Wave Analysis
EURAUD CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEUR/AUD Continues Bullish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor.
The EUR/AUD pair is sustaining its bullish trend structure, reinforced by a bullish engulfing candle following a secondary correction. This price action signals strong buying interest and suggests the uptrend is likely to continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential breakout opportunities toward higher targets while keeping an eye on key support levels for risk management.
Bullish Confirmation: Bullish Engulfing Candle.
The appearance of a bullish engulfing candle after a pullback indicates a resurgence of buyer dominance. This pattern typically marks the end of a temporary decline and the resumption of the primary uptrend. With momentum favoring the bulls, the pair is expected to push higher unless a clear reversal signal emerges.
Upside Target: 1.82700 in Focus.
If the bullish momentum holds, EUR/AUD could advance toward the immediate resistance at 1.82700. A decisive break above this level may open the door for further gains, with traders looking for continuation patterns to confirm strength.
Key Support: 1.76300 as Critical Floor.
On the downside, 1.76300 serves as a crucial support level. Any retracement toward this zone could attract fresh buying interest, maintaining the bullish bias. A sustained drop below this level would be needed to invalidate the current uptrend and signal a potential reversal.
Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact.
Given the recent price action, EUR/AUD remains poised for further upside. Traders should monitor economic developments, including Eurozone and Australian economic data, for additional directional cues.
Conclusion-
EUR/AUD’s bullish trend remains strong, with 1.82700 as the next key target and 1.76300 acting as major support. Unless a bearish reversal pattern forms, buying on dips near support levels may present favorable opportunities. Always use proper risk management to navigate potential volatility.
ZKJ/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.2110 - 0.2135
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
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From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
GOLD/SIlver Ratio Signals Risk On Gold/Silver ratio represents the appetite for risk
Stronger gold means risk off and vice versa
In spring, the ratio had hit the target for leg 2 (blue) within
large consolidation that took over 4 years to emerge
It travelled the equal distance of leg 1 (blue) and then reversed.
The next step might be the continuation to the downside for the ratio.
The minimum target is to hit the bottom of red leg 1 at 63.
The next target is located at the distance of the red leg 1 subtracted from the peak of blue leg 2. It was set at 43.
Both downside targets are within historical range.
Gold/Copper ratio shows same dynamics of "Risk-On" attitude on the market.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory.
The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase.
We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels.
This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view.
🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
#Banknifty directions and levels for June 30The structures are still the same as what we saw in Friday’s session. We are currently in a minor consolidation zone, so if the market faces rejection near the immediate resistance, we can expect a retracement of around 38% to 50% in the minor swing.
On the other hand, if the market breaks the immediate resistance with a solid structure, then it could reach the next resistance level with the strong bullish bias.
CoinbaseThere isn't much to add to my COIN analysis. Price hit just shy of the 1.618 and then reversed. Price dropped by almost 10% from that last high. This bodes well for the top being in and the irregular (B) wave pattern prevailing. We still have a lot of work to do to prove that is what is happening though. Until we can breach $277 followed by a breach of $232.85, we can't be for certain. Yes, we will have hints on the way down. However, these price points will be what confirms the pattern lower. As I said above, COIN has a lot of work to do to prove its intentions. This last move up I think is largely due to the end of the quarter, congressional legislation, and FOMO.
MACD is back to within the red trend lines and appears to be weakening to the downside. This shouldn't be too surprising given how far we fell last Friday. That move lower, has created a 3-wave move thus far. Another local low before starting a consolidation higher would create a 5-wave pattern bringing more clarity, but it isn't required.
Again, I don't want to see another high made above last Thursdays if (B) is to be correct. A new high itself doesn't invalidate an irregular (B), but it would cause me to become very skeptical of it.
When I said last week that COIN has a pivotal moment right in front of it, I wasn't kidding. It appears to have chosen a move lower for now, but it is not guaranteed to continue and we could always move higher again from here. Just be careful in whatever position you take, and use stops to protect your assets.
#Nifty directions and levels for June 30:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for June 30:
Market Overview
There have been no changes in the global or local markets. Both the global markets and our local markets are showing bullish sentiment.
Gift Nifty is indicating a positive start of around 20 points today.
So, what can we expect today?
The structures are still the same as what we saw in Friday’s session. We are currently in a minor consolidation zone, so if the market faces rejection near the immediate resistance, we can expect a retracement of around 38% to 50% in the minor swing.
On the other hand, if the market breaks the immediate resistance with a solid structure, then it could reach the next resistance level with the strong bullish bias.
PalantirOn Friday Palantir dropped pretty hard causing MACD to drop all the way to our bottom trend line. It created overlap with the pattern which brings a further rise to the target box into question. On thing I can say about this pattern with certainty, is it is very sloppy. It in no way appears as an impulsive pattern due to the choppy overlapping nature of it. This is what leads me to believe it is an ED.
If it is an ED that leaves us with two possibilities. It is either within its wave 4, which would explain the overlap, or it just finished (v) of (5) of ((1)). We need more price action to determine which count prevails. A drop below $117.22 and that is a huge warning that the upside is done. Below $105.32 and that confirms it for me.
To raise higher again breaching our ATH shows that the ED is not yet done and we're most likely rising to the $160 area. Don't forget, when an ED finished, it moves towards the place of origin in a strong move.
$BTC Weekend Update - A New Hope - 6/29Hello fellow degenerates,
Price held beautifully above 106.6k key level and is now attempting a test of 110.4k level. We are in a high risk zone as we do have a lot of levels that could initiate a reversal down, so ultimate caution is needed.
- Price hit the target where a Wave 1 could be so I am looking for a possible retracement that would take us towards 103k.
- In the most bullish scenario, both Wave 1 and 2 have been completed and price could just break above ATH and continue higher, but this is just wishful thinking.
- Currently watching for a break above the Parallel channel resistance
- Levels to Watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k, 101k
EUR/USD Keeps Climbing – Dollar on the Back FootEUR/USD is still pushing higher today, trading around 1.171 and showing no signs of slowing down. The pair’s strength is backed by both technical momentum and the current market backdrop.
What’s fueling the move? Simple: the US dollar is under pressure again. Fresh concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence — especially with talks around replacing Powell — are shaking investor confidence. That’s giving the euro the upper hand and helping this pair hover near its highest level in four years.
Looks like the bulls aren’t done yet. You riding this trend?
Gold Drops Sharply as Risk Appetite ReturnsGlobal gold prices extended their sharp decline into the final trading session of the week, sliding more than 1.5% and pausing around $3,274/oz as safe-haven sentiment continues to erode.
📰 What’s driving the sell-off?
The primary trigger is the official signing of a trade agreement between the US and China, marking the end of a prolonged trade standoff. US Commerce Secretary confirmed that more agreements will follow before the July 9 deadline, including a commitment by China to supply rare earths to the US. This announcement sparked broad optimism across global markets, significantly reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Geopolitics also turned more constructive. Iran has expressed diplomatic goodwill, with its UN representative stating the country is ready to negotiate a regional nuclear coalition if a deal with Washington is reached. Meanwhile, Al Arabiya reported that the Israel–Gaza conflict may conclude within two weeks, further lowering geopolitical tensions.
On the data front, US economic indicators continue to surprise to the upside. Core PCE rose 2.7% YoY in May, beating forecasts, while durable goods orders and jobless claims both reflected strength in the US economy. Still, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari reiterated that two rate cuts are likely in 2025, suggesting the Fed remains open to easing once inflation cools further.
🔍 Technical outlook
Gold has broken below the key $3,330 support, confirming a short-term bearish structure. If the correction continues, the next levels to watch are $3,245, and more critically, the $3,200 zone.
In the short term, gold faces downside risk due to improving global economic sentiment and easing geopolitical threats. However, over the medium to long term, Fed policy shifts and unforeseen geopolitical events could still reverse the current trend.
Stay alert, watch the charts, and trade smart.
Have a great weekend, everyone! 🌍📊
$GC / $MGC / Gold - Weekend Update - 6/29Hello fellow gamblers,
The target for the ABC retracement has been hit and we are now looking for a reversal confirmation to enter any buying positions.
- The target for a possible Wave 1 of a new cycle will be above 3402.
- 3283 level needs to hold. A break of this level could take price lower towards 3208 to fill the VP gap.
- Levels to watch: 3208 - 3283 - 3357 - 3418
AUDNZD short term LONG idea in M30AUDNZD short term BUY idea. AUDNZD is in reversal in Daily and H4 timeframes.
Possible setup for AUDNZD to turn long in M30 TF.
Please note the historical charts shows this pair has lot of liquidity sweeps and manipulation. Please trade with proper risk management.
This is for educational purpose only. Not a financial or investment advise.
XAUUSD June 29,2025🟦 XAUUSD Analysis – June 29, 2025
Market Structure:
Price is in a bearish trend on the 1H timeframe.
Liquidity is resting below a recent low around $3,240 (Sell-Side Liquidity – SSL).
There is a visible Order Block (OB) around $3,310–$3,320, which could act as a magnet if price reverses.
Anticipated Move (Blue Path):
1. Price is expected to drop below the SSL to trigger stop-losses and collect liquidity.
2. After the liquidity grab, a bullish reversal is likely.
3. Price may then rally toward the OB, which could act as resistance or a point for institutional selling.
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🔎 Probability Breakdown:
Event: Break below SSL (~$3,240)
Likelihood: ✅ High
Note: Classic liquidity grab setup
Event: Bullish reversal after sweep
Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate–High
Note: Wait for confirmation (BOS, FVG, bullish candle)
Event: Rally to OB (~$3,310–$3,320)
Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate
Note: Depends on bullish structure forming
Event: Rejection from OB
Likelihood: ✅ High
Note: OB may act as supply zone
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⚠️ Caution:
This scenario is only valid if price grabs SSL first.
No entry should be made without a proper bullish confirmation (e.g., break of structure, fair value gap fill, or strong bullish candle).
Always use risk management – this is a hypothetical setup, not financial advice.
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GOLD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD keeps falling just
As I predicted but the price
Will soon hit a horizontal support
Around 3235$ from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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2290 Bullish Wolfe WaveA clean bullish Wolfe Wave setup is emerging, with price action completing the fifth wave just outside the channel – a typical trap zone before reversal.
Wave 5 shows early signs of a bullish reaction, suggesting a potential move toward the target line drawn from points (1) to (4).