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Waveanalyses

Hang Seng Index: Home Stretch 🏁The HSI has risen slightly since Friday, which we interpret as part of the internal substructure of the turquoise wave 4. We therefore expect further sell-offs. However, it is not far to our turquoise Target Zone between 18,341 and 17,899 points. Within this range, the index should place the low and turn upwards. Subsequently, a determined rise above the resistance at 19,772 points is on the agenda, which completes the magenta-colored wave (1). Accordingly, long positions could be opened within the Zone, with stops placed around 1% below the lower edge. Should the price fall significantly below the lower edge, this will set in motion our 38% probable alternative scenario, which implies further setbacks with the magenta wave alt.(ii).
HKEX:HSI1!
by MarketIntel
Ethereum (ETH): Strategic Entries and Potential DropsFor Ethereum, we're observing a chart pattern that has developed a weak divergence, and we believe it is now correcting wo the end of Wave 4 of Wave (3). We plan to place multiple entries; our first entry was at the upper range of the Wave 4 target area around $3200. However, the price has continued to decline. We are now looking to DCA and make a second entry at $2600, with a final entry in our worst-case scenario at $2277. We suspect there might be further downside potential, but the extent is uncertain, and we intend to buy additional spots. Those already in from the first entry can choose to hold or buy more—this is on yourself. Given the expected market weakness, there could be opportunities to establish substantial long-term spot positions. Upon examining the annual VWAP, we're observing a scenario where the 2021 VAH is acting as a current resistance level. We briefly surpassed this level but quickly fell below it again. We believe there could be good entry opportunities in the area between the 2021 VWAP and the 2022 VAH, which closely align around $2,500 to $2,450. Below this, the next significant level could be the 2023 VAH around $2,000, indicating a substantial gap in the middle. This will be elaborated further in subsequent sections of our analysis. However, this setup on the larger chart presents a probable scenario, yet we're also considering managing our positions above this range as shown above. The 61,8% Fibonacci retracement is still the second entry target for us. 12H On the quarterly VWAP, we observe that the VWAP from Q4 2021 acted as resistance at exactly $4,100. Since then, we've experienced a downward trend and identified several levels acting as resistance or support. Currently, we're situated right at the 2022 Q1VWAP and the 2021 Q3VWAP, which could provide enough support to push us above the $3,000 mark. Ideally, surpassing the $3,200 mark would be beneficial, but we perceive this as challenging since the current quarter's VWAP is likely to act as resistance around $3,200. We think it's possible we might revisit the levels of the 2021 Q2VWAP to the 2024 Q1VAL, ranging between $2,670 and $2,426. While we don't anticipate falling much below these levels, it's not outside the realm of possibility. These remain our critical levels for now. 4H Considering the monthly VWAP, there's a scenario where we might see an upward push toward the Previous Monthly VAL, given that the February VWAP has acted as support three times already. This aligns with the desire to see Ethereum exceed $3,200, which would surpass both the February VWAP high and the Previous Monthly VWAP. Achieving and maintaining a position above this level is crucial for a sustained upward move. If we fail to reclaim and hold this level, it's plausible that Ethereum could revisit lower levels, potentially down to the February VAL around $2,500. Holding above the February VWAP is vital; otherwise, we might see a retracement to these lower support levels.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Gold: Do not slacken! 🥱Gold could not yet gain significantly more upward momentum. Therefore, we still consider it 40% likely that the precious metal will drop directly below the support at $2285, thus confirming an already established high of the turquoise wave alt.B. In this case, our turquoise Target Zone would not be reached anymore. Primarily, however, we stick to our expectation that Gold will rise into our turquoise Zone between $2510 and $2631 to place the top of the regular wave B there.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by MarketIntel
Bitcoin: So close 🤏Bitcoin established a new local high yesterday morning at $71,281 before retreating slightly lower. Despite the recent price increases, we must primarily continue to assume that the price will once again sell off into our green Target Zone ($58,655 - $47,012). Once the low of wave 4, which is also in green, is placed there, we see the price sustainably surpassing the resistance at $73,462 and thus reaching new all-time highs. However, our alternative, which calls for a direct move above this mark carries a probability of 48%. In this case, the low of the interim correction will already have been set with the last dip into our Zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
S&P500: Breather 😮‍💨The momentum in the S&P500 chart slowed down yesterday. With a view to the upper price target, however, there should still be room for further expansion in the current phase of the turquoise wave 5. Once the high has been placed, a larger corrective movement is on the cards. Please note our alternative scenario (38% probable). This option suggests the possibility of an already intact wave-2 sell-off. This scenario will be activated if the price falls below the support level of 4964 points.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MarketIntel
Starbucks: Deeper! 🐳 Starbucks recently moved lower into our Target Zone (between $86.38 and $68.39), where we anticipate the low for wave (B) in dark green. In the short term, the only thing missing here should be the completion of the subordinate wave (c) in magenta. So, we still grant the stock the space to head closer to the 100.00% Fibonacci. However, it is also 35% likely that our Zone will be undercut. In this case, we would anticipate the low of the alternative wave alt. (B) a little lower in the chart. In any case, as soon as the $89.73 mark is crossed, that will be an important confirmation for a successful bottom formation.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by MarketIntel
SIUE, Oy Vey!It looks like the end of lil' Siu's rampant growth is coming. This little beauty studied well and pleased the teachers with her growth, but everything comes to an end and the holidays begin - And we will witness the manifestation of her dark side - It will be a hike down the social ladder for her - swashbuckling parties of wave A, a little respite in wave B and the last fall in wave C (I'm even a little jealous). A similar thing happened to Thomas Henry (Oscar Wilde) Look at the chart, friends - I marked the ALT account in YELLOW, but GREEN movement is a priority. Since wave 3 has been extended by as wave 5, the end of the correction may come in wave 2 of (3) Green box - ist a SUGGESTION, I will update if I like :) Buuuugh ANYWAY tap da rocket if u understand thy idea or just what I wrote
Short
by zikkuratt
1
Waste Management: Home stretch 🏁The Waste Management stock has established the low of the magenta wave (iv). The price should now be on the last leg of the overarching wave III in beige. After the high of this move, we expect a sharp corrective move to well below support at $189.97. Please also note our alternative scenario (37% likely), which will be activated on a direct fall below support at $189.97. In this case we will consider the high of the beige wave alt.III as established.
NYSE:WMLong
by MarketIntel
1
Nasdaq: Support? Check! ✅The support at 17,372 points seems to be holding: Yesterday, the Nasdaq touched down on the red line once again, but immediately used it as a springboard for a further upward swing. This is good news for our primary scenario, as there is still a long way to go until the top of the magenta wave (i) is reached. If the Nasdaq continues to defend the 17,372-points mark so bravely, it will keep its distance from our (45% likely) alternative scenario of a new wave-alt.(ii) low in the blue Target Zone (coordinates: 16,424 – 15,118 points).
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by MarketIntel
FET: Bounced Off 🪃FET attempted to break out of our green Target Zone ($1.91 – $2.51), but bounced back from the upper edge of the range. Primarily, however, we continue to assume that the last sub-wave of the orange-colored wave iii should lead to a significant rise out of the Zone. Only a drop below the support level at $1.63 will alter our outlook. A break of this mark will trigger our alternative scenario (33%), which implies further setbacks with the green wave alt.2.
BINANCE:FETUSDLong
by MarketIntel
1