrective dip below support at $0.19. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:MANAUSD
by MarketIntel
₿itcoin: Grinding higherBitcoin has extended its recent rally, reclaiming the $106,000 level in the last few hours. While short-term setbacks remain possible, our primary scenario continues to point higher: prices should aim for the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Within this zone, BTC should complete green wave B before initiating a corrective decline in wave C, which should extend into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. At the low of major wave a, a temporary recovery in wave b is likely, preceding the final downward push that should mark the end of the broader wave (ii) correction. Our alternative scenario (30% probability) suggests that Bitcoin remains within blue wave alt.(i). If true, a breakout beyond the upper blue Target Zone could occur. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
Electronic Arts: Under PressureEA has shown notable upward pressure, diverging from our expected downside continuation. Despite the recent strength, our primary scenario remains valid: we still anticipate an extension of the ongoing magenta five-wave decline, with wave (3) expected to break below support at $114.60. The remaining legs of this impulsive sequence should also stay beneath that threshold, ultimately forming the low of the broader green wave . However, if bullish momentum persists and pushes the stock above resistance at $169.82, we will shift to the alternative scenario (40% probability). This path suggests green wave alt. – and by extension, beige wave alt.IV – has already concluded, and that EA is now in the early stages of wave alt.V, a significant new uptrend. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:EA
by MarketIntel