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From Quake 3 Rocket Jumps to Tesla Dumps: Why $406 Is Headed forGather ’round, folks—let this boomer dust off his old mechanical keyboard and crack open a fresh Monster Energy drink before giving you the lowdown on Tesla’s stock. Yes, I’m talking about Tesla, which is currently revving around $406 a share, but mark my words: it’s about to drop so hard you’ll think a rocket jump in Quake 3 just went catastrophically wrong. I predict this baby’s going down to $240—and don’t bother putting on your Fortnite skin or doing a goofy dance, because I’ve already seen the future, and it ain’t pretty. Now, before you kids start panicking, let me remind you of one crucial fact: I knew Elon Musk back when he was just a scrawny kid messing around with Quake 3. Oh, that’s right. The man might be a billionaire now, but he used to get absolutely clobbered in the arena by yours truly. I still remember how he’d bring me diamonds every time I rocket-jumped over his sorry plasma-shooting behind. It’s partly how he got into all that diamond business in the first place—dude had to keep paying me tribute after every round he lost. Fast-forward to today, and Tesla’s in an eerily similar situation to those old Quake 3 matches. Just like a naive newbie thinks he can spam the rocket launcher without consequences, Tesla keeps hovering at nosebleed valuations, which sooner or later come crashing down. I’m telling you, $406 is about to turn into $240, and here’s why: first, Tesla’s hogging the spotlight like a kid who won’t stop flossing in Fortnite, and you know how the market loves to kill hype when the mania goes too far. Second, I’ve lived long enough (while polishing my Quake 3 trophies and pounding Monsters) to see that what goes up fast in the market must eventually come back down to earth—especially when investors get fatigued. Third, just like Quake 3 once faced an onslaught of competitors, Tesla’s got rivals cropping up everywhere, all gunning for a piece of the EV throne. So, take it from this boomer: you might see all the fancy headlines and kids dancing around like they’re in Fortnite, but the real shot-callers are the ones who’ve been through the trenches—ones who used to humiliate Elon Musk in Quake 3, no less (and yes, I’ll keep reminding you of that, because I earned those bragging rights). When I say Tesla’s going down to $240, you better believe I’m calling it like a rocket shot across Blood Run. And if you happen to run into Musk, do me a favor: tell him I’m still holding onto some of those diamonds he gave me after our last match. After all, a boomer’s got to have his trophies. Remember, this is not Fortnite—this is real life, and in real life, gravity always wins. #tesla #quake3 #monsterenergy #boomerpower #musk #shortyourself #bletnahuy #polandkurva #japan #freemoon #investadvice #supersmartanalysis #notgaylikeyou
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by UnitedFreedomJapan
Shiba Inu / USD Cryptocurrency | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Shiba Inu / USD Cryptocurrency - Double Formation * (Zero Trade)) | Completed Survey | Subdivision 1 * ABCDE Triangle Entry | Subdivision 2 - Triple Formation * (Reversal Argument)) | Retracement Area * Pattern Confirmation | Long Set up | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
CAPITALCOM:SHIBUSDShort
by TradePolitics
Sable Offshore Corporation (SOC): A Comprehensive Overview Acquisition of ExxonMobil’s Assets In February 2024, Sable Offshore Corporation (SOC) finalized the acquisition of ExxonMobil’s Santa Ynez Unit (SYU). This asset includes three offshore oil platforms—Hondo, Harmony, and Heritage—and the onshore Las Flores Canyon processing facility in Santa Barbara County, California. Initially valued at $643 million, the transaction ultimately closed at $989 million, reflecting accrued interest and interim costs. The purchase was primarily financed through a $625 million loan from ExxonMobil. The SYU was once a prolific oil-producing asset, responsible for 671 million barrels of oil from 1981 to 2015, when a pipeline rupture halted production. The remaining reserves are substantial, with 646 million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) estimated, comprising 86% oil and 13% natural gas. Restarting operations, however, requires significant regulatory and logistical hurdles to be overcome before the January 2026 deadline, or the assets risk reverting to ExxonMobil. Pre-Production Requirements SOC must address the following key challenges before production can resume: 1. Regulatory Approvals : SOC needs federal and state permits, particularly from agencies like the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) and California’s Department of Conservation. 2. Environmental Assessments : California’s stringent regulations require comprehensive Environmental Impact Assessments (EIAs) to mitigate ecological risks. 3. Infrastructure Repairs : Repairing the ruptured pipeline and ensuring compliance with safety standards will require an estimated $197 million in additional investments. 4. Community Engagement : Addressing environmental and community concerns is critical to gaining public and local government support. Challenges Under California Environmental Laws SOC faces significant obstacles due to California’s regulatory framework, including: - California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) : Requires all projects to identify and mitigate significant environmental impacts. - California Coastal Sanctuary Act of 1994 : Prevents new offshore oil leases in state waters but does not directly affect SOC’s federal leases. - Recent Legislation : In 2024, Governor Gavin Newsom enacted laws granting local governments more power to restrict oil production and accelerate the decommissioning of idle wells. The Game-Changer: Trump’s Executive Order On January 20, 2025, President Trump issued a landmark executive order declaring a national energy emergency. This order drastically alters SOC’s prospects by overriding state-level regulatory obstacles. Key provisions include: - Defense Production Act : SOC’s oil is classified as critical to national defense, granting the federal government the authority to expedite operations. - Federal Preemption Powers : California’s environmental restrictions are deemed a threat to national security, allowing the federal government to override them. - Military Construction Authority : SOC’s infrastructure is designated as a strategic defense asset, enabling accelerated repairs and upgrades under military authority. Valuation Analysis: SOC’s Massive Upside Potential Peer Valuation Comparison Comparable mid-sized oil companies are valued at $20–$30 per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) . SOC’s current valuation implies a mere $4.87 per BOE , significantly undervalued relative to its peers. Stock Valuation Scenarios Based on SOC’s reserves (646 million BOE) and the impact of the executive order, here are the potential valuations: 1. Optimistic Scenario : - Assumptions : SOC restarts production by Q4 2025, oil prices remain at $80/barrel, and regulatory hurdles are eliminated. - Enterprise Value (EV) : 646 million BOE × $30/BOE = $19.38 billion . - Net Debt : $1 billion. - Market Capitalization : $19.38 billion - $1 billion = $18.38 billion . - Stock Price : $18.38 billion / 100 million shares = $183.80 per share . 2. Moderate Scenario : - Assumptions : SOC faces minor delays, production restarts by mid-2025, and oil prices decline slightly to $70/barrel. - Enterprise Value (EV) : 646 million BOE × $25/BOE = $16.15 billion . - Net Debt : $1.2 billion. - Market Capitalization : $16.15 billion - $1.2 billion = $14.95 billion . - Stock Price : $14.95 billion / 100 million shares = $149.50 per share . 3. Pessimistic Scenario : - Assumptions : Significant delays prevent production until late 2026, missing the deadline and risking asset reversion to Exxon. Oil prices drop to $50/barrel. - Enterprise Value (EV) : 646 million BOE × $15/BOE = $9.69 billion . - Net Debt : $1.5 billion. - Market Capitalization : $9.69 billion - $1.5 billion = $8.19 billion . - Stock Price : $8.19 billion / 100 million shares = $81.90 per share . Conclusion SOC’s acquisition of ExxonMobil’s Santa Ynez Unit presents a massive deep-value opportunity. With 646 million BOE of reserves , the company is undervalued at just $4.87 per BOE compared to peer valuations of $20–$30 per BOE. President Trump’s executive order drastically shifts the regulatory landscape, enabling SOC to potentially restart production before the January 2026 deadline. SOC’s stock could reach $149–$183 per share in a successful scenario, representing significant upside from its current price of approximately $27 per share. However, risks remain tied to execution, oil prices, and potential regulatory challenges despite federal intervention. Investors should monitor SOC’s progress and federal actions closely.
NYSE:SOCLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
MCHP Bullish Setup – 1:25 R:R with 3 Consecutive Doji CandlesNASDAQ:MCHP has arrived at a key historical support level, and we’ve now seen 3 consecutive doji candles, indicating indecision but a potential bullish reversal. The stock remains in a long-term uptrend, with the all-time high (ATH) not far off. Increased volume suggests renewed buying pressure, offering an excellent 1:25 risk-to-reward ratio if support holds. After my stop was triggered this month, I’ve bought back in, confident in the strength of this setup. This analysis is supported by the invite-only Trend Recognition Indicator by PattRec .
NASDAQ:MCHPLong
by PattRec
Major Multi-Year Low in for EURUSD?EURUSD has moved high enough to consider a major low in place. Wave C of (2) is an ending diagonal which means a swift rally may be looming nearby. Consider the Jan 13 low of 1.0177 as the end of wave (2)/(B) and a wave (3)/(C) rally has begun. This rally has upside targets at: 1.11-1.12 1.18 1.29 A print below 1.0258 is unexpected. Therefore, if EURUSD drops below 1.0258, then we'll need to reassess as that is not expected. Bottom line, this rally should be swift. Don't go crazy with leverage. Let the market do the work for you.
Long
by JWagnerFXTrader
UNH Stock Analysis: Potential Reversal Zone in a Downward ImpulsNYSE:UNH (UnitedHealth Group) appears to be in a downward impulsive wave, currently within the fifth wave. I anticipate a potential bounce near the blue horizontal line, which could act as a key support level. This analysis highlights a possible reversal zone, but keep in mind that this is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Always monitor price action and volume closely to confirm any movement. #UNH #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #StockMarket #ElliottWave #SwingTrading
NYSE:UNHShort
by omossa
A Market Teetering on the Edge: Is EA Poised for a Rebound?With NASDAQ-EA trading at $118.70, down nearly 30% from its all-time high of $168.50 just 63 days ago, the market presents a mix of caution and intrigue. RSI levels languish deep in oversold territory, with daily RSI14 at an eye-popping 12.19—signaling potential exhaustion in bearish momentum. Add to this the emergence of high-volume buy signals, such as the VSA Buy Pattern Extra, hinting at possible accumulation near powerful support zones. But here’s the burning question: Is this just a pause in the downtrend, or are we witnessing the groundwork for a bullish reversal? The price has been consolidating under key resistance at $126.40 while remaining well above the critical support at $113.57. As we dive into the charts, traders and investors alike must decide: Is this a time for patience, or a moment to seize the opportunity? NASDAQ-EA Roadmap: A Path Through Patterns Here’s how the recent market narrative unfolded for NASDAQ-EA, based on the patterns’ sequence and their main directions. Let’s walk through the roadmap of events to understand the technical dynamics and validate the signals. 1. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Starting Signal The session on 2025-01-23 10:00 UTC kicked off with a bullish VSA Buy Pattern. The pattern suggested an upward movement, confirmed by subsequent price action. The high of $143.27 aligned with the bullish prediction. The trigger was set at a low of $120.50, with the price bouncing back robustly. Main Direction: Buy Outcome: The next pattern supported the bullish trajectory, validating this pattern's forecast. 2. Sell Volumes Take Over – A Divergence in Direction The next notable signal emerged on 2025-01-23 15:00 UTC, highlighting increased sell volumes. This suggested a bearish reversal from the earlier upward move. However, the market defied the expectation, holding the $126.4 support and continuing higher, indicating that the trigger failed to activate. Main Direction: Sell Outcome: Rejected – This pattern didn’t play out due to sustained bullish momentum. 3. Buy Volumes Max – A Bullish Confirmation Following this, a strong Buy Volumes Max signal emerged on 2025-01-23 14:00 UTC, confirming the market’s intention to stay bullish. The price reached a high of $126.71, creating a significant movement upward. This pattern marked a key moment in establishing a robust upward trend. Main Direction: Buy Outcome: Confirmed – Momentum aligned with the forecast. 4. VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Climax of Confidence On 2025-01-23 17:00 UTC, another VSA Buy Pattern surfaced, affirming a long-term upward drive. The subsequent high of $130 reinforced this direction, proving its credibility. This pattern’s precision and alignment with previous signals made it a pivotal moment. Main Direction: Buy Outcome: Verified – Price action aligned perfectly, solidifying bullish confidence. 5. Increased Sell Volumes – A Temporary Reprieve The market showed a shift on 2025-01-22 21:00 UTC, with an Increased Sell Volumes pattern. Despite a minor pullback to $120, the upward trend persisted, invalidating the bearish prediction. This marked the sellers’ inability to seize control. Main Direction: Sell Outcome: Failed – Price action rejected the bearish forecast. Key Takeaways for Traders and Investors Bullish patterns dominated the sequence, with successful confirmations in 3 out of 5 instances. The alignment of VSA Buy Patterns highlighted the reliability of these signals for medium-term forecasts. Failed bearish patterns suggest strong buying pressure, keeping the market in an upward trend. Stay tuned for the next wave of market action! Whether you're riding the trend or waiting for the next pivot, these patterns provide a clear narrative for navigating NASDAQ-EA. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch The market’s dance around support and resistance zones can reveal its next moves. Let’s break down the levels currently steering NASDAQ-EA and how to approach them. Remember, if these levels don’t hold, they’ll flip into resistance, and the bulls or bears will have to face them again. Support Levels to Keep on Your Radar 113.57 – A critical level; if it breaks, expect a retest to confirm resistance. 109.83 – A deeper pullback zone where buyers might reload if momentum weakens. Resistance Levels to Break for Bullish Continuation 126.4 – The first line of defense for bears. A breakout here could ignite a stronger rally. 143.01 – A psychological zone tied to past highs; watch for reaction here. 145.79 – This level could be the gatekeeper for more significant upside potential. Powerful Support Levels – Where the Big Boys Are Watching 144.61 – A make-or-break zone for bulls if the market revisits lower prices. 163.86 – The last stronghold for buyers, holding the line from deeper corrections. Powerful Resistance Levels – Overhead Barriers 113.79 – If this flips, expect it to become a strong ceiling on pullbacks. Pro Tip for Traders: Levels don’t exist in isolation. Always look for price action confirmation—like wick rejections, candle closes, or volume spikes—when testing these zones. If you see these signs fail to hold, flip your mindset and consider these levels as the next barriers to overcome. Trading Strategies with Rays: Precision Meets Probability The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept offers a robust approach to understanding market dynamics, providing clarity on probable price scenarios while avoiding the pitfalls of predicting exact levels. Let’s explore the concept, scenarios, and actionable trade setups. Concept of Rays: The Fibonacci-Based Framework Rays, based on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, are dynamic tools that define key zones of price interaction. Each ray starts from the beginning of a movement, capturing the natural flow of the trend or correction. Here’s why this matters: Dynamic Levels: Rays adapt to new patterns, keeping you ahead of the curve. Clear Scenarios: Price interaction signals continuation or reversal, but only after interaction with a ray. Directional Guidance: Moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, and MA233) enhance ray analysis, acting as dynamic support or resistance. Why Focus on Probability, Not Precision? The nonlinear nature of financial markets makes predicting exact levels unfeasible. Instead, rays reveal key zones where price interaction is likely. This simplifies decision-making and identifies high-probability trade setups. Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Regain Control First Target: $126.4 – Interaction with this ray and support from MA50 signals a breakout opportunity. Second Target: $143.01 – Sustained momentum leads to this resistance zone, amplified by MA100 convergence. Third Target: $145.79 – Interaction here suggests another leg upward, with potential consolidation around MA200 for further continuation. Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Take the Wheel First Target: $113.57 – A breakdown below this ray opens a move to this support. Second Target: $109.83 – Failure at MA50 and interaction with this ray could accelerate downward momentum. Third Target: $108.53 – Price interaction signals potential bottoming, but further selling pressure could test this absolute low. Suggested Trade Setups: From Ray to Ray Buy at $126.4: Enter on a breakout above this ray with MA50 support. Target $143.01, with $145.79 as the stretch goal. Short at $126.4: If price rejects this ray, target $113.57 with a protective stop-loss above $126.4. Buy at $113.57: Look for bullish price action signals after interaction. First target $126.4, second target $143.01. Short at $143.01: If price fails to hold above this ray, target $126.4. For risk-takers, $113.57 offers a secondary target. Key Takeaway for Traders: Use ray interaction as your signal to act. Each move from ray to ray provides clarity on the next targets, with moving averages acting as dynamic guides. Adjust your position size and risk accordingly, but remember: patience pays when trading with rays. Let’s Keep the Conversation Going! Got questions about the analysis or want to discuss the roadmap in more detail? Drop your thoughts directly in the comments! I’m here to chat, clarify, and help you sharpen your trading game. Don’t forget to Boost this post and save it to your favorites—it’s the best way to track how the price moves according to my layout. Understanding key levels and reaction points is essential for building confident trades, and I’d love for you to revisit this analysis later to see how it played out. For those of you intrigued by my Rays and Levels Strategy, here’s the insider tip: the indicator automatically maps out all these zones, but it’s currently available in Private Only. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to message me directly, and we can discuss access options. If you’d like custom analysis on a specific asset, I can make it happen! Some requests I’m happy to share for free with the community, while others can remain private just for you—perfect if you want to keep your edge to yourself. Either way, let’s collaborate to make your trading more precise. Rays work on all assets, from stocks to crypto, and I’m happy to mark them up for you. Just Boost this post, write your request in the comments, and I’ll get to it as soon as I can. And, of course, make sure to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on my latest ideas, strategies, and insights. Trading is a journey, and I’d be thrilled to have you along for the ride! 🚀
NASDAQ:EAShort
by brandlabelden
KOLD: Potential Reversal Play Near Demand ZoneInstrument: ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (KOLD) Timeframe: 4H Heikin Ashi The ETF has been in a downtrend, characterized by a descending trend line connecting the lower highs. Recent price action suggests an early breakout above the descending trend line, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Stochastic RSI also shows oversold conditions with a bullish crossover forming, indicating momentum may favor an upward move. Sector Rotation: Recent trends suggest the energy sector is undergoing a sector rotation as market participants focus on cyclical and value stocks, especially in commodities like natural gas. This aligns with a potential upside for KOLD in the short term. Trump Policy Influence: With renewed attention on energy policies influenced by Trump's stance on energy independence and deregulation, investor sentiment in the energy sector is expected to shift. This policy backdrop could provide additional momentum for a bullish move. Entry: ~ $33.72 Stop Loss: Below $26.70 (demand zone distal line). Targets: $34.01 (short-term target, RRR ~2:1). $42.79 (mid-term target, RRR ~4:1). $48.68 (long-term target, RRR ~6:1). Position size: Risk no more than 1–2% of account balance per trade. Supply Zones: Supply Zones identified at $42.79, $48.68, and $63.22, providing potential take-profit areas for bullish trades. A major resistance at $78.83, marking the upper boundary for a long-term bullish trend. Demand Zone: Significant Demand Zone in the $26.73–$27.78 range, a critical area for potential price reversal . Disclaimer: This idea is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. You are solely responsible for your actions and decisions.
AMEX:KOLDLong
by MESHANL
Emergent BioSolutions Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Emergent BioSolutions Stock Quote - Double Formation * (Consolidation Argument)) At 4.50 USD * 15.00 USD | Area Of Value | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (Open Trade)) At 13.00 USD | Subdivision 2 * ABCDE Triangle Perspective & Entry Area | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
CAPITALCOM:EBSLong
by TradePolitics
Gold continues to rise Gold has recently shown a clear upward trend, and the price has steadily climbed along a long-term upward trend line. After a brief adjustment, the hourly price has once again broken through the previous resistance level of 2,763, showing strong bullish power. The lower support level is 2,730. This is a key support level confirmed by the upward trend line and the previous price correction low of 2,690. If it goes down here, the short-term trend of gold will change. The upper resistance level is 2,780. The current price is close to a new round of resistance area, and it may take greater bullish momentum to effectively break through. Overall, gold shows an obvious flag consolidation, which is a correction form after the price breaks through 2,763. Flag consolidation is usually a continuation signal of the upward trend, indicating that it may continue to rise in the future. The current price has broken through the upper rail of the flag, verifying the possibility of bulls continuing to exert force. According to the amplitude of the previous upward trend from 2,657 to 2,763, it is speculated that the short-term target of gold prices may be 2,790 or higher. Short-term risk: If the price falls back to 2,763, be alert to the possibility of a fall back to test the trend line support. Trading strategy recommendations: Long strategy: After breaking through the upper track of the flag, it is recommended to set a short-term long target of 2,790 and set a stop loss below 2,763 to reduce the risk of a pullback. Short strategy: If the price fails to break through 2,780 and shows signs of weakness, consider shorting near the resistance level, but pay attention to the support strength of 2,763. Risk warning: Gold prices are highly sensitive to market risk aversion and the US dollar index, and close attention should be paid to major events such as macroeconomic data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RonPeter_Trading