Wave Analysis
WULF / 2hAs anticipated in the prior analysis, NASDAQ:WULF started to retrace downward today after a 33% counter-trend rally of the week as the correction in wave (b) of Minute degree b(circled).
Wave Analysis >> As illustrated on the 2h-frame above, the correction in wave b(circled) may have remained in progress. After an impulsive counter-trend rally of 15.5% yesterday, the second subdivision in wave (b) unfolded into a three-wave sequence. A final decline as the last subdivision in wave (c) has started since the last-day high at 4.53 to complete the entire correction of wave b(circled) in a zigzag formation.
The retracement targets >> 3.36 >> 3.28 >> 3.05
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
S&P500: Target Zone DeactivatedThe S&P 500 extended its bullish trend yesterday, moving beyond our now-deactivated (formerly magenta) Target Zone. Existing positions remain intact, as the stop set 1% above the upper boundary has not been triggered. In our updated primary scenario, we anticipate continued upward movement within magenta wave (B), potentially reaching the resistance at 6675 points. Once this peak is established, we expect a corrective decline to begin in the form of wave (C), which should guide the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4988 and 4763 points. There, the larger green wave is expected to complete. A sustained breakout above the 6675-point level would shift the outlook in favor of the alternative scenario. In that case, green wave alt. would be considered complete—a trajectory we currently assign a probability of 40%.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Complete Analysis of DOGE/USDT 4hComplete Analysis of DOGE/USDT 4h
The chart suggests a transition phase toward an uptrend.
Moving averages are beginning to slope upward, indicating a potential trend reversal. The MACD shows weakening selling pressure and is approaching a bullish crossover, which often precedes upward price movement.
Entry zones: Between 0.14452 and 0.15185 — favorable areas for position accumulation.
Price targets:
First target: 0.20455 (a key resistance zone).
Second target: 0.22942, where stronger selling pressure may emerge.
Risk management: A suggested stop-loss at 0.13561 to protect capital if the anticipated move fails.
If the price breaks and consolidates above 0.17, the market could gain momentum to reach the projected targets. Monitor volume during breakout candles to confirm the presence of buying flow.
SHIBUSDT Short Setup at Local ResistanceSHIBUSDT is currently testing a key horizontal resistance zone around 0.011321, after printing a short-term range and failing multiple attempts to break higher. This level has acted as a ceiling for price, rejecting bullish momentum on several occasions.
The current setup reflects a short entry at resistance, aiming to catch a pullback or possible trend continuation to the downside. With the stop loss placed just above the most recent highs at 0.011433, the take profit sits lower around 0.011005, aligned with the lower demand region or trendline area.
This trade offers a clean risk:reward profile based on horizontal structure and price rejection.
🧩 Trade Parameters:
- Entry: 0.011321
- Stop Loss: 0.011433
- Take Profit: 0.011005
🔢 Risk:Reward Calculation:
- Risk: 0.011433 − 0.011321 = 0.000112
- Reward: 0.011321 − 0.011005 = 0.000316
- Risk:Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.82 ✅ (Excellent)
✅ Bias:
Bearish rejection from local resistance
🔄 Confirmation Needed:
- Rejection candle or wick at/above entry level
- Break below previous minor low or consolidation base
- Weak volume on bullish attempts
❌ Invalidation:
Break and hold above 0.011433, suggesting possible bullish continuation
BTC - A New Oregon Trail or Fool's Gold?The ranch hand (chart) reckons Bitcoin hit a big wave‑3 peak, then swung into a corrective wave‑4 saddle.
Now it's circling the watering hole, teetering around a key resistance near $110k—the cowboy‑critical line in the sand.
If that line holds strong, expect another surge—an “inverse wave‑4, strong 5” push higher toward $115–120k.
But if it buckles, a darker scenario’s afoot: a red‑inked, five‑wave drop galloping down toward $85k.
Bottom line: keep your hat on—$110k is the frontier. Break above that, and the herd’s heading north; if not, saddle up for a ride downhill.
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Gold Trade Setup - 27/Jun/2025Hi Traders,
I expect this pair to go Up after finishing the correction.
1) Need to wait for market to show changing of the direction.
2) The current move can be just a part of a correction or an impulse in itself. Going to follow the market behavior at my zones.
How to Enter : Look for engulfing with in the SL zone.
Final $LINK in the corrective chain?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
LINK could be finishing a double zigzag correction. Recent reaction at the channel’s most likely target area shows promise. Watching for an internal retrace that holds above key support.
Key Levels:
11.81: Ideal retrace floor
11.00: Break kills impulse idea
13.25: First upside flip needed
15.00: Big level to break for bulls
Bulls have been tricked before with possible impulse starts. This one has the right look and confluence, but caution is warranted. Ideally, we get consolidation and push above 13.25 to build confidence in further upside.
As long as price holds above 11.81 and builds higher lows, potential remains for an impulsive move up. Break below 11 and bias flips back to bearish continuation.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 27 June 2025
- Dow Jones broke pivotal resistance level 43000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 44500.00
Dow Jones index recently broke above the pivotal resistance level 43000.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of March, as can be seen from the daily Dow Jones chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 43000.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from the end of May.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 44500.00, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
Intel - The rally starts!Intel - NASDAQ:INTC - creates a major bottom:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
For approximately a full year, Intel has not been moving anywhere. Furthermore Intel now trades at the exact same level as it was a decade ago. However price is forming a solid bottom formation at a key support level. Thus we can expect a significant move higher.
Levels to watch: $25.0
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
AUDNZD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDNZD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.0803 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0792
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1716
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1644
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6555
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6583
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6497
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURJPY 1H Chart
I expect at least one more liquidity-grabbing leg up for blue wave 5, before a correction begins.
First target for the correction is 168 (blue area), which is the beginning of this latest upside wave.
Note that you should trade wave expectations... wait for a reversal pattern and clear bearish price action before taking any shorts.
Soybeans Crashing Into Demand — Reversal Coming or Trap?1. COT REPORT — Updated June 17, 2025
📌 Non-Commercials (Speculators)
Long: +5,661 → 195,984
Short: -9,226 → 110,761
✅ Net Long Increase: A clear bullish shift in speculative positioning (+14,887 net contracts). This is an early indication of a sentiment reversal.
📌 Commercials (Hedgers / Producers)
Long: +6,023
Short: -5,806
➡️ The decrease in net shorts suggests improving confidence among institutional players.
📌 Total Open Interest: 846,169 (down by 12,776)
❗ This slight drop may be linked to position rotation or partial profit-taking.
2. NET POSITIONS CHART INSIGHT
Commercial traders remain structurally net short, but their exposure has been gradually declining since March.
Non-commercial traders have increased their net long positions since April, aligned with the price's technical recovery.
The current price is trading near the historical mean, indicating neutral conditions with potential room for further upside.
🕰️ 3. SEASONALITY OUTLOOK
The June–July period has historically been bearish:
June Average Performance:
Last 5 years: -39.61
Last 2 years: -38.71
July Average Performance:
Last 20 years: -44.82
Last 2 years: -34.73
📉 August and September typically continue this seasonal downtrend.
🟨 Caution is advised on initiating long positions during this phase.
📊 4. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK —
Current Structure:
Rising channel has broken to the downside with a strong bearish impulse candle.
RSI is neutral but previously showed bearish divergence.
Key Support Zones:
1035–1025: Intermediate support area already tested.
1012–994: Golden Pocket aligned with a demand block — likely target zone with high potential for reaction.
Possible Scenarios:
🔴 Bearish Continuation: A retracement followed by a move down into the 994–1000 range, where a tactical long setup may emerge.
🔵 Bull Trap and Reversal: A rapid recovery above 1050, potentially triggering a continuation to 1080 (range top).
5. EXECUTION SUMMARY
Primary Bias: Bearish in the short term
🎯 Target Zone: 994–1000
🛑 Invalidation Level: Weekly close above 1055
Tactical Long Setup: Monitor price action at 994–1000 for bullish reaction.
Macro context and speculative positioning suggest a structural bottom may develop in Q3 2025, but current conditions are not yet favorable for a full swing position.
Circle - Buy the dip or short the hype?The ideal short was way above, as I discussed in my prior post, at $300. Using my Fibonacci analysis I was able to determine what was a good entry (around $100) and a good exit ($300). I'd prefer not to short now. We are sitting on support but we need a meaningful bounce above $180 - I remain doubtful for now.
At this stage I would prefer to look for another long, although I am not looking to catch a falling knife right here. What looks most probable to me is a failed pump and then a gap fill around $135, this could present a more compelling long. So far the golden pocket is holding up as support at $178. Monitoring this one closely and happy to go long if the volume supports the trade idea.
Keep an eye on this, the volatility is great, it's a trader's dream!
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 27:
Core logic of the current market
Gold has recently shown the characteristics of oscillating bottoming out. The daily level forms a key support near 3295. If it holds this position, it may start a rebound; on the contrary, if it falls below, it may continue the downward trend. The focus of the short-term long and short competition is concentrated in the 3340-3355 area, and the breakthrough direction will determine the trend of the next stage.
Analysis of key technical signals
1. Daily level: bottoming out and rebounding, bulls are accumulating momentum
Form: The previous day bottomed out and closed positive, and the rebound continued yesterday, indicating that the 3295 support is effective and the short-term short momentum is weakened.
Key pressure: 3355 (Bollinger middle track), it is expected to test 3385 after breaking through.
Key support: 3295 (recent low), breaking below will open up downside space.
2. 4-hour level: Golden cross is bullish, but BOLL suppression has not been broken
The stochastic indicator (KD) is golden cross, short-term bullish, but the price is still subject to the pressure of 3345-3347 (BOLL middle track).
The MACD momentum column is shrinking, indicating that long and short positions are still competing, and it is necessary to observe whether it can stand above 3340.
3. 1-hour level: Moving average dead cross, short-term still has the risk of callback
The short-term moving average (5/10EMA) dead cross indicates that there is still selling pressure in the short term. If it cannot break through 3340, it may fall back to the support of 3312-3315.
Key watershed: 3340 (1-hour trend suppression), if it breaks through, the short-term will turn strong.
Today's operation strategy (key range trading)
1. Short order strategy (short under pressure near 3340)
Entry point: 3340-3345 (1-hour pressure + 4-hour BOLL middle track)
Stop loss: above 3355 (short order invalid if it breaks through)
Target: 3320-3315 (previous low support area)
Logic: Before effectively breaking through 3340, short-term high-short order can still bet on callback.
2. Long order strategy (stable long near 3315)
Entry point: 3312-3315 (yesterday's low support)
Stop loss: below 3307 (to prevent false break)
Target: 3330-3340 (reduce position in pressure area)
Logic: If the retracement does not break the support, you can bet on a rebound at a low price.
3. Breakout strategy (turn to long after stabilizing 3355)
Confirmation signal: 1-hour closing stabilizes at 3355
Target: 3385 (daily resistance)
Logic: The trend becomes stronger after the breakthrough, and you can follow the trend.
Key risk reminder
Dollar trend: If the US dollar rebounds sharply, it may suppress the rebound space of gold.
Market sentiment: Rising risk aversion (such as geopolitical conflicts) may promote gold breakthroughs.
Fed policy expectations: If the recent speeches of officials are hawkish, it may limit the rise of gold.
Summary: Sell high and buy low, wait for a breakthrough
Oscillating range: 3315-3340, you can sell high and buy low.
Breakthrough direction: If it stabilizes at 3355, it will be bullish to 3385; if it falls below 3295, the trend will turn bearish.
Trading discipline: Strictly stop loss and avoid carrying orders.
BIST30 (XU030) - 1 DThe corrective move in the BIST30 index, which began in July 2024, has completed the first two legs of a three-wave structure and is currently unfolding the final downward leg. While the overall pattern appears to be a classic flat (regular) correction, the possibility of it evolving into a WXY complex correction—albeit less likely—still remains valid. I anticipate that this correction will conclude with one final leg to the downside. Both time-based and price-based target levels have been marked. In my assessment, the likelihood of the correction ending within the initially identified support zone is higher than the probability of a deeper retracement.