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Wave Analysis

USDT Dominance on its way to 3.80%: Bullish or Stormy?USDT Dominance on its way to 3.80%: Bullish or Stormy? USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is approaching the critical threshold with the recent decline. As seen in the chart, the direction is now down with the break of the uptrend. However, the general acceptance that this decline is the beginning of the bull season may mislead many investors. Because when we look at the past, the 3.80% - 3.60% range has usually been the end point of the bull season, not the beginning. What does this mean? 🔹USDT.D falls while BTC rises. However, these declines usually coincide with the last days of the bull. 🔹If there's a rapid descent into this zone, we could see a sharp rise in BTC. But this move is often the last wave. 🔹So when it comes to that level, while everyone is waiting for new highs, smart money may be preparing to exit. Also another point to pay attention to; 🔸 On the BTC side, the 102K - 104K zone still remains the strongest liquidation area. 🔸 If USDT.D falls below 3.80% while testing this region, attention! That peak may be the last. Therefore, while waiting for the above liquidation levels, we should keep an eye on the USDT.D chart. Because when it approaches 3.80 levels, risk bells may start ringing. This is the target for now. As a result, when you start dancing to the song that will soon play in the background, do not forget that the music may suddenly stop and the lights may be switched off.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by ugurtash
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Macro Update – Wave (5) 🟢 Macro Structure Since November 2022 Since the bottom in November 2022 (~15.5K), Bitcoin has been unfolding a clean impulsive structure, counted as: (1) – strong breakout from the bear market lows (2) – corrective pullback as a base (3) – major impulsive rally with clear volume expansion (4) – textbook correction right into the white Fibonacci zone, perfectly respected Now, we are in Wave (5) – the final leg of this larger impulse! 🔄 Internal Structure of (4) → (5) From the low of wave (4), the price action is developing in a classic 1-2-3-4-5 formation, where: Wave 1 initiated the breakout Wave 2 formed a shallow pullback Wave 3 surged with momentum and volume Wave 4 seems to have completed (or is finalizing now) COINBASE:BTCUSD Wave 5 is upcoming, potentially unfolding as an ABC structure (rather than a straight-line spike), showing a more measured grind toward the top 🔁 Cycle-Level Perspective This entire impulse from (1) to (5) forms a macro Wave ③ in the larger Elliott Wave cycle. Given the structure of Wave (5) so far, we may not see a vertical blow-off top but rather a controlled ABC move into the top zone. 🎯 Target Zone for Wave ③ $127,000 – $136,000 Based on Fibonacci projections of waves (1)–(3) Strong psychological levels Likely confluence with macro channel resistance and long-term projections ✅ Conclusion Bitcoin is currently progressing through Wave (5) of the macro impulse that started in late 2022. The structure from Wave (4) suggests a well-organized path forward – possibly forming an ABC structure into the final high of macro Wave ③, with targets in the $127K–$136K zone. This level could mark a major turning point before a deeper corrective phase begins.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ElliotXSolana
CAD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! Previous week’s green candle means that for us the CAD/JPY pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 101.200. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
XAUUSD is moving within the 3,195.00 -3,495.00 range 👀 Possible scenario: Gold prices fell 2.74% on April 23 after hitting a record high of $3,261, as President Trump softened his stance on trade tariffs, reducing demand for safe-haven assets. Markets also reacted to U.S. Finance Minister Bessent’s call for reciprocal tariff cuts with China to resume trade talks. Looking ahead, traders await the U.S. Existing Home Sales report on April 24, which could impact gold—strong data may lift the dollar and pressure gold, while weak figures may boost it. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Support level is now located at 3,195.00 . Now, the resistance level is located at 3,495,00
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by MaxOnMarkets
1
Gold surged and then fell back to fluctuate, pay attention to 33 The first goal of trading is survival, and the second is profit. 📌 Driving events After experiencing the biggest drop in five months, gold prices rose on Thursday (April 24) and returned to above the 3300 mark. After US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced and expressed no intention to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market's risk aversion has cooled down. Gold hit a high of $3,367 during the Asian trading session, which can be regarded as ice and fire! 📊Comment analysis For participants in the gold market, the impact of this price plunge is self-evident. The stock prices of gold mining companies have fallen accordingly, and the production capacity that expanded in the early stage due to the rise in gold prices may face the risk of shrinking profits. At present, gold is under obvious pressure from above, and what needs to be paid attention to now is that the current round of gold adjustments is likely to continue, which means that it is not time to buy the bottom yet! 💰Strategy Package Except for the early morning wave, the strength of the hourly line rebound is actually somewhat weak. As for the European session, Labaron is more inclined to continue to be bearish, and the current first round of rebound pressure is around 3350! If the rebound is in place, you can continue to try short orders! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Is the USDZAR About to Crash? Elliott Wave Says Yes Technical Analysis (Elliott Wave View): 🌀 Wave Structure Overview (Elliott Wave): Wave (1): Sharp rally up to 2008 (Global Financial Crisis peak). Wave (2): Deep corrective wave ending around 2011. Wave (3): Strongest and longest wave, peaking around 2016 (a textbook impulsive 3rd wave). Wave (4): Sideways-to-down correction, consolidating the gains of Wave (3), ending 2018. Wave (5): Final push higher, peaking around 2023–2024. 🧠 Note: Wave (5) looks like it may be ending or already ended, indicating a major corrective phase is due. 📉 Projected Correction: The projected arrow suggests a retracement down to the 11.50 – 13.00 ZAR zone. This level aligns with: Previous Wave (1) top (2008), Wave (4) low (2018), Strong monthly demand zone (grey box). 💡 This supports the idea of a full cycle correction — possibly a Wave A-B-C retracement on a higher time frame. 🌍 Fundamental + Macro Drivers to Watch: 🇺🇸 U.S. Factors: Interest rate cycle: If the Fed starts cutting rates post-2024, USD weakness can contribute to this bearish outlook. Election year: Political uncertainty or a shift in administration could trigger capital flow changes. 🇿🇦 South African Factors: BRICS expansion and de-dollarization: If BRICS continues pushing for reduced USD reliance, it might support ZAR strength long-term. Commodity cycle: As a resource-rich economy, a commodities boom (e.g. gold, platinum) could strengthen ZAR. Policy and infrastructure improvements in South Africa could also boost investor confidence and foreign inflows. 📊 Conclusion: This is a major long-term top formation on USDZAR with: Clear 5-wave completion, Room for a deep correction (potentially 30–35% downside from current levels), Strong technical confluence at the 11.50–13.00 range, Fundamentals that could support ZAR strength over the next few years.
Short
by lakhemvuyana
XAU/USD 24 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback. Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold short-term analysisGold daily line fell 240 dollars from the top of 3500. At present, 3500 is under short-term pressure. Whether the adjustment is over or not cannot be confirmed. The short-term 4-hour middle track 3380 has been lost and converted into a key resistance! The 1-hour level K-line is under pressure and ma10 and ma5 continue to fall. After yesterday's consolidation and pull-up in the NY market, the K-line has now re-run above ma10, plus macd is under the zero axis. The rapid decline of 200 dollars has almost corrected most of the upward trend. If it continues to fall, it may start to build a bottom with the help of the bottom divergence, and then start the next round of gains! Today is also a critical day for gold. After the bottom of 3260, today's strength is very important. If gold continues to rise directly today without a big correction, it means that gold may start to fluctuate and rise again. Key points: First support: 3320, second support: 3300, third support: 3288 First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3376, third resistance: 3400 Operation ideas: Buy: 3315-3318, SL: 3306, TP: 3340-3360; Sell: 3387-3390, SL: 3400, TP: 3370-3350;
TVC:GOLDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
EURAUD → False breakdown as part of a bullish trend correctionFX:EURAUD amid the global bullish trend is forming a correction to the trading range support. Bulls are trying to hold the 1.775 zone The currency pair is in a wide range, in consolidation. Relative to the lower boundary of the range, the price makes a false breakdown and liquidity capture, which may lead to a correction to 0.5 of the range, or to resistance Price consolidation above 1.775 and formation of local reversal pattern may affect further growth (global trend is bullish, locally - correction). The fundamental background is unstable, but the dollar index is still in correction after a strong fall.... Resistance levels: 1.7855, 1.7987 Support levels: 1.775, 1.7695 If the bulls hold the defense above the key support - the lower boundary of the trading range, the currency price may bounce up and head for the liquidity accumulated above the resistance.... Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
EGLD Eyes Tactical Rebound from Structural SupportEGLD remains in a defined macro downtrend since its $544 ATH, but the current price action is reacting once again at a key lateral trendline that has historically triggered major bullish rebounds. The ongoing bounce from this structural support suggests a potential short-term rally toward the $40 resistance zone. We're positioning within the immediate demand zone, with close attention on price behavior at the nearby weak resistance, which could cap this relief move. A breakdown below this demand region, however, opens the door for deeper downside toward the critical support zone highlighted on the chart.
Long
by weslad
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Can Be Unfolding A Bullish ImpulseBlackRock's Bitcoin ETF with ticker IBIT made a massive rally in 2024, which can be wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse. Despite the recent decline at the beginning of 2025, it's still above 42 invalidation level, and as long as it's above that level, it can be wave 4 correction, so we may still see that 5th wave this year. The Elliott Wave Principle is a form of technical analysis that identifies patterns in market movements. A bullish impulsive wave is one of the most important and common wave structures in an uptrend. It describes how prices typically move in the direction of the main trend. A bullish impulsive wave consists of five waves labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by ew-forecast
Gold short-term analysisSpot gold rebounded slightly in early Asian trading on Thursday and is currently trading around $3,329, supported by bargain hunting. Gold prices continued to fall from record highs on Wednesday, falling nearly 3%, hitting a low of $3,260.08 and closing at $3,288.18. Investors were relieved by hopes of easing trade tensions and President Trump's abandonment of his threat to fire the Fed chairman. The dollar rebounded against major currencies on Wednesday, with the dollar index rising 0.94% on Wednesday, recording two consecutive gains on the daily line, reaching a high of 99.94, a nearly one-week high, and closing at 99.90. Earlier, US President Trump said he did not intend to fire the Fed chairman and hinted at progress on tariffs. The dollar and US stocks rebounded, suppressing gold prices. After gold prices were blocked and fell back at the 3,500 mark, more short-term long profit-taking also dragged down gold prices. From the daily level, gold rose strongly during Tuesday's session, hit the key price of 3,500, then fell back and finally closed down. This trend of rising and falling showed that the selling pressure from above was heavy, and the buying power encountered strong resistance from selling at high levels. Then, gold continued to fall on Wednesday and closed down again, forming a technical pattern of two consecutive declines. This continuous decline further confirmed that short-term bears are dominant. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly rebound short selling. The upper short-term focus is on the 3365-3370 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3305-3300 line of support Interval buy: 3305-3303, LS:3293, TP: 3325-3335 Interval sell: 3360-3362, LS:3372, TP: 3340-3345 Key points: First support: 3305, second support: 3300, third support: 3290 First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3370, third resistance: 3375
TVC:GOLDShort
by GoldenViewJake
Aptos Will Prove Its Worth (Daily Analysis)After breaking out from a simple trendline, Aptos (APT) has gained significant momentum, similar to many other altcoins over the past two weeks. However, Aptos is currently presenting a unique structural situation. It appears to have completed a full five-wave bearish impulse and has now transitioned into a new five-wave bullish impulse. From a daily timeframe perspective, Aptos seems to be developing wave 1 of this new cycle. A closer examination of Aptos’ historical price movements reveals some interesting patterns: • During the previous bullish phase, Aptos formed a reversed Head and Shoulders pattern. • Following the breakout of a key trendline, Aptos rallied to levels that were largely unexpected by the market. • The previous cycle took exactly four months to reach its lower high, aligning precisely with the Fib Time Zone (Level 4) before retracing. Assuming that history tends to repeat itself (and being conservatively pessimistic), Aptos could potentially reach the $10 region again this summer. There are two major additional reasons supporting this outlook: Wave 3's potential target in this cycle aligns perfectly with a high-liquidity zone, increasing the probability of a strong upward move. (Refer to the previous bullish cycle’s Wave 3 in the Fib retracement for additional confirmation.) A new reversed Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be forming right now, which, if confirmed, would further strengthen the bullish case. Using the Fib Time Tool again, the estimated timeline for reaching the target without any major pattern formation points to late July. However, if the Head and Shoulders structure fully forms before the breakout, it could extend the move by an additional month, but would likely result in a much higher target beyond $10. Invalidation level for this analysis: Below the $4 mark. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin