Avalanche: In the Mood for More!February has been very positive for the AVAX price so far. In the next step, the altcoin should establish the high of the magenta wave near the resistance at $56.43. Thus, the latest bearish pressure should be conquered soon in favor of new upward momentum. As part of our primary scenario, the upcoming wave high should initially be followed by a sell-off until the low of the turquoise wave 2 is settled. However, there is a fairly high 40% chance for a clear breakout above the mentioned resistance. In this case, the turquoise wave alt.2 would have already been finished.
Waveanalyses
Gold: Don’t Slacken! 💪To follow our primary scenario, Gold must not slacken on its way further up the chart! We still expect the turquoise wave B to reach a new all-time high, which requires more (corrective) rises. However, our alternative scenario could still prevail with a probability of 40%. In this case, the turquoise wave alt.B would have already been finished with the last prominent high, and Gold would, therefore, turn down earlier to dive below the support at $1935.
Nasdaq: Exhausted 🥱The upward momentum of the Nasdaq appears to be weakening. In the light of our primary scenario, this is to be welcomed, as the last all-time high should ideally be surpassed only marginally the price enters the well-deserved correction of its magenta-colored wave (ii). If the Nasdaq shoots significantly further north, the magenta-colored wave (iii) could already be developed; we assign a probability of 38% to this short-term bullish alternative.
Snowflake: Checked in ✅The SNOW share has experienced a surge over the past two weeks. In line with our primary scenario, the magenta-colored Target Zone (coordinates: $222.85 - $257.63) was reached. In this range, the wave of the same color (x) should now soon establish its high, whereupon a change of direction should take place. The Zone can be used accordingly to enter short positions. Please also note the 33% probable alternative scenario. Although we primarily expect a correction in the turquoise-colored wave 2, we take into account at this point that this movement could already be completed. The trigger would be a significant breach of the 50% retracement at $257.63.
Altria: Down the hatch! 🍺The price of Altria is still struggling to break below the $40.35 support level. We expect the price to dip below this support and reach the magenta Target Zone between $38.52 and $37.39. Only here do we expect the end of wave-(b) and thus the transition into the last sub-wave of the turquoise wave B
ABNB: price structure The macro structure is bullish from Dec'22 low with important price zones at: 198-217, 227-260 and 282-322 as inter-mediate and ultimate resistance areas for suggested impulsive structure.
The gap-up set-up on earnings today is in the cards for price to move towards 198-217 area. But if price decides to consolidate more138-128 area should be an important support zone.
If price goes bellow 128 suggested price structure needs to be revised.
Thank you for your attention!
Oracle: Bounced off 🎾The Oracle share price has bounced off its resistance at $117.58. However, we expect it to overcome this level with the green wave (3), providing further bullish momentum.The orange-colored five-wave move should then provide for further significant increases, at the end of which the top of the beige wave I should be formed.
Ethereum: Higher! 🚀Ethereum recorded further gains over the weekend, thus further advancing the current wave 3 in green. We primarily assume this wave has still further room on the upside. Nevertheless, we also consider it 37% likely that the price is still working on the substructure of the wave alt.2 in green and, driven by this, should run into our green Target Zone (coordinates: $1978 – $1657).
Meta: Reached the Destination 📍✅Meta has reached our (now greyed our) Zone and started a pullback. We primarily expect the magenta-colored wave (iii) have already reached its high. Accordingly, we currently see the stock in a correction of the same-colored wave (iv), which should ideally push the price back towards the round $400 mark. According to our alternative scenario (38%), it would possible that the stock immentily rises. However, this scenario would merely shift the top of the wave alt. (iii) in magenta, which is why we expect another countermovement to the south afterwards before we can move on to the final stage of the green wave (1). As soon as the high of wave (1) in green could is set, we are preparing for a more extensive wave (2) correction.
Anta Sports: Final Descent 🛬Anta Sports recently continued to rise after an impulsive downward spike narrowly missed the magenta Target Zone between HK$58.95 and HK$33.60. Thus, it is quite possible that this downward spike has already completed the low of the green wave (2) and that the stock is now marching higher. However, we are not convinced that this is the case, so we believe that the stock will soon pull back, drop below the support level of HK$67.85, and then run into our magenta Target Zone. Once this has been explored, we expect the wave (1) in magenta to lead to strong rallies above the resistance at HK$125.30.
S&P500: Time to turn back 🔄For the S&P 500, we are primarily assuming that the sideways phase will initially resolve itself to the downside. In the further sequence, the correction should continue into the magenta Target Zone (coordinates: 4540 - 4300 points). Within this zone we then locate the low of the turquoise wave (ii), which should mark a change of direction. In the context of our alternative scenario, on the other hand, we still consider it 25% likely that the wave Alt.(i) in turquoise will make another new high above the aforementioned 4997-point mark. Either way, however, we expect a setback afterwards, which should offer the opportunity to enter long positions.
Dow: Heading South 👇We continue to locate the Dow stock in the bearish wave (Z) in magenta and expect the price to fall back to our dark green Target Zone on the south side (coordinates: $46.66 - $42.79). Traders could place a stop for long positions 1% below the lower edge of the Target Zone, or in this case 1% below the support level at $42.79. However, it should be noted that our alternative scenario has a 40% probability and would see break above the resistance level at $57.74. Wave alt. (B) in dark green would have already been completed in this scenario.
FTT update 04feb24SOOO... it iz a great manipulation through da newz, its so unhonest imo, bot it workz.
price goez down (and I lost some also, damn) and we are now in buyin' area.
Consider the structure, I can count two optionz:
FIRST iz a red numbaz, AKAI in japanese :) diagonal+WXY+diagonal\impulse. Its not looks like an Impulse, so I suggest Endin' Diagonal.
SECOND iz yellow and backup variant, zigzag with Triangle (in that way I need to recount Wave (A), but its possible to make an multiple ZIGZAG there.
thrid also iz here, az always - its a scam and we all die) but I hardly doubt it.
OH YEAH BTW - coz Wave (3) was extended, correction till Wave 4.of.(1) iz possible (green line)
AND yeaa -we need some divergence on high timeframe (4h+) to be sure that option 3 will not work :)
Adobe: Knock Knock ✊Since the low on January 5, the ADBE stock have rallied and is currently attempting to break through resistance at $635.05. We expect the price to clearly surpass this level as part of the magenta-colored five-part wave, which will provide further upward momentum At the end of the movement is the high of the higher wave (C) in green. However, please also note our 33% probable alternative, which is the low of the magenta-colored wave alt. (2) would initially shift slightly lower.
Cloudflare: Downhill 🏂In the chart of Cloudflare, the last high should have set the top of the orange-colored wave b, which we count as a sub-wave of the larger (ii) in blue. Accordingly, we expect another setback to below the support at $75.50, where the reversal should finally be initiated in the blue Target Zone (coordinates: $67.96 - $57.11). Prices within this range can be used to enter long positions. Only a significant breach of the resistance at $86.91 would convince us that the price will rise imminently with wave alt. (i) in blue. This option is 33% likely.
Tencent: Turn around! 🔄Tencent remains in our magenta-colored (long) Target Zone, which extends from HK$302.60 on the upper edge to HK$237.40 on the lower edge. It is still our primary assumption that the stock will establish another marginally lower low within this price range. Once the wave (2) in magenta has been completed, we expect the price to rise above the resistance at HK$416.60. At this point, however, it should be noted once again that the (minimum) requirements for the wave (2) correction, which the stock has been dealing with for almost a year now, were met with the approach of the Zone - as a result, a direct breakout to the upside would be quite conceivable from a technical point of view. Until then, the Target Zone continues to offer the opportunity to position oneself on the long side.
Hedera: Almost done 😮💨Hedera continued to fall in the last week before a bullish counter-reaction occurred. According to our primary expectation, the price still has some room to the downside, but it should not be far to the low of the green wave 2. Once the low is established, a turnaround and a rise above the resistance at $0.10 is on the cards. Only the 33% probable alternative would entail further imminent declines. It would push the low of the magenta-coloured wave alt. (2) below the support at $0.03.
Meituan: Turning Point ⤴️Meituan's price is still trading at the lower end of the magenta Target Zone between HK$96.90 and HK$64. Our primary assumption remains that the stock is already working on the wave 1 rises in turquoise - and that it should soon leave the resistance at HK$103.50 well behind it. However, we must continue to weight the option with a 35% probability that the stock will still undercut our Target Zone in order to complete the correction only below the low of wave alt. (2) in green.
Aurora: One last dip 💦The Aurora share is close to the orange Target Zone (coordinates: C$0.52 - C$0.49) in order to underpin the low of the same-colored wave b. We then expect the orange wave c to complete the blue (iv) much higher in the chart before the blue wave (v) can finally complete the overarching corrective movement of the beige wave II.
CCJ reached important macro-resistance zonePrice has reached an important macro resistance zone: 39.40-45.91-48, that coincides with 0.618% extension of wave I (2000 low - 2007 top time span) from wave II bottom (2020 lows).
Monthly view
This 0.618% extension aligns with standard 2.00% resistance of the fifth wave - wave (5) - of first impulsive structure (wave (1)-(5)) that started in March 2020.
If price stays bellow the top boarder of the resistance zone (48), the structure is prone to the start of the possible multi-year correction to support zone: 20-12.
I price will be able to move confidently above 48 and close above it on volume support for several session, than the proposed price structure needs to be revised. Next resistance zone in that case is close to 76-80 area.
Breaking bellow 21ema with volume increase could be confirmation sign for the larger correction starting. This levels could be used by any shorts with 21 ema or prior (Feb 2021) left side pick at 44.81 as a covering guide (with resonable 2-3% latitude).
Thank you for your attention!
HSI: Already finished? 👀The HSI has risen sharply since Monday. Nevertheless, we continue to believe that the index is still working on a magenta-colored downward structure and is therefore not yet finished with its correction. Only after this five-part wave, and thus the turquoise-colored wave 3, has come to an end should things pick up a good bit - even if there is still further downside on a Long-term level. However, there is also a 33% probable alternative, which envisages a sustained rise and considers the past low to be the low of the green wave alt.(2). This scenario comes into effect if the resistance at 18 846 points is exceeded.
Altria: Next Try 🔜As envisaged by our primary scenario, Altria shares made another attempt last week to finally break through the support level of $40.35 to the downside. It has been moving sideways along this level since Thursday. We expect a downward resolution of this sideways movement soon, as we expect the low of the expanding wave (b) in magenta to be in the same color Target Zone between $38.52 and $37.39. Long positions can still be taken within the Zone; those wishing to hedge here in the sense of sensible risk management could do so, for example, with a stop loss 1% below the lower edge of the Target Zone.
Green Thumb: Over the hurdle 🚧The price of Green Thumb continued to work on establishing itself above the resistance at C$16.15 last week. Although it briefly fell back to the mark, it quickly reacted and turned upwards again. We expect the magenta-colored wave (iii), which the share is currently working on, to extend a good deal further upwards. This should be followed by a countermovement, which, however, is likely to be replaced by renewed gains at a considerable distance from the mark, which should lead to the high of turquoise wave 1.