Get started

Wave Analysis

XAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell OpportunityXAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell Opportunity While Gold's (XAUUSD) larger timeframe remains bullish, the intermediate trend has turned bearish. This shift is clearly signaled by a break below previous lows and the formation of a clean Head and Shoulders reversal pattern. Currently, price is testing a strong support confluence at a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Demand Zone below. Strategy: Bounce & Sell Our strategy is to sell into bounces (short on rallies). Key resistance levels to watch for reversal signals include: 3300: Coincides with the Range Volatile Day High. 3325 - 3350: This is a significant Supply Zone. We will wait for bearish candlestick patterns and reversal patterns to confirm the move down at these resistance areas. Downside Targets Our primary downside targets are: 3150: Aligns with the Range Volatile Week Low. 3100: If this level breaks, we'll then look towards the final support at 3000, potentially forming a Triple Zigzag (WXYXZ) corrective structure. From a time perspective, we anticipate this bearish phase to last approximately 13 days, in line with Fibonacci Time Cycle analysis. Crucial Considerations Effective Money Management is paramount. Ensure your position sizing is appropriate for the expected volatility range. Always be prepared to adapt your view when the price structure clearly invalidates the current bearish setup. Trade carefully and profitably. C.Goii Super Trader
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
XAU/USD 29 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
ATBA LONG TRADEATBA was previously in uptrend and made a healthy swing pullback till Golden Ration of Fibb zone. Now its has shown reversal, confirmed by Volume Gradient. 🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – ATBA🚨 🎯 BUY1: Rs. 274 BUY2: when crosses 290 📈 TP1 : Rs. 320 📈 TP2 : Rs. 340 🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 250 (Daily Close) 📊 RISK-REWARD: 1:2.4 Caution: Please buy on levels. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions. PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
PSX:ATBALong
by Mushtaque77
PTL LONG TRADEPTL was in downtrend since its inception in PSX. It then formed and inverted H&S Pattern on 1W TF. It broke out of this pattern and formed a Bullish OB. It then went into Re-Accumulation Zone. It has now performed a retest after the Breakout at the bottom of 1W Breaker Block. It has started its upward reversal. 🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL –PTL🚨 🎯BUY1: Rs. 38-40 📈 TP1 : Rs. 44.4 📈 TP2 : Rs. 54 🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 33 (Daily Close) 📊 RISK-REWARD: 1:2.85 Caution: Please buy on levels. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions. PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
PSX:PTLLong
by Mushtaque77
BABA - Retracement Wave C in progressFinancial Performance (March Quarter 2025) * Revenue: Alibaba reported a 7% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching RMB236.5 billion (approximately USD 33.4 billion). * Adjusted EBITDA: The company's adjusted EBITDA rose by 36% year-over-year to RMB32.6 billion (USD 4.5 billion). * Net Income: Non-GAAP net income increased by 22% to RMB29.8 billion (USD 4.1 billion), while GAAP net income stood at RMB12 billion (USD 1.7 billion). E-Commerce Initiatives * Taobao Instant Commerce: Launched recently, this new portal has surpassed 40 million daily orders within a month, offering 60-minute delivery by integrating merchants from Ele.me into the Taobao platform. * Domestic E-Commerce: The Taobao and Tmall Group experienced nearly 9% revenue growth, driven by increased consumer engagement and a rise in orders. * International Expansion: Alibaba's International Digital Commerce Group reported a 24% increase in retail revenue, primarily due to growth in platforms like AliExpress and Trendyol. Cloud Computing and AI Investments * Revenue Growth: Alibaba Cloud's revenue grew by 18% year-over-year to RMB30.1 billion (USD 4.2 billion), with AI-related product revenue maintaining triple-digit growth for the seventh consecutive quarter. * Strategic Investment: The company announced plans to invest over $52 billion in AI and cloud infrastructure over the next three years, aiming to enhance its position as a leading global cloud provider. * SAP Partnership: Alibaba has entered into a strategic partnership with SAP to accelerate cloud transformation, focusing on AI-powered digital solutions. Stock Performance As of May 31, 2025, Alibaba's stock price stands at $113.84, reflecting a recent decline of 2.7%
NYSE:BABALong
by AdamIdris2
XAUUSD CURRENT SWING XAUUSD : Key Points - The current XAUUSD (gold vs. USD) trade shows a bearish trend, with prices around $3,291.56, down 0.79%. - Technical indicators suggest selling, with support levels at $3,285–$3,280 and resistance at $3,307. - Upcoming US PCE data at 1:30 PM WAT today could impact prices; lower inflation may boost gold, higher may pressure it. - Consider a bearish entry near current levels, but watch for volatility from economic news. --- Current Trade Analysis **Price and Movement**: As of 09:49 AM WAT on May 30, 2025, XAUUSD is trading at approximately $3,291.56, reflecting a decline of -0.79% from the previous close. The day's range is between $3,290.40 and $3,322.64, indicating recent volatility. **Technical Outlook**: The technical analysis leans strongly bearish: - Moving averages (5-day, 10-day, etc.) all signal "Strong Sell," with no buy signals. - Indicators like RSI(14) at 42.519 and MACD(12,26) at -0.92 also suggest selling. - Pivot points show support at $3,293.51 (S1), $3,285.21 (S2), and $3,279.77 (S3), with resistance at $3,307.25 (R1) and higher. - The price is below key resistance ($3,300) and nearing support, suggesting potential for further downside. **Fundamental Factors**: - Gold is supported by geopolitical risks, such as reinstated Trump tariffs, and expectations of Fed rate cuts, which could weaken the USD. - However, a resilient USD, if driven by higher inflation, could pressure gold prices. - The US PCE Price Index, due at 1:30 PM WAT today, is critical: consensus expects 2.2% year-over-year, down from 2.3%. A lower reading may boost gold by signaling rate cuts, while a higher reading could strengthen the USD, adding bearish pressure. **Market Sentiment**: Recent trader discussions are mixed, with some expecting prices to test $3,288 or drop below $3,290, while others see potential for recovery if fundamentals turn bullish. The technical "Strong Sell" contrasts with longer-term bullish views, creating uncertainty. Entry Suggestion Given the bearish technical signals and current price, consider a bearish entry near $3,291.56 or on a break below $3,290, targeting support at $3,285–$3,280. Set a stop-loss above $3,307.25 to manage risk. However, given the upcoming PCE data, be prepared for potential volatility. If you prefer less risk, wait for the data release at 1:30 PM WAT to assess the market reaction before entering. --- Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of XAUUSD Current Trade and Entry Suggestion This section provides a comprehensive examination of the XAUUSD (gold priced in US dollars) market as of 09:49 AM WAT on Friday, May 30, 2025, focusing on current trade dynamics and entry strategies. The analysis integrates technical indicators, fundamental factors, and market sentiment to offer a thorough understanding for traders. Current Market Overview XAUUSD, representing the spot price of gold traded against the US dollar, is currently priced at $3,291.56, reflecting a decline of -26.17 (-0.79%) from the previous close. The day's trading range spans from $3,290.40 to $3,322.64, with a 52-week range of $2,286.77 to $3,500.33, indicating significant yearly appreciation of 41.22%. This positioning suggests gold remains a volatile yet potentially rewarding asset, particularly in the context of current economic uncertainties. Technical Analysis The technical outlook for XAUUSD is decisively bearish in the short term, as evidenced by multiple indicators and moving averages: - **Moving Averages**: A comprehensive review of moving averages shows a "Strong Sell" signal across all periods. For instance: - Simple Moving Averages (SMA): MA5 at $3,297.96 (Sell), MA10 at $3,303.99 (Sell), MA20 at $3,310.17 (Sell), MA50 at $3,299.61 (Sell), MA100 at $3,311.35 (Sell), MA200 at $3,302.66 (Sell). - Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): Similar trends, with MA5 at $3,299.55 (Sell), MA10 at $3,303.13 (Sell), and so forth. This uniformity across short, medium, and long-term averages underscores a bearish momentum, with the price consistently below these averages. - **Technical Indicators**: The technical indicators summary also leans "Strong Sell," with no buy signals and nine sell signals: - RSI(14) at 42.519 indicates a sell, suggesting the market is not yet oversold but trending downward. - STOCH(9,6) at 22.546 and STOCHRSI(14) at 0.737 show oversold conditions, potentially signaling a possible reversal, but currently supporting sell signals. - MACD(12,26) at -0.92 confirms bearish momentum, with the MACD line below the signal line. - Other indicators like ADX(14) at 31.033 (Sell), Williams %R at -92.121 (Oversold), and CCI(14) at -108.4424 (Sell) reinforce the bearish outlook. - ATR(14) at 9.14 indicates lower volatility, suggesting tighter price movements, which could limit significant breakouts without strong catalysts. - **Pivot Points**: Pivot points provide critical levels for potential support and resistance: | Type | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | |---------------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------| | Classic | 3279.77 | 3285.21 | 3293.51 | 3298.95 | 3307.25 | 3312.69 | 3320.99 | | Fibonacci | 3285.21 | 3290.46 | 3293.7 | 3298.95 | 3304.2 | 3307.44 | 3312.69 | | Camarilla | 3298.04 | 3299.3 | 3300.56 | 3298.95 | 3303.08 | 3304.34 | 3305.6 | | Woodie's | 3281.21 | 3285.93 | 3294.95 | 3299.67 | 3308.69 | 3313.41 | 3322.43 | | DeMark's | - | - | 3289.37 | 3296.88 | 3303.11 | - | - | The current price of $3,291.56 is below the pivot point ($3,298.95) and near S1 ($3,293.51), suggesting potential for further downside to S2 ($3,285.21) or S3 ($3,279.77) if support breaks. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors play a significant role in gold's price dynamics, particularly given the current economic environment: - **Geopolitical Risks**: Recent developments, such as reinstated Trump tariffs, add uncertainty to global markets, historically supporting gold as a safe-haven asset. This factor could cap downside risk, especially in times of heightened tension. - **Federal Reserve Policy**: Market expectations of Fed rate cuts, driven by anticipated lower inflation, could weaken the USD, which is typically bullish for gold. Conversely, if inflation data surprises to the upside, a hawkish Fed stance could strengthen the USD, pressuring XAUUSD. - **Economic Indicators**: The US PCE Price Index, a key inflation gauge, is scheduled for release today at 8:30 AM ET (1:30 PM WAT). Consensus estimates are for a year-over-year increase of 2.2%, down from the previous 2.3%. Other related data include: - Goods Trade Balance (Apr): Consensus -142.80B, Previous -161.99B, Time 08:30 WAT. - Personal Income (MoM) (Apr): Consensus 0.30%, Previous 0.50%, Time 08:30 WAT. - Personal Spending (MoM) (Apr): Consensus 0.20%, Previous 0.70%, Time 08:30 WAT. - Chicago PMI (May): Consensus 45.10, Previous 44.60, Time 09:45 WAT. - Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2): Consensus 2.20%, Previous 2.20%, Time 11:30 WAT. A lower-than-expected PCE reading could fuel expectations of rate cuts, supporting gold, while a higher reading could strengthen the USD, adding bearish pressure. #### Market Sentiment and Trader Discussions Recent trader discussions on platforms like Investing.com reveal mixed sentiments: - One trader closed a short position from 3300 at 91, indicating bearish activity. - Another predicts today's target at $3,277, with potential for more downside if broken. - Contrarily, some see gold dropping to $3,050 before rallying to $3,700, suggesting a longer-term bullish view. - Others expect surprises in the European session, with a possible close around $3,315, indicating uncertainty. This mix reflects the complexity of short-term movements, particularly with the PCE data pending. #### Entry Strategy and Risk Management Given the analysis, the following entry strategies are suggested, balancing technical and fundamental factors: - **Bearish Entry**: - **Entry Point**: Consider entering a short position near the current price of $3,291.56 or on a break below $3,290, targeting support at $3,285.21 (S2) or $3,280 (as per recent analyses). - **Target**: Aim for $3,280–$3,285, with further potential to $3,246–$3,245 if support breaks. - **Stop-Loss**: Place above the recent high or above R1 at $3,307.25 to manage risk, protecting against a potential reversal triggered by bullish fundamentals. - **Rationale**: The technical indicators and moving averages are strongly bearish, and the price is below key resistance, suggesting potential for further downside. However, be cautious of fundamental support from geopolitical risks and Fed rate cut expectations. - **Alternative Bullish Entry**: - If you are bullish on gold due to geopolitical risks or expect a dovish PCE reading, wait for a sustained move above $3,325–$3,326. - **Target**: Aim for $3,400 or higher, with resistance at $3,432–$3,434. - **Stop-Loss**: Below $3,300 to protect against a bearish reversal. - **Rationale**: Fundamental factors like geopolitical tensions and potential Fed easing could limit downside and support a rally, particularly if the PCE data surprises to the downside. - **Key Consideration**: The US PCE Price Index data, due at 1:30 PM WAT, could introduce significant volatility. If trading before the release, be prepared for potential sharp movements. Waiting for the data might provide clearer direction, especially given the conflicting technical and fundamental sign Conclusion The current trade for XAUUSD is characterized by a bearish technical outlook, with prices at $3,291.56 and strong sell signals across indicators and moving averages. Support levels at $3,285–$3,280 are critical, with resistance at $3,307.25. Fundamental factors, including geopolitical risks and the upcoming PCE data, add complexity, potentially capping downside or triggering a reversal. For entry, a bearish strategy near current levels is advisable, targeting $3,285, with a stop-loss above $3,307.25, but traders should remain vigilant for the PCE data impact at 1:30 PM WAT. ---
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by ragnarokedeh
Actions Nightmare Is About To Be FinishedHello, Skyrexians! Recently I shared this article about CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D where I pointed out that this chart is about to print another one lower low. Now it's happening, but this is wave 5 and now it's time to look for the altcoins bear market bottom. Here we have 4h time frame and the internal structure of the final wave 5. Our main reversal signal can be divergence on Awesome Oscillator, and now it can happen if this drop will be decelerated. Price is inside the large green box - reversal zone. If we will see 3 rising columns on the histogram it's going to be the reveal signal with the yellow Elliott waves structure. This structure can be changed if price continues going down now without pullbacks. In this case I will recalculate waves and may be it will reach 7%. Also it shall match with BTC dominance which also has some space to go up. It shall at least retest the high at 65.5% (potential shortened wave 5). Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D
by Skyrexio
1
ETH/USD indicating a bearish bias.Technical Features Identified: 1. Historical Price Action: The chart shows a prolonged sideways consolidation (labeled as “side ways”) in late April and early May. This period is marked with low volatility and horizontal price movement. 2. Breakout: A breakout to the upside occurred around May 10th, with a significant rally leading into a new high. This move formed a bullish impulse followed by multiple market structure shifts, possibly indicating the end of the uptrend. 3. Distribution Pattern: Post-rally, the price appears to be forming a distribution zone or a head and shoulders/top formation, suggesting potential exhaustion of buying pressure. The highlighted rectangle in dark grey seems to indicate a resistance/supply zone where price is struggling to break higher. 4. Forecasted Price Movement: There are red arrows pointing downwards, indicating a bearish bias. A projected path shows price may break below the current range and head lower. The target zone is marked near the $2,125 - $2,050 range, implying a bearish target based on the current pattern. 5. Indicators & Tools: Ichimoku Cloud is visible (light blue area), typically used to assess momentum, trend, and potential support/resistance levels. Chart annotations include boxes for consolidation zones, arrows for forecast direction, and price labels for expected targets. Liquidity sweep and wick-only analysis is applied, suggesting the trader is considering stop hunts or fake-outs in liquidity zones. --- Conclusion & Sentiment: This chart suggests a bearish outlook for ETH/USD in the near term. The trader anticipates a breakdown from the consolidation following a distribution pattern, with a projected downside target around $2,125. The analysis is focused on price action, liquidity dynamics, and support/resistance zones.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDShort
by Johnson67
My Thoughts #012The pair is in a bearish trend on the weekly time In the bearish trend the pair seems to be making a LH Meaning we are currently moving up and currently on the lower time frame we are in bullish trend. The pair still has equal highs open on the weekly time frame. It further sweeped equal lows on the daily time to fuel for the next move up. The pair broke out, retested and after that it's been trying to gain more momentum for the upside. Sells could still happen just use proper risk management let's do the most
TVC:DXYLong
by Ramokaelo
SPX/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.9650 - 0.9950 HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader