Gold: Primarily HigherIn our primary scenario, we expect gold to set a new all-time high as part of the ongoing beige wave I. To achieve this, the price should soon generate more upward momentum during the subordinate light green wave 5 and surpass the current all-time high from April 22. Once the wave I cycle has concluded at higher levels, we anticipate the start of a new bearish phase. However, there remains a 40% chance that the precious metal has already completed the beige wave alt.I and is now entering a fresh downward cycle. Under this alternative scenario, the price would break directly below the supports at $3,123 and $2,970.
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Waveanalyses
S&P500: Top Within ReachThe S&P has recently continued its upward movement, climbing higher into the magenta-colored Short Target Zone between 5,880 and 6,166 points. Primarily, we expect the top of the current wave (X) in magenta within this price range, after which a downtrend should follow with wave (Y). This final phase of the magenta three-part movement should lead the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4,988 and 4,763 points, completing the overarching green wave there. A rise above the upper boundary of the Target Zone and a breach of resistance at 6,675 points would trigger our alternative scenario.
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Polygon: More (short-term) Upward PotentialFor Polygon’s POL, we primarily expect further corrective rises during the blue wave (iv), but below the $0.51 mark, renewed sell-offs should take over. These declines should then drive the price down below the support at $0.15, allowing the large wave to reach its conclusion there. Our alternative scenario – where the low of wave alt. in green would be already behind us (probability: 33%) – is still relevant. This scenario would be reinforced with a jump above the resistance at $0.51 but only finally confirmed with increases above the next higher level at $0.76.
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IBM: Bullish AttemptsIBM has made progress in our scenario: Currently, the price is rising above the crucial resistance at $265.72; clearly surpassing this mark is important in the ongoing wave (3) in magenta. While we cannot entirely remove our alternative scenario with a new low for wave alt. in green, it still holds a 33% probability. We primarily expect that the regular wave in green was already completed at $211.52 and are therefore preparing for a direct continuation of the increases in the broader wave in green.
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NetEase: Upward Surge!NTES generated a strong upward impulse, surging nearly 15% higher, including a gap-up. This brought the stock noticeably closer to the high of the green wave , which should ideally form just below the resistance at $134.44. After this peak, we anticipate significant sell-offs down to the $53.09 support level, where the beige wave II should conclude. Since a sustainable uptrend should follow this low, we have highlighted a magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $59.67 – $27.95), which is suitable for long entries. Once the zone is completed, the price should reach levels above the resistance at $134.44 during the subordinate green wave . This mark also plays a role in our alternative scenario (probability: 38%). If the price rises above the $134.44 resistance without previously reaching the Target Zone, we will have to consider an alternative corrective wave structure, with the price currently in the green wave alt. .
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Apple: Wave [2] Correction We now consider the dark green wave to be complete and thus place AAPL in the intermediate corrective movement of wave , which can be further subdivided into waves (A), (B), and (C) in magenta. Currently, only the last part of this (C) wave should be missing before the next impulsive uptrend unfolds towards the previous all-time high. We must still weigh our alternative scenario with a 34% probability: If the price falls below support at $168, this scenario with a new low for the blue wave alt.(IV) would be confirmed, although in this case, the price should not fall significantly below our previous Target Zone.
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Canopy Growth: Further UpwardThe WEED stock has already realized considerable increases during the current green wave B, which we credit with even more upward potential. However, we primarily expect the top of this movement to be marked below the resistance at C$3.11, and subsequently, the price should move deeper into our magenta Target Zone between C$2.96 and C$0.90 to complete the larger wave ii in orange. The following wave iii should then lead WEED out of the magenta zone and peak above the mentioned C$3.11 resistance. If the stock already rises above this mark during the current movement, we will have to assume that wave alt. ii in orange has already concluded (probability: 37%).
Electronic Arts: Heading LowerElectronic Arts has dropped roughly 13% since our last update, continuing the expected decline within ongoing wave (3). This move is likely to break below support at $114.60 and gradually push the stock downward to the anticipated low. Our alternative scenario suggests the correction may already be done, but that path hinges on a convincing move above $169.82 — a threshold we’re not close to yet. For now, the downtrend remains in control.
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$GOOGL the pattern is there, target $152, short setup.NASDAQ:GOOGL You tell me. This looks so ready to go back below $150. My target is $152. I am entering puts right now with a strike price of $150 for 6/20 starting at $1.33 entry. I will add some on a push towards $167-$168. I will give up if it pushes through or holds at $170. This just looks to good TECHNICALLY in my opinion. I will keep you updated. I am willing to watch this position go down 65% where I will consider selling; looking at price and time to expiration. We are not out of the weeds yet when it comes to political rhetoric regarding tariffs even though this name shouldn't be affected by such because it is software, nothing physical but when the idea of tariffs are spewed the market as a whole reacts in negatively.
WSL.
DUSKUSDTThis is a long-term analysis for the weekly time frame. Our guess is that the price will return from around 0.012 to 0.015 and even higher (completion of wave 4) and then complete its wave 5 at around 0.053 to 0.041.
If this happens, buying it spot is quite low-risk and we can even look at it for a long-term hold and an investment under one condition.
If this Elliott analysis is correct, the price could reclaim its new high within two years or more and even see numbers beyond it.
In terms of timing, late July and early August are a good time for the end of wave 4 and late 2025 and early 2026 are ideal times for the end of the hypothetical wave 5.
Airbnb: Upward pressureAirbnb's stock has once again come under noticeable upward pressure. However, we primarily classify these increases as a countermovement as part of the bearish wave 3 in turquoise – and accordingly expect a downward reversal soon. During wave 3, the price should finally fall below the support level at $108.60, and the subsequent wave 4 should also remain below this mark, so that the subsequent wave 5 can ultimately complete the entire turquoise downward impulse and the overarching corrective movement of the beige wave II.
Solana: Below ResistanceOur primary scenario for Solana is that the coin is already close to the top of the green wave 4. Therefore, we expect a bearish trend reversal below the resistance at $192.33, followed by a move toward our blue Target Zone (coordinates: $56.56 – $29.87) with the green wave 5. Down there, we see an opportunity for long trades with the low of the blue wave (ii), which should be followed by a fresh upward impulse. According to our alternative scenario (probability: 38%), however, we may have already seen the low with wave alt.(ii) in blue prematurely. To validate this alternative scenario, the price would have to rise directly above the resistance at $192.33 from here and extend the blue wave alt.(iii) .
Decantraland: Progress in wave [i]Following the renewed rise last week, we continue to locate the MANA coin at the beginning of the magenta wave . This movement should have the medium- to short-term potential to extend above the resistance levels at $0.59 and $0.85 before a countermovement should pick up again with wave . Nevertheless, there is a 33% chance for our alternative scenario: if weakness emerges in the near future, a new low of the green wave alt. might be reached. Ultimately, however, this would only imply a slight delay.
Apple: Wave [1] IntactDespite a significant setback, Apple managed to gather new momentum on the upside and continue its work on the green wave . The impulse structure remains intact, and we expect a new high imminently before the next countermovement with wave follows. The stock should not breach the support at $168 to enable wave to initiate the next upward phase. If the price does fall below the $168 mark, our 34% likely alternative scenario will allow for a new low of wave alt.(IV) in blue, though the rise would also continue after this lower low.
PayPal: Upward PressurePYPL has remained under upward pressure, moving significantly closer to the important resistance at $78.86. If the price rises above this level directly, we will have to assume that it has already completed the beige wave alt.II —and thus the overarching corrective movement—with the last notable low. Consequently, in this 45% probable case, the stock would have already entered a new upward cycle, specifically the first wave alt.1 of a turquoise upward impulse. Primarily, however, we expect the stock to imminently reverse downward to complete the regular wave II below the support at $50.18. Only afterward should a new sustainable upward impulse begin—initially driving rises above $94.97.
eBay: Resistance Touched!EBAY has managed to fight its way upward as expected, reaching the resistance at $71.51. In the course of the ongoing (corrective) upward movement, the price has now touched this mark for the third time – and once again showed a pullback reaction. Primarily, the stock should rise above the $71.51 level in the next step to complete the beige wave b above it. However, there remains a 27% chance for a new interim low of the magenta wave alt.(X). In this case, the stock would take a detour below the support at $55.96 but would turn upward again above the lower $49.63 mark.
Take-Two: Keep at It!Take-Two recently hit a new all-time high but quickly pulled back. While the stock tried to recover, it encountered renewed selling pressure. With that all-time high, it came close to the lower edge of our beige Target Zone between $241.59 and $257.87. In our primary scenario, we still expect this zone to be reached as part of the beige wave b. However, there’s a 33% chance the stock will fail to make it there and instead turn lower early—forming a premature corrective low for the blue wave alt.(II) within the blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46.
Electronic Arts: Jump!Recently, EA has made a strong upward jump, coming very close to the significant resistance at $169.82. However, the price quickly fell again, providing us with sufficient confirmation to consider the magenta wave (2) as completed. The current wave (3) should extend below the support at $114.60, and the subsequent wave (4) countermovement should also occur below this mark. With the final wave (5) of the magenta downtrend impulse, the larger green wave should then be completed. On the other hand, we see a 40% chance that EA has already completed the green wave alt. at $114.60 and will directly rise above the resistance at $169.82 during the beige wave alt. V .
Coinbase: Catching BreathCoinbase is currently catching its breath in a sideways movement. We still attribute more upside potential to the ongoing wave b in orange, expecting it to rise close to the resistance at $422.11. However, wave c should start below this mark and ultimately complete the blue wave (ii) above the support at $138.45. The subsequent blue wave (iii) should then carry the price significantly above the $422.11 mark.
Microsoft: Progress!Microsoft successfully completed the magenta wave (2) and made further progress during the subsequent wave (3). Imminently, this wave (3) has some more room to rise, and after a temporary pullback in the following wave (4), the price should eventually overcome the resistance at $456.16. On the other hand, our 31% likely alternative scenario envisions a new low for the green wave alt. and would include a detour below the support at $348.18. Primarily, we consider the regular wave as already completed (in our previous Target Zone).
Nasdaq: The Rally Continues!The Nasdaq ended last week with strong upward momentum, moving swiftly toward the resistance at 20,694 points. Now it's getting interesting: once the index breaks above this mark, it should quickly enter our upper turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), where we expect the peak of wave X in turquoise. Afterward, we anticipate a pullback during wave Y, which should aim for our lower turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 17,074 – 15,867 points). The corrective magenta wave (4) should be completed there. However, if the Nasdaq directly surpasses the significant resistance at 23,229 points, our alternative scenario will take effect. In this 35% likely case, we would consider wave alt.(4) as already complete and locate the index in the impulsive wave alt.(5) .
Adobe: Keep It Up!Adobe has steadily advanced upward within our beige Target Zone between $331.93 and $449.61, moving away from the low of the beige wave x, which thus gained further confirmation. The stock should soon fight its way out of this zone and head for the resistance at $640. The ongoing wave y should eventually extend significantly above this mark to complete the corrective upward movement of the blue wave (b) there.
Cardano: Low Ahead!According to our primary scenario, Cardano's ADA coin should imminently pull back toward the support at $0.31 to finally complete the blue wave (ii). With this low in place, we see the altcoin breaking out above the resistance at $1.32. If the price manages to rise above this mark without forming a new low first (33% likely), we will have to assume that wave alt.(ii) in blue is already complete.