Nvidia: FluctuationOver the past two weeks, NVDA has exhibited increased fluctuation within the boundaries of the current key levels: the resistance at $152.89 and the support at $126.34. Initially, the price seemed to favor our alternative scenario, but it managed to reverse just in time. Following a dip to $129, the stock rebounded swiftly. Our primary assumption remains that the beige wave III should eventually break above the $152.89 resistance. However, there is still a 33% chance that the expected rises will be delayed by a new low of the blue wave alt.(IV). This alternative scenario will prevail if the stock falls below the $126.34 support level.
Wave Analysis
GMEWhen analyzing GameStop’s (GME) current price action, it’s clear the stock is navigating a challenging landscape, one that has been defined by a consistent downtrend since late 2024. Currently priced at $27.50, the stock has shown signs of a minor recovery after hitting a low of $26.34, but this rebound appears to be on shaky ground. The question is: can the price reach $26.81 to make a put option profitable? Let’s break this down.
The Technical Landscape
First, the broader trend speaks volumes. GME has been in a well-defined bearish structure of lower highs and lower lows, signaling that sellers still dominate the market. On the chart, resistance lies between $27.50 and $27.70, creating a ceiling for upward momentum, while the immediate support zone is at $26.50–$26.34. These levels are critical because any break below support would almost certainly open the door for the price to reach $26.81.
Another key factor to consider is volatility. GME’s recent price action shows that large, fast moves are still part of the equation. The stock has seen aggressive selling on high volume, but any rallies appear weaker, with diminished volume signaling a lack of conviction from buyers. This dynamic strongly favors continuation to the downside, which aligns with the goals of the put option.
Indicators and Probabilities
Delving into the RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the 30-minute timeframe, if it shows a neutral or overbought reading, it strengthens the case for a retracement downward. Additionally, the volume patterns tell a story: the momentum behind the downtrend appears stronger than any recent attempts at recovery. These technical clues suggest that the probability of reaching $26.81 is relatively high—estimated at around 60–70%, given the current proximity to support and the persistence of selling pressure.
Fundamental Considerations
Beyond the chart, the macro and company-specific fundamentals could play a role. If the broader market or relevant sectors (such as retail or technology) face headwinds, GME may be further pressured. Additionally, news or earnings reports tied to GameStop could trigger unexpected volatility, so staying informed about any potential catalysts is essential.
Strategic Outlook
To capitalize on this opportunity, monitoring intraday price action will be crucial. Watch for a break below $26.50 with significant volume to confirm the downtrend is intact. Complement this with indicators like RSI or short-term moving averages to strengthen the case for further downside. However, discipline is key: if the price breaks above $27.70, it might be wise to reassess or exit, as this could signal a reversal in the bearish momentum.
Final Thoughts
In conclusion, the current setup for GME presents a strong case for further downside, with the price likely to test $26.81. The combination of a bearish trend, weak volume on rallies, and critical support levels nearby gives this trade a favorable risk-reward profile. That said, as always, the market is unpredictable, so staying flexible, disciplined, and well-informed will be the cornerstone of success.
While no analysis can provide absolute certainty in the stock market, I can confidently say that based on the technical setup and current market conditions, the probability of GameStop (GME) reaching $26.81 is high, approximately 60-70%. This is backed by the clear downtrend, proximity to support, and weaker volume on rallies.
However, always remember that markets are inherently unpredictable, and external factors like unexpected news or broader market movements can influence the outcome. As such, risk management remains crucial—set clear exit points and be prepared to adapt if the trade moves against you. This analysis offers a strong foundation, but the ultimate guarantee lies in maintaining discipline and flexibility.
Bullish Confirmation: SHIBA INU's Short-Term Trade OpportunitiesClear Bullish Confirmation: SHIBA INU's Short-Term Trade Opportunities
SHIBA INU has recently broken out from a strong bullish pattern.
A strong support zone has been identified near 0.00001973.
This area has been tested for two consecutive days this month, increasing the likelihood that this zone may stop the price decline.
Given that we are analyzing a 60-minute chart, the price should take a new direction soon.
Let's see how SHIBA INU unfolds after this clear bullish confirmation for a short-term trade.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
$PICA - Low Cap Gem #4Altseason is upon us, and now is the time to start dollar-cost averaging into your favorite crypto gems. One of our picks for this altseason is Picasso Network $PICA - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 and Bridge Governance Token project.
🚀 Why?
Our altcoin picks are based on the following criteria:
High growth potential : Projects with room for exponential gains.
Undervalued : Market cap still flying under the radar.
Limited CEX listings (for now) : Undiscovered gems poised for exposure.
Community-driven momentum : A strong, dedicated community pushing adoption.
High risk, high reward : A speculative but calculated play.
Partnerships and roadmap promises : Indicators of future expansion and relevance.
Potential for major exchange listings : A game-changer that could drive price action.
Circulating Supply Ratio : A circulating supply close to 100%, indicating robust tokenomics and minimizing dilution risk.
🌊 Prerequisites for Thrill and Euphoria
For low-cap altcoins to thrive, specific market conditions need to align. Here's what we're assuming:
Bitcoin follows the 4-year cycle: Maintaining historical trends of market phases.
We remain in a crypto bull market: A rising tide lifts all boats.
Altseason begins: A period of intense growth and volatility for altcoins.
Retail money floods in: Increasing mainstream interest and participation.
Global markets are "healthy-ish": No major economic black swans.
Monetary policy shifts to QE (quantitative easing): A return to liquidity-friendly environments.
💬 What is your top picks for this altseason?
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
Analysis of the latest gold trend on January 21
Gold has been rising since the early Asian session today, and the high point of the European session has reached 2732. Combined with the current trend of the US dollar index, the rise of gold during the day is mainly due to the market's extreme bullish sentiment. However, this kind of extreme sentiment is not easy to control. In the future, a steady stream of bullish injections are needed for gold to remain strong. However, judging from the expectations of future fundamentals, this possibility is still relatively low, so for the current gold price If it is strong, you must still maintain a high degree of vigilance and do not blindly chase the rise.
Combined with the daily and hourly chart structures, the current gold trend is still beyond the normal operating rules, but there is also a fight around 2733 today, so we must also be wary of this pressure. The lower part of the U.S. market focuses on the competition for the 5-day line of 2710. Technically, we still hope that the market will fall back to the 5-day line and conduct a regular technical correction. Otherwise, the current emotional trend will still have a great unconventional risk.
For US market operations, it is recommended to sell short at 2730/2732, and look down to 2720 and 2712.
More Selloff potential It is possible that the market may selloff starting at 1.25732 approx. So Im a seller there with a stop at 1.27. Its highly likely that the market wont touch that level in my opinion. The same price "frequency" that caused the low at 1.21 will be the same frequency that produces resistance at 1.25732. The repeat pattern (inverted) from feb 5th 2024 low to march 8th high and the downswing from July 13th to august 25th combined provides the expected action to play out at 1.25732. I am a seller for now. Will it get there? Only TIME will tell.
GRASS/USDTKey Level Zone: 1.9800 - 2.000
HMT v4.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
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HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
Crude Oil Analysis – Current Trend and Key Levels 6PMCMP: 75.77 (-0.12%)
Crude Oil is trading within a descending channel, showing a strong bearish trend on the hourly chart.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
76.50 (previous breakdown zone).
78.00 (upper channel boundary and significant supply zone).
Support Zones:
75.00 (immediate support).
73.00 (major demand zone).
Trading Plan:
Bearish View:
Short below 75.50 with a target of 75.00 and 73.00.
Stop Loss: Above 76.50.
Bullish View:
Long above 76.50 for targets of 78.00.
Stop Loss: Below 75.50.
Crude Oil remains under pressure unless it breaks out above 78. Watch the trendline and volume closely for confirmation.
#CrudeOil #CommodityTrading #MarketAnalysis
GOAT(USDT)
#GOATT he price is rebounding from a key support zone and forming a potential breakout pattern on the weekly timeframe.
Key Price Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $0.80956
🎯 Target 2: $1.07772
🎯 Target 3: $1.38485
This structure indicates a strong potential for upward momentum if the support level holds.