Wave Analysis
Gold 4h outlook for 27th-31st January 2025Gold is observed in an uptrend channel since 30th December 2024
As at 24th January 2025, Gold struggles to break 30th October 2024 resistance zone.
A pullback from the resistance zone to retest previous break of structure at the short term support price level or break through this level towards the lower trend channel line before proceeding with the uptrend to retest the resistance level again.
Should buyers failed to hold the price at the lower trend channel line, expect price to reach the support zone
COOKIE is Bearish (2H)First of all, note that this symbol is highly volatile and risky.
From the point where I placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that the COOKIE correction has begun.
Currently, it appears that COOKIE is in wave B of an ABC pattern or possibly a more complex structure.
As long as the red zone is maintained, it is expected to move toward the specified targets.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
MOCA/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.1780 - 0.1800
HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
Triangle time?Certainly looks like it. Just not sure e is complete. If it plays out as a triangle then either the 50 or the 618 could be the pivot. Below c is the invalidation point but that would likely be a rethink of the pattern and still probably same direction expected for future price. The A-C trendline extended is where I placed the e on this chart. A triangle would be expected to stay inside that boundary.
FCPO - Correction in progressTrend : Uptrend
Current Wave : Wave 1 to Wave 2
Note: If the counting is right, the minor wave is currently moves toward Wave C to complete Wave 2. I am sure the Wave C is not yet finished. Thus we need to wait until we see a reversal structure to confirm the completion of Wave 2. At this moment the corrective wave structure forming just a simple ABC. If the correction wave become complex, we may see a combination of correction wave pattern (3-3-3 or 3-3-5 or 3-5-3). Just sit back and relax.
This is only my point of view. Not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Just sharing the idea only.
TAYOR
Brent Oil - Correction in progressTrend : Uptrend
Current Wave : Wave 1 to Wave 2.
Note: If wave 1 completed, we want to see a retracement wave ABC/WXY/. I don’t which one will happen.
Plan : I want to see a reversal of wave A before join the wave to wave B and join the wave to wave C when reversal can be seen at wave B. Finally join the wave from wave 2 to wave 3.
This is my point of view only. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Do your own TA for confirmation.
TAYOR.
BTCUSDT 2H-4H-1D Technical AnalysisOperational Recommendations
1. Wait for a potential pullback (short-term ABC)
• The 2H/4H indicators suggest one last corrective move (wave C).
• Watch the 99–101k zone as a potential “buy setup.”
2. Aim for continued bullish trend
• The 12H/1D timeframes confirm the market is still in a bullish configuration (MTFTI “Strong Up”).
• As long as the price remains above the long MA (90k–92k on 12H, ~81k on 1D), the momentum stays intact.
3. Exercise caution if new highs are reached (106–108k)
• Several indicators (ISPD Div Pro, Mason’s Satisfaction, RSI) are already in high territory.
• A surge toward 106–108k could bring more pronounced overbought conditions: monitor for ISPD approaching ~0.97–1.0 or RSI > 75.
4. Summary
• Short term: A likely correction, then a recovery → a good buying opportunity.
• Long term: Sustained bullish trend, but watch for potential excessive euphoria if 106–110k is reached without a pullback.
General Conclusion
• The charts (MTFTI, ISPD, BB/RSI, Mason’s Line, etc.) show BTC/USDT remains in a bullish trend, with the risk of a minor short-term correction.
• Supports to watch for entries or position increases lie around 99k–101k. Further down, 92k and 81k offer deeper support.
• Upside targets center on 106–108k (AVWAP High), then 110–115k if the momentum continues.
• The window of opportunity (for those looking for an entry point) likely appears on the 4H timeframe, which best captures the upcoming “breather” while aligning with the broader bullish flow seen on the 12H and 1D.
Good luck with your trading and risk management!
DXY reversal, Bullish for BTC, but 50 day chop is likelyGood Sunday, dear friend! I'm scribbling down some ideas I had. It's good to be back home after a week on a job project. TradingView on a phone is awesome, but I definitely prefer a bigger screen.
The chart was not as clean as I wished, but it just tells some history with the correlations between DXY and BTC. For instance:
Q4 2022 - DXY tops (BTC bottoms).
Trend reversal for DXY (BTC corrects ABC after W1 after bear market).
DXY declines to a WCL, BTC soars from 25k to 73k.
In the meantime, as BTC soared, DXY also inclined, which led to an extended correction of 7.5 months. DXY rolled over in June 2025, and there was a 60-day lag before BTC felt the boost from the DXY decline.
This leads us to today. DXY and BTC have gone up together. I believe the last leg up is a consequence of the June - September decline of DXY, and BTC went up with DXY, and BTC is now left to feel the consequences of the DXY upturn. Given DXY (most likely) topped 11 days ago, we might chop for 50 more days before BTC resumes upward.
In the last WCLs, DXY retraces a minimum to 0.786. In this case, the trendline suggests a March timeframe for a low in DXY. History suggests the BTC local top is in when DXY bottoms, or is soon to top in about 2 months.
Boeing (BA): Is Boeing Finally Breaking the Bearish Trend?Boeing has faced significant challenges since March 2020, and when zoomed out, the stock has been trading in a well-defined range between $265 (range high) and $120 (range low), with the mid-range at $192. These levels have been respected repeatedly. From an Elliott Wave perspective, starting the count from the COVID low, we’ve observed consistently deep wave 2 corrections. Following the recent low of $138 in November 2023, we believe Boeing has broken the bearish trend that began in December 2022, signaling a trend reversal.
Currently, we anticipate the completion of the very minor wave (i) soon, followed by wave (ii) correction between the 61.8% and 88.2% Fibonacci retracement levels. To safeguard against Boeing’s historically deep corrections, we are placing the stop-loss slightly below 100% of wave 2.
Looking ahead, the wave structure suggests that Boeing could eventually break out of this long-standing range. For now, the focus is on reclaiming and holding the mid-range level at $192. Our target in this setup is to reach $265 (range high), but it is crucial to first see the mid-range flipped into support.
Key Levels:
Support: $147
Resistance: $192
NZDCAD Is Going Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.819.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.809 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Coinbase Global Inc. (Extended Hours) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Coinbase Global Inc. (Extended Hours)
- Double Formation
* (Consolidation Argument)) | Completed Survey | Subdivision 1
* 230.00 USD | Area Of Value | Subdivision 2
- Triple Formation
* Numbered Retracement | Uptrend Bias & Entry
* ABC Flat Wave Count | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
AUD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.566.
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AUD/USD - Weekly OutlookHey guys, im starting to get a Following pretty quickly and I appreciate all the kind words and support. The more I get from you guys the more Ill do in return.
In this chart im actually starting off in the Monthly TF which I dont tend to look at too often although I believe is necessary here. In the Monthly we can notice a Long Term Bearish Channel insinuating long of sellers momentum. This in all of our trades will be taken into account due to Higher TF will be preferring sells.
Weekly TF price action shows us the most recent move was a large volume of Bullish movement, this movement infact was counted as a Breakout in my opinion due to the Elliot's Wave Theory finishing on this continuation leg. Saying that we are currently filling a previous sell side Imbalance which tells me we will see some slow choppy price action to follow and possibly see price Consolidate. Small TF would suggest we have made a MSS which I will move into soon.
Daily TF price action is very similar to the weekly, we see in better details that we have not closed out of that Imbalance although we can notice we have closed Higher than the previous pullback high telling me we have seen a MSS. This daily Bullish push has been so far marked out with the Fib to find out Discount zone to look for possible buys but currently im not even close to interested due to being in a choppy higher TF imbalance.
4H. I would like to see price fall further towards out Mitigation Block and the breakout candle returning back into the Discount Zone before looking for any buying opportunities. When breakouts occur price action tend to return back to that Trend Line to claim Sell side Liquidity in this case of it being a Bullish Breakout.
Overall I would prefer a sell position although depending how price action looks I will look for buying opportunities once price action settles.
Good Luck to all the traders that decide to follow.