Render: Running on Empty?Render has climbed nearly 50% since the low in the second week of March but lost notable ground recently. The price remains within our magenta Target Zone between $5.43 and $1.81 and could still dip toward the lower boundary as it works toward completing the turquoise wave 2. Once a sustainable bullish reversal takes hold, we expect a strong rally in the turquoise impulse wave 3, which should target new all-time highs. The resistance at $11.88, which marks the top of the magenta wave from early December, should be surpassed decisively as momentum builds.
Waveanalyses
Cardano: New Low or Off We Go?In line with our primary scenario, Cardano’s ADA should develop a new low as part of the blue wave (ii). However, this corrective move should conclude with sufficient distance from the $0.31 support so that the blue wave (iii) can take over afterward and drive the price decisively above the $1.32 resistance. That said, our 40% likely alternative scenario suggests that the low of wave alt.(ii) in blue may have already been settled back in February. Confirmation of this alternative trajectory would arise with a clear breakout above $1.32.
Palantir: Successful!PLTR effectively initiated a directional change within our now-gray Target Zone, and potential long trades opened within this range should already be significantly in the black. We locate the price in the corrective movement of the green wave , which should develop through the magenta waves (A) to (E) within a pink triangle formation. Ideally, the stock should remain above the low of wave (A), which has just been settled in our Target Zone. Only after the corrective movement has concluded do we expect the transition into the green wave , which should lead the stock to new highs. A premature breakout above the $125.40 mark is possible in our alternative scenario, but it is only rated with a 33% probability.
eBay: (Corrective) Upside AheadAfter a month marked by elevated volatility, EBAY has recently stabilized. We anticipate a continued rise above the $71.51 resistance, where the beige wave b should ultimately form its high. Afterward, the matching beige wave c should take over, triggering declines toward the support at $49.63. However, if the stock fails once again at the $71.51 resistance and then drops directly below the upper support at $61.55, the magenta wave alt.(4) will carve out a new low near the $49.63 level. Thus, this 40% likely alternative scenario would delay the completion of beige wave b.
Meta: Further DownwardWe locate the META in a broader wave IV correction, which should unfold in a three-part - - structure. The current wave should push the price below the key support at $547.57. Once that level is broken, we anticipate a corrective rebound during wave , which should temporarily lift the price back above $547.57. The wave top should be followed by wave , which is expected to complete the overall correction with a final low inside the beige Target Zone between $491.53 and $414.50. This bottom should mark the end of wave IV. However, if the stock instead breaks out to the upside and overcomes the resistance at $740.91, we will have to expect a new high in wave alt.III before wave IV resumes its downward course (30% probability).
American Express: Room to Fall FurtherWhile it’s possible that we’ve already seen the low of the beige wave a, we’re not fully convinced. For now, we prepare for another potential decline toward the support at $222.03. That said, the stock should reverse well above this level and begin to rise again as part of the beige wave b, which should provide strong upward pressure. Once this corrective rebound is complete – well below the resistance at $345.03 – the final leg of the wave (IV) correction should bring the stock down into our blue Target Zone, which spans from $205.35 to $167.99. This price range is well-suited for long entries. However, reaching this Target Zone is not guaranteed. We still have to account for the possibility that the upcoming (or perhaps already settled) low may mark the end of the blue wave alt.(IV). But this 31% likely alternative scenario would only be confirmed by a breakout above the resistance at $345.03.
Johnson&Johnson: Rejected AgainJohnson&Johnson has now been rejected at the $168.75 resistance level for the second time, pulling back more noticeably in response. However, in our primary scenario, we still expect an imminent breakout above this level, which should allow the turquoise wave X to establish its high well above it. Afterward, the turquoise wave Y should drive the stock sharply lower again, as we anticipate the low of the larger green wave in the corresponding long Target Zone between $138.78 and $125.75. That said, reaching this Zone is not a certainty. There remains a 35% chance that the low of the green wave alt. is already settled. Under this alternative scenario, the stock would break through $168.75 without resistance and continue its impulsive move higher.
Visa: Bottom Already Established?Visa might have already reached the low of the magenta wave ; however, for now, we allow slightly more room for the downside. Nonetheless, once this interim correction has concluded, the price should proceed higher during the magenta wave and surpass the resistance at $366.34. We currently consider it 34% likely that the stock will break above this level to form a fresh high with the magenta wave alt. . But primarily, we view the regular wave as already complete.
Hedera Hashgraph: Balancing ActHedera Hashgraph’s HBAR continues to hover just above the $0.17 support level, moving within an increasingly narrow sideways range. If the price breaks sustainably below this red line (38% probable), the green corrective wave alt. will establish a new low. Our primary assumption, however, remains that the green wave was already completed with the late February low, at the upper boundary of our now grayed-out Target Zone. If this assumption holds and buying pressure returns soon, HBAR should rally above the $0.39 resistance during the green impulse wave .
Zscaler: BalancedZS has seen buyers and sellers largely balancing each other recently, preventing any significant moves in either direction. As a result, we continue to place the stock in a corrective rally as part of the magenta wave , with its high anticipated above the $259.61 resistance. However, if the price falls below the $153.70 support, the ongoing corrective structure will extend further, with the turquoise wave alt.X establishing a new low. This alternative scenario carries a 35% probability.
Solana: Precision Landing?!Solana extended its sell-off and reached our blue long Target Zone between $117.73 and $40.43. The price then reacted right at the $109.89 support level, indicating that the low of the green wave 2 has been settled. Thus, the next step should involve a strong rally driven by the green wave 3, ultimately pushing SOL well beyond the $295.31 resistance and past its current all-time high. However, our Target Zone remains active, as there is a 40% chance that the price could revisit this range to complete the blue alternative wave (ii) below the $109.89 mark.
Coca-Cola: As PlannedAs primarily anticipated, Coca-Cola has recently established the peak of wave in magenta just below the resistance at $73.53. The stock then dropped by approximately 5%. We now expect the low of wave in magenta to occur soon, and afterward, wave should bring significant gains, thus completing the large wave III in beige. Our Target Zone for this wave III top lies between $75.42 and $78.88. It provides opportunities to either close existing long positions or to open new short trades.
VeChain: Struggling…VeChain is struggling to stay above the key support at $0.018, but the anticipated low of the orange corrective wave ii should form above this red line – or may have already done so. Once the bottom is indeed settled, we expect the orange wave iii to break out impulsively, pushing well beyond the $0.08 resistance, where the entire orange five-wave move should ultimately complete the blue wave (iii). However, if VET falls below $0.018, the broader green wave alt. will reach a new bear market low (probability: 38%). Primarily, we consider wave as already finished.
Avalanche: Pending LowWith the recent sharp pullback, AVAX has entered the lower third of our magenta long Target Zone between $24.42 and $13.30. The low of the turquoise wave 2 is approaching and should form well above the $8.64 support. From the bottom of wave 2, we expect a rally in the turquoise impulse wave 3, which should aim for the current all-time highs of the last bull run.
Netflix: New All-time High!As expected, Netflix reached a new all-time high at $1,067, completing the magenta wave . Since then, the stock has already pulled back by nearly 20%. The ongoing magenta wave should extend further into our new magenta Target Zone, which spans $789.04 to $704.43. Since we anticipate a sustainable rebound from this range, it presents an opportunity to initiate or expand long positions. Such long entries could be hedged with a stop 1% below the Zone’s lower boundary, as there is a 30% chance that Netflix will drop below the Zone to complete the green wave alt. .
DUOL: mid-term trend structure Until price is holding above 13th Jan lows, my operative scenario is continuation of the upside momentum towards 420-450 resistance zone.
Moving and holding above 450 level increases the probability of a continuation move towards higher resistance levels at 590+.
Otherwise, until price holds bellow 450, there are significant odds of deeper correction in the mid-term before continuing macro uptrend
My previous idea on NASDAQ:DUOL from Dec'23 topping actions:
and update on break-out potential from Sep'24:
Thank you for your attention!
Take-Two: Continued Sideways MovementSince the beginning of February, Take-Two Interactive has been moving mostly sideways with a slight downward bias. Currently, the ongoing beige wave b should continue upward, driving the stock into the beige Target Zone between $241.59 and $257.87. There, this corrective rally should conclude, setting the stage for a sharp downward move. However, if the stock breaks below the support at $135.62, this will signal a premature correction low of the blue wave alt.(II) in the blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46. We assign this scenario a 33% probability.
Decentraland: Corrective TerritoryDecentraland’s MANA remains stuck in corrective territory and should drift slightly lower in the short term, aiming for a new bear market low in the green correction wave . From that level, the next five-part magenta impulse should take over, pushing the price back above both the $0.59 and $0.85 resistance levels in wave . However, there is a 33% chance that MANA will progress faster than primarily assumed: the magenta impulse wave alt. could start directly, driving the price above the two green resistance levels at $0.59 and $0.85. In this alternative scenario, the green wave alt. would be already finished.
Salesforce: Further ProgressDue to continued downward pressure, Salesforce has made further progress in realizing our primary scenario. During the ongoing green wave , we still expect the stock to sell off below the support at $274. However, if the price imminently climbs above the resistance at $312, we will have to reconsider the structure of the ongoing decline and reckon with a magenta five-wave downward move. We currently assign this alternative scenario a 36% probability.
ExxonMobil: Final Pullback ExpectedExxonMobil should soon resolve the ongoing sideways phase, allowing the turquoise wave 2 to establish its corrective low below $104.84. This final pullback is still needed before the next impulsive rally unfolds. Alternatively, there is a 32% chance that the key low was already settled by the turquoise wave alt. 2. A break above $123.74 would confirm this scenario.
3M: Higher High ExpectedAt the start of the year, MMM continued to rise higher before the rally temporarily transitioned into a consolidation phase. February brought slight downward pressure, but after a brief spike back to $141 last week, buying interest returned noticeably. This triggered a strong upswing, with the stock gaining nearly 10% in just a few trading days. As a result, we have identified an internal five-wave structure within the turquoise wave 5 and now primarily assume that the magenta wave is already unfolding. This wave should extend further upward, marking the completion of the broader magenta wave (1). Afterward, we anticipate a significant wave (2) correction, which could also begin earlier. In this 35% likely alternative scenario, the stock would experience a premature sell-off below the $131.40 support, with wave alt.(2) eventually reaching our magenta Target Zone between $106.04 and $86.20.
Polkadot: Now It’s Crunch TimePolkadot has been unable to resist the widespread downturn in the altcoin sector, giving up much of its recent gains after a solid performance in recent days. Our grayed-out Target Zone for the low of the green wave is coming back into focus – though under our primary scenario, DOT shouldn’t fall much lower in the short term. If the coin drops below the $3.80 support, however, a new bear market low in our orange Target Zone between $2.40 and $1.07 will be on the horizon. In this 39% probable alternative scenario, the coin would erase all gains since the low in October 2023, implying a new bottom for the magenta wave alt. . In our primary scenario, we expect renewed buying pressure soon, which should allow the green wave to surpass the resistance at $5.38.
S&P500: Days of DecisionHovering near the 6,000 points mark, the S&P 500 enters the second half of the week at a critical juncture. The next few trading sessions will determine whether the index will push directly to new record highs or first undergo a more extended correction. In our primary scenario, the S&P should continue selling off to settle the turquoise wave 2’s low within the corresponding long Target Zone between 5,667 and 5,389 points. Only from there should the next turquoise impulse wave 3 take over, driving the index to new all-time highs beyond the resistance at 6,365 points. If the S&P immediately resumes its upward trajectory, it might break past 6,365 points without delay. In this 38% likely alternative scenario, the index would bypass the turquoise Target Zone and significantly extend the green impulse wave alt. . Primarily, we consider the green wave as already complete.