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Wave Analysis

SWARMS/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.0700 - 0.0710 HMT v6 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: The gold investment market continued its recent decline. Spot gold fell nearly 3% from Monday's record high of $2,956 to a low of $2,832, a drop of nearly 120 points and a loss of the key support of $2,860/ounce, the largest weekly drop since November last year. Although Trump reiterated that he would impose tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods and escalate tariffs on China to 20% from March 4, the safe-haven attribute of international gold has not been recognized by the market - the strengthening of the US dollar and the surge in demand for US bonds have weakened the attractiveness of London gold prices. At the same time, the rise in global risk aversion has caused investors to sell gold, stocks and cryptocurrencies, and funds have instead poured into US Treasury bonds, a traditional safe-haven asset. The US dollar index rose this week, making gold denominated in US dollars more expensive for overseas buyers. However, as expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve heat up, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive. Investors should pay close attention to changes in the global economic situation, especially the further development of the trade war and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy! In general, despite the recent correction in gold prices, the macro environment of the market still provides support for gold, especially against the backdrop of global economic uncertainty and rising inflation expectations. The bullish trend of gold may gradually resume in the coming months, and investors should be prepared in the support area to capture potential upside opportunities. Technical review: Gold fell straight down on Friday and was under pressure at the high of $2,884. The price of gold fell all the way and hovered around 2,830. After the big negative line at the daily level of gold, it continued to fall on Friday. After the weekly level ended like this, gold is likely to continue to fall next week. From the current market, it is expected that the daily line will record a big negative line this Friday, which forms an obvious downward signal with the middle negative line of the previous trading day. Under its influence, the current price is effectively running near the lower track of the Bollinger band, and the short-term moving average constitutes reverse resistance. In conjunction with other periodic indicators to maintain a short position arrangement, the overall downward trend of the Bollinger band has intensified, and the macd indicator continues to expand downward in a dead cross pattern, and the RSI indicator shows sufficient downward potential. Therefore, the overall daily line is still dominated by shorts! In terms of 4 hours, the continuous negative pattern not only makes the price effectively run below the lower track of the Bollinger Band, but also drives the short-term moving average to extend downward forcefully. Currently, short-term reverse resistance is formed at 2853 and 2870 respectively. In addition, other periodic indicators turn to short arrangement. The overall downward trend of the Bollinger Band has intensified, the MACD indicator has a low dead cross, and it intends to continue to increase downward. The RSI indicator also shows sufficient downward momentum. Therefore, the overall decline at the 4-hour level is expected to continue to expand. Analysis for next week: Gold will continue to pay attention to news changes over the weekend. If gold starts to rebound strongly on Monday next week, then gold may have another strong rise in risk aversion. However, if it quickly rises and falls, then gold may have digested the risk aversion news, and then gold may continue the downward trend after the top structure. In fact, gold has fallen by more than 120 US dollars. Even if there is no risk aversion, it is normal to rebound, but risk aversion may increase the amplitude of the rebound. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a short arrangement with a golden cross downward. The gold short may not have turned around. As long as the rebound of gold is not large, there is still room for gold to go down. Next week, gold will focus on the resistance near the moving average of 2875. As long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2875, gold can continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust the thinking. Pay attention to news changes over the weekend, and we will make further analysis on Monday morning. Operation suggestion: Keep a high-altitude thinking. It is recommended to pay attention to the short-term resistance near 2875. Below this level, the bears can test new lows. If the bulls return, it will be considered as a continuation of the shock. At that time, we will focus on the 2890 area. Below this level, we can continue to arrange short orders. For support, pay attention to the 2832-2830 area. Although this area does not show strong support momentum, it can be regarded as the limit of the intraday decline. Therefore, if it is touched, you can try short-term long! Operation ideas: Short-term gold 2837-2840 buy, stop loss 2829, target 2870-2880; Short-term gold 2873-2875 sell, stop loss 2884, target 2840-2830; Key points: First support level: 2843, second support level: 2832, third support level: 2818 First resistance level: 2866, second resistance level: 2875, third resistance level: 2890
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kim_James01
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 04-Mar-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on March 4, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,142 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,042), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests a potential breakout from the current consolidation range, indicating aggressive buying interest. If the price sustains above 22,142, it could target the resistance zone of 22,300–22,460. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,300–22,460, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,118–22,042 (opening support/consolidation zone and previous close). Should the price break above 22,460 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 22,600 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,142 , targeting 22,300–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,042 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,300–22,460, aiming for 22,118–22,042. Place a stop-loss above 22,460 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points indicates a potential breakout from the 21,889–21,600 consolidation range. Waiting for a retest of 22,142 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,300–22,460 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum resurfaces. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,042–22,118) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,042–22,118, it suggests a balanced market continuing its consolidation phase with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area. A breakout above 22,118 could drive prices toward 22,300–22,460, signaling bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. A breakdown below 22,042 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 21,889 (first buyer’s support) or even 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,118 , targeting 22,300–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,042 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,042 , targeting 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. Set a stop-loss above 22,118 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening within the 22,042–22,118 range indicates the market is still consolidating, a no-trade zone unless a breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to confirm a breakout above 22,118 for a bullish move or a breakdown below 22,042 for a bearish move, avoiding premature entries. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 21,942 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,042), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness, testing the lower support levels. Immediate support lies at 21,889 (first buyer’s support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,042–22,118 could occur. If 21,889 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level for a reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 21,889 , targeting a pullback to 22,042–22,118. Use a stop-loss below 21,600 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 21,889 , targeting 21,613–21,600. Place a stop-loss above 21,889 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points suggests continued downward pressure, but support at 21,889 could trigger a rebound if it holds. Waiting for confirmation near 21,889 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting. The 21,613–21,600 zone is a critical level for a potential reversal if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,300 or 21,889) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,118 → Target: 22,300–22,460. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,042 → Target: 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,042–22,118 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on March 4, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
BANKNIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and plan for 04-Mar-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the BANKNIFTY index on March 4, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 200+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ points) If BANKNIFTY opens above 49,131 (a gap of 200+ points from the previous close of 48,931), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests a potential reversal from recent support levels, indicating aggressive buying interest. If the price sustains above 49,131, it could target the profit-booking zone of 49,653–49,760. This zone is a key resistance area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 49,653–49,760, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 48,225–48,931 (opening support/resistance and previous close). Should the price break above 49,760 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 50,000 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 49,131 , targeting 49,653–49,760. Use a stop-loss below 48,931 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 49,653–49,760, aiming for 48,225–48,931. Place a stop-loss above 49,760 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 200+ points suggests a strong bullish reversal from the 47,573–47,363 support zone. Waiting for a retest of 49,131 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 49,653–49,760 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum resurfaces. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 48,931–48,225) If BANKNIFTY opens within the range of 48,931–48,225, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias, likely consolidating near recent support and resistance levels. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area. A breakout above 48,225 could drive prices toward 49,653–49,760, signaling bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. A breakdown below 48,931 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 47,573–47,363 (buyer’s support/must-try zone) or even 47,300 (key support level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 48,225 , targeting 49,653–49,760. Use a stop-loss below 48,931 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 48,931 , targeting 47,573–47,363 or 47,300. Set a stop-loss above 48,225 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening within the 48,931–48,225 range indicates the market is in a consolidation phase, a no-trade zone unless a breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to confirm a breakout above 48,225 for a bullish move or a breakdown below 48,931 for a bearish move, avoiding premature entries. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ points) If BANKNIFTY opens below 48,731 (a gap of 200+ points from the previous close of 48,931), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness, testing lower support levels. Immediate support lies at 47,573–47,363 (buyer’s support/must-try zone). If this holds, a pullback toward 48,931–48,225 could occur. If 47,363 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 47,300 (key support level for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 47,573 , targeting a pullback to 48,931–48,225. Use a stop-loss below 47,363 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 47,363 , targeting 47,300. Place a stop-loss above 47,573 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 200+ points suggests continued downward pressure, but support at 47,573–47,363 could trigger a rebound if it holds. Waiting for confirmation near 47,573 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below 47,363 confirms bearish momentum for shorting. The 47,300 zone is a critical level for a potential reversal if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 49,653 or 47,573) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 48,225 → Target: 49,653–49,760. ✔️ Bearish Below: 48,931 → Target: 47,573–47,363 or 47,300. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 48,931–48,225 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the BANKNIFTY market effectively on March 4, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Bitcoin's fall is over and a new bull is comingMy Personal Take on Bitcoin’s Current Market Trends: Recent news has caused significant volatility in Bitcoin’s price, triggering strong bullish candlesticks. The surge in buying volume is evident, with large green candles marking substantial purchases. If Bitcoin breaks the key daily resistance level (which I’ve identified on the chart), the rally is likely to continue toward the $101,000 target, reflecting at least a 9% increase. Additionally, I have applied Fibonacci retracement levels to determine support zones, making the price action easier to interpret on the chart. Now, with that analysis covered, let’s dive into today’s main topic. Step-by-Step Breakdown: How Scammers Manufacture Hype and Profit from a Fake Meme Coin Step 1⃣: Creating the Meme Coin Scammers start by visiting pum p.fun, a platform that allows users to generate tokens effortlessly. With just a few clicks, they create their own meme coin and assign it a catchy, marketable name—something like Crazy Bull to grab attention. Step 2⃣: Hiding Ownership of the Tokens To avoid suspicion, they distribute their token supply across multiple wallets, making it appear decentralized. However, in reality, they retain over 90% of the tokens, ensuring they have full control over price movements. Step 3⃣: Simulating Market Activity Since a token with zero trading activity won’t attract investors, they manufacture an illusion of demand. Using at least 50 fake wallets, they begin buying and selling their own token, creating artificial trading volume. This makes it look like an active and potentially lucrative investment. Step 4⃣: Leveraging Influencer Marketing At this stage, they approach social media influencers on platforms like X (formerly Twitter), Telegram, and YouTube. With as
by mezii_
Bitcoin & Trump Effect: A Short-Term Pump or Sustainable Rally?Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise as I expected in the previous post , but Donald Trump helped double the momentum of Bitcoin yesterday. But the question here is whether the correction of Bitcoin is over or if this is an increase in the chance of exit. Bitcoin is trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing wave 4 and we should wait for wave 5 . Note : Due to the high momentum of wave 3, it is possible that wave 5 is a truncated wave. I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $95,000 in the coming hours. The next target of Bitcoin can be Resistance lines and 100_SMA(Daily) . What do you think about Bitcoin movement? Time to escape or wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) to be created? Note: If Bitcoin goes below $89,000, we can expect Bitcoin to decline and the big CME Gap($91,610-$84,830) to be filled. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. B e sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
Closely grasp the rebound of gold, and then sell!From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is near 2883-2887. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to short first and look for a decline. The lower low point support focuses on 2825-2830. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Short gold rebounds at 2883-2887, target 2830-2835, and continue to hold if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by y36fy36f
BTC/USDT: Analysis - Key Levels and Trade SetupMost Relevant Timeframe for Taking a Position • Based on the analysis, the 12H timeframe appears to be the most relevant for taking a position because: • It shows a clear bullish trend (MTFTI AVG Dark Green) with potential buy signals (ISPD, Mason’s Line). • Short-term bearish divergences (MTFTI on 4H-12H) and overbought signals (HPI) are less extreme than on 8H or 4H, providing a window to enter before a possible correction. • Supports (84,000.42) and resistances (99,218.16) are well-defined and consistent with key levels. Key Support and Resistance Levels for Taking a Position • Supports : • 79,647.42-85,963.23 (Auto AVWAP-Low across various timeframes, aligned with identified zones). • Oversold zones identified by Mason’s Line (0.3438-0.4065), suggesting buying opportunities around these levels. • Resistances : • 98,857.36-99,247.67 (Auto AVWAP-High on 1D, 12H, 8H, 4H, 2H), consistent with key resistance levels. • Overbought conditions signaled by HPI (94-100) and Mason’s Line (0.7408), indicating potential selling or profit-taking if these levels are reached. Actionable Recommendations 1. Long Position (Buy): • Enter on the 12H timeframe if the price tests supports at 84,000.42-85,963.23, with buy signals confirmed by ISPD (Investor Satisfaction near 0), Mason’s Line (satisfaction < SMA), and Koncorde (Azul > Verde). • Target: Resistances at 98,857.36-99,218.16, but monitor overbought signals (HPI > 90, Mason’s Satisfaction > 0.97). • Stop-loss: Below supports at 79,647.42 to limit risks in case of a correction. 2. Short Position (Sell): • Enter if HPI reaches 94-100 (on 8H, 4H) and Mason’s Satisfaction approaches 1 (on 2H, 0.7408), indicating extreme overbought conditions. Confirm with MTFTI showing short-term bearish trends (Down on 1H-12H). • Target: Supports at 84,000.42-85,963.23. • Stop-loss: Above resistances at 99,218.16 to limit risks of a bullish breakout. 3. General Caution: • Await clarity from the crypto summit at the White House on March 7, 2025, to assess its impact on Bitcoin. • Monitor key levels (77,930$, 84,000$, 93,570$) and volatility, as a correction is likely after initial euphoria, supported by overbought indicators. This analysis combines a rigorous chart reading with current insights to provide a coherent and actionable perspective, while accounting for ongoing uncertainties and volatility on BTC/USDT.
by Ox_kali