Gold: Recovery? ❤️🩹Since yesterday, gold has been moving slightly higher. We're therefore one step closer to fulfilling our primary expectations. We still expect the price of the precious metal to rise further in the course of the turquoise wave B, and the upcoming high should be well above the 4th December high. However, it could also be that the price has already placed the high. This alternative scenario comes into play if the price falls below the support level of $1935 and has a probability of 40%.
Waveanalyses
S&P500: On the hunt for an all-time high 🏹The S&P is currently pushing back towards a new all-time high in small steps. In the yellow sub-structure of the superordinate wave (i) in turquoise, we see the index continuing to rise. If the top could then be formed in this movement, we expect a wave (ii) correction. On the other hand, a different count would prevail if the price slips below the support at 4548 points, which we consider 38% likely. At present, we still lack the momentum on the upside to make this alternative irrelevant.
Natgas: Dive in! 💦With its recent high, the Natgas price should have established the high of the blue wave (iii) and is now in an intermediate correction of the blue wave (iv). We have already drawn a target zone between $3.02 and $2.90 where the price should now dip deeper and reverse. Following the low of this move, it should then go beyond $4 again before the magenta wave iv is completed. However, there is also a 25% probable alternative, which already places the price in the last leg of the white wave alt. (c). In this context, the price would fall below the support level at $2.23.
Siemens Healthineers: Not yet done ☝️Siemens Healthineers took a step south at the beginning of the year, but has since almost made up for this setback on the upside. Nevertheless, we have drawn up a new alternative scenario with a 30% probability on the chart, according to which the current rise would already be completed with the last high in the form of the magenta-colored wave alt.(X). Accordingly, the price would fall below the support level of €45.51 earlier and consequently into our turquoise-colored Target Zone between €40.32 and €36.13. As part of our primary scenario, however, we give the stock a little more room on the upside - namely until just above the resistance at €53.98 - in order to underpin the top of the regular magenta-colored wave (x). Only then should it dive into the turquoise Target Zone.
Nike: Slumped 🤕The NIKE share price fell sharply within a few hours of the presentation of the quarterly reports. We must now primarily assume that the stock has formed the top of the wave (A) in red with the last high - and has since sold off in the course of the wave of the same color (B). The bears have already been able to drag the price below the support level of $104.01. This should now generate further downward pressure, allowing the stock to extend the low of the aforementioned (B) wave below the $97.70 support level (but still above the $87.50 mark). The wave alt.(B) would extend another level lower in the context of our 34% probable alternative scenario.
Polly whana cracker? crumbs of a CAKEHO HO HO boyz!
Do you feel the holiday coming? The mystery of Christmas night, New Year and gifts? CAKE has prepared a gift for its holders and intends to wash them in their blood:
WE ARE IN a WAVE B OF CORRECTION
, which means that now they will start selling alts to you through the news.
after that, the Shiba will go up, and everything else will go into the correction of the C/ wave.
but I have a REAL GIFT for you - the shopping area. The shamans of the great ancient one were singing songs under my window and I heard a homeless man ask them - "where can I get some CAKE?"
"In the zone of wave 4 of the minor degree" - they answered
SOOO... its kinda 1.6$ per CAKE i guess.
stay calm and press zi rocket button only if u understand zi idea, if u just like it - please, dont.
T-Mobile US: Destination reached 📍✅In line with our expectations, the TMUS share has since risen further and in the process also reached our dark green Target Zone (coordinates: $161.69 - $168.80). Basically, we now expect a bearish trend reversal in that price range after the top of wave (B) in dark green. This top could already be imminent, but we have to concede that the price can rise even higher in our Zone to this end and utilise the entire price range accordingly. Once the high is in, however, it should go lower again.
Palladium: Time for the Turnaround! 🔄Palladium is heading a little further downwards: the price is now drilling deeper and deeper into our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: $1092 - $997). We expect that the low of wave B in turquoise will be deposited within this price range and that the trend reversal to the north will then succeed, which should subsequently bring us the price increases in wave C in turquoise. All technical conditions have now been met for this low; however, we allow the price to move a little lower again within our Zone. To hedge or minimize the risk of long trades, a stop 1% below the lower edge of the Zone can be placed. However, if the primarily expected bullish trend reversal succeeds, the metal should soon break above the resistance at $1257 and thus gain fresh upward momentum.
Xiaomi: Still some Room! ⬆️Xiaomi stock has retreated somewhat in recent days. Nonetheless, we are sticking to our primary assumption that the price is likely to surpass the highs from November once again as part of the magenta wave (B) in order to form the high a good deal further north. Accordingly, we expect a return to this short-term bullish path in the near future. It is important to note, however, that the 33% probable alternative would already allow the high to be in place. We would favor this scenario in the event of significant declines. A far-reaching descent is also on the agenda in our primary scenario after the current (corrective) wave (B) has ended. The price should only finalize the big wave II in grey and thus the big correction below the support at HK$8.31.
Bitcoin: Keep it up! 🐂Due to Bitcoin's impulsive rise in the past few hours, we now believe that the low of wave (iv) in turquoise has already been established. The next step should be a sustained move above the resistance at $46 008. Nevertheless, our Target Zone between $40 323 and $33 374 remains on the chart. Bitcoin will still work through this Zone if it opts for our new alternative (27%). In this scenario, it would only have completed the corrective wave alt. (B) with the most recent rise and would now complete the wave alt. (iv) in turquoise into our described Zone.
Quant: Time to move on! 🚀After its impressive rises, Quant's price has retreated a little in the last few days. We now consider green wave 3 to be over and see the price already in wave 4 of the same color. We have also added a green Target Zone between $141.74 and $128.40 for the completion of this wave, in which the price is already trading. Consequently, we expect a near-term reversal and further strong rises to complete the orange-colored wave iii.
FUTU: strong potential for 2024FUTU reached the upper zone of mid-term 52-45 support range and is trying to find a footing.
I like the gap-up with substantial volume today. Re-claiming the 50d moving average would be a constructive next step in shifting the odds of important bottom in place.
Otherwise, if 50.28 level will not hold, next support levels are: 49-45.
Suggested price structure is in-tact until price holds above 40.90 level.
Fundamentally solid with strong sales and earnings growth 4qrts in a row, high EPS growth estimates for 2023 and decent 2024, could be a perspective growth candidate to outperform the markets in 2024 (in favourable environment).
Gold: Progress 💪Gold continued to work its way up the chart and finally managed to surpass last Friday's highs in the course of yesterday's trading session. The precious metal thus made good progress in line with our primary expectation. We consider it only 35% likely that the turquoise wave alt.B has already been completed and that gold is about to sell off directly below the support at $1935.
Airbus: Turbulence! 🌪️ 🛫Airbus shares continue to struggle at the resistance level of €139.40. In our primary assumption, the price should soon leave this level behind and complete the magenta-colored (1) with the top of the turquoise wave 5, before it goes down again significantly in the same color wave (2). If this downward journey is prolonged to the immediate vicinity of the support at €48.08, a new low of the gray old.II can be expected, shifted to the right. Primarily, however, we believe that the stock is already on the upswing of gray III, whose five-part magenta substructure should break out to its impulsive (3) after the low of (2) and set new all-time highs in the process.
Altria: Swoop 🦅With an impulsive jump to the downside, Altria fell back to the support level of $40.35 just yesterday. Our primary scenario now envisages a fall below this level and a run-up to the turquoise Target Zone between $38.52 and $37.39, where we expect the magenta wave (b) to be completed. As we subsequently expect corrective but significant rises in the course of wave (c) in magenta or the superordinate wave B in turquoise, the Target Zone is suitable for positioning on the long side.
Cardano: Dive in deeper! 🤿
Cardano fell back to our magenta Target Zone between $0.5510 and $0.4430 over the last seven days. However, it did not dip very profoundly and quickly moved back up. According to our primary assessment, the low of the magenta-colored wave (iv) has not yet been placed, but there should be another deeper dip. That being said, it should be noted that the minimum requirement for the low has been met and that we see the price in the final stage of the magenta-colored five-part wave as part of the 30% probable alternative. This option would come into effect on a break of resistance at $0.64.
Fiserv: Ready for the descent 🛝Fiserv has retreated a little since last Thursday. We now consider the high of the turquoise-colored wave B to be in place and expect a sell-off to below $120 in order to complete the magenta-colored wave (E). A drop below the $130.74 mark should provide important downward momentum along the way. However, the 30% probable alternative still needs to be considered. This option would shift the high of the turquoise-colored wave alt.B slightly higher.
T-Mobile: Already reached the summit? ⛰️The share price of T-Mobile has come very close to our dark green Target Zone (coordinates: $161.69 - $168.80) in the past weeks, but has turned around underneath it. In the context of an alternative count, it is now 35% likely that we have already seen the top with the wave alt.(B) in dark green, which would mean that we are now already seeing a sell-off to below the support at $142.84. Primarily, however, we assume that the course of the regular wave (B) in dark green will prevail and thus lead to the scheduled top in our Target Zone, which, by the way, potentially offers itself as a short opportunity.
Bitcoin: One Step Away 👣Bitcoin sold off somewhat in the past few hours and thus continued approaching the turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: $40 323 - $35 374). Within this Zone, we now primarily expect the low of wave (iv) in turquoise to be developed and the trend to turn north again. Following this interim correction, the cryptocurrency should then move safely above the resistance at $44 747, where wave (v), also colored in turquoise, should ensure the completion of wave 3 in green one level above. The turquoise-colored Zone can be used for (renewed) positioning on the long side; those wishing to hedge could set a stop 1% below the lower edge of the Target Zone.
Adobe: Downhill! ⛷️The ADBE price has been dropping since yesterday. Our primary expectation is that this is merely the beginning of a larger descent, as we now consider the white wave (b) to be completed and locate the price in the same-colored wave (c). This wave should now fall below the resistance at $506.92 and only come to an end around $380. However, there is an alternative to consider, to which we assign a probability of 30%. This option would shift the high of the white wave alt.(b) slightly higher.
Gold: Bearish Dominance 🐻The bears are currently not giving up control of the gold price and have caused strong sell-offs. Nevertheless, we primarily see this as part of the substructure of the turquoise wave B and expect the rally to continue soon. However, for this scenario to remain in tact, the reversal must take place above the support at $1935. Should this level be broken, the alternative with a probability of 40% would come into play, which sees the price already in a descent.