Xiaomi: Take a breath 😮💨Xiaomi stock struggled to continue its uptrend last week and is currently trading slightly lower. However, we see this as a normal counter-reaction to the strong price gains and part of the substructure of the magenta wave (y), whose top and thus the end of the same-colored wave (B) should be in sight further north. Therefore, we expect that the bulls will soon regain the upper hand and push the price a bit higher. The high should initiate a change in direction and start a significant downward movement.
Waveanalyses
DHL: The low has been delivered 📦Due to the current upward movement of the DHL share, we now consider the low of the green wave (1) to have been reached. Consequently, the share price is currently already in the green wave , which is likely to continue for some time. We expect this wave to end below the resistance level of €47.05 and thus the start of a new downward trend.
GDXJ: Revived 🌅In the current blue wave (c) of the GDXJ, the bulls pulled out their defibrillators and breathed some life back into the market. With a 5.5% gain, the wave extension continued, which should carry on above the next resistance at $43.89 and then enter the magenta Target Zone ($57.36 - $65.95). In this price range, both the top of the blue wave (c) and that of the overarching magenta wave (b) should be manifested. However, our alternative with a probability of 45% also remains valid. In this case, an imminent reversal would take place with the high of the orange wave alt.b.
Bayer: Down the hatch! 🍺After Bayer's stock recently tried to break through the support level of €39.91, it has now made another attempt. Whether the stock succeeds in sustainably breaking below this support level - as envisaged in our primary scenario - or whether it needs further impetus in the form of a corrective upward move is irrelevant for the further course of our expectations. We therefore fully expect a sell-off below this level, as we expect the low of the major wave (II) correction underway since 2015 to be around the 78.60 retracement at €30.84. Only once this low is in place do we see Bayer shares making sustainable gains again.
UnitedHealth: Last hurdle 🚧Although UnitedHealth shares were able to establish the low of the turquoise wave 4 and rise steadily, they have not yet made it above the resistance level of $546.78. However, we expect this to happen next, leading to the high of the larger wave (A) in dark green. Short-term, we therefore expect further bullish potential, but after the top of this (A) wave, the trend should be clearly downwards again. In addition, there is a 35% probability for our alternative scenario, in which the alternative top of the old wave (A) would have already been deposited.
Shopify: Boom 💥"Boom!" There is no better way to describe the bullish dynamics of SHOP stock. The stock has now confirmed the low of the turquoise wave X with a 33% attack to the upside. The upward wave to the north must now continue to the upside to overcome resistance at $67.60. The high of the turquoise wave Y and thus of the superior wave (B) in green is not expected until around $90.
Uranium: Final Breath 💨As part of the green wave (B), physical uranium recently experienced a small setback, but the short-term upward structure remains intact. We need to give the upcoming corrective rallies more room to the upside, which should be followed by a strong sell-off in the course of the green wave (C).
Nvidia: Checked out🏨✅NVDA stock did not miss the opportunity to head for our last relevant target zone in line with our primary assumption. As soon as the minimum requirement was reached, the stock immediately launched a 17% surge, confirming the anchoring of the low of the green wave within this zone. Those who used this zone to enter the long side can now tighten the stop to the entry level. From here, the price should rise significantly and soon break through the resistance at USD 521.39.
China Life Insurance: Bounced back🎾After placing the low of the blue wave (ii) at the lower border of the orange target zone between $10.10 and $11.32, China Life Insurance's share price initially rose to the upper border of the target zone last week, gaining over 12%. However, the price has not yet been able to sustainably break out of the zone, causing it to bounce and fall again. As a result, entry opportunities remain within the zone on the long side, with stops placed around 1% below the lower border. We expect the price to rise well above the zone and cross the resistance at HK$15.84. Only an imminent break below the support level at HK$8.53 would diminish this outlook. This would activate the 33% probable alternative, which involves a lower low of the green wave alt.(2).
Hang Seng Index: Motivated! 💪The bulls were able to push the Hang Seng Index significantly higher on Friday, moving it further away from the yellow trading range between 17,424 and 15,571. However, we still expect the price to return to this area as part of the magenta wave (2) to make a lower low before the reversal occurs. That said, given the price action so far, we have to increase the probability of our alternative to 41%. In this case, the low of the magenta wave alt.(2) would already be in place and this scenario would come into play on a rise above the resistance at 18,898. However, it should be noted that our long-term expectation has already been fulfilled with the completion of the trading range. In both cases, there is considerable upside potential in the medium to long term. The price should clearly overcome the resistance at 20,899.
S&P 500: Bulls at the Helm 📈🐂The S&P 500 has risen significantly since yesterday and has broken through resistance at 4294. We must now assume that the low of wave in magenta was already established a few days ago, on October 27th. Going forward, we can expect a continuation of the rally that has now begun, which should also continue above the resistance at 4634 in the course of the magenta wave .
Bitcoin: The Calm before the Storm? 🌪After the impulsive spike to the upside about a week ago, the bitcoin bulls have understandably calmed down a bit. Accordingly, the price has moved mostly sideways over the past few days. Our primary assumption is that this consolidation phase will soon be resolved to the upside, as we still grant the current wave (iii) in turquoise some room to go higher.
AirBNB: Arriving 🛬 🌴Due to the recent sell-off, the price of AirBNB has now reached our magenta target zone between $116.53 and $96.73. This means that the minimum requirements of the magenta wave (2) have been met, implying that the price could theoretically complete its reversal. However, we still expect a drop to the 61.80% retracement first, in order to make the low there. Wave (3) should then take the price clearly higher.
Cocoa: The next step 🪜After a minor consolidation phase in which the price of cocoa stagnated just below the pink trend line, the next step of the magenta wave (5) was completed: a clear breakout above this line. We now expect a larger upward expansion until the magenta five-wave move and thus the superior white wave (B) is completed. After this top, the price should go down again - first with the magenta wave back towards the trendline.
Apple: Trend-setting battle 🔥📈📉The bears have once again pushed Apple down to the lower border of the green target zone between $170.89 and $185. We continue to believe that the stock is in an overriding uptrend, but for that to be the case, it now needs to climb higher. In this scenario, the white wave (III) is expected to end well above the resistance at $198.23. However, it is important to note that our alternative now has a relatively high probability of 41%. If the price were to fall below $167.62, the first task would be the grey wave (IV).
Geely: Bears are back 🍯🐻The bears have now pushed Geely stock back below its March low. This confirms our primary scenario that the stock is in the final phase of the overarching gray wave II from the high of the magenta wave (B). This move should now be advanced to the green target zone between HK$7.80 and HK$4.12. With the low placed, the price should then move significantly higher.
Bitcoin in sensitive location!!!!Any break under 24800 with 12 days correction will lead BTC to 18000 and maybe to new lows! while any break over 26450 with 2-3 days correction will lead BTC to break 32000 and to 48000. I will keep you updated regarding any change in analysis shape of the wave !
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Copper: Jump off! 👟The copper price has reached the lower edge of the pink trend channel within the turquoise target zone between $3.59 and $3.51 and has already shown a reaction to this line. Now, a far-reaching rise should occur, beyond the resistance at $4.19. There, the magenta wave (B) should then be finished and it should transition into sustained descents to the green target zone between $3.08 and $2.59.
NatGas: Dived in 🤿 🌊The price of NatGas has now reached the turquoise target zone between $2.98 and $2.77. Here we expect a turning point with the low of the turquoise wave (ii), ideally at the 78.60% retracement of the zone. From there, the price should move higher in large steps until it completes the orange wave (iii) at $4.60.
Curaleaf: Setback for a Comeback 🌪️The price of Curaleaf has set back significantly since its impressive rise in September. Soon, however, it should continue, as the price has now reached the green target zone between CAD 5.50 and CAD 4.33, where we locate the low of the green wave 2. Following the low, there should then be significant gains again with the further green five-wave move, reaching CAD 12.
Sugar: Knock Knock🚪The sugar price has now reached the upper border of the pink trend channel. It should now break through this line, as it should continue to rise significantly with the yellow wave b. We expect the high to be in the green target zone between USX 28.72 and USX 30.84, which will then allow for new declines.
3M: Not far now! 🦅The 3M stock was able to undershoot the support at $92.38 in the past weeks. Now it is not far to the green target zone between $83.82 and $74.28, where we expect the low of the white wave (II). To capitalize on the expected change in direction, long positions can be opened within the zone. Stops should be placed about 1% below the zone, as a 36% likely alternative would still see a lower white wave alt.(II) low.
Booking Holdings: Southern Vacation? 🌴The price of Booking Holding has been heading south in recent days. It has now come very close to support at $2934. As long as this level is not breached, we believe that the price should continue to rise above the resistance at $3251 with the turquoise wave 5. However, if the support is breached, which we see as 33% probable, the price would still make a lower low of the grey wave alt.(II).