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Wave Analysis

BITCOIN - Wave 3 of Wave C In Progress - Wave 2 Breakdown...In this video, I break down why I posted the earlier chart (linked below). After studying this pattern for hours, I finally decoded the Wave 2 correction for Wave C—just in time to take a long trade at support. A solid protective stop is around $81,274, while a break above $82,759 offers partial confirmation. The key confirmation level, however, is $88,788. Since that’s still quite far, AriasWave allows for early entries if the analysis proves accurate. Given the large 1-2 formation, I anticipate price moving close to all-time highs, but I’ll keep you updated along the way.
Long
by AriasWave
Alts Close to an Obvious Break Now. Alts have been in a bear trend all of the year so far. Topping mostly on harmonic patterns at the start of the year. See full post about that here: Since this time, we've completed multiple further steps of trend failure. Let's run through them. First let's refer to my template of things you tend to see in the public during stages of a bubble. It's a multi step process, we'll skip to the advanced stages. We have the public trap (Sharp convincing spike - happened when the harmonics filled I think). Then we have the rug pull. A very clean and consistent sell off from the high during which people bury their head in the sand and use phrases like "Ignore the FUD". Then we're into the Early Panic stage where the market sells off about 50% and then puts in a bit of a bounce. We'd now be in the "mimic the convincers" part. Where the market acts like it did before the previous rallies. The bit where people are common duped into making lifechanging decisions. And the time when it's most important to be warn people about the bubble - but the time they simply will not listen. After this break, is when we tend to head into the lower lows crash section of the trend which develops into a long term grinding downtrend. As well as going through all the classic public phases of a bubble, we now have the classic things like head and shoulders to warn the break may be imminent.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by holeyprofit
2
BITCOIN Is Going Down! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 83,714.88. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 81,433.62 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
3
The Stock Market Decline Appears to be only in the US as of nowLast week on one of my member live videos I pointed out to the attendees that European markets were currently at, or very close to their All-Time highs...whereas in the US, we've entered the technical definition of a stock market correction...(down 10%). If you're so inclined to Google an economic calendar, it also appears the economic metrics like CPI, unemployment, etc... appear much better as well. There's an old adage in the markets.... "When the US sneezes, the global economy catches a cold" . However, at this very moment in time, the only thing that appears sick is the US. Maybe that changes with time. I suspect that will be the case...but in any event, one thing that is clear is that our stock market indices are signaling that whatever economic sickness is to be contracted, it will have originated here...in the United States. That is certainly a new phenomenon. For the past couple years I have been warning my members (and followers here on Trading View) of a long-term top in the stock markets. Week after week in my trading room, I have commented that I believe I have all constituent waves accounted for, to the best of my ability, to say with a high degree of confidence that a super-cycle wave (III) has topped . What we have lacked is the price action to confirm that statement. This morning, I cannot tell you we have confirmation. That confirming probability only comes when price declines below the area of the wave 4 of one lesser degree. That area is outlined in the SPX daily chart entitled the "Must Hold Region". We are not there yet, nor do I think price makes a bee-line there in one shot. Therefore, I am NOT in panic mode this morning because I do believe we need a retrace higher and only that retracement's structure will inform us the higher probability of future price subdivisions....(higher or lower). Panic is the necessary trader behavior needed to decline in such fashion as I believe a super cycle wave (IV) will start out. However personally, I do not think it's today. Futures are red this morning and closer to the recent lows than last week...the headlines surrounding the stock market appear very negative...but as of this morning, the MACD indicator on intraday charts is saying this type of sentiment is getting slightly weaker and NOT making new lows. Therefore, I continue to maintain the price and technical indications tell me a minor B is either currently underway, or will be confirmed in the short term. Until those parameters get flipped, I'll reserve my panic (so to speak) for the c of (c) of intermediate (A) into the must hold region later this year... where it will probably be justified at that time. Best to all, Chris
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
1
NZD/USD ... head & shoulder confrim sell..Based on the analysis of the NZDUSD H4 chart and the provided trade idea, here's a structured breakdown: ### Trade Setup Overview: - *Pattern Identified*: Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern confirmed by a neckline break at 0.56800. - *Trend Confirmation*: Price consolidating below the EMA-200, reinforcing bearish momentum. - *Entry Point*: Sell at 0.56800. - *Take Profit (TP)*: 0.55890 (91 pips target). - *Key Levels*: - *Neckline*: 0.56800 (serves as resistance post-break). - *Projected H&S Target*: If the head is at 0.5750 and neckline at 0.5680, the minimum target is 0.5610 (70 pips). The TP at 0.55890 may account for extended bearish momentum or historical support. ### Risk Management Considerations: - *Stop Loss (SL)*: Ideally placed above the neckline or right shoulder. For example, 0.57200 (40 pips risk) offers a 1:2.3 risk-reward ratio. - *False Breakdown Risk*: Monitor for a close back above the neckline, which would invalidate the pattern. ### Additional Factors: - *Market Context*: Check for upcoming economic events (e.g., NZ/US economic data, Fed/RBNZ policy) that could impact volatility. - *Confluence Indicators*: Bearish alignment with RSI < 50 or MACD below the signal line would strengthen the setup. ### Conclusion: The trade leverages a confirmed H&S breakdown and EMA-200 resistance. While the TP exceeds the traditional H&S measurement, it may target a stronger support zone. Traders should manage risk with a tight stop and watch for price action confirmation. *Execution Plan*: 🔽 Sell at 0.56800 🎯 TP: 0.55890 🚫 SL: 0.57200 (adjust based on volatility tolerance). Monitor price reaction near 0.5610 (initial H&S target) for potential partial profit-taking or trail stops.
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
1
bitcoin is still buy for awhile Buying Bitcoin in the $72K-$74K range with an initial target of $130K-$150K. After that, we need to assess whether the market will undergo a deeper correction to $47K to form a reverse contracting triangle with targets above $500K, or if there will be no further drop and another structure will emerge for the continuation of the uptrend. The key takeaway here is that while Bitcoin generally moves in tandem with the S&P and Nasdaq indices, there’s a crucial difference: If you observe closely, the angle and intensity of the declines in these indices are significantly steeper than the angle of their upward movements. This suggests that a major correction and recession in the stock market have begun, expected to last at least 300 days (with approximately 200 days remaining). However, in Bitcoin, the recent pullback has been at a shallower angle compared to the previous upward movement. This indicates that the D wave of the uptrend is not yet complete. As a result, we should anticipate another leg up, with minimum targets at the previous all-time high and a more standard target of $130K-$150K. After reaching those levels, a more significant decline could follow. For now, keep an eye on the $72K-$74K range as a key potential entry point, as the bullish scenario remains likely.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by NEOVOLUME
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, we were unable to update the local high of $88,800, after which we broke the uptrend and went down. As we mentioned earlier in the daily analysis on TradingView, of the support zones at the moment, only the accumulated volume zone of $84,400-$82,900 and technical levels can be noted. Therefore, the main priority for this week is to reduce to a minimum of $76,700. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The only buyer's zone couldn't resist. The seller's pushing volumes appeared just above it, which will now act as a resistance zone when the price returns. Long is contraindicated. Consider buys only when approaching the local minimum and testing the buyer's zone of $77,000-$73,000, or with abnormal market activity and a breakdown of the maximum of $88,800. Sell Zones: $84,000–$85,300 (pushing volumes) $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer's market aggression) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zone: $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes) IMPORTANT DATES This week we’re following these macroeconomic events: • Monday, March 31, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the German consumer price index; • Tuesday, April 1, 03:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision; • Tuesday, April 1, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to March 2024; • Tuesday, April 1, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for March; • Tuesday, April 1, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the US labor market for February; • Wednesday, April 2, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in March; • Thursday, April 3, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Thursday, April 3, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for March; • Thursday, April 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for March; • Friday, April 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for March; • Friday, April 4, 15:25 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Short
by Crypto_robotics
EUR/CAD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/CAD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.542 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDCAD KEY LEVELS TO WATCH 121 BULLISH Hello traders, I hope you’ve had a fantastic trading week! This week we’ve been closely monitoring AUDCAD, and the market continues to offer a high-probability bullish setup, especially when we zoom out and line up our multi-timeframe structure. 🟩 Daily Chart – 1:1 Symmetry & Bullish Pattern As we can see on the daily timeframe, price respected the prior harmonic rhythm and completed a perfect 1:1 AB=CD structure at 0.89665. This symmetry lands exactly on a rising trendline from earlier this year and has already sparked a minor bullish reaction. XA = CD symmetry confirms harmonic balance. The entry level is 0.90085, with a stop below 0.89647. The price is now testing the structure from above — a sign of healthy re-accumulation. 🌀 4H Chart – Cypher Completion Holding On the 4H chart, the potential Cypher pattern has completed and so far held well. The CD leg dropped into the ideal PRZ and bounced, giving us a confluence with the 1D symmetry pattern. We’re monitoring a potential long trigger above 0.89916. This is a spot where bulls have to prove themselves — above the entry we may see momentum pick up again. 📊 1H Chart – Rectangle Channel Still Intact Dropping to the 1H view, AUDCAD continues to trade within a well-defined rectangle channel. We're yet to see a strong breakout from the 0.90292 upper level, but the tight consolidation just beneath it tells us accumulation might be in play. ✅ Conclusion Bullish structure remains valid from the daily down to the hourly view. We're now watching for volume and confirmation above 0.90085 and 0.90292 to open the gate for upside targets: 38%: 0.90716 62%: 0.91355 78%: 0.91835 Until then — we stay patient, protect risk, and let the structure mature.
Long
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
1
SEI New Update (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Considering the strength of the wave and the status of Bitcoin and other key indices, we have slightly lowered the support zone, as this coin may form a deeper correction for wave C. We have also updated the targets. Let’s see what happens. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
5