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Wave Analysis

U.S. homebuilders tumble as rate cut bets decrease after Powell'** Shares of U.S. homebuilders slide on Weds after Fed chair Powell says no decision yet on rate cuts ** Markets now pointing to odds dropping below 50% that the Fed will cut rates at its next meeting in Sept, as benchmark U.S. 10-year yield US10Y extends rise ** Rising yields can potentially lead to higher mortgage rates, which could negatively impact homebuilders by making homes less affordable for consumers ** PHLX Housing Index HGX dropping >2% on the session ** Among biggest HGX fallers are: LGI Homes LGIH 5%, DR Horton DHI >2%, Lennar LEN nearly 3%, Pultegroup PHM >3% ** In S&P 500 SPX , building products maker Builders FirstSource BLDR down 5%, and home improvement retailers Home Depot HD and Lowe's LOW both off nearly 2% ** With moves on Weds, HGX down ~2% YTD vs 8% advance in SPX
TVC:US10Y
by SinoheTrader
Gold Slipping Lower — 3250 and 3200 in Sight!✅ Gold & DXY Update – Post-FOMC Price Action Earlier today, before the U.S. interest rate decision, I released my outlook on both the Dollar Index and gold. In that analysis, I highlighted the DXY’s readiness to move toward the key level of 100 — and as of now, price is actively testing that exact zone, just as expected. As for gold, I repeatedly emphasized the visible weakness on the buy side. It was clear that there were very few remaining buy orders strong enough to hold price up in this region — and that’s exactly what played out. Price has started pushing lower, in line with our expectations. Looking ahead, I believe the first target is 3250, followed by a deeper move toward the liquidity zone and the marked box around 3200, which could act as a key target area in the coming days. 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mehrasfx
2
DXY: Weekly OutlookWeekly DXY Outlook On the weekly chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has reached a critical zone that was last tested in February 2022. While a rebound is not guaranteed, the fact that the DXY has declined nearly 12% over just six months—despite a resilient U.S. economy—suggests the potential for renewed strength in the dollar. I think the index could begin a recovery toward key levels at 100.00, 101.97, and possibly 106.00/ It’s worth noting that the broader bearish trend began with the trade tensions initiated during the Trump administration, which strained relations with several major trading partners. Given that this is a weekly chart, it should be used more as a reference point rather than a trading signal. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck!
TVC:DXYLong
by KlejdiCuni
5
DXY Bulls Ready — Can Powell Spark the Rally?📊 DXY Pre-FOMC Outlook In my previous analysis released on Monday, I expected the Dollar Index to fill the gap around the 98.60 zone and range below the key red line at 99.429. Now, with less than 8 hours left until the highly anticipated FOMC rate decision, it’s time to take a closer look at tonight’s event and what it could mean for the markets. From a purely technical perspective — setting the news aside — the Dollar Index looks ready to break through the crucial 100 level and kick off a strong bullish rally. However, recent political pressure from Trump urging rate cuts, along with visible tension between him and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has created uncertainty. If it weren’t for these conflicting signals, I would’ve confidently expected a clean breakout above 100. As much as I enjoy trading news-driven events, I’ll likely stay out of the market tonight and observe from the sidelines. The setup is tempting, but the dual narratives make it risky. That said — if you ask for my final take — I believe the stage is fully set for a bullish dollar and a corresponding drop in gold, EUR, GBP, and other major assets. Let’s see how it plays out. 👀💥
TVC:DXY
by Mehrasfx
Gold Alert: Key Levels for Potential Sell Setup!Good morning, my friends 🌞 Here’s today’s gold analysis. I'm expecting a decline in gold prices, specifically from the 3,383–3,420 level. Once a correction starts around that zone, my target will be 3,310. Gold has been riding a strong uptrend, and if we reach those levels, I’ll be expecting a pullback and opening a sell position accordingly. Please set your stop loss based on your personal margin preferences. Your likes and support are my biggest motivation for continuing to share these analyses. Thank you to everyone showing appreciation 🙏
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
7
EURUSD – Post-FOMC Macro Compression in Play📉 EURUSD – Post-FOMC Macro Compression in Play WaverVanir | VolanX Protocol | July 30, 2025 The recent Fed hold has added pressure to the euro as rate differentials remain in favor of the USD. On the chart, EURUSD failed to sustain above the 0.786 retracement level (~1.1476), with clear signs of exhaustion. 🧠 Thesis: We may see a macro compression pullback with EURUSD potentially revisiting the baseline support zone at 1.08147, which previously acted as a long-term resistance-turned-support. 🔍 Technical Confluence: Rejection near 0.786 Fib (1.1476) No bullish breakout above 2023–2024 ceiling Downside targets: 1.1070 → short-term support 🟡 1.0815 → baseline zone and decision point 🧠 Macro Overlay: Fed is in pause-and-watch mode ECB growth outlook is slowing US inflation is stickier = USD strength persisting short term 📌 VolanX DSS Summary: Bearish structure developing. We favor tactical shorts on rallies toward 1.1470–1.15 with eyes on the 1.08 handle. #EURUSD #FOMC #VolanX #WaverVanir #MacroTrading #ForexSignals #USD #ECB #RateDifferential #Fibonacci #SMC #Liquidity #ForexMacro
Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
BNB Bearish DivergenceBINANCE:BNBUSDT Trade Setup: Target 1: 731.61 (0.50 Fibonnaci Golden Zone). Target 2: 701.05 (0.618 Fibonnaci Golden Zone). Target 3: 657.54 (0.786 Fibonnaci Golden Zone). Target 4: 602.12 (1 Fibonnaci). Stop Loss: 861.10 (above recent high, ~25% above current price). RSI Analysis: The RSI shows a bullish divergence (price making lower lows while RSI makes higher lows), suggesting potential upward momentum. Current RSI is around 79.74, nearing overbought territory (>70), so caution is advised.
Short
by AltcoinPiooners
2
GOLD Weekly Idea💡Why Gold Pulled Back - Gold pulled back today after hitting $3439.04, just below resistance at $3451.53. Traders took profits ahead of key Fed and trade headlines. Right now, it’s trading around $3414.48, down 0.50%. - The dip came after the U.S.-Japan trade deal eased geopolitical tension, cutting safe-haven demand. Plus, U.S. bond yields are climbing (10-year at 4.384%), which adds pressure on gold. Support is building at $3374.42, with stronger buying interest expected around $3347.97 and the 50-day moving average at $3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend. Short-term looks a bit weak, but as long as gold holds above the 50-day MA, the bullish trend remains intact. Longer-term, weakness in the dollar, central bank gold buying, and concerns about Fed independence could push prices higher. 🔍Watching the Fed’s July 29–30 meeting next
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GOLDFXCC
EUR/USD Elliott Wave: Corrective Pullback in Progress Wave ((4))EUR/USD 4H chart with Elliott Wave count. The pair remains in a steady downtrend after peaking at the wave (C) high, and is now in the middle of a larger wave iii decline. Bearish impulse waves dominate, with lower lows confirming the trend (mid-wave iii scenario). Now expecting a wave ((4)) relief bounce (corrective) within this wave iii. Price could rebound toward 1.15788–1.16153, the ~38.2–50% Fibonacci retracement zone of the prior drop. This area is a likely resistance for the bounce, suggesting only a temporary uptick in an otherwise bearish move. After wave ((4)) completes, the downtrend should resume as wave ((5)) of iii kicks in. The next downside target is around 1.13974 (or lower) – near a 1.618 Fibonacci extension projection where wave ((5)) may complete. This would likely finish wave iii and aligns with the broader bearish Elliott Wave count.
Short
by EWaveInsights