Get started

Wave Analysis

Gold Short: Walkthrough of Wave Counts and H&SThis is the video walkthrough of the Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold that I posted 8 hours earlier. I made an update to the head-and-shoulders in this video and discusses the change in neckline. I also discuss about why I chose to label the waves as they are and how they might have been labelled otherwise. In the end, this is still a short call but with the H&S tilt shifted down. I realised that I missed out on how to do the profit target, but please refer to the linked static idea for the profit target and stop loss. Thank you!
TVC:GOLDShort
by yuchaosng
XAU/USD 30 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025. Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback. Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
NZD/CAD Long, EUR/USD Short, CAD/JPY Short and GBP/AUD ShortNZD/CAD Long Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. EUR/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. CAD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. GBP/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart. • If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
April 30, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityTechnical Outlook: Yesterday’s daily candle closed as a bearish bar with a short lower shadow, suggesting weakened bullish momentum. Watch the previous low around 3299.5 — if it holds, bulls are not completely out of the game, and the new consolidation range becomes 3299–3333. • A break above 3330 could trigger a push toward the 3350 midpoint resistance. • If 3299 is broken, price may revisit last Friday’s low at 3265. There’s opportunity on both sides, so make sure to set your Stop Loss and manage your emotions carefully. Key Levels to Watch: • 3370: Last week’s high, major resistance • 3355: Key resistance • 3330–3333: Resistance zone • 3306–3325: Narrow range for intraday scalping – sell high, buy low, watch for clean breakouts • 3300: Psychological round number • 3287: Key support Strategy for Consolidation Zone (3306–3325): • Trade around 3325 based on breakout behavior: • If price fails to hold above 3325, consider short positions. • If price breaks and holds above 3325, consider long positions. Upside Targets Above 3325: → 3330, 3333, 3340 Downside Targets Below 3325: → 3321, 3318, 3313 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
O
by Ombabibi
Bitcoin Cash —An Opportunity That Cannot Be MissedBitcoin Cash already grew quite a bit between June 2023 and April 2024, total growth from bottom to top amounts to 699%, but this is not all. Right now the conditions are perfect for the continuation of this long-term bullish phase. The bear market bottom was hit in June 2022, after an entire year of sideways action, Bitcoin Cash broke up and produced the chart that we are looking at now. It has been a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Between April 2024 and April 2025, we have a long-term correction, a classic ABC. The C wave is a higher low compared to the low that was hit in August 2023. The next high is a projected higher high compared to the start of the ABC correction, April 2024. This higher high is likely to turn into a new All-Time High. This is the last chance to enter while prices are low. Just in 2-3 weeks time, Bitcoin Cash will be trading many times higher and it will never move this low again. Do what you have to do. Think if you have to think. Plan if planning is what you need; but, keep in mind that this is an opportunity that cannot be missed. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Bessent's Trade Remarks Stir Markets Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized the U.S.'s readiness for a significant trade deal with China, suggesting potential easing of the ongoing tariff war. His comments have heightened investor anticipation for developments in U.S.-China trade relations. 📉 China's Factory Activity Contracts China's April manufacturing PMI is projected to fall below 50, indicating contraction, as recent U.S. tariffs impact production. This downturn raises concerns about global supply chain disruptions and economic slowdown. 💼 Major Earnings Reports on Deck Investors await earnings from key companies including Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), and Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ). These reports will provide insights into how tech giants are navigating current economic challenges.​ 🏛️ Treasury's Borrowing Plans Under Scrutiny The U.S. Treasury is set to release its quarterly refunding announcement, detailing borrowing plans amid economic uncertainties and the impact of recent tariffs. Market participants will closely analyze the guidance for implications on interest rates and fiscal policy. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 30: 📈 Q1 GDP (8:30 AM ET) Forecast: 0.3% QoQ Previous: 2.4% Initial estimate of U.S. economic growth for Q1, reflecting the early impact of new trade policies. ​ 📈 ADP Employment Report (8:15 AM ET) Measures private sector employment changes, offering a preview of the official jobs report.​ 📈 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET) Assesses business conditions in the Chicago area, serving as an indicator of regional economic health.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AShort
by TrendTao
Is Bitcoin Overextended? Here's My Trade Plan If BTC Retraces!Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis 📝 🚀 Current Market Structure: The daily BTC/USDT chart clearly shows a strong bullish trend, with price action recently making a significant upward move. The current candles are consolidating near the highs, suggesting a potential overextension after a parabolic rally. This often precedes a corrective phase, as buyers may take profits and new participants wait for a more favorable entry. 🔍 Wyckoff Perspective: Your approach aligns with the Wyckoff Method, specifically looking for a retracement to the 50% level of the current swing. This would place the ideal entry zone around the $93,071 area, as marked on your chart. According to Wyckoff, after such a retrace, we should watch for an accumulation range—a period of sideways movement where smart money absorbs supply. The key signal to watch for is a "spring" (a false breakdown below the range), followed by a strong bullish breakout, confirming demand dominance. 🌐 Fundamental Backdrop: Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains supported by several macro factors: Institutional adoption continues, with ETFs and large funds increasing exposure. The recent halving event has reduced new supply, historically a bullish catalyst. Regulatory clarity in major markets (e.g., US, EU) is improving, reducing uncertainty. However, risks remain from potential regulatory crackdowns, macroeconomic headwinds (such as interest rate hikes), and geopolitical tensions. 💬 Sentiment & Analyst Consensus: Market sentiment is currently optimistic, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hovering in the "Greed" zone. Many analysts are calling for a healthy correction before the next leg up, echoing your expectation of a retrace. Some prominent voices suggest that a pullback to the $92,000–$94,000 range would be constructive, allowing for reaccumulation and a more sustainable rally. 📈 Technical Triggers to Watch: Retrace to 50% Level: Monitor for price action around $93,071–$94,593. Accumulation Range: Look for a period of low volatility and tight range after the retrace. Spring & Breakout: A false breakdown below the range, quickly reclaimed, followed by a strong bullish candle, would be the classic Wyckoff entry trigger. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
by fxtraderanthony
1
Gold starts to fluctuate at a high level, will it fall or rise iFrom the 4-hour chart of gold: From the above chart, the current trend may be a convergent triangle consolidation, with the high point gradually moving down and the low point gradually moving up. When the space can no longer be expanded, a breakthrough in a certain direction will be obtained. At present, the upper track is at 3344 and the lower track is at 3273. It may not be able to completely touch the upper and lower tracks, but there is a certain support or pressure performance near them; now the key middle track has been lost again, under pressure at 3315, and there is still a chance to explore and approach the lower track tonight; from the hourly chart: the trend of the Asian session in the past few days has been relatively smooth, with better continuity. Once it reaches the European session, it is a volatile oscillation back and forth; the current 3330 line is today's Feng Shui Ridge. If it can withstand pressure here, there is still room for a second exploration. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to sell on rebounds as the main strategy, and buy on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3330-3340 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3300-3290 line of support. Buying range: 3302-3300, SL: 3290, TP: 3320-3335 Selling range: 3333-3335, SL: 3345, TP: 3320-3315 Key points: First support: 3300, second support: 3295, third support: 3290 First resistance: 3330, second resistance: 3335, third resistance: 3345
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenViewJake
Has the local bottom formed?Making the case for a bottom being complete at this level. There will be a retest of the bottom but my thesis is that it should hold above $8.37. There are a few items for my thesis. One, there is a Bullish Divergence on the weekly time frame. Two, Accumulation/Distribution is still holding well, even with the large RED Volume…price did not move too much. Three, looks like the 7th wave has completed, which I normally use as when searching for bottom formations.
NLong
by JosePastrana
Nike ($NKE ) Rally to Fail in 7-Swing PatternNike (NKE) shows a bearish trend that began at its peak on November 8, 2021, indicating potential for further declines. On a shorter cycle, the stock’s drop from its October 1, 2024 high is developing as an impulsive Elliott Wave structure, characterized by sharp downward moves. From that high, wave (1) concluded at $68.62, followed by a wave (2) recovery that peaked at $82.44. The stock then continued its descent in wave (3), reaching $50.87, as illustrated in the 45-minute chart below. Currently, Nike is in a corrective phase, forming wave (4) as a double three Elliott Wave pattern. From the wave (3) low, wave ((a)) rose to $59.22, followed by a wave ((b)) dip to $51.90. The subsequent wave ((c)) advance ended at $59.76, completing wave W. A pullback in wave X bottomed at $52.28, and the stock is now progressing in wave Y, structured as another double three pattern. From wave X, wave ((w)) reached $59.48. A brief pullback in wave ((x)) is expected to conclude soon, setting the stage for wave ((y)) to push toward the blue box zone of $61.09–$66.49. Sellers are likely to emerge in this area, potentially driving the stock lower again.
N
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Gold Short: H&S and Wave 3 downOver here, I've labelled all the waves breakdown as well as drawing a tilted head-and-shoulders. I believe that we are going into a wave 3 (minute degree) that is supported by the formation of the right shoulder. I expect the neckline to be broken which will then goes down to the first resistance provided by the lower blue trendline. The next resistance in green will be our first TP target. This is where we can choose to reduce the position, or to adjust the stop loss down in order to ride the position. As the lower target cannot be seen without squeezing the chart and causing the waves breakdowns to be unclear, I will update again when that happens. The stop loss is above the right shoulder. Good luck!
TVC:GOLDShort
by yuchaosng