The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's Ultimate Market Journal🌌The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's🌠Ultimate Market Journal🎨
Hello Fellow Travelers
It's been some time since I've posted a Fresh Idea, though I've remained actively trading.
What better way to mark my TradView return, than to start an Ultimate Market Journal.
Financial Markets have taken my deep interest again recently, especially as we seem to be at a time of accelerating change and shifting regimes.
I believe many opportunities abound to those with open, flexible and creative minds.
A bit more about myself.
I've been involved with financial markets in one form or fashion for 18 years now.
I started out like most of us, approaching the game with fundamental analysis, only to later incorporate and then fully graduate to T/A.
I'm a natural Contrarian.
My brand of technical analysis is as much about aesthetics, creative expression, discovering hidden truths and applying Universal Principles as it is running the numbers.
I'm starting this off with Ultra Bond Futures, as UB's are the trading instrument I've come to specialise in, having had the most ongoing consistent success trading.
This by no means is going to be a "I bought here and sold there" type of Journal, as that's not my style.
Nor am I going to focus on a single market instrument, observation or style of analysis.
I'd like this to become a repository of accumulated wisdom and unique market perceptives.
I've just begun contemplating what this may evolve into in time, and I invite you to join me in taking this Leap
d-MR96nBa🌌
Concept
Inversion📈📉
Seek out and analyse whatever moves exactly inverse to what you intend to trade.
If you're having trouble discerning trend or observing price patterns, check the inverse.
This can be an excellent technique for exposing Bias.
This can work particularly well for currency traders, though can be Universally applied.
For US Ultra Bonds, the inverse is the US 30 Year Yield
Ultra Bond Futures
US 30 Year Yield
Currency traders, say you're about to trade AUD/CHF
Check out the CHF/AUD chart first, if they both appear Bullish or Bearish, you've got a Bias.
AUD/CHF
CHF/AUD
GBP/JPY
JPY/GBP
EUR/USD
USD/EUR
Are there any examples of Inversion in Trading you'd like to share ?
What else is on my🧠
Well just casually, I believe we're currently witnessing Peak Bitcoin in it's entire Life-cycle.
Have we Bull Trapped & Breakaway Gapped on Berkshire Hathaway
BRK.B
It's in the Detail
Wave Analysis
#SUI/USDT#SUI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 3.40.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 3.70
First target: 3.81
Second target: 3.91
Third target: 4.09
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 106792.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 107234
First target: 108262
Second target: 109748
Third target: 111298
#KDA/USDT#KDA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.5380.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.5447
First target: 0.5545
Second target: 0.5670
Third target: 0.5820
#SEI/USDT#SEI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.2095.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.2249
First target: 0.2423
Second target: 0.2423
Third target: 0.2538
ETH/USDT – Structural Pattern Near Completion (4H)The current 4H chart of Ethereum is unfolding a 7-legged sideways corrective structure, with signs suggesting we are now in or entering the final leg of the pattern.
🔸 Wave Progression (Post-X Correction):
A → Initial push upward
B → Sharp pullback
C → Extended leg with strong momentum
D → Symmetrical pullback, 80% of B
E → Sharp upside move
F → Pulled back to D-level support
G → Potential final leg now developing
📌 Pattern Characteristics:
7-wave alternation forming within contracting boundaries
Price symmetry observed in B = F and A ≈ C ≈ E
Visual structure remains neutral and balanced
Each leg alternating in direction and behavior
📈 Expectations:
G is likely to be an upward wave, completing the structure
Target range for G: 2,660–2,700, possibly testing or briefly exceeding E
After G completes, a reversal or acceleration move is likely
🧭 What to Watch:
Reaction near upper boundary around 2,700
Any sharp rejection from that zone confirms the pattern is complete
Break of the D–F trendline post-G confirms structure termination
📊 Timeframe: 4H
Asset: ETH/USDT
Structure: Complex 7-leg correction
Outlook: Bullish short-term → Cautious after G
💬 Drop your thoughts below. Are we completing the final leg or mid-structure?
📍 Like and follow for more professional pattern analysis.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
#SEI/USDT#SEI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.2170.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.2310
First target: 0.2372
Second target: 0.2446
Third target: 0.2563
#PYTH/USDT#PYTH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.1270.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.1280
First target: 0.1322
Second target: 0.1350
Third target: 0.1400
EURUSD Long: Wave 3 of 3This is a detailed analysis of EURUSD. Over here, I pointed out the following:
1. We are going into a wave 3 of 3 up.
2. A false breakdown to complete a double combination w-x-y.
3. Wave 1=3 target of 1.16477.
4. Aggressive Stop at 1.12951; Conservative Stop at 1.12553.
5. Bias of USD Short (de-dollarization).
Good luck!
#MYRO/USDT#MYRO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.02700.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.02750
First target: 0.02888
Second target: 0.03017
Third target: 0.03187
Bitcoin: Supported By News In The Short-TermBitcoin: Supported By News In The Short-Term
News:
Senator Lummis commentes: Bill to buy $1M bitcoin hits Senate floor next week
"President Trump supports the bill".
The Senate will shift focus to creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve after the stablecoin vote
Technical Analysis:
BTC is in a strong bullish trend and also above a very strong structure zone located between 107K and 108.5K
The chances are that the news and the current price zone could push BTC up again in the short term to complete a larger pattern which may expand more.
I am looking only for a short-term movement with targets 110345 and 111300
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TRUMP/USD – Watching Key Support at 12.45–12.15 for Potential ReThe TRUMP/USD pair is consolidating near the strong horizontal support zone at 12.45–12.15, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous bullish leg.
🔹 Key Levels & Scenario:
Support zone: 12.45–12.15 – price has repeatedly tested and held this area
Upside targets:
50% retracement at 14.096
78.6% retracement at 15.134
The pair is showing early signs of stabilization, suggesting a potential rebound toward these Fibonacci levels if the support holds.
📉 Invalidation:
A decisive daily close below 12.15 would invalidate the bullish bias and open the door for deeper retracement.
📌 Trading Plan:
Watching for price action signals (candlestick reversal or breakout) above 12.45
Targets: 14.096 and 15.134
SL: Below 12.15 for a conservative risk management approach
This idea focuses on the potential for a short-term reversal in a larger consolidation phase, supported by clear Fibonacci and horizontal confluence.
Gold Elliott wave analysis 5/28/2025In my view, gold is currently in wave five of the Grand Supercycle Wave V, which I began counting from around the year 1833. While many investors expect gold prices to skyrocket further due to geopolitical tensions, de-globalization, and growing concerns over asset bubbles—evidenced by large-scale stock selloffs and a shift toward cash holdings—I believe much of this fear is already priced in.
As for my price target, I expect gold to complete its final wave at around $3,600–$3,700. This projection is based on the assumption that wave five (in cream color) will likely be equal in length to wave one, especially considering that wave three is the extended wave. After reaching this peak, I anticipate a significant downturn—similar to the crash between 1980 and 2001—which could form a massive wave two correction potentially lasting for decades.
An additional factor supporting my outlook is the upcoming Saturn–Neptune conjunction in 2025–2026. According to financial astrology, previous Saturn–Neptune cycles have been closely associated with recessions, financial crises, and economic restructuring. These periods often expose bubbles, fraud, or excessive optimism. Given the elevated level of gold prices today, which may be considered a bubble, this suggests that a major correction in gold could be approaching.