Wave Analysis
wait for retest buys and sellsi count an impulsive 5th extension wave within bigger 3rd wave they can extend maximum 261.8% to 1950 but by that will be outside the main descending trendline i suppose will be a small retrace (wave4) at trend to get higher with wave 5 as shown in green
The second probability is that it will not extend that far and falling forming wave 4 to extend 5th wave at trend line forming a double top that will be my sell entry
more buys to 2700 $$ will come laterfor Elliott wave traders probably everybody see that the previous down trend was a correction of wave 2 and now on the way to wave 3 which will have to pass through 2075 but we have already a big bullish not-stop rally which will stop at some point loosing momentum and that's why i think it will retrace to take some breath making a Higher low on daily timeframe, maybe retesting previous downtrend or grabbing some liquidity at some major level, that will be my next buy entry
successful buys now a few years of sidewayfollowing last year prediction, xauusd is really near 2500 as predicted by adding wave 3 now the size match trend lines, i think this will do a short-term sharp retrace for wave 4 followed by short term wave 5 probably ending diagonal, than will start a bigger wave 4 wich will be more complex on the way to fish long term wave 5, than... "The" long term retrace
Finally a clear bigger viewthe pump happened in the last few days did wake something in me as i allways try to be aware of the "Dumps" before they can happen and the last pump was "too fast too far" must lead to something bigger and we are in a long long uptrend there must be something beneath it, when i recalculate trend lines matching waves i see we are in an extencion and almost at the end of it, there will be a lot of gain and bigger losts, this is why i am sharing this chart so you will have another point of view
Gold Outlook: Breakout Signals Further Upside PotentialGold FX:XAUUSD is currently in a strong uptrend, backed by both technical breakout and positive fundamentals. The price has decisively cleared the key resistance zone of $3,365–$3,370 and is hovering around $3,368. A healthy pullback to retest this zone could offer a high-probability long setup, with the next target projected at $3,470.
On the macro side, renewed U.S.–China trade tensions—following Trump’s accusations and tariff threats—along with the ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict, continue to fuel safe-haven demand for gold.
Technically, the structure remains bullish. However, a breakdown below $3,335 would invalidate the current setup and may lead to a deeper correction.
Let’s keep a close eye on this pullback zone. If momentum holds, gold could be gearing up for the next leg higher.
Take care and trade smart
USDCHF: A BUY OPPORTUNITY!!I'm going long, there's been a sweep of the previous low indicating a grab of liquidity to the downside and a break of structure to the upside indicating a continuation of the bullish trend. Price has created an internal liquidity to take out early buyers while preparing for a take off to the upside.
Nasdaq (NQ) Set to Complete 5 Waves, Defining Bullish TrendOn April 7, 2025, the Nasdaq (NQ), like other major global indices, marked a significant low, setting the stage for a potential bullish trend. From this low, the index has embarked on a five-wave impulsive rally. This a hallmark of bullish momentum in Elliott Wave theory. The initial advance, wave 1, peaked at 18,361.5. It was then followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2, which found support at 16,735. From there, the index resumed its upward trajectory in wave 3. The move up in wave 3 has an internal five-wave structure, signaling strong bullish momentum.
Within wave 3, the first sub-wave, ((i)), concluded at 19,386.75. Subsequent pullback in wave ((ii)) found support at 17,700. The index then surged higher in wave ((iii)), reaching 21,562. Afterwards, a corrective dip in wave ((iv)) ended at 20,725.04, as illustrated on the one-hour chart. This wave ((iv)) correction unfolded as a double-three Elliott Wave pattern. Wave (w) bottomed at 21,072.75 and wave (x) peaked at 21,337.5. The final leg, wave (y), concluded at 20,725.04, completing the correction.
The Nasdaq has since turned higher in wave ((v)). From the wave ((iv)) low, wave (i) advanced to 21,858.75, followed by a pullback in wave (ii) to 21,071.5. The index is now poised to extend higher in wave (iii) of ((v)), continuing the impulsive rally from the April 7 low. In the near term, as long as the pivotal low at 20,725.04 holds, any pullbacks are expected to find support in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, paving the way for further upside. This technical setup suggests the Nasdaq is well-positioned to sustain its bullish momentum in the coming sessions, provided key support levels remain intact.
xauusd 1hThis chart is a technical analysis of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Key Levels:
1. Register Point (Resistance) – Around 3,391.444
Marked in a purple zone.
Price previously reversed from this level.
2. Spot Zone / 1st Setup Area – Around 3,342.968 to 3,354.784
This is an important decision area where price is currently consolidating.
Acts as a potential support turned resistance or a breakout zone.
3. Target Level (Support) – Around 3,302.368
Highlighted in blue, this is the expected downside target if price breaks below the setup area.
Chart Implications:
The chart suggests a bearish bias:
After hitting the register point, price has started to decline.
A minor pullback or consolidation occurred in the spot zone.
If price fails to hold above this zone and breaks below 3,342.968, the next target could be 3,302.368.
Potential Strategy (based on this analysis):
Short Entry: Below the spot zone or after a confirmation candle.
Stop Loss: Just above 3,354.784 (top of the spot zone).
Take Profit: Around 3,302.368 (target level).
Let me know if you'd like this chart turned into a trade plan or if you want me to overlay this logic onto another timeframe or instrument.
TRB/USDTKey Level Zone: 43.500 - 43.900
HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
XAU/USD Update - Riding Wave 5 to the TopGold continues its bullish recovery, having completed Wave (4) at the channel low. We're now riding Wave (5) with strong momentum.
🔹 Entry Executed: Entered long at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement – $3,272.57, a key confluence zone with the EMA and previous structure support.
📈 Bullish Targets:
$3,396.89 (0.27 extension)
$3,463.25 (0.618 extension)
$3,499.84 (1.0 extension / Wave (5) completion)
The move is playing out cleanly, with RSI confirming upside momentum. As long as price holds above the 0.5–0.618 zone, bulls remain in control.
Letting this one breathe — eyes on higher highs. 💰📈
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
RIOT / 2hNASDAQ:RIOT worked 6.5% retracing up today, which may be considered as wave x upward.
There are differing formations that an entire correction may develop.
So, the short-term bearish case remains intact. And a decline of 20% is expected to follow soon.
The first Fib-retracement target >> 7.68
The next target >> 7.30
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
BANK: $0.07 | DeFi 2.0 for Big Fat Whales dormant staked Bitcoins tokenize another layer of market
where those staked BTCs parked as LTP YATS are traded in the same ecosystem
this another level of milking BTC Yields and sophisticated players
to speculate
from PERPS it goes into another level of madness
CLSK / 2hNASDAQ:CLSK worked 7% retracing up today. There are differing formations that a correction may develop. So, the short-term bearish case remains intact. The decline by 24% may considered as wave (w), and a retracement in the following wave (x) should be underway.
#CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
June 4, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Bullish momentum is weakening. Bulls must reclaim 3365 to regain control.
Watch 3350 closely — if it holds, bullish strength remains. If it breaks, consider short setups on pullbacks to resistance.
Today’s key zone to monitor: 3366–3350–3332.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3435 – Resistance
• 3415 – Resistance
• 3398–3400 – Psychological resistance zone
• 3385 – Intraday key resistance
• 3365 – Intraday key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3332 – Support
• 3323 – Critical support
• 3300 – Psychological level
📉 Macro Strategy:
1. SELL if price breaks below 3344 → watch 3332, then 3323 and 3310
2. BUY if price holds above 3365 → watch 3370, then 3379, 3385, and 3392
👍 Curious how I enter trades and place stops?
Tap boost to let me know there’s interest — I might do a dedicated post explaining my approach.
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Kotak Bank – Structure Speaks, Are You Listening?Kotak Bank appears to be in the final stages of a WXYXZ complex correction on the weekly timeframe, with a zigzag pattern unfolding in Wave Z . A rejection from the 2301.90 zone has initiated a clean 5-wave decline, setting the tone for the final leg of the corrective structure.
This analysis combines high-level structure from the weekly chart with internal confirmations from the daily timeframe.
Weekly Chart Highlights
Wave W completed at 1631.00.
A rally into Wave X followed, peaking around 2064.40.
Wave Y took the form of a contracting triangle, breaking down to 1543.85.
From there, a sharp rally into 2301.90 formed Wave X2, failing to extend impulsively — suggesting corrective nature.
The decline from X2 is forming a potential 5-3-5 zigzag, labeled as Wave Z.
Fibonacci projection for Wave C of Z lies between 0.618 (1863.65) and 1.0 (1592.75) of Wave A.
Invalidation level: A price move above 2301.90 invalidates the Z wave scenario.
Daily Chart Observations:
The internal structure from the 2301.90 top shows:
A 5-wave decline in Wave A, ending with a clear ending diagonal in the 5th wave.
This suggests exhaustion and a likely short-term bounce.
Wave B is anticipated as a 3-wave corrective rally, targeting:
0.5 retracement at 2168.05
0.618 retracement at 2199.65
A final 5-wave decline from there would complete Wave C and conclude the larger Wave Z.
Conclusion
Kotak Bank is potentially in the final zigzag leg (Wave Z) of a larger WXYXZ correction that has been unfolding for over two years. With multi-timeframe confluence and a clean internal structure, the path forward suggests a short-term bounce followed by one last leg down.
This setup offers high clarity for both short-term traders and long-term positional analysts awaiting the completion of a Wave 4 before a possible Wave 5 rally.
Price action will be updated as chart evolves.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
WULF / 30mNASDAQ:WULF has retraced up 4.7% today, according to the prior analysis.
An advance of just 3% is left to turn the correcting up in wave (b) downward, in the following same-degree wave (c).
Wave Analysis >> The diagonal pattern as the Minutte degree wave (a) quite well indicates that a relatively deep retracement is underway.
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
AMD Wave Analysis – 3 June 2025
- AMD reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 122.45
AMD recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 110.00 (low of the previous correction (2)), the 20-day moving average and the 38.2.% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from April.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
AMD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 122.45 (which stopped the earlier intermediate impulse wave (1) at the start of May).