Wave Analysis
EURUSD: Market of Buyers
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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Dow Jones , Double Top continuation Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) Analysis - March 31, 2025
Chart Structure & Pattern
Head & Shoulders Pattern: The chart shows a clear double head & shoulders formation, which is a strong bearish reversal signal.
Neckline Break: Price has already broken below the neckline of the pattern, confirming a potential downward move.
Retest in Progress: The price is attempting to retest the neckline around the 42,000 - 42,500 zone, which could act as resistance.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels:
42,500 - 42,800 (Neckline resistance; sellers may defend this level)
43,200 - 44,000 (If price reclaims this zone, bearish structure invalidated)
Support Levels (Bearish Target Areas):
40,000 - 39,800 (Psychological support)
38,731 (Highlighted major target, where price could bounce)
37,600 (Next major demand zone if 38,731 fails)
Potential Scenarios
✅ Bearish Scenario (More Likely)
If price rejects 42,500, a continuation to 38,731 (-9.51%) is highly probable.
Volume is rising on declines, confirming strong selling pressure.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
If price closes above 42,800, we could see a short squeeze toward 44,000.
Conclusion
Overall Bias: Bearish
Confirmation Needed: Watch price action at 42,500-42,800—if rejected, expect a drop.
Ideal Trade Setup: Sell near 42,500 with a target at 38,731.
Nasdaq Daily time frame - Rising wedgeNASDAQ 100 (US100) Analysis - March 31, 2025
Trend & Structure
The chart shows a strong bearish breakdown from a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal formation.
After a sharp decline from all-time highs, price is breaking below key support at 19,921.
The next major support zone is highlighted in purple, around 18,000 - 17,600, which served as a base for the last rally in mid-2024.
Volume Analysis
The volume is increasing on the decline, which confirms strong selling pressure.
If price enters the purple zone, we could see a reaction (either consolidation or bounce).
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels:
19,921 (previous support, now resistance)
20,532 (higher resistance level if a pullback occurs)
Support Levels:
18,800 (current level) - slight reaction zone
18,000 - 17,600 (strong demand zone)
Potential Scenarios
Bearish Continuation: If sellers remain in control, price could fall further into the 18,000 - 17,600 zone, where a potential rebound may occur.
Short-term Pullback: A retracement back to 19,921 (previous support turned resistance) before continuing lower.
Conclusion
Trend is bearish, and further downside is likely unless buyers step in at the highlighted demand zone.
Traders should watch for price action at 18,000 - 17,600 to see if buyers defend this area.
Short-term rallies could be selling opportunities unless price reclaims 19,921.
GBP/JPY - Can we test previous resistance?GBP/JPY
Potential Sell? 📉
1️⃣ Strong Resistance Rejection & Bearish Indicators
GBP/JPY is facing strong rejection from the key resistance zone at 194.800-194.300, where sellers have historically shown strong interest.
MACD Bearish Crossover suggests increasing downside momentum.
RSI Pullback from Overbought indicates reduced buying pressure and a possible reversal.
2️⃣ UK Economic Uncertainty
UK GDP growth is forecasted to stagnate at 0.2% in Q2 2025, signaling a sluggish economy.
Inflation remains stubbornly high, increasing pressure on the Bank of England (BoE) to maintain restrictive monetary policies.
Consumer confidence is weakening, adding further weight to bearish sentiment for GBP.
3️⃣ Technical Setup Aligns with the Short Trade
Key Resistance Holding: 193.100-192.050 area remains a formidable barrier.
Bearish Divergence on MACD and RSI indicates weakening bullish momentum.
Entry: 194.421
Target: 193.100
SL: 195.500
NASDAQ 55% dip coming? The next two weeks are critical...I haven't posted on here in a minute but the NAS is looking weak, along with the SP and DOW, but mainly the SP and NAS. The next two weeks are critical to the remainder of the year. If we breach the 2024 high and close below it in January, I anticipate more lows. If we breach above it, and can hold above it through mid-February, we're probably looking at another bullish year.
My analysis points to a consolidation with bearish intent on the horizon, with a potential target of 9,800.
The tools I used in this video are liquidity techniques.
This is a macro/yearly analysis.
There is no "setup" I only use yearly outlooks to help me gauge sentiment.
The possible catalyst for us to breach and reverse the 2024 high could be inauguration. The time window to monitor is now through the Super Bowl.
If you want to learn my style of trading I'm opening a group this summer, give me a follow on trading view and I'll reach out to you when it launches.
....
I apologize for any noises in the background, and my explanations being a little scattered, I'm busy but wanted to get this analysis done real quick before it was too late, or I forgot, I've been meaning to post this since early December.
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 31 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above.
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Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions.
Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change.
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BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - We have Wave 3 Confirmation...We have had confirmation of Wave 3 In Progress.
I will be initially looking to target the .786 retracement back to the highs.
Check out the related videos down below for the full coverage of this trade.
Stay tuned for more updates.
Target $102,886
Stop: $81,274
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea Update - We Could See One More Low...In this video, I discuss why Bitcoin may still make another low before the Wave 2 correction is fully complete.
Upon closer examination of Wave iv in the previous Wave 5 correction, it appears the level where Wave iv ended was slightly miscalculated.
Technically, Bitcoin should have dipped below the perceived low, but either its strength has prevented this, or the ongoing correction is nearing completion.
The key level to watch is $82,445—if Bitcoin breaks above this, we should continue higher.
However, it’s more likely that we first dip below $81,274 before experiencing a strong upward move.
Pay close attention when Bitcoin makes another low, as the reversal could be sharp, potentially piercing through $82,445, which would confirm the trend shift.
If we make a new low then I would suggest price would turn back up after tagging $81,071.
Bitcoin Update: Equilibrium Formation & Triangle Breakout WatchHello traders,
welcome to another Bitcoin update. In previous analyses, we discussed the potential for an equilibrium-style price action forming on the intraday time frame. This pattern is now taking shape in the form of a triangle formation, where price is expected to test the lower boundary for an intraday bounce. However, this test has not yet occurred, and Bitcoin remains in a lower time-frame downtrend with no clear reversal signals at the moment.
If a bounce does occur, Bitcoin is likely to continue trading within this tightening range, compressing further until a breakout takes place. The key factor to monitor is volume during the breakout. A strong increase in volume would confirm a valid breakout, while a breakout with low volume would increase the chances of a false break, leading to a potential reversion in price action.
At this stage, Bitcoin remains within a sideways equilibrium, with no definitive signal on when or in which direction the breakout will occur. Until confirmation is provided, traders should exercise patience and closely watch price action at key levels.
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,118.23.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,093.41 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDCAD Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.434.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.444 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.294.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.305.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!