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Wave Analysis

QNT Analysis (8H)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that NEIRO’s correction has begun. This correction appears to be a diagonal (diametric) pattern, and we are currently at the end of wave F. Wave G could complete within the green zone, where we can look for a Rebuy setup. The targets are marked on the chart. If a daily candle closes below the invalidation level, this analysis will be invalidated. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
XAU/USD 30 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. On H4 TF price has been failing to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
BITCOIN - Price can continue grow inside flat to $107933 level#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward. We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout. We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 106500, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound. We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 106000. Entry price: 106736 First target: 106996 Second target: 107434 Third target: 107933 To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management. When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change your stop order to an entry order. For inquiries, please comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
VIC/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.1590 - 0.1600 LMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align. Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading) - Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL. - While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones. - That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading. Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT) Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by: - Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork. - Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup. - Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively. - Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets. Whenever I share a signal, it’s because: - A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe. - Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent. - The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry. ***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note: The Role of Key Levels - Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer. - Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance. My Trading Rules (Unchanged) Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5% - Leverage: 5x Exit Strategy / Profit Taking - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike. - Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R. - Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History HM Signal : Date: 17/08/2023 - Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends - Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum - Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups HMT v1.0: Date: 18/10/2024 - Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework - Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis. - Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum HMT v2.0: Date: 17/12/2024 - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: Date: 23/12/2024 - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: Date: 31/12/2024 - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: Date: 05/01/2025 - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: Date: 06/01/2025 - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency LMT v1.0 : Date : 06/06/2025 - Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework LMT v2.0 Date: 11/06/2025
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
The Correlation Between EURJPY and NASDAQ You Shouldn't IgnoreCurrently keeping a close eye on EURJPY — price action has been bullish 📈, showing a strong upward push on the daily timeframe 🕒. Right now, we’re seeing a bit of indecision 🤔, which is fairly typical for a Monday session as the market finds its footing. 🔍 I’m watching for continuation to the upside, as long as NASDAQ remains bullish. That said, NASDAQ is looking quite overextended 🧗, and a pullback could trigger a short-term retracement in the euro as well — these two tend to move in correlation 🔗, so keep a close watch on NAS100 for early clues. If EURJPY consolidates sideways ⏸️, and we then get a clear break of market structure to the upside 🚀, I’ll be looking for a long setup on the retest and failure of the range floor — textbook continuation play 🎯. As always, this is not financial advice — full breakdown in the video 🎥.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Gold price bull-bear life and death line--3300Gold price bull-bear life and death line--3300 Gold rose in the Asian session today Buy on dips and technical rebound: Last Friday (June 28), gold fell 2%, hitting a low of $3247/ounce. Some investors believed that it was oversold in the short term and bought on dips during the Asian session. Key support level of $3,270: From a technical perspective, there is a concentrated area of ​​institutional buying near $3,270, which will trigger a short-term rebound. Near $3,300 is still a strong resistance range. Although Powell maintains a hawkish stance, the market is still betting on a rate cut in September (with a probability of more than 90%), and the decline in the US dollar index supports gold. As shown in Figure 4h: The current fluctuation range of gold price: 3240-3300, with a fluctuation range of nearly 60 US dollars Short selling strategy: Sell: 3295-3300 range Stop loss: 3305 Target: 3280-3270-3250 Buy 1: 3250 (conservative) Buy 2: 3270 (stable) Buy 3: 3280 (aggressive) Stop loss: 3240 Target: 3300-3320+ It is recommended to pay attention to the long-short strength dividing line near 3300 Standing at 3300, the market will continue to rise this week As long as the gold price is below 3300, take a high-altitude mentality
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Isla_suri001
6.30 Four-hour resistance determines the strength of the reboundAt the weekly level, the short-term focus is on the adjustment and continued breaking of the weekly support. As time goes by, the weekly support is at the 3285 watershed. At the daily level, after the price broke the daily support last week, the price continued to rely on the daily resistance to bear pressure. At present, the daily resistance is at the 3355 area resistance. Below this position, gold can continue to be shorted. At the four-hour level, the four-hour key position is the key to our emphasis on short-term trends. At present, the four-hour watershed is in the 3300 area, so the focus is on the gains and losses of this position. Before it breaks up, the short-term focus will be on the pressure first, but once it breaks up, it will need to focus on the rebound to the daily resistance. From the one-hour perspective, the bottom rebounded during the early morning session and broke through the high point of the previous trading day’s early morning retracement, so the short-term is still in adjustment. Temporarily pay attention to the gains and losses of the 3300 position, and treat it as the right-side trading method in terms of operation.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week. Technical analysis: Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short. 💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290 If you are a beginner, I suggest you first understand what trading is.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Johnny_Jun
Maintain gold selling pressure at the beginning of the weekXAU / USD trend forecast JUNE 30, 2025 ⚠️Gold (XAU/USD) extends its slide to the $3,265 zone in early Asian trade Monday, plumbing near one-month lows as risk appetite returns to the forefront. A breakthrough US-China rare earth agreement, hailed by markets, has tempered safe-haven demand, sending bullion lower. The ceasefire pact between Iran and Israel further fuels the risk-on tone. With the metal under pressure, traders now turn their focus to upcoming Fedspeak for direction, as rate path clarity remains elusive. ⚠️Gold prices continue to move below 3300, still mostly consolidating in a bearish range as Middle East peace talks move forward 🚨/// SELL XAU : zone 3327-3330 SL: 3335 TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips ( 3300 ) 🚨/// BUY XAU : zone 3245 - 3248 SL: 3240 TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips ( 3275 ) When you make enough money, there is nothing you can't do.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Johnny_Jun
1
GBP/CAD (Two Trade Recaps) EUR/NZD Long and GBP/JPY LongEUR/NZD Long Minimum entry requirements: - If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. - If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. - If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. - If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/JPY Long Minimum entry requirements: - Tap into area of value. - 1H impulse up above area of value. - If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. - If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Long
by StewySongs
#NEO is back at its historical demand zone!#NEO The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 5.45. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 5.30, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 5.55 First target: 5.63 Second target: 5.73 Third target: 5.86 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach your first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Gold Analysis – June 29, 2025 With the escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel, market expectations leaned heavily toward a bullish breakout in gold. However, contrary to popular belief, capital flow shifted toward oil, not gold — boosting oil prices significantly. The war may have fueled this move, but it wasn’t the only factor. 🔸 Technically, gold confirmed a trend change on the daily timeframe by breaking below the $3290 level. As of now, there's no strong momentum suggesting a new high in the short term. 📉 Our mid-term projection sees the $3340–$3350 zone as a key supply area where sellers could regain control and potentially push the price down toward the $3200 level. 📌 Watch these levels closely — they could define the direction of the market for the coming weeks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SineHeidari
COS/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.002990 - 0.003010 LMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align. Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading) - Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL. - While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones. - That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading. Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT) Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by: - Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork. - Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup. - Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively. - Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets. Whenever I share a signal, it’s because: - A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe. - Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent. - The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry. ***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note: The Role of Key Levels - Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer. - Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance. My Trading Rules (Unchanged) Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5% - Leverage: 5x Exit Strategy / Profit Taking - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike. - Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R. - Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History HM Signal : Date: 17/08/2023 - Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends - Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum - Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups HMT v1.0: Date: 18/10/2024 - Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework - Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis. - Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum HMT v2.0: Date: 17/12/2024 - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: Date: 23/12/2024 - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: Date: 31/12/2024 - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: Date: 05/01/2025 - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: Date: 06/01/2025 - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency LMT v1.0 : Date : 06/06/2025 - Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework LMT v2.0 Date: 11/06/2025
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
#LOKA Trading opportunity for LOKAUSDT#LOKA The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.0520. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 0.00500, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.0531 First target: 0.0543 Second target: 0.0560 Third target: 0.0580 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
GBPJPY Eyes 200 BoJ Dovishness & Bullish UK SentimentGBPJPY pair has staged a decisive breakout from a multi-day consolidation zone, with technical momentum and macro fundamentals aligning in favor of further upside. Price action has respected a bullish continuation structure — a falling wedge followed by horizontal accumulation — and is now pressing toward the psychological 200.00 level. With the Bank of England holding firm on policy and the Bank of Japan maintaining its ultra-loose stance, GBPJPY presents one of the strongest carry trade setups in the market. Here's a breakdown of what’s driving this move and what to watch next: 📈 Current Bias: Bullish The pair has confirmed a bullish breakout above the 198.80–198.95 resistance zone, targeting higher fib extensions at 199.40 and 200.00. Momentum is clearly on the bulls’ side as GBPJPY follows through on a textbook pattern breakout. 🔍 Key Fundamentals: Bank of Japan’s Dovish Stance: The BoJ continues to resist any significant tightening, reaffirming yield curve control and negative real yields. This keeps the yen fundamentally weak, especially against higher-yielding currencies. Bank of England’s Hawkish Hold: Despite global easing signals, the BoE remains cautious and data-dependent, with inflation still sticky in the UK. This underpins GBP strength relative to the yen. Global Risk Appetite: Strong equity markets, especially the US500 rally, reduce demand for the safe-haven JPY and increase appetite for high-yielding cross pairs like GBPJPY. ⚠️ Risks to the Trend: Safe-Haven Shocks: Any sudden geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East, US-China trade rhetoric) may trigger JPY demand and reverse the bullish flow. Unexpected BoE Dovish Pivot: A surprise in UK inflation or dovish commentary from the BoE could weaken GBP momentum. JPY Intervention Risks: With the yen near historically weak levels, any threat or action from Japan’s Ministry of Finance or verbal intervention by BoJ officials could spark sudden volatility. 📅 Key News/Events Ahead: Japan’s Tankan Survey (June 30): May influence BoJ tone. UK Final Manufacturing PMI (July 3): A key gauge for growth momentum. BoE Governor Bailey Speech (July 5): Any hints on policy trajectory will be market-moving. US NFP & Global Risk Sentiment: Impacts broader carry trade appetite. ⚖️ Leader or Lagger? GBPJPY is a leader — it often acts as the flagship pair for carry trade demand. Moves in GBPJPY frequently guide sentiment across other JPY pairs like CADJPY, AUDJPY, and NZDJPY, especially when driven by macro divergences. Its high beta to risk sentiment also makes it a prime barometer for global financial mood. 🎯 Conclusion: GBPJPY has momentum, macro divergence, and a clean technical setup on its side. The breakout above consolidation favors a continued rally toward 199.40 and possibly 200.00. While geopolitical or policy shocks remain risks, the current backdrop supports staying bullish while above the 197.65 invalidation level.
Long
by ultreosforex
6
USDCHF Analysis – "Dollar Trying to Break Free from Downtrend"USDCHF is breaking out from a multi-week descending channel. Structure shows a potential trend reversal from the June 12th low. First bullish leg may target the 23.6% Fib level at 0.8266, followed by an extended move toward 0.8355. Key resistance: 0.8266 and 0.8355 (Fib levels) Stop loss: around 0.8093–0.8056 zone (previous support and breakout base) Structure Bias: Bullish breakout after prolonged downtrend – confirmation depends on sustained move above 0.8200 📊 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish 🧩 Key Fundamentals Driving USDCHF USD Side (Mildly Bearish to Neutral): FOMC held rates, Dot Plot showed only one cut expected for 2025, but Powell’s tone was less hawkish. US Retail Sales soft, and PPI/CPI showed signs of inflation cooling. Recent risk-off sentiment (Middle East, oil spikes, equity volatility) supports the USD. Trump commentary and 2025 election anticipation bring long-term uncertainty. CHF Side (Strong but potentially weakening): SNB held rates steady, with cautious tone—no urgency to hike again. Safe-haven flows still support CHF, but waning inflation and stronger global equity market might reduce CHF appeal. SNB has hinted at FX intervention readiness, which could weaken CHF if necessary. ⚠️ Risks That May Reverse or Accelerate Trend False breakout risk if 0.82 fails to hold → deeper pullback toward 0.8090 Stronger CHF demand on geopolitical fear (Israel–Iran, Ukraine) Unexpectedly weak US data this week or renewed Fed dovish talk 🗓️ Important News to Watch US: Core PCE, GDP revision (June 27), jobless claims CHF: Swiss CPI, SNB FX intervention chatter Risk sentiment: Iran/Israel tensions, equity volatility, Trump Fed commentary 🏁 Which Asset Might Lead the Broader Move? USDCHF could mirror sentiment across CHF pairs—if risk-on resumes and CHF weakens across the board (EURCHF, NZDCHF also rallying), USDCHF may accelerate higher.
Long
by ultreosforex
5