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Wave Analysis

TSLATesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a leading American electric vehicle (EV) and clean energy company founded by Elon Musk and others in 2003. Tesla is known for its innovative EVs, including the Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y, as well as its advancements in autonomous driving (Full Self-Driving - FSD), battery technology, and energy solutions like solar panels and Powerwall batteries. As a high-growth and highly volatile stock, TSLA is influenced by EV demand, production capacity, regulatory policies, competition, and broader market trends. Tesla remains a key player in the global shift toward sustainable energy and transportation.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by HavalMamar
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is the largest bank in the United States and one of the most influential financial institutions globally. It provides a wide range of services, including investment banking, asset management, consumer banking, and wealth management. As a major player in the financial sector, JPM is heavily influenced by Federal Reserve policies, interest rates, economic conditions, and global market trends. The bank’s stock (JPM) is a key component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) and is closely watched by investors for insights into the health of the banking industry and the broader economy.
NYSE:JPMShort
by HavalMamar
NVIDIANvidia Corporation (NVDA) is a leading American technology company specializing in graphics processing units (GPUs), artificial intelligence (AI), and data center solutions. Founded in 1993, Nvidia revolutionized the gaming and professional graphics industry with its GeForce GPUs and has expanded into AI computing, cloud computing, and autonomous vehicle technology. The company plays a crucial role in the AI boom, with its H100 and A100 chips dominating the high-performance computing market. As a key player in the tech sector, Nvidia’s stock is highly volatile and influenced by demand for AI, gaming trends, semiconductor supply chains, and overall tech sector performance.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by HavalMamar
AUDUSDThe AUD/USD (Australian Dollar to US Dollar) currency pair is a major forex pair that represents the exchange rate between the Australian dollar (AUD) and the US dollar (USD). It is heavily influenced by commodity prices (especially gold and iron ore), interest rate decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), and global risk sentiment. As a risk-sensitive currency, AUD/USD tends to rise when markets are optimistic and fall during economic uncertainty. Traders often use it to gauge global trade trends and commodity market strength.
Short
by HavalMamar
1
GBPJPYThe GBP/JPY (British Pound to Japanese Yen) currency pair is a highly volatile and widely traded forex pair, often referred to as the “Dragon” due to its sharp price movements. It represents the exchange rate between the British pound (GBP) and the Japanese yen (JPY), influenced by factors such as Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) monetary policies, economic data, interest rate differentials, and global risk sentiment. Traders favor GBP/JPY for its high liquidity and strong trending behavior, making it popular for both short-term and long-term strategies.
Short
by HavalMamar
1
SPX500The S&P 500 (SPX500) is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S. It covers various sectors, including technology, healthcare, finance, and consumer goods, making it a broad measure of the U.S. economy. The index is widely used by investors as a benchmark for market performance and is influenced by economic data, interest rates, and corporate earnings. Known for its stability compared to NAS100, SPX500 is a key indicator of overall market trends.
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Short
by HavalMamar
Gold's EW Structure Points to Final Wave V Target at 2757The current Elliott Wave pattern analysis remains valid as long as price stays below $2,757 Daily closes above $2,757 would invalidate the current wave count Traders should exercise caution and consider adjusting positions if price approaches this critical level This invalidation level serves as a key risk management point for positions based on this analysis This creates a clear strategic boundary for: Risk management Position sizing Strategy validation Stop-loss placement Trading Tip: Using daily closes rather than intraday spikes provides more reliable signals and helps avoid false invalidation due to market noise. Invalidation Level: Elliott Wave Pattern Becomes Invalid Above $2,757
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ewturk
ORACLE $ORCL WILL AI SUPERCOMPUTER BOOST THE CLOUD GIANT?ORACLE WILL AI SUPERCOMPUTER BOOST THE CLOUD GIANT? 🤖⚡️ When Oracle pumps billions into the world’s largest AI supercomputer, are we about to witness a cloud revolution—or just a flashy detour? Let’s break it down! 🚀 (1/8) BRIEF INTRO / KEY STAT Oracle’s Q2 revenue soared 9% YoY to $14.1B! 💸 Cloud is up 24%, with IaaS leading at 52% growth. Big moves, bigger potential. 🔥 (2/8) RECENT PERFORMANCE & SIGNIFICANCE Non-GAAP EPS clocked in at $1.47, barely beating estimates. But the real spotlight? Oracle’s AI supercomputer—could it shake up the cloud wars? 🤔💥 (3/8) EARNINGS SNAPSHOT & EXPANSION PLANS Next earnings date: March 13, 2025. By then, we’ll see if Oracle’s AI investments deliver a real edge. Meanwhile, they’re expanding multi-cloud partnerships, aiming to stay ahead. 🤝 (4/8) VALUATION & PEERS Sitting at a P/E of ~27.6, Oracle isn’t exactly cheap. Competitors like Microsoft, AWS, and SAP still dominate in market cap—but Oracle’s growing cloud momentum might help it close the gap. 🤖⚖️ (5/8) SWOT ANALYSIS • Strengths: Blazing IaaS growth, robust database market, bold AI supercomputer ambitions. • Weaknesses: Legacy on-prem reliance, challenges integrating Cerner. • Opportunities: AI-driven cloud services, multi-cloud expansions, healthcare sector (Cerner). • Threats: Fierce competition (AWS, Azure, GCP), currency swings, and regulatory hurdles. ⚠️ (6/8) FUTURE OUTLOOK Will Oracle’s AI supercomputer catapult it to the top of the cloud race? • “Yes, it’s about to dominate!” 🚀 • “No, the competition’s just too strong.” 🏳️ Comment and let us know why! 💬 (8/8) CONCLUSION Oracle’s pushing hard into AI, but will it pay off? Keep an eye on innovation speed, competitive pressures, and those upcoming earnings. Stay informed, stay agile! 💼⚡️
NYSE:ORCLLong
by DCAChampion
1
An Educational Journey into Technical Analysis with Dogecoin/USDIn this tutorial, we'll dive deep into the art of technical analysis using the Dogecoin USD chart as our canvas. You'll discover how to blend Fibonacci tools, Elliott Wave Theory, and the Wyckoff Method to forecast potential market movements. Whether you're new to trading or looking to refine your analytical skills, this guide will provide you with practical insights into identifying entry and exit points, understanding market phases, and preparing for future trends. Let's embark on this educational journey together to enhance your trading strategy toolkit. When in doubt, Zoom Out! Below I was looking at Arguments for a Significant Short Position Before the Continuation of the Bullish Trend and the Pursuit of New All-Time Highs Elliott Waves: From the bear market bottom at 4.5 cents, we started wave 1 and concluded with wave 5 at the current top. Following five waves, we expect an ABC correction. Waves A and B have been completed, and we are now in wave C. Fibonacci 1: Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension - From the all-time high (ATH) to the recent bear market bottom, then to the current 48-cent top. The 0.382 Fibonacci level suggests a target of 0.2130 for the upcoming drop, which I believe is necessary for liquidity ahead of the next upward movement. Fibonacci 2: Regular Fibonacci Retracement - From the bottom of wave 4 to the top of wave 5, the 0.618 level is at 0.235 cents. I've marked a green box between these two targets. See in the image below how Backtesting this strategy on the two previous cycles shows that before breaking ATHs, Dogecoin always hit this 0.382 Fib level! I use these 2 Fibonacci targets to place the green box between them and where I expect price to go in the newxt couple of weeks. Additional Observation: The green line below the 0.618 Fib retracement and above the 0.382 trend-based Fibonacci extension also marks a retest of the wave 3 high at 0.23 cents. Now that we've examined the macro perspective, let's Zoom In to the current action: Wyckoff Schematic: Check my previously published idea on Bitcoin, linked here, where Bitcoin is in a Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #1. Dogecoin seems to follow with Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #2. I've added vertical lines for phase separation, a red resistance box, and a green support box. Link to Richard D. Wyckoff, his Method and Story www.wyckoffanalytics.com . ABC Pattern: Wave A from top to bottom is exactly 0.222 cents or -45.81%, suggesting wave C should be of similar magnitude. Wave B measures 0.1724 cents and 65.65% to the upside. Using an arrow tool, the 0.222 cent drop points exactly to the 0.382 Fibonacci target from the trend-based extension we did in the macro analysis, now highlighted in yellow. Link to chart. Zooming in on the 4-hour Chart: I've drawn another Fibonacci retracement just for wave B, colored in turquoise blue. Notably, the 1.272 Fibonacci extension aligns with our macro 0.382 Fibonacci target, now colored yellow for clarity. Speculations for Future Moves: Fibonacci Circle and bottom timing prediction: Drawn from A to B, this circle in orange might help us predict when we hit the green box target at the bottom. Considering that the A drop measures exactly 12 days and 4Hours I have added another vertical line now marking a timeframe of 5 days from Thursday 30 January to Monday 3 February 2025 This is speculative but worth watching. It includes also a weekend so a CME gap before weekend plus filling the week after could also be in play. Wyckoff Phases: According to earlier discussions, we're moving through phases A to E. I've added a vertical line where the Fib circle crosses our 1.272 and 0.382 Fib levels, suggesting we'll enter phase E on January 23, 2025, potentially concluding by February 2, 2025. Predictive Arrows: Blue arrows indicate possible future price movements based on current patterns. After hitting our target, I'll analyze again and publish a new idea with plans for breaking the ATH and targets for the anticipated bull market. Enough for now, as it's getting late. Give me a follow, share if you liked this analysis, and stay tuned for updates.
BINANCE:DOGEUSDEducation
by Candle_Styx
17
2025-01-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. nasdaq e-mini futures comment: Market went a couple of points short of the previous lower high 22111 but it probably won’t mean much. We are close enough that we can retest the ath now. There is a big gap even on futures down to 21700 and if that stay’s open, bulls can go higher. We have the big upper bull trend line that goes to around 22600, so this could be a potential target. Bears need to get below 21900 to turn the market a bit more neutral. current market cycle: trading range (obvious bull trend on lower time frames) key levels: 21800 - 22600 bull case: Strong buying through the day and then a melt-up on US open. Bulls are in full control and have their eyes on the ath 22450. We have two bull trend lines that should hold. One is very close to 21980 which will likely be broken during the Globex session and the next around is currently at 21780. Invalidation is below 21700. bear case: I don’t think bulls should allow the market to fall that much if they want a new ath. Either we keep the momentum going or we might go sideways here and print another lower high. Bears are not doing anything right now except some after hours spikes but they go nowhere. Tuesday night was decent but no follow-through and we have just melted since. First target for the bears is to get below 21900 again and then test the other trend line below us. Invalidation is above 22600. short term: Bullish after pull-backs. I won’t look to short this until bears have shown much more strength. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-22: Let’s see if we print a new ath and what kind of reaction follows. For now I think we go much more sideways 20000 - 22600/23000. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying anywhere below 22000 was pretty amazing since first hour in Globex printed the low.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
BITCOIN to 120.000€ 1. General Overview of the Setup: This chart uses Fibonacci circles as a tool to identify key support and resistance levels in relation to time and price. The circles expand outward from the anchor point of the trend, capturing potential price turning points or zones where price action could experience increased activity or reactions. Current Price Action: BTC/USDT is trading around $104,263.80, which places it in the upper section of the Fibonacci circles. This suggests the asset is in a strong uptrend and consolidating just above the "big support level" marked near $93,763.78. Major Levels Highlighted: Support Level: ~$93,763 (confluence of horizontal price structure and a Fibonacci ring boundary). Resistance Target: ~$124,734 (upper Fibonacci ring level and future price projection). 2. Fibonacci Circles Insights: The circles are designed to project areas where price could encounter significant resistance or support based on the geometry of price and time cycles: Past Reactions: Orange circles highlight points where the price bounced or reversed in alignment with the intersection of Fibonacci ring boundaries. Blue circles mark breakout areas where BTC surged higher after respecting a lower Fibonacci level. Present Position: The price is currently above the $93,763 support level, using it as a base to consolidate. This level aligns with a key Fibonacci ring, reinforcing its significance. Future Projections: The next significant resistance based on the Fibonacci ring geometry lies around $124,734, aligning with the next major arc. This could act as a magnet for price in the coming weeks. 3. Support and Resistance Levels: Big Support Zone (~$93,763): This is identified as the major structural support and coincides with the lower boundary of the current Fibonacci arc. A breakdown below this level could lead to a retest of deeper levels, possibly around $85,000 or lower Fibonacci arcs. Major Resistance Zone (~$124,734): This level is a key Fibonacci target that aligns with the next concentric arc. Historically, BTC has reacted near similar Fibonacci resistance levels in this uptrend. 4. Indicators and Patterns: Bullish Continuation Setup: The overall structure suggests that BTC is in a healthy consolidation phase within a strong uptrend. The Fibonacci rings imply that price has respected geometric levels, suggesting bullish continuation toward higher targets. Volume Analysis: Declining volume during consolidation supports the idea of a breakout or continuation pattern, as selling pressure appears to be limited. 5. Trade Plan and Key Levels: Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout: Entry: Above $105,000 on strong momentum and volume confirmation. Target: $124,734. Stop Loss: Below $93,000 (to invalidate the breakout setup). Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown: Entry: Below $93,763 on high volume and bearish confirmation. Target: $85,000 (next major support). Stop Loss: Above $100,000 to minimize risk. Conclusion: The Fibonacci circle analysis combined with the current BTC/USDT trend strongly suggests bullish potential, with $124,734 as the next significant resistance target. However, traders should monitor the $93,763 support level, as a breakdown below this point could shift the trend bearish in the short term. Patience and disciplined risk management are key to navigating this setup.
Long
by CryptoKaiserDE