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Wave Analysis

Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area 6104 (Wave 3).Colleagues, I see that the price has completed wave “4” and is now forming wave “5” of the higher order. I believe that the price may go into correction in the lower wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5896.9, after which I expect the upward movement to continue to the resistance area 6104. The upward movement is the priority, so I warn that the price may just continue to move upward, updating the wave “1”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
3
EUR/USD - High Probability Trade SetupLooking at this chart price is appearing Bearish but I have other beliefs. As you can see on a Monthly TF you can notice a clear Elliots Wave 1-5 Pattern Followed by this current breakout. Typically Liquidity will sit higher and will remain untouched after breakout as shows in this graph, I believe we have seen a large swing point being at a Phycological Level and now on smaller time frames we are seeing Bullish movements. To confirm this Theory on the Daily we have noticed the previous Bullish movment took out Swing High Liquidity and is extremely Oversold. Price will be falling but to where..? We have creating a Change Of Character and unless this changes im now looking for Buy positions. We are creating Higher Highs in the 4H and breaking previous structure points. On the Chart I have market out key levels being OTE zones, Discount areas and Liquidity all being lower than the current price suggesting this pullback period will inverse this imbalance before pushing us into Higher Highs once again Will be adjusting our Entry Models as price action moves Good Luck to all Traders who follow along
Long
by jamesibartram
1
AWC - Analysis on price movementN wave with E, V, N & NT projection. Price Position: The price is currently above the Kumo, a bullish indicator suggesting positive momentum. Tenkan-sen is above the Kijun-sen, reinforcing a bullish outlook. The cloud being green signifies a favorable environment for long positions. N at 0.995: A near-term resistance target providing insight into trade exits. NT at 0.920: Serves as a critical support level; a drop below this would signal a shift in market sentiment and potential trend reversal. Look to enter a long position around the current price of 0.960 or on a confirmed breakout above the N level at 0.995 with significant volume. Confirmation: Seek bullish candle formations or significant upward movement in volume to validate the buy decision. Set a stop-loss at 0.910, below the NT support level, to protect against adverse market movements. Volume Analysis: Pay attention to volume trends, particularly during upward movements. Increased volume will bolster the bullish case. Market Sentiment: Monitor broader market conditions and news affecting AWC and the construction or engineering sectors. Risk Management: Adjust position sizes according to risk tolerance and overall market volatility. Note: 1. Analysis for education purposes only. 2. Trade at your own risk.
MYX:AWCLong
by mg6112
SOL/USDTKey Level Zone: 226 - 235 HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
BTCUSDT ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS: 23 JAN, 2025 - DOUBLE THREE©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master's Designation). Risk Analysis / Risk Assessment: - Major Trend: Bullish - Which Wave Count Scenario Has Higher Probability: Definitely the Main Wave Count Scenario. - Should I Go Long?: No, Not Now. - When to Confirm Bullish Trend with High Probability?: On Breakout Above 107,240. Details: Since the 89,0256.69 Low, we are witnessing a corrective wave following the completed wave (i)-orange, which I mentioned in my last analysis of BTC, so this is a good opportunity to review the upcoming outlook. Wave (ii)-orange is completing as a Combination Double Three. Its y-grey wave may need a little more time to complete as a Triangle, then wave (iii)-orange will move higher. Alternative scenario: Wave (ii)-orange has ended, and wave (iii)-orange has started. (Less likely, lower probability). Conclusion: Need a little more time. Or when the price breaks through 107.240, it will immediately trigger the alternative scenario ALT, and wave (iii)-orange can move much higher.
Long
by ShaneHua
1
Lockheed Martin: A Compelling Addition to Your PortfolioHello, today we look at a potential company that might benefit in the Trump administration. Lockheed Martin Corp. is a global security and aerospace company, which engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services. It operates through the following business segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- as shown Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- 0 crossover on the MACD Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target point $660 Global defense spending has surged as nations strengthen their military capabilities, driving demand for advanced weaponry such as fighter jets, which are critical for air combat. These is largely because we are currently facing a resurgence of wars in the globe. In January 2025, over 10 countries hosted extreme levels of conflict, including: Russia, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Myanmar, Syria, Palestine, Mexico, Nigeria, Brazil, Taiwan, Colombia, Haiti, Yemen, and Sudan. This trend significantly benefits Lockheed Martin, a leading combat aircraft manufacturer, through steady orders from the Pentagon and U.S. allies. Long-term, the Pentagon has prioritized modernizing military capabilities to counter aggression from major powers like China and Russia, while managing threats from terrorism and hot spots like Iran and North Korea. Lockheed Martin is well-positioned to capitalize on these priorities with its exposure to key programs such as the F-35 fighter jet, hypersonic missiles, and the militarization of space. In December 2024 Lockheed Martin secured a nearly $12-billion contract to produce 145 additional F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter jets for the US military and its international allies. The F-35 program, the largest weapons program in history, provides Lockheed Martin with stable revenue streams through procurement and maintenance contracts. As of September 30, 2024, Lockheed had delivered 1,040 F-35 aircraft since the program's inception. Its advanced sensors, mission readiness, and ability to connect air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains have driven strong demand globally. We expect Lockheed to remain a reliable partner in supporting the United States Government’s defense goals. While the shift towards unmanned systems is being explored, experts like AeroDynamic Advisory Managing Director Richard highlight the continued relevance of manned fighter jets. Richard notes that drones cannot yet match the versatility of jets in intercepting enemy bombers, supporting naval operations, or achieving other strategic objectives. This bodes well for Lockheed Martin's continued success in the sector. While all these looks quite positive for the industry, the primary risk for defense spending is budgetary pressure. Under cost-cutting measures, Musk through the new cost cutting department DOGE has pointed to defense procurement, which represents less than 4% of the $6.8 trillion 2024 federal budget. Musk’s co-lead, Vivek Ramaswamy, has also advocated for shifting funds toward unmanned platforms instead of traditional fighter jets. While the defense budget might face stress, we anticipate reductions to come from non-military items used by the Department of Defense rather than core defense capabilities. We do not see a significant cut in the arms procurement or a shift to unmanned platforms. Another risk Lockheed Martin faces is associated with its reliance on U.S. military funding, which is inherently political and uncertain. Moreover, competition from SpaceX could challenge Lockheed’s dominance in space-related contracts. In 2023, Lockheed Martin’s space division generated $12.61 billion in revenue, a substantial contribution to its total $67.57 billion revenue for the year. To strengthen its position, Lockheed Martin completed its acquisition of Terran Orbital and its subsidiary Tyvak International, leading manufacturers of modular spacecraft. Lockheed has collaborated with Terran Orbital on several projects, including Space Development Agency programs and technology demonstrations. Should this risk materialize, then we would see a significant income wiped out. The 2024 Republican Party platform emphasize the development of a U.S.-made "Iron Dome" and the modernization of the military. An Iron Dome, as defined by Wikipedia, is a mobile all-weather air defense system that intercepts and destroys short-range rockets and artillery shells fired from 4 to 70 kilometers away. For this task we expect collaboration between Rafael Advanced Defense Systems and Lockheed Martin on designing and manufacturing the Iron Dome for U.S. use. These two companies have worked together successfully in the past. Notably, in December 2022, Lockheed Martin and Rafael Advanced Defense Systems signed a teaming agreement to jointly develop, test, and manufacture High Energy Laser Weapon Systems (HELWS) in both the U.S. and Israel. The below are the customers of Lockheed Martin as per their website Australia, Brunei, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Morocco, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Saudi Arabia, Slovakia, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Unites states, Israel & others Financial Summary Lockheed Martin reported strong financial performance for the quarter ended September 29, 2024: Net sales: $17,104 million, up from $16,878 million in the same quarter of 2023. Gross profit: $2,117 million, compared to $2,048 million in Q3 2023. Operating profit: $2,140 million, an increase from $2,042 million in the same period last year. Net earnings: $1,623 million, slightly down from $1,684 million in Q3 2023. Diluted earnings per common share: $6.80, compared to $6.73 in the same quarter of 2023. For the nine months ended September 29, 2024, the company reported: Net sales: $52,421 million, up from $48,697 million in the same period of 2023. Gross profit: $6,240 million, compared to $6,184 million in the same period last year. Operating profit: $6,317 million, an increase from $6,214 million in the same period of 2023. Net earnings: $4,809 million, down from $5,054 million in the same period last year. Diluted earnings per common share: $20.05, compared to $19.97 in the same period of 2023. Lockheed Martin's business performance for the quarter ended September 29, 2024, was marked by strong contributions from its four business segments: Aeronautics: Generated $6,487 million in revenue, with the F-35 Lightning II program representing approximately 22% of total consolidated net sales. Missiles and Fire Control (MFC): Reported an increase in net sales to $3,175 million, up from $2,939 million in Q3 2023. Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS): Achieved net sales of $4,367 million, compared to $4,121 million in the same period last year. Space: Recorded net sales of $3,075 million, slightly down from $3,101 million in Q3 2023. Lockheed Martin Corporation Forecasts Fiscal Year 2024 EPS of Approximately $26.65. Lockheed has no major debt maturities over the next three years and has more than sufficient debt capacity to finance incremental acquisitions and/or weather a potential funding trough. Challenges and Risks U.S. Budget Environment: With approximately three-quarters of sales from the U.S. Government, changes in defense spending and funding levels can significantly affect the company's financial performance. Geopolitical and Economic Environment: Global security concerns, supply chain challenges, inflation, and macroeconomic conditions present risks to the company's operations and profitability. Operational Risks: The company faces challenges in ramping up production, managing supplier costs, and maintaining operational efficiency. Foreign Currency Exchange Rates: The company is exposed to risks associated with changing foreign currency exchange rates, although its market risk exposures have not changed materially since December 31, 2023. Our recommendation Lockheed Martin continues to experience increased demand for advanced weaponry like the F-35 fighter jet due to increased global conflict. The company’s strong order book positions it well for long-term growth. While risks exist, including budgetary pressures and competition from SpaceX on space militarization, Lockheed Martin’s strategic collaborations and revenue diversification strategies strengthen its outlook. From a technical standpoint, Lockheed Martin's stock appears to offer an attractive entry point. Since October 2024, the stock has corrected by over 25%, presenting a potential upside opportunity. The MACD indicator suggests a bullish crossover, supported by strong fundamentals. The company recently secured an $11.76 billion contract with the United States government to produce and deliver 145 F-35 jets across all three variants of the program. This contract, set for completion by June 2027, provides stability against short-term market volatility. Furthermore, the ongoing geopolitical climate suggests that more nations are likely to increase their defense budgets, bolstering future sales. Should Lockheed Martin collaborate with Israel’s Rafael Advanced Defense Systems, there is significant potential to develop a superior version of the Iron Dome, further enhancing sales prospects. Profitability is projected to expand by 10–20 basis points annually, with the segment EBIT margin expected to reach 11% by the end of the decade. we recommend a Buy with a target price of $ 660. Sources: Lockheed Martin website Tradingview (News flow) www.tradingview.com Tradingview (Financials) www.tradingview.com
NYSE:LMTLong
by thesharkke
ARTYUSDT Approaching Key Support Level OKX:ARTYUSDT is approaching a key support level at 0.60, a zone where the price has historically reacted. The market structure remains bullish, and we are watching for a move toward the 0.69 level or a potential breakout of the descending trendline. If the price successfully breaks these levels, the target is set at 1.50. However, if the 0.60 support fails to hold, the setup becomes invalid, and the next area of interest would be the 0.40 level, which presents a strong opportunity for long-term accumulation. 👨🏻‍💻💭 What are your thoughts on this setup? Let us know below! __________________________________________________________________ The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Long
by 3Commas
My projection didn't changeI still keep it LONG-Term for 1H-4H. The big difference is that the price pump without a very good liquidity, for that particular reason couldn't break ATH(all time high). This time I'll wait once more for taking the bottom liquidity to going to target 3. If the price start to pump again, without take the liquidity of the bottom, gonna be long but just until near ATH max. The only way to break ATH without take the liquidity of the bottom is with a good fundamental, could be lower tax interest from USA dep of economy, Trump alleging about crypto and specifically bitcoin, or other potencial news that satisfy the wallet of the market maker and big whales. Pretty Much it... Wolf Champions!!!
Long
by Wolf_Champions
XRP going to 8.2-13.3 in 2025.if you check the full history of xrp You will notice that XRP failed to break its previous ATH(3.3$) of January 2018, even in 2021. maybe the coins that ran in this bull run won't run the same in 2024/2025 according to Elliot Wave, Wave "5" is still pending The last two rallies(2017 & 2020) started when the monthly Bollinger lower band hit accumulate between 0.16-0.22 or enters at the monthly BB lower band Wave "5" top in the next bull run is expected at (8.2-13.3) everything is mentioned DYOR NFA ((press like👍 if you enjoy + comment your opinion about the market or your thoughts, below this analysis))
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Arman_Charts2025
1
XAUUSD POSSIBLE MOVEMENT ( MUST READ CAPTION )Hello Traders Here's my XAUUSD idea, what you think on XAUUSD? share your opinion on it in comment section we need your support then please support us and let's grow together According to my personal analysis GOLD will fly, target's identified in chart, if gold break pivot point then some chances of sell, for now follow buy till our target area and remember that when gold touch our first target and break 2768 level then gold will fly to next target area Key Points Current Price 2752.00 Pivot Point 2745.60 Support Zone 1 2740/2736 Support Zone 1 2726/2722 Target Area 1 2764/2768 Target Area 1 2780/2784 Follow mw for more updates on gold and don't forget to follow boost and comment thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SEBASTIIAN74
Is ZENUSDT Ready for a Reversal or More Downside? BINANCE:ZENUSDT is nearing a key support zone around 18.00, which has been a reaction level in the past. The EMA ribbon is bullish, and the Signal Builder has previously sent buy signals. The market structure remains bullish, as the price has broken above the last significant high. A potential trade setup involves waiting for the price to test the 18.00 level. If the level holds, the next target is 39.00. However, if the price breaks below 18.00, the setup becomes invalid, and the 6.00 level could serve as a long-term accumulation area. 👨🏻‍💻💭 Do you think ZEN will hold the 18.00 level or drop further? Let’s discuss! __________________________________________________________________ The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Long
by 3Commas