EURCHF Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURCHF is below:
The market is trading on 0.9448 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.9398
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.9474
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Wave Analysis
NZDCHF What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
NZDCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5139 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 0.5153
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5117
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Decentraland: WeakSince the low of the blue wave (ii), Decentraland’s MANA has been dragging itself through a sideways consolidation just above the support at $0.41. Soon, however, new buying pressure should arise and push the price well above the resistance at $0.85 during the current impulsive wave (iii) in blue. If MANA instead drops below the support at $0.41, the magenta correction wave alt. will reach a new low, and the blue upward five-wave movement will only start thereafter (35% likely).
LYONDELLBASELL ($LYB) – CYCLICAL GIANT OR UNDERRATED VALUE PLAY?LYONDELLBASELL ( NYSE:LYB ) – CYCLICAL GIANT OR UNDERRATED VALUE PLAY?
(1/8)
Chemicals and timing can be like mixing reactive compounds—💥 one slip, and it all blows up! Let’s dissect how NYSE:LYB fared in Q3 and see if it’s a hidden gem or just a lab experiment gone wrong.
(2/8)
Revenue & Earnings
Q3 revenue: $10.32B (vs. $10.60B estimated)
EPS: $1.75 (missed $1.88 forecast)
Net income: $573M (down from $747M in Q3 2023)
Take: These numbers show the sector’s cyclical nature—📉 but NYSE:LYB ’s not down for the count just yet.
(3/8)
Strategic Moves
Divested Ethylene Oxide & Derivatives (EO&D) to focus on higher-margin plays
Investments in advanced recycling & circular polymers (♻️) position NYSE:LYB for a sustainable future
Raised dividend by 5%—marking 13 years of annual dividend growth 💰
(4/8)
Sector Comparison
Some valuation models suggest NYSE:LYB is 60.2% below fair value 🤔
Competitors: Dow Inc. & Eastman Chemical also face commodity price swings
NYSE:LYB ’s pivot to greener products might give it an edge if the market turns bullish
(5/8)
Cyclical Headwinds
Oil & gas volatility → Directly impacts production costs 🏭
Supply chain disruptions ⛓️
Global economic factors can tighten or loosen demand
Sustainability regs → both a cost & an opportunity 🌱
(6/8)
Risk Assessment
Debt Levels: Manageable, but higher rates could apply pressure
Regulatory Risks: Environmental standards tightening could require more capex ⚠️
Undervaluation Trap? A cheap stock can stay cheap if the market remains skeptical
(7/8)
My Analysis
“ NYSE:LYB ’s shift toward circular polymers isn’t a gimmick—it’s a strategic bet that can pay off long-term. But remember, chemical stocks often swing wildly with macro cycles. If you can stomach the roller coaster, this could be a compelling play.”
(8/8)
Are you bullish on NYSE:LYB ?
🚀 Yes (Undervalued, strong dividend)
🤔 Neutral (Cyclical but stable)
🔥 No (Too risky given commodity and macro factors)
AUDCHF My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.5692 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5674
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin's Distribution Phase: Navigating the Peak of the CycleThe Wyckoff Method and Bitcoin's Distribution Phase
The Wyckoff Method identifies four distinct phases in a market cycle: Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Markdown. The Distribution phase is the antithesis of Accumulation. While smart money was quietly accumulating Bitcoin during the Accumulation phase, they are now discreetly selling their holdings during Distribution. This is not a sudden sell-off, but rather a gradual process of offloading assets to less informed market participants who are still caught up in the bullish sentiment carried over from the Markup phase.
Bitcoin's Distribution Phase: A History of Short-Lived Peaks
Interestingly, Bitcoin's first three major cycles exhibited a peculiar characteristic: the Distribution phase was either extremely brief or seemingly absent, merging almost seamlessly with the beginning of the Markdown phase. This could be attributed to the relative immaturity of the market and the rapid, parabolic nature of the price increases during those early cycles. The sharp peaks visible on historical charts suggest that smart money had limited time to distribute their holdings before the inevitable price correction occurred. This can be the result of smart money being in loss, due to not securing the price highs.
However, the most recent cycle (ending in late 2021) witnessed a notable departure from this pattern. We observed a more prolonged Distribution phase, lasting several months.
The Internal Mechanism: Shifting Risk-Reward Dynamics
The Distribution phase is driven by a fundamental shift in the risk-reward equation. Several key factors contribute to this shift:
Increasing Volatility: As the price reaches its peak, volatility begins to increase significantly. Daily and weekly price swings become more pronounced, introducing greater risk for investors.
Diminishing Returns: While volatility surges, returns start to diminish. The impressive daily, weekly, and monthly gains that characterized the Markup phase begin to shrink, making Bitcoin less attractive to new investors.
Re-evaluation by Informed Investors: Savvy investors, often referred to as "smart money," who accumulated Bitcoin at lower prices, begin to reassess their positions. They recognize the increasing risk and diminishing returns, prompting them to gradually sell their holdings. This selling pressure, while initially subtle, starts to counterbalance the buying pressure from less informed investors.
Loss of Momentum: The combination of higher risk and lower returns gradually erodes the bullish momentum that propelled the Markup phase. New investors become hesitant to enter the market at such elevated prices, while existing holders, particularly those who entered earlier in the cycle, consider taking profits.
The Psychology of the Distribution Phase
The Distribution phase is not just about price movements; it's also about a shift in market psychology. The euphoria and optimism of the Markup phase gradually give way to uncertainty and apprehension.
Top Callers Emerge: Market analysts and commentators, who were previously bullish, may start to issue warnings about a potential top. These "top callers" can influence market sentiment and contribute to the selling pressure.
Cognitive Dissonance: Less informed investors, who may have bought near the peak, face cognitive dissonance. They are torn between holding onto their investments in the hope of further gains and cutting their losses in the face of increasing volatility.
Profit-Taking vs. HODLing: The "HODL" mentality, which encourages long-term holding, starts to be tested. Some holders will inevitably succumb to the temptation of taking profits, further contributing to the selling pressure.
Implications and Considerations
Identifying the Top: Recognizing the Distribution phase is crucial for identifying the market top. However, this is notoriously difficult in real-time, as the price action can be highly volatile and misleading.
The Transition to Markdown: The Distribution phase eventually gives way to the Markdown phase, characterized by a sustained decline in price. The speed and severity of this decline can vary depending on the length and intensity of the preceding Distribution phase.
OIL POSSIBLE BUY?The market is currently testing the current Daily 0.7 & 0.61 Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
POL - Bullish Pressure Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈POL has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in blue.
Currently, it is approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the purple zone is a strong structure and demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #POL approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
In parallel, for the bulls to take over long-term, a break above the upper blue trendline is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 96.801 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 97.463
Recommended Stop Loss - 96.413
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURAUD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURAUD is below:
The market is trading on 1.6630 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.6592
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 155.40
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 156.74
My Stop Loss - 154.74
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
RIPPLE - Sell Idea (Long-term)The big picture (Weekly chart) technical situation on the XRP suggests that the upside momentum that was driving price action over the past 3 weeks is getting fatigued and may be coming to an end. The failure to breakout above the massive key-level resistance of $3.0790 is becoming evident and is also an indication that a serious downside reversal is in the pipeline. Launching a new bearish campaign, targeting both $2.7320 and $2.3430 respectively.
Starbucks Corporation: Elliott Wave Correction UnfoldingNASDAQ:SBUX
Overview:
Starbucks is in the midst of an Elliott Wave corrective structure, likely entering the C-wave of an ABC correction. The bearish momentum suggests that the correction isn't complete, presenting an opportunity to short as the structure completes.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
Wave A: The initial impulsive wave down broke key support levels, signaling the start of a correction. This wave exhibited strong bearish momentum.
Wave B: The corrective upward retracement faced resistance near $93.12, forming a potential lower high and respecting the descending channel. With failure to break out above $94, this wave has likely concluded, paving the way for the final corrective wave.
Wave C: Currently forming, this wave is expected to extend toward lower Fibonacci retracement levels, targeting $88.71, $84.29, and $79.88. The typical symmetry in Elliott Wave corrections suggests that Wave C may equal or exceed the length of Wave A.
Key Trading Levels:
Entry: $93.12 (near the end of Wave B).
Stop Loss: $94.00 (just above Wave B resistance).
Target 1: $88.71 (38.2% Fibonacci extension of Wave A).
Target 2: $84.29 (61.8% extension and channel support).
Target 3: $79.88 (full measured move of Wave C and strong support).
Trading Strategy:
Short Entry: Look for confirmation of rejection near $93.12. This aligns with the conclusion of Wave B and the start of Wave C.
Risk Management: Place a tight stop-loss at $94, above the resistance line formed by Wave B.
Profit-Taking: Scale out of positions as price approaches each Fibonacci target and key support zones.
Additional Notes:
The Elliott Wave correction is part of a broader descending wedge structure. A decisive breakdown could trigger a stronger bearish continuation.
Confluence of technical factors (Fibonacci levels, trendline resistance, and Elliott Wave symmetry) supports the bearish scenario.
Monitor volume and RSI for divergences to confirm the wave progression.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risks, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor or conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or decisions made based on this analysis. Always trade responsibly and within your own risk tolerance.
EURUSD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.0408
Stop Loss - 1.0449
Take Profit - 1.0329
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold Market Analysis: A Bearish OutlookGold Market Analysis: A Bearish Outlook
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold prices tested a strong resistance zone, causing further selling pressure.
The price is already reacting, but we do not have any confirmation that it can go lower.
However, the larger picture projection shows the possibility of a complex WXYXZ or WXY pattern. This suggests that sellers may soon gain control of prices.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!