#xauusd-gold scenario
Hello dear friends
The wave counter for the best path ahead of the global gold trend in the 4-hour timeframe, based on the Harmonic Elliott , is predicted in the image.
good luck
Wave Analysis
ETCUSD – Pump Then PauseEthereum Classic was stuck in a sideways grind around the $16.00–$16.50 region for several days, forming a broad base with minor fakeouts. That pattern resolved in a sharp vertical pump to $17.20, followed by an immediate fade. Currently, price is retracing back toward the old base zone. Watch the $16.50 level: holding it suggests bulls may re-accumulate, but further breakdown puts $16.10–$16.20 back in play.
BTCUSDT Hello traders. Wishing you a great start to the week!
This week’s first trade opportunity comes from the BTCUSDT pair. Over the weekend, the pair showed significant volatility, dropping from 108,776 to 107,565 in just a few hours. However, I see this drop as a potential buying opportunity.
In my view, the price is likely to bounce back towards the 108,930.12 level in the short term. Therefore, I’ve activated the trade and I’m sharing the details with you below:
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.20
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 107,590.73
✔️ Take Profit: 108,930.12
✔️ Stop Loss: 107,181.36
🕒 If momentum weakens or price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll manually close it—whether in profit or loss—based on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
#LUNA Extended ! lONG Term#LUNA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.1480.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 0.1430, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.1493
First target: 0.1532
Second target: 0.1565
Third target: 0.1608
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
30-06-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ EURUSD H11- Price is in an uptrend and consolidating at the moment.
2- Potential Bullish Rectangle.
3- Potential Divergence developing on MACD.
4- We can look for a push to the upside towards Daily Resistance Zone.
EURAUD CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEUR/AUD Continues Bullish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor.
The EUR/AUD pair is sustaining its bullish trend structure, reinforced by a bullish engulfing candle following a secondary correction. This price action signals strong buying interest and suggests the uptrend is likely to continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential breakout opportunities toward higher targets while keeping an eye on key support levels for risk management.
Bullish Confirmation: Bullish Engulfing Candle.
The appearance of a bullish engulfing candle after a pullback indicates a resurgence of buyer dominance. This pattern typically marks the end of a temporary decline and the resumption of the primary uptrend. With momentum favoring the bulls, the pair is expected to push higher unless a clear reversal signal emerges.
Upside Target: 1.82700 in Focus.
If the bullish momentum holds, EUR/AUD could advance toward the immediate resistance at 1.82700. A decisive break above this level may open the door for further gains, with traders looking for continuation patterns to confirm strength.
Key Support: 1.76300 as Critical Floor.
On the downside, 1.76300 serves as a crucial support level. Any retracement toward this zone could attract fresh buying interest, maintaining the bullish bias. A sustained drop below this level would be needed to invalidate the current uptrend and signal a potential reversal.
Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact.
Given the recent price action, EUR/AUD remains poised for further upside. Traders should monitor economic developments, including Eurozone and Australian economic data, for additional directional cues.
Conclusion-
EUR/AUD’s bullish trend remains strong, with 1.82700 as the next key target and 1.76300 acting as major support. Unless a bearish reversal pattern forms, buying on dips near support levels may present favorable opportunities. Always use proper risk management to navigate potential volatility.
hellohello I think market is bullish now seeing the curve lines and specially ema plus the rsi is in oversold area
GOLD - next wave up soon...Updated Wave Count... still holding long...
Wave (ii) in yellow is possibly nearing completion.
3200 should limit any move to the downside.
previous wave count...
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 30, 2025
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 chart, we observe a double zigzag correction WXY (in red). Currently, Wave Y appears to be developing as a green abc structure.
In this abc structure:
+ Wave a started with a leading diagonal (5-wave triangle).
+ Wave b followed as a typical abc correction (in black).
+ Wave c is currently unfolding as a clear 5-wave impulsive move, characterized by sharp and rapid price action.
The key issue now is to determine whether:
+ The price has completed wave 5 (black), or
+ It has only completed wave 3 (black) within the green wave c.
If the current movement is wave 3 (black), we should expect a wave 4 correction, followed by one more leg down to complete wave 5. In this scenario, wave 5 will be confirmed if the price breaks below 3255. There are two potential target zones for wave 5:
+ Zone 1: 3247
+ Zone 2: 3224
If wave 5 has already completed, the upward move to 3283 could be wave 1 of a new bullish trend. The next pullback would be wave 2, with an expected target between 3266 – 3261.
⚡️ Momentum Analysis
D1 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold region, suggesting a high probability of a bullish trend in the upcoming week. This supports the view that wave c (green) of wave Y (red) is nearing completion.
H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, indicating the current upward movement may continue. This adds to the uncertainty about whether wave 3 or wave 5 has ended.
🧭 Trading Plan
📍 BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3264 – 3261
SL: 3254
TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315
📍 BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3247 – 3244
SL: 3237
TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315
⚠️ Important Note
This trading plan assumes either wave 3 or wave 5 has completed. Therefore, if in the early Asian session, the price does not touch the 3264 – 3261 zone but instead rises above 3283 without closing above 3297, and then drops back below 3283, we should avoid buying at 3264 – 3261.
Instead, we should wait for a potential entry at the 3247 – 3244 zone.
Gold in a Pause – Pullback or Opportunity?Hey traders!
What’s your take on gold today?
Gold is currently in a pullback phase after its recent rally, hovering around $3,278 with the $3,300 level acting as short-term resistance.
On Friday, the US dollar gained momentum while Treasury yields climbed across the curve, putting pressure on the yellow metal. In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have eased following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran — further reducing gold’s safe-haven appeal.
📊 On the chart, bearish momentum seems to be in control for now, with $3,300 emerging as a key zone. For sellers, it could be a solid entry on a retest. For buyers, it might serve as a perfect bounce zone if bullish momentum returns.
So, which side are you on?
Drop your thoughts below — and as always, happy trading!
NEIRO ANALYSIS (8H)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that NEIRO’s correction has begun.
This correction appears to be a diagonal (diametric) pattern, and we are currently at the end of wave F.
Wave G could complete within the green zone, where we can look for a Rebuy setup.
The targets are marked on the chart.
If a daily candle closes below the invalidation level, this analysis will be invalidated.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to support area of 6033.Colleagues, I assume that wave “1” completes the upward movement and somewhere around here a major correction ‘2’ should begin, which will consist of waves “ABC” and may continue to the level of 5700. But for now, I think we need to focus on the nearest targets.
I see the support area of 6033 as the first target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GBPNZD: Potential Reversal From The Resistance Zone-updateGBPNZD: Potential Reversal From The Resistance Zone-update
Based on our previous analysis, GBPNZD has retested 2.7000 and currently appears poised for a bearish movement.
GBPNZD tested an area that was also tested earlier at the beginning of March 2025
From the chart, we can see that this zone has stopped the price several times on the past.
The chances are that GBPNZD may start a bearish wave from the same zone again despite that the market has frozen for all instruments lately.
The Geopolitical situation looks more stable, which can help all currencies regain direction.
NZD is already oversold too much so it can take advantage of this moment.
Key target areas: 2.2500; 2.2380 and 2.2280
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ZKJ/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.2110 - 0.2135
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
GOLD/SIlver Ratio Signals Risk On Gold/Silver ratio represents the appetite for risk
Stronger gold means risk off and vice versa
In spring, the ratio had hit the target for leg 2 (blue) within
large consolidation that took over 4 years to emerge
It travelled the equal distance of leg 1 (blue) and then reversed.
The next step might be the continuation to the downside for the ratio.
The minimum target is to hit the bottom of red leg 1 at 63.
The next target is located at the distance of the red leg 1 subtracted from the peak of blue leg 2. It was set at 43.
Both downside targets are within historical range.
Gold/Copper ratio shows same dynamics of "Risk-On" attitude on the market.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory.
The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase.
We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels.
This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view.
🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
Gold trade idea for todayExpecting a nice retracement to the supply zone
follow for more trading ideas
USOIL TVC:USOIL :
if it break above the purple line and shows a accumulation. so I am going to buy it.
but if it doesn't I will not open trade on it.
BTC next week The same idea but in micro, need to go ATH mitigate and then go down to 94 90k. "little alt season"
BTC NEXT 3 TO 6 MONTHSThe idea is simple: mitigate the lows we haven't reached yet. But first, let's head to the all-time high. July is bullish — let's cool off in August and come back in the fourth week of September for the final and Christmas run.
CADJPY BEARISH SETUP💱 CAD/JPY Reversal Watch: Bearish Pressure Builds Below Resistance
4-Hour Candlestick Chart – Analysis as of June 30, 2025
The CAD/JPY pair is showing signs of weakening momentum after repeated failures to break above the key 106.000 resistance level. This suggests growing downside pressure and increased chances of a corrective move in the near term.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
🟥 Current Price: 105.481
🚫 Resistance Zone: Around 106.000 — multiple rejections signal seller dominance
🛡️ Key Support Level: 104.000 — acting as the downside magnet
📉 Downward Arrow: Suggests bearish directional sentiment remains intact
🧠 Technical Interpretation
📌 Price action is forming a lower high, a classic sign of a potential short-term reversal.
📌 Repeated failures near the 106.000 mark highlight resistance strength and declining bullish interest.
📌 A drop below 105.000 could intensify downside momentum, with the 104.000 support as the next major level.
📌 For bulls to regain control, the pair must reclaim 106.000 with solid buying volume.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 30 – July 3, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 30 – July 3, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📈 US Stocks Rally to Record Highs
Following a volatile first half, U.S. equities surged into record territory in late June on a combination of easing Middle East tensions, cooling inflation data, and the 90-day tariff pause
💵 Dollar Weakens on Fed and Trade Uncertainty
The U.S. dollar fell to a 3½-year low, pressured by persistent speculations over President Trump replacing Fed Chair Powell and extending rate-cut expectations, as well as progress in U.S.-Canada trade talks
🇨🇦 U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Lift Sentiment
Canada temporarily repealed its digital services tax to facilitate talks seeking a broader trade agreement by July 21, boosting U.S. equity futures
🛢️ Oil Prices Stabilize
After spiking on geopolitical fears, oil traders settled between $65–78/bbl amid supply relief following ceasefire developments and easing Middle East risks
⚠️ July Risks Loom
The coming week will spotlight:
July 4 deadline for Trump’s tax bill
Expiry of the tariff pause on July 9
U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls on July 3
Each poses potential for increased volatility if outcomes disappoint
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, June 30
9:45 AM ET – Chicago PMI (June): Gauge of Midwestern factory activity
📅 Tuesday, July 1
U.S. markets open, watch trade developments
📅 Wednesday, July 2
Global PMI readings released
📅 Thursday, July 3 (Early close ahead of Independence Day)
8:30 AM ET – Nonfarm Payrolls (June)
8:30 AM ET – Unemployment Rate (June)
8:30 AM ET – Average Hourly Earnings (June)
These labor metrics will be critical for Fed rate outlooking
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #jobs #Fed #oil #trade #technicalanalysis
IIFL MOVING IN RANGEIIFL has recently BO and now moving in a tight range its previous resistance now become its support. Its likely to move up from here.
