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Wave Analysis

DXY at the Crossroads: How the 108–110 could reshape the market Key Highlights The U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY is currently near an important resistance level of 108–110. A potential reversal of the dollar at this level could lead to further growth in stock markets and strengthen cryptocurrencies, while a break above 110+ would continue to put pressure on risk assets. If CAPITALCOM:DXY surpasses 110 and holds above it, there is a possibility of reaching as high as the 120 mark. A rejection from the 108–110 zone would indicate a downward trend developing, possibly pushing the index toward the 98 area or lower. Future outcomes will depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy, global demand for the dollar and other safe-haven assets, as well as overall economic stability. What about crypto? There are serious risks for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS A long-term perspective on ICEUS:DXY suggests that “alt seasons” tend to occur during periods of dollar weakness. Currently, the 108–110 zone and the MA50-W are pivotal. A potential DXY reversal here may act as a catalyst for another major altcoin rally in the coming months, while continued dollar strength could postpone any such “alt season.” Shaka
TVC:DXYShort
by shakatrade1_618
The latest trend and strategy of gold on July 1: 1. Core driving logic: Intensified long-short game Risk aversion supports gold prices Geopolitical risks: Trump's tough stance on Iran (considering military action) triggers market risk aversion demand, and bargain hunting intervenes. Uncertainty in trade negotiations: The deadline for negotiations on July 9 may change. If it is extended or broken, gold may be driven by safe-haven buying. Fed policy and economic data suppression Non-farm data is critical: If the US non-farm employment report on Thursday (July 4) is strong (low unemployment rate, wage growth), it will strengthen the Fed's expectations of raising interest rates, which is bearish for gold. Other data impact: ISM manufacturing PMI on Tuesday: If it is below 50 (shrinking), it may boost gold temporarily. ADP employment data on Wednesday: As a non-farm outlook, if it is lower than expected, gold prices may rebound. US dollar trend linkage If the US dollar index strengthens due to economic data, it will suppress gold; on the contrary, if the US dollar pulls back, gold may usher in a technical rebound. 2. Key technical signals and points 1. Trend structure Daily level: The moving average system is in a short position (5/10/60-day moving average is downward), and the short-term weakness was confirmed after breaking the 60-day moving average last week. Key support: 3247 (0.618 golden ratio + May 29 low), breaking the position will open the downward space to 3220-3200. Key resistance: 3282 (last Friday's high) → 3305-3315 (moving average suppression + channel upper track). 1-hour level: The moving average crosses and diverges, MACD runs below the zero axis, the bears dominate but are oversold (RSI is close to 30), and short-term rebound corrections need to be vigilant. 2. Long-short watershed Short conditions: The price continues to be below 3282, and the rebound cannot break through 3305. Bull conditions: After standing firm at 3282, break through 3305, or the 3247 support effectively forms a double bottom. 3. Today's operation strategy 1. Main strategy: rebound high Entry area: 3305-3315 (strong resistance area), stop loss above 3320. Target: 3270→3247, if it breaks down, look at 3220. 2. Secondary strategy: short-term long position at support level (quick in and out) Entry point: 3260-3247 stabilizes (if it rebounds quickly and closes positive in 1 hour), stop loss below 3240. Target: 3282-3300, close the position when encountering resistance. 3. Breakthrough follow-up strategy Break up 3282: light position to chase long, target 3300, stop loss 3270. Break down 3247: chase short, target 3220, stop loss 3255. 4. Risk warning and position management Trade cautiously before non-agricultural data: market volatility may be amplified before the data is released, avoid heavy positions overnight. Risk of sudden geopolitical conflict: If the situation between the United States and Iran escalates, gold may rise rapidly, and stop loss needs to be adjusted flexibly. Strict stop loss discipline: single stop loss does not exceed 2% of the principal, and frequent transactions should be avoided in volatile markets. Summary Gold is currently in a volatile bearish pattern, but there is technical buying support near 3247. The operation is mainly high-altitude, supplemented by short-term long positions at key support levels. Focus: Resistance: 3282→3305-3315 Support: 3260→3247→3220
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
USDCAD Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDCAD is below: The market is trading on 1.3649 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.3697 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3624 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for AUDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 94.200 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 94.441 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
ABEOABEO is currently trading at $5.58 and is expected to pull back toward the green zone to retest the previously broken descending trendline and the strong demand area between $4.75 and $5.08. This zone is considered a key support level, where buying pressure has been historically strong. A successful retest could signal a continuation of the bullish trend. The medium-term target is the red supply zone between $11.39 and $12.69, which represents the next major resistance area. ✅ Entry Zone: $4.75 – $5.08 (demand zone) 🎯 Target Zone: $11.39 – $12.69 (supply zone) ❌ Stop-Loss: $3.90 (below previous key low and invalidation of structure)
NASDAQ:ABEOLong
by IbrahimTarek
GBPUSD – Short-Term Entry Model (Price Action Based)Education time! This is a quick-execution on GBPUSD this London session based on a failed breakout and structure shift. Price initially broke above the previous high but failed to sustain the breakout. The second push failed to print a higher high (HH), signaling potential exhaustion. Once the higher low (HL) that led to the failed HH was broken to the downside, a valid short setup was confirmed. The trade targets the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the initial move that failed to hold above the high. 📉 Result: The setup played out cleanly, hitting the target with a +17 pip gain.
Education
by Charts247TradingAcademy
GBP/USD Trade Update: Re-Entry After SL Hit – Bullish Bias MaintAfter the initial stop-loss was triggered, price action has realigned with the original bullish outlook. Market structure remains intact, and the recent move appears to be a liquidity sweep rather than a full reversal. I’ve re-entered the buy position at a more favorable level, with a clear invalidation point and defined upside targets. This re-entry reflects confidence in the broader setup and a commitment to disciplined execution. Sometimes, the best trades require patience and a second entry when the market shakes out weak hands. 📈 Follow for live trade updates, risk management insights, and GBP/USD strategy breakdowns. 💬 Let’s navigate the volatility with precision and purpose.
Long
by TheSayyamGroup
Critical Range 106,036–108,300, Sector Support Remains Bullish__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Bullish across all timeframes ≥1H (MTFTI UP); corrective compression seen on 15m/30m as short-term selling momentum decelerates. Support/resistance: Major defensive cluster at 106,036–106,210; multiple resistances at 108,272/108,790 and 110,530–111,980. No excesses or validated breakdowns. Volume: Historical average across all timeframes, no abnormal flows, no signs of euphoria. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: "Strong Buy" signal on all timeframes except 15m (neutral); sector momentum confirmed, software leadership maintained. Investor behavior (ISPD DIV): Mostly neutral except for a micro-buy on 15m, no extremes of fear or euphoria. __________________________________________________________________________________ Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global bias: Remains bullish in the medium term, mature range, no imminent trigger catalysts. Opportunities: Technical bounce/entry favored on 106,036–106,210 if support cluster holds and ISPD DIV validated. Conservative profit-taking below 108,000–108,300. Risk areas: Confirmed breakdown (1H/4H close <106,036 with high volume and MTFTI reversal). Recommended stop <105,900. Macro catalysts: Awaiting US data (PMI/ISM/JOLTS). Watch for macro surprises or FOMC. Low expected volatility until late July. Action plan: Range-buy near support cluster, active stop/profit management, volume watch, confirm with intraday micro-signals. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Consolidating below major resistance >110k. Momentum and Risk On / Risk Off Indicator solid. No volume catalysts. 12H–4H: Bullish structure preserved, compression under resistance, supports holding (106k–106.5k), average volume. 2H–1H: Compression, repeated tests of 106,036 support, buying appears at each rebound; no clear selling continuation. 30min–15min: Technical correction, micro-bearish divergence on Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, but ISPD DIV buy marker on 106,036–106,210 cluster. Stable volume. Summary: All ≥1H timeframes are bullish; 15m/30m show corrective compression in a mature, defended range. Strategic Outlook: - BTCUSDT continues to consolidate in a mature range with a multi-frequency support cluster at 106,036–106,210. - Broadly UP trend, robust Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, no exogenous catalysts. - Opportunity zone on cluster support test; confirm any bounce with returning flows or 15m behavioral signal. - Key stop <105,900, progressive profit-taking below 108,000–108,300. - Macro watch (PMI, ISM, FOMC) essential to anticipate volatility pickup or trend change. On-chain / Macro: No short-term systemic risks. General wait-and-see, no stress or euphoria. Consolidative setup. Risk / Reward: Adjust leverage and strict risk control; ratio ≥3:1 maintained as long as cluster support holds. Recommended management: No chasing, favor range-buy approaches, dynamic stops, and gradual profit-taking on resistance. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
BTCUSD - The Binary Set of Possible Futures for BitcoinBitcoin priced in dollars will eventually go to infinity or to zero. This chart is a more precise model of an idea I've been toying with for a few months. It fits the past price cycles extremely accurately, if we are willing to disregard the lower end of the Covid crash wick and stick to monthly closes. It also predicts the binary set of possible futures for Bitcoin in an extremely elegant way. According to this model, regardless of which path Bitcoin price takes after this cycle, we will see a top around $111,800 around spring 2025 - April 2025 if it hits the nadir of the arch exactly. We will have a strong clue about which of the two futures (infinity or zero) Bitcoin is headed towards when we see whether it bottoms near $16,000 (Bitcoin to Zero) or bottoms near $24,000 (Bitcoin to Infinity) next bear market. The model predicts hyperinflation of the dollar in 2037 on the "Bitcoin infinity path," or alternatively Bitcoin to digital trash in 2036 on the "Bitcoin zero path."
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by funtimes