Nifty 50’s Long-Term-Unpacking the Multi-Year ConsolidationChart showcases the Nifty 50 Index on a weekly timeframe, highlighted with multi-year consolidation patterns, key Fibonacci retracement levels, and a suggested buy zone—here’s a compelling publishing idea tailored for both traders and long-term investors:
Wave Analysis
EURGBP: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell EURGBP.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold 30M Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish Wave Coming From Now : 3333
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30M Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish Wave Coming From : 1.17750
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
AUDUSD: Will Start Growing! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of AUDUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold W PatternActually 50-50 there is potential for prices to go up or down, but by chance it is safer for us to take a buy because of the w pattern, so here I took a buy, for conservative entry wait for a breakout, but if later it looks like a fake breakout has broken out upwards but goes back down then we will stop and reverse to take a sell.
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3349.3
Stop - 3353.5
Take - 3339.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
VENUS PIPESVenus Pipes & Tubes Ltd. is a stainless steel pipe manufacturer catering to diverse sectors such as oil & gas, petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, and water desalination. The company operates an integrated facility and emphasizes high-quality, precision-engineered products. Currently trading at INR 1,461.70, the stock has shown a strong rebound and is testing key technical levels after a corrective phase.
Key Levels
Support Levels: INR 776.75, INR 1,134.45, INR 1,346.35, INR 1,557.30
Swing Level: INR 1,461.70
Possible Upside: INR 2,318.85, INR 2,675.95, INR 3,130.80
Technical Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 52.15, indicating balanced momentum. While not decisively bullish, the RSI suggests the stock has shifted out of oversold territory and could build strength above the current base.
Volume: With volume at 1.17M, there is visible participation accompanying the recent price up-move. Sustained higher volumes near swing level would help confirm a broader trend continuation.
Sector and Market Outlook
Operating in the metal tubes and industrial materials space, Venus Pipes is positioned to benefit from:
Strong capex trends in infrastructure, chemical processing, and renewables
Import substitution and rising demand for precision stainless steel products
Expansion in exports to Europe, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East
Headwinds include volatility in nickel and alloy prices, global logistics fluctuations, and customer concentration risks in certain end-use sectors.
Latest Developments
Capacity Expansion: Commissioned additional production lines for seamless pipes and tubes
Export Growth: Reported robust YoY increase in export contribution to total revenue
Financials: Improved margins driven by premium product mix and better utilization rates
Dividend Update
Venus Pipes & Tubes has declared a dividend of ₹3.50 per share, reflecting strong cash flow generation and a balanced capital return policy.
Analysis Summary
Venus Pipes & Tubes is transitioning from a correction phase to a potential recovery cycle, underpinned by stable technicals and structural tailwinds in its core markets. While some consolidation may persist, the improving volume and RSI suggest growing interest. The company’s expansion initiatives and strengthening fundamentals support a constructive long-term outlook for disciplined investors.
NOTUSDT UPDATE 07/02/25Liquidity cluster above: A significant band of liquidation levels exists above 0.00178–0.00180, where market makers likely enticed longs and are now ready to reverse.
Thin liquidity zones below: The area from 0.00174 down to 0.001675 has less dense heat, suggesting an easy path for a quick move down.
Last price reaction: Price recently tagged upper high-liquidity levels, followed by rejection and an initial roll over.
Riding Wave (5) Toward 3380 Before ABC Correction📌 Market Context
The current chart shows wave (5) of a larger impulsive structure is still in progress, with price rising from the bottom of wave (4). After a clean wave (1)-(2)-(3)-(4), the market is now pushing upward, targeting the 3380 zone as a likely wave (5) completion.
🟢 Entry Levels (End of Wave 2)
First Entry: 3298
Second Entry: 3279.6
Do You Have a Trading Edge?A Practical Guide to Figuring Out if What You’re Doing Is Actually Working
There comes a point in every trader’s journey when you stop asking “what indicator should I use” and start asking something much more important.
Is what I’m doing actually working?
It’s an honest question. When the P&L has been chopping sideways or dipping red for weeks, it’s easy to feel stuck. Maybe you’ve been grinding for months, jumping from one setup to another, but still not seeing consistent progress. Before you give up or double down, it’s worth stepping back and looking at the one thing that matters most.
Do you have an edge?
What Is a Trading Edge, Really?
A trading edge isn’t about being right all the time. It isn’t some secret indicator or a feeling in your gut. It’s a cold, hard number.
Your edge is the amount of money you can expect to make or lose on average every time you place a trade. If the number is positive, you’re on the right side of probability. If it’s negative, then no amount of motivation or mindset work will stop the account from bleeding over time.
Thankfully, there’s a simple formula that tells you exactly where you stand.
The Formula: No Hype, Just Maths
Edge per trade = (Average Win × Win Rate) − (Average Loss × Loss Rate)
Or more simply:
Edge = W × R – L × (1−R)
Where:
• W is your average winning trade in pounds
• L is your average losing trade (as a positive number)
• R is your win rate, written as a decimal (so 55% becomes 0.55)
This is your trading edge. It’s not a concept. It’s a number. And it either works or it doesn’t.
Let’s Put It Into Practice
Say you win 45% of the time. Your average winning trade makes £180. Your average losing trade costs £120. Plug the numbers in.
Edge = £180 × 0.45 minus £120 × 0.55
Edge = £81 minus £66
Edge = £15
That £15 is your expected value per trade. So if you take 100 trades following that same pattern, you’d expect to make £1,500 before costs. That’s the kind of maths you want working in your favour. It’s not glamorous. It’s not loud. But it’s sustainable.
What if the Edge Is Negative?
This is where a lot of traders lose heart. But it’s actually good news. If the formula tells you the edge isn’t there, you can stop guessing. It means you’ve identified the problem.
A negative edge just tells you that, on balance, either:
• you’re winning too infrequently
• your losses are too large
• your winners aren’t big enough
And every one of those can be adjusted. This isn’t about tearing down your whole system. Often, a small shift in one variable is all it takes to turn a negative edge into a positive one.
Three Ways to Nudge the Numbers in Your Favour
1. Improve the win rate slightly
Look for trades with more confluence. Stick to clearer trends. Avoid taking marginal setups during unpredictable conditions. You don’t need a huge jump, even going from 40% to 47% can have a big impact.
2. Increase the size of your winners
Let trades run a little longer when the conditions are right. Take partials if it helps your mindset, but keep a portion on to capture the extended move. Most traders cut profits too early and let losers drift too far.
3. Tighten up the losses
Use hard stops. Respect them. Review your biggest losing trades and ask yourself if they really had to be that big. Often they didn’t. The goal is to keep losses small and repeatable, not devastating and unpredictable.
A Note on Sample Size
Five or ten trades won’t give you a reliable read on your edge. You need a bigger pool. Ideally 50 to 100 trades minimum. Patterns emerge over time, not in the heat of one session.
A strong edge can go through losing streaks. A poor strategy can get lucky for a while. But when you track your numbers over enough trades, the truth becomes very clear.
You’re Probably Closer Than You Think
If you’ve never done this calculation before, don’t feel behind. Most retail traders never actually work out their edge. They focus on indicators, entry techniques, or mindset work without ever stopping to ask if the numbers stack up.
But once you do the maths, things start to change. You stop judging yourself by your last trade and start thinking in averages. You stop chasing every setup and start focusing on quality. You stop worrying about being right, and start focusing on being consistent.
That’s what separates hobbyists from professionals. The numbers are the difference.
Summary:
If your edge is negative, you now know where to look. If it’s positive, even just slightly, you’ve got something worth building on. Either way, the path forward is clearer.
Trading is hard, no question. But it’s not magic. It’s probability, risk control and discipline applied consistently. And it all starts with understanding the maths behind what you’re doing.
So next time you’re questioning whether your system is any good, don’t ask how it feels. Run the numbers.
Do you have a trading edge?
If yes, protect it. If not, now you know what to fix.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Bitcoin Uptrend Momentum, Key Buy Zone at 106.3K–105.9K__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum : Uptrend confirmed across all timeframes ≥1H; no signs of exhaustion or overheating.
Major supports : 106,319, 99,581, 98,133 USD
Major resistances : 108,239, 108,685, 111,949 USD (ATH)
Volume : Normal on higher TFs, very high on 30min/15min (potential breakout or institutional shake-out).
Behavior : Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy from 1D to 1H, neutral on 15min; ISPD DIV neutral across all TFs (no extreme behaviors).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Bias : Bullish as long as 98,133 is held on daily closes; structural buying pressure confirmed.
Opportunities : Swing accumulation on pullbacks to 106,319–105,900; targeting 108,700 then 111,949 on breakouts.
Risk : Geopolitical catalyst or break below D Pivot Low 98,133.
Macro catalyst : No major events (Fed, CPI, NFP) over the next 48h. Watch Powell’s speech (2 July).
Action Plan : Long entry on pullback to 106,300–105,900, stop <105,900, targets at 108,700 then 111,900. Exit on daily close below 98,133.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D – Daily : Strong uptrend; balanced volumes; supports at 98,134 / 99,581; resistance at 108,239–111,949.
12H/6H/4H : Positive confluence. Accumulate on any return to support; no behavioral excesses detected.
2H–1H : Rising volumes, no divergences; strong timing for entries on dips.
30min/15min : Very high volume (breakout/shake-out); structure remains bullish. 15min Risk On / Risk Off Indicator =Neutral → watch for short-term consolidation or traps but broader trend holds.
Clear bullish confluence on all TFs ≥1H, with no behavioral or macro warning.
Short-term risks on micro-TFs (extreme volume, possible shake-out).
Accumulation zone on 106,300–105,900 pullbacks, invalidation below 98,133.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Cross-Analysis & Strategic Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
Trend : No reversal signals. All indicators (volume, price action, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator) point to trend continuation.
Macro & newsflow : Monetary status quo, no negative catalyst in the short term. Only open risk: geopolitical tensions, closely monitored.
On-chain & fund flows : Ongoing ETF inflows, stable capitals, strong HODL trend, SSR stable.
Risk management : Stop <105,900, hedge on geopolitical signals.
Summary:
All TFs ≥1H aligned in bullish cycle, corrections = structured long accumulation opportunities.
Key buy zone: 106,300 – 105,900; prudent stop <105,900; main targets 108,700 and ATH.
Closely monitor for Powell/Fed headlines.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Failed Breakout Sets the Stage for Bullish Continuation"Boost it, if you like it (Thanks)"
Gold is showing resilience after a failed breakout attempt, bouncing strongly off the 3,250 support zone. This 4H chart suggests bulls are regaining control, with momentum building toward the next key resistance.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Failed Breakout (Failed MTR Structure): Price briefly dipped below the trendline but reversed sharply, invalidating the bearish move.
Dynamic Support: The ascending trendline near 3,250 has held firm, reinforcing bullish structure.
EMA Structure:
15 EMA: 3,323.84
60 EMA: 3,331.61 Price is now trading above both EMAs, signaling bullish momentum.
Current Price: 3,339.0
Target: 3,434.34 – the first major resistance zone before ATH retest.
🧠 Market Psychology:
This setup reflects a classic “shakeout” – weak hands were flushed out below support, only for price to reclaim the level with strength. This often precedes a strong directional move as confidence returns.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: On a confirmed break above 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,325
TP1: 3365
TP2: 3385
Final TP(x): 3,434.34
⚠️ Watchlist:
Monitor price action near 3,360–3,370 for signs of rejection or continuation.
A clean break above 3,434 opens the door for an ATH retest.
#MJTrading
#Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FailedBreakout #SupportAndResistance #EMA #BullishSetup #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GoldBulls #MarketPsychology
APT 35$ SOONHI GUYS
See the masterpiece on the chart.
Coinciding with very positive news for the currency,
The currency has been moving within a price channel since its launch.
We also see a false break of the channel, while maintaining the bottom on the RSI.
There was no break, so it's considered a false break.
With any chance of a market recovery, we'll find the currency rising strongly.
It will be a star in the Bull Run.
I wish everyone abundant profits.
Like and follow for more.
Downtrend It is expected that after some fluctuation in the current resistance range, a trend change will take place and we will see the beginning of a downtrend. A break of the green support range will be a confirmation of the downtrend. With a break and consolidation above the resistance range, the alternative scenario will be a continuation of the uptrend.