SPY: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of SPY right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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Wave Analysis
SILVER: Bulls Will Push
The price of SILVER will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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COPPER : The problem of inflationHello there, good ? Me not. Because :
Inflation is a normal mecanism in a healthy economy. It's true. But the problem is : where does inflation come from?
1- So Inflation comes from healthy economic activity? With many exchanges, company creations, innovations ?
2- Or.. inflation come from quantitaive easing ? With poor innovations, poor economic activity ? Just for save the ship ?
ATM, for the occidental countries, we are in the second idea. So, what is the consequences of this ?
An impoverishment of the people, because everything increases mechanically according to the currency injected into the system. The income up ? No, and worst, the debt is "lost".
We have some cycles in economy. And the worst waves for people is the commodities waves. Because all up and not the income.
For exemple, here, we have the copper.
• 1st wave is in 2000.
• 2nd wave is now or soon.
What do you think about the consequences ?
We have almost 20 years of consolidation.
Gold up because currencies down. We don't care about supply and demand here.
Poor people.
EURUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1716 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1635
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GBPCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0959 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0979
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Dollar Bullish Correction To $103 - $105While we expected to see some Dollar upside in Q2, the economy was in such a bad state that the Dollar could not hold its value. Since the start of 2025 the Dollar is down 12% and this is only the beginning.
I believe we will see more downside in the future. But for the coming quarter there is a chance for the Dollar to get some breathing space & recover in the short term. Overall, the trend of the Dollar remains bearish, so what we want to keep an eye on is small pumps (short term recovery) into price zones which will allow us to short the Dollar back down.
I want to see a dip lower towards $96 - $94 before sellers lose bearish momentum. If this move takes place, then we can slowly see buyers step back into the market & start pushing back to the upside. Once price hits our ‘Supply Zone’ of $103 again, it’ll give us a more clear indication of what the Dollar will do next; whether that’s a longer term uptrend or a continuation to the downside.
SNAP - Bullish Reversal in Playhi traders,
* Reclaimed Support Zone
Price has successfully reclaimed a key historical support around the $8.06–$8.72 range, which previously acted as a base before major rallies. This suggests growing buyer interest at this level.
* RSI Breakout
On the RSI, we’ve seen a clean breakout from a long-term descending trendline, which has capped momentum since late 2023. This momentum shift increases the probability of a bullish continuation.
* Reward/Risk Outlook
This setup shows two potential targets:
🎯 Target 1: $12.80 (mid-range resistance)
🎯 Target 2: $17.34 (multi-year resistance level)
Stop-loss is strategically placed below the reclaimed support zone at around $7.76–$7.79, offering a favorable risk/reward profile.
The confluence of technical signals—price reclaiming support and momentum confirmation via RSI breakout—indicates a possible trend reversal. Bulls could be regaining control, making this an attractive swing opportunity.
NEIRO on Reversal Watch #NEIRO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.00033500, acting as a strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 0.00032700.
Entry price: 0.000352560.
First target: 0.00036600.
Second target: 0.00038073.
Third target: 0.00029830.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
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Chart Pattern Analysis Of ETH.
K2 verified a potential fake down of K1.
And,the supply pressure near the neck line keep decreasing.
It seems that K6 will choose to break up or fall down.
If the following candles close upon the neck line,
I will try to buy in.
If the following candles close below K3,
The risk will sharply increase.
Long-2388/Stop-2345/Target-2800
Long-2420/Stop-2345/Target-2800
Long-2488/Stop-2345/Target-2800
Up for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin made a small correction up and after that another drop just as I've said.
After it retested the Weekly FVG and broke the previous swing low it went impulsive up again.
This could be the next impulse wave to new ATH's. So wait for the correction down to finish and trade longs.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Down for goldHi traders,
Last week gold went lower then expected (wavecount updated).
The last wave down could be wave 2 or it's part of a big Triangle/ Flat.
Next week we could see this pair to go lower to sweep the liquidity below the lows and fill the 4H bullish FVG.
After that it could go up again.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to finish and trade (short term) shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EUR/USD Wave 5 Topped? Correction Incoming to 1.076FX_IDC:EURUSD PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD
📈 Chart Breakdown
🔢 Elliott Impulse Wave Completed:
Waves (1) to (5) appear to form a clean 5-wave impulse structure upward.
Final wave (5) is diverging on the oscillator (RSI), signaling potential bullish exhaustion.
🧾 ABC Correction Expected:
After the 5-wave impulse, you project an ABC corrective move:
Wave A: initial drop
Wave B: partial recovery
Wave C: deeper move likely toward the 1.07680 support (blue horizontal line)
⚠️ Bearish RSI Divergence:
The label "Div" confirms bearish divergence between price and RSI → typical at end of Wave (5).
🧠 Summary:
Structure: 5-wave impulse + projected 3-wave correction
Bias: Short-term bearish targeting 1.07680
Confirmation: Look for break below support or trendline + momentum shift
Watch out for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD made a gap lower but after the fill it went further up and broke the previous swing high (ATH). This could be the last wave 5 (orange) of wave 3 (red).
So next week we could see this pair go lower for a (big) correction down.
Let's see what the market does and react if it reaches the Daily bullish FVG's.
Trade idea: Wait for price come into the Daily bullish FVG's to trade longs again. At the moment price is too high to trade.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Hourly SAR moved above priceThis is an earlier signal compared to the standard bearish Wolfewave entry - which is price entering back below the 1-3 line.
Here, I placed a 1:3 risk/reward ratio.
Keep in mind that there could be stop hunters just above the bear risk tolerance.
Next in line in the fractal order to mark a swing high will be the 4 hour SAR.
Standard bearish Wolfewave Target is the 1-4 line.
Alternative Targets are the Magic Lines.
Patterns can fail
Do your own due diligence.
More upside for EUHi traders,
Last week EU started with a gap down. After the fill it swept the lows and after that it made the next impulsive wave up.
So next week after the finish of the correction down we could see more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame. After a small correction down you could trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
US30 DETAIL ANALYSIS
1. Fundamental Analysis
The US30, tracking 30 of the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., currently reflects a mixed but cautiously optimistic macroeconomic backdrop.
Economic Growth Outlook
The U.S. economy contracted by 0.5% annualized in Q1 2025, revised down from initial estimates. The contraction was largely driven by a surge in imports before new tariffs took effect, which distorted net exports. As a result, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast to approximately 1.4%—a downgrade from the previous 1.7% projection. Private-sector forecasts, including those from Deloitte and S&P Global, echo this view, suggesting a growth range between 1.1% and 1.5% for the year.
Inflation & Federal Reserve Policy
Core PCE inflation—the Fed’s preferred metric—rose to 2.7% year-over-year in May, above the central bank's 2% target. Similarly, core CPI held at 2.8%. While inflation is cooling compared to previous cycles, it remains sticky. Consequently, the Fed has signaled no immediate plans to cut rates, with the earliest possibility being in September. Inflation expectations for year-end 2025 have been revised up to around 3%, in part due to geopolitical shocks and new tariffs.
Labor Market & Consumption Trends
The unemployment rate remains stable near 4.2%, reflecting labor market resilience. However, real disposable income and consumer spending both declined in May, down 0.3% and 0.7%, respectively. The drop indicates potential weakening in consumer demand and future GDP prints. Confidence indices also showed a dip, although a decline in inflation expectations could moderate the downside pressure.
Tariff Effects and Global Risk
Average U.S. tariff levels are at historic highs, ranging between 15–19%, weighing on import costs and corporate margins. The ongoing trade frictions with China, coupled with Middle East tensions (particularly between Israel and Iran), add geopolitical volatility and inflationary risks. Leading institutions warn of stagflation—a toxic mix of slow growth and persistent inflation—pressuring equity valuations.
2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Evaluation
The latest COT data reflects a nuanced view of institutional behavior in equity index futures:
Asset Managers have increased net long exposure to US indices, including the Dow, suggesting underlying bullish conviction from long-term holders.
Leveraged Funds (Hedge Funds) have shown mixed sentiment—reducing short positions, but not aggressively adding longs—indicating a cautious optimism.
Retail Traders are predominantly short , which often signals further upside potential due to their tendency to be positioned against the dominant trend.
This asymmetric positioning—combined with macro and structural tailwinds—strengthens the smart money bias toward continuation of the bullish trend, especially as the Dow approaches key technical levels.
3. Technical & SMC-Based Analysis
The daily US30 chart reflects a clear bullish structure, rooted in classic Smart Money Concepts:
Market Structure
A Valid Break of Structure (BOS) confirms upside intent, following a successful sweep of internal liquidity.
The sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) remains intact.
Internal Liquidity has been swept, with price now targeting external liquidity near the All-Time High (ATH) zone.
Key Technical Levels
Buying Area 1: Around 43,150 – labeled as the H4 inducement zone. A retest here with bullish price action (engulfing or FVG fill) may trigger continuation long entries.
Buying Area 2: Between 42,450–42,650 – a deeper demand zone where price previously showed strong displacement. A high-probability re-entry zone upon confirmation.
Short-Term Sell Area: Around 44,800 – this zone aligns with potential distribution. Short positions should only be considered here upon confirmation of bearish BOS.
ATH & BSL: The final liquidity target in the current structure, marking the range highs.
Liquidity Pools
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Around 41,800, and a Strong Low exists near 40,900 – both are key areas to be respected in the bullish thesis.
Price is currently aiming toward external BSL above ATH, which is likely to be swept before any significant correction.
4. Strategic Outlook & Trade Plan
✅ Bullish Continuation Scenario
Buy Entry #1: 43,150 zone – confirmation through bullish PA on retest.
Buy Entry #2: 42,450–42,650 – deeper re-entry upon mitigation of FVG or OB.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 44,800 (potential distribution zone),
TP2: 45,200 (external BSL at ATH).
Stop Loss: Below 42,200 (under Demand Area 2 or SSL).
⚠️ Bearish Contingency (Only if BOS to Downside)
Monitor for failed structure or strong rejection at 44,800–45,200.
BOS below 43,000 could shift structure and signal a move toward the 42,200 zone.
Break of Strong Low (~40,900) invalidates bullish structure.
Conclusion
The current market environment supports a measured bullish bias in the US30, driven by:
Resilient labor and inflation expectations moderating;
Institutional accumulation per COT data;
A technically clean smart money bullish structure;
Potential for liquidity sweep above ATH before any significant distribution.
That said, macro risks such as tariffs, global geopolitical tensions, and sticky inflation remain key wildcards that could introduce volatility.
NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE