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Wave Analysis

GOLD/SIlver Ratio Signals Risk On Gold/Silver ratio represents the appetite for risk Stronger gold means risk off and vice versa In spring, the ratio had hit the target for leg 2 (blue) within large consolidation that took over 4 years to emerge It travelled the equal distance of leg 1 (blue) and then reversed. The next step might be the continuation to the downside for the ratio. The minimum target is to hit the bottom of red leg 1 at 63. The next target is located at the distance of the red leg 1 subtracted from the peak of blue leg 2. It was set at 43. Both downside targets are within historical range. Gold/Copper ratio shows same dynamics of "Risk-On" attitude on the market.
TVC:GOLDSILVERShort
by aibek
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory. The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase. We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels. This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view. 🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
Long
by Zky17
CADJPY BEARISH SETUP💱 CAD/JPY Reversal Watch: Bearish Pressure Builds Below Resistance 4-Hour Candlestick Chart – Analysis as of June 30, 2025 The CAD/JPY pair is showing signs of weakening momentum after repeated failures to break above the key 106.000 resistance level. This suggests growing downside pressure and increased chances of a corrective move in the near term. 🔍 Key Technical Levels 🟥 Current Price: 105.481 🚫 Resistance Zone: Around 106.000 — multiple rejections signal seller dominance 🛡️ Key Support Level: 104.000 — acting as the downside magnet 📉 Downward Arrow: Suggests bearish directional sentiment remains intact 🧠 Technical Interpretation 📌 Price action is forming a lower high, a classic sign of a potential short-term reversal. 📌 Repeated failures near the 106.000 mark highlight resistance strength and declining bullish interest. 📌 A drop below 105.000 could intensify downside momentum, with the 104.000 support as the next major level. 📌 For bulls to regain control, the pair must reclaim 106.000 with solid buying volume.
Short
by traderchamp_
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 30 – July 3, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 30 – July 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📈 US Stocks Rally to Record Highs Following a volatile first half, U.S. equities surged into record territory in late June on a combination of easing Middle East tensions, cooling inflation data, and the 90-day tariff pause 💵 Dollar Weakens on Fed and Trade Uncertainty The U.S. dollar fell to a 3½-year low, pressured by persistent speculations over President Trump replacing Fed Chair Powell and extending rate-cut expectations, as well as progress in U.S.-Canada trade talks 🇨🇦 U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Lift Sentiment Canada temporarily repealed its digital services tax to facilitate talks seeking a broader trade agreement by July 21, boosting U.S. equity futures 🛢️ Oil Prices Stabilize After spiking on geopolitical fears, oil traders settled between $65–78/bbl amid supply relief following ceasefire developments and easing Middle East risks ⚠️ July Risks Loom The coming week will spotlight: July 4 deadline for Trump’s tax bill Expiry of the tariff pause on July 9 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls on July 3 Each poses potential for increased volatility if outcomes disappoint 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, June 30 9:45 AM ET – Chicago PMI (June): Gauge of Midwestern factory activity 📅 Tuesday, July 1 U.S. markets open, watch trade developments 📅 Wednesday, July 2 Global PMI readings released 📅 Thursday, July 3 (Early close ahead of Independence Day) 8:30 AM ET – Nonfarm Payrolls (June) 8:30 AM ET – Unemployment Rate (June) 8:30 AM ET – Average Hourly Earnings (June) These labor metrics will be critical for Fed rate outlooking ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #jobs #Fed #oil #trade #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
CoinbaseThere isn't much to add to my COIN analysis. Price hit just shy of the 1.618 and then reversed. Price dropped by almost 10% from that last high. This bodes well for the top being in and the irregular (B) wave pattern prevailing. We still have a lot of work to do to prove that is what is happening though. Until we can breach $277 followed by a breach of $232.85, we can't be for certain. Yes, we will have hints on the way down. However, these price points will be what confirms the pattern lower. As I said above, COIN has a lot of work to do to prove its intentions. This last move up I think is largely due to the end of the quarter, congressional legislation, and FOMO. MACD is back to within the red trend lines and appears to be weakening to the downside. This shouldn't be too surprising given how far we fell last Friday. That move lower, has created a 3-wave move thus far. Another local low before starting a consolidation higher would create a 5-wave pattern bringing more clarity, but it isn't required. Again, I don't want to see another high made above last Thursdays if (B) is to be correct. A new high itself doesn't invalidate an irregular (B), but it would cause me to become very skeptical of it. When I said last week that COIN has a pivotal moment right in front of it, I wasn't kidding. It appears to have chosen a move lower for now, but it is not guaranteed to continue and we could always move higher again from here. Just be careful in whatever position you take, and use stops to protect your assets.
NASDAQ:COIN
by TSuth
#Nifty directions and levels for June 30:Good morning, Friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for June 30: Market Overview There have been no changes in the global or local markets. Both the global markets and our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. Gift Nifty is indicating a positive start of around 20 points today. So, what can we expect today? The structures are still the same as what we saw in Friday’s session. We are currently in a minor consolidation zone, so if the market faces rejection near the immediate resistance, we can expect a retracement of around 38% to 50% in the minor swing. On the other hand, if the market breaks the immediate resistance with a solid structure, then it could reach the next resistance level with the strong bullish bias.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
3
PalantirOn Friday Palantir dropped pretty hard causing MACD to drop all the way to our bottom trend line. It created overlap with the pattern which brings a further rise to the target box into question. On thing I can say about this pattern with certainty, is it is very sloppy. It in no way appears as an impulsive pattern due to the choppy overlapping nature of it. This is what leads me to believe it is an ED. If it is an ED that leaves us with two possibilities. It is either within its wave 4, which would explain the overlap, or it just finished (v) of (5) of ((1)). We need more price action to determine which count prevails. A drop below $117.22 and that is a huge warning that the upside is done. Below $105.32 and that confirms it for me. To raise higher again breaching our ATH shows that the ED is not yet done and we're most likely rising to the $160 area. Don't forget, when an ED finished, it moves towards the place of origin in a strong move.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by TSuth
2
$BTC Weekend Update - A New Hope - 6/29Hello fellow degenerates, Price held beautifully above 106.6k key level and is now attempting a test of 110.4k level. We are in a high risk zone as we do have a lot of levels that could initiate a reversal down, so ultimate caution is needed. - Price hit the target where a Wave 1 could be so I am looking for a possible retracement that would take us towards 103k. - In the most bullish scenario, both Wave 1 and 2 have been completed and price could just break above ATH and continue higher, but this is just wishful thinking. - Currently watching for a break above the Parallel channel resistance - Levels to Watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k, 101k
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Caramel0
Gold Drops Sharply as Risk Appetite ReturnsGlobal gold prices extended their sharp decline into the final trading session of the week, sliding more than 1.5% and pausing around $3,274/oz as safe-haven sentiment continues to erode. 📰 What’s driving the sell-off? The primary trigger is the official signing of a trade agreement between the US and China, marking the end of a prolonged trade standoff. US Commerce Secretary confirmed that more agreements will follow before the July 9 deadline, including a commitment by China to supply rare earths to the US. This announcement sparked broad optimism across global markets, significantly reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Geopolitics also turned more constructive. Iran has expressed diplomatic goodwill, with its UN representative stating the country is ready to negotiate a regional nuclear coalition if a deal with Washington is reached. Meanwhile, Al Arabiya reported that the Israel–Gaza conflict may conclude within two weeks, further lowering geopolitical tensions. On the data front, US economic indicators continue to surprise to the upside. Core PCE rose 2.7% YoY in May, beating forecasts, while durable goods orders and jobless claims both reflected strength in the US economy. Still, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari reiterated that two rate cuts are likely in 2025, suggesting the Fed remains open to easing once inflation cools further. 🔍 Technical outlook Gold has broken below the key $3,330 support, confirming a short-term bearish structure. If the correction continues, the next levels to watch are $3,245, and more critically, the $3,200 zone. In the short term, gold faces downside risk due to improving global economic sentiment and easing geopolitical threats. However, over the medium to long term, Fed policy shifts and unforeseen geopolitical events could still reverse the current trend. Stay alert, watch the charts, and trade smart. Have a great weekend, everyone! 🌍📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Edward_TradingFX
XAUUSD June 29,2025🟦 XAUUSD Analysis – June 29, 2025 Market Structure: Price is in a bearish trend on the 1H timeframe. Liquidity is resting below a recent low around $3,240 (Sell-Side Liquidity – SSL). There is a visible Order Block (OB) around $3,310–$3,320, which could act as a magnet if price reverses. Anticipated Move (Blue Path): 1. Price is expected to drop below the SSL to trigger stop-losses and collect liquidity. 2. After the liquidity grab, a bullish reversal is likely. 3. Price may then rally toward the OB, which could act as resistance or a point for institutional selling. --- 🔎 Probability Breakdown: Event: Break below SSL (~$3,240) Likelihood: ✅ High Note: Classic liquidity grab setup Event: Bullish reversal after sweep Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate–High Note: Wait for confirmation (BOS, FVG, bullish candle) Event: Rally to OB (~$3,310–$3,320) Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate Note: Depends on bullish structure forming Event: Rejection from OB Likelihood: ✅ High Note: OB may act as supply zone --- ⚠️ Caution: This scenario is only valid if price grabs SSL first. No entry should be made without a proper bullish confirmation (e.g., break of structure, fair value gap fill, or strong bullish candle). Always use risk management – this is a hypothetical setup, not financial advice. ---
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Un_Traders