Wave Analysis
VZ - WHERE ARE YOU HEADING?Good Morning,
Hope all is well. As you can see we have VZ flip flopping in a consolidation zone. A break above resistance bullish, a break below support bearish. There was a gap created nearing the end of the last bull wave into a correction. This gap was then filled however VZ failed to maintain momentum and is now in a consolidation zone. From the way VZ dropped into consolidation & also fell below the 4th wave on the last bullish run, my bets is on a further downtrend to lower lows.
Enjoy!
XAU/USD 27 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Chart Pattern Analysis Of XAG
K1 and K2 break up the downtrend line of a potential bullish triangle pattern.
If K3 still stand upon the line,
It will be a valid break up.
On the other hand,
If the following candles close below K2 immediately,
K1 will be a fake up candle,
And the risk will sharply increase.
Long-33.4/Stop-33.08/Target-36
Silver Slips to $33.31 on Profit-TakingSilver eased to $33.31 per ounce, pulling back slightly as investors booked profits after recent gains. The retreat came even as the dollar remained weak and geopolitical tensions, including the conflict in Ukraine, persisted. While momentum slowed, physical demand, especially from Asia, continues to provide a firm base for silver.
Support is at $32.30, with resistance at $33.80. Additional levels include $34.20 and $34.90 above, and $31.40 and $30.20 below.
Yen Reaches Highest Level in a MonthThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 142 per dollar on Tuesday, its highest in four weeks, driven by safe-haven inflows and weak dollar sentiment tied to Trump’s fiscal plan. Worries over a widening U.S. deficit weighed on the greenback, while speculation of a 25% iPhone tariff added to trade conflicts. Domestically, expectations for more BoJ tightening rose after core inflation surprised at 3.5%, a two-year high.
Resistance stands at 148.60, with further levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21290 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
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CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 21300
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 21000
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 21250 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 21150 – Liquidity Engineered
DXY 4hr char anlaysis I expect the DXY to enter a temporary bullish phase, likely as part of a corrective move. The price may rise toward the 100.781 – 101.00 zone.
From that level, I anticipate a bearish reversal, with the potential for the price to decline toward the 97.00 – 94.00 region.
This outlook is based on my own understanding and experience in the market — it's not guaranteed to be 100% accurate, but it's a well-considered forecast. I estimate there's about an 80% probability that the market will follow this scenario.
GBPJPY 4hr chart Analaysis I expect GBP/JPY to turn bullish, with a potential pullback from the 191.67–191.00 zone. It’s also possible that the price slightly dips lower, reaching around 190.50, before starting a bullish trend. From there, the price may rise towards the reversal zone at 195.38–196.00.
If it breaks above this zone, the next target could be around 198.04. That level is where I expect a potential bearish reversal to occur.
This is my personal analysis based on my current understanding of the market — it's not guaranteed to be 100% accurate, but I would estimate there's around an 80% probability of it playing out this way
EURGBPLooking at your EUR/GBP analysis, the pair appears to be approaching a critical reversal zone that could mark the end of the current downtrend.
The price action shows a clear Elliott Wave structure, with what appears to be a completed 5-wave decline from the highs marked at point (a). Currently, the pair is testing the significant support area highlighted in the pink box around the 0.786 level (0.83479), which coincides with the completion of wave 5.
This convergence of technical factors suggests we're entering a high-probability reversal area. The completion of the impulsive wave structure, combined with the pair reaching this key support zone, indicates that selling pressure may be exhausting.
From this level, we should anticipate a bullish reversal to develop soon. The initial upside targets would likely include the previous wave 4 area and the descending trendline resistance. A successful break above these levels would confirm the trend reversal and open the path for a more substantial recovery move.
Traders should watch for early signs of buying interest, such as bullish candlestick patterns or positive divergences on momentum indicators, to confirm the anticipated reversal. The risk-reward setup appears favorable for long positions near current levels, with stops below the support box.
Bullish sequence in SUIUSD Since 4.07.2025 low, SUIUSD is showing the 5 swing bounce, which indicates that it will extend higher, once the pullback ends in 3, 7 or 11 swings pullback. Short term, it favors 3 swing pullback in A-B-C between 3.4859 - 3.0452 area before it resume higher. Further upside above 5.12.2025 will confirm the rally towards 5.85 or higher levels. But it and do double correction, if fail to break above 5.12.2025 high after ending the current pullback.
USDJPY Analysis – Yield Support Signals Potential UpsideUSDJPY is currently sitting at a key support zone around 142.80–143.00, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. This support area has previously acted as a strong launchpad for price rallies.
🟢 Technical Setup:
Price action has formed a clean higher low structure, bouncing off horizontal support.
The US10Y Treasury Yield (pink line) has rebounded sharply and is diverging to the upside — a leading indicator for USDJPY strength.
The Fib retracement from the last swing move aligns well with the 0% zone, suggesting the dip might be complete.
A bullish reaction from here targets the 148.50 zone, with intermediate resistance around 145.00–146.00.
🟠 Risk Levels:
Invalidated below 141.40 (structure break).
Stops could be placed below 142.00, targeting a 2:1 or better risk-reward ratio.
🔍 Macro-Fundamental Insight:
U.S. Yields are firming despite mixed Fed signals — this gives strength to USD, especially against low-yielders like the JPY.
BOJ remains dovish with no urgency to normalize rates, keeping the yen weak.
With risk appetite improving and bond yields lifting, carry trade dynamics favor USDJPY upside.
✅ Conclusion:
As long as US10Y yields remain firm and USD holds above 142.00, USDJPY has a strong probability of rallying toward 148.50. Look for confirmation with higher highs on the 4H chart and continued divergence between yield and price.
EURUSD H1 correction?My vision where go price on Elliot waves.
Now we on bullish trend but it can change to bearish.
Wave 5 is not finnish yet what will be next correction or we break zone 1.138-1.14 and price go upper.
Wave Indicator shows momentum slowing down, hinting at a potential reversal.
Price has peaked and is stalling around 1.13649, suggesting resistance.
Support/Resistance Levels
Resistance: 1.1380 region .
Support: Around 1.122, which is:
A key Fibonacci level.
Likely target for the end of wave C in the correction.
Fundamental Analysis
ECB monetary policy: If the ECB signals dovishness (rate cuts or economic concerns), EUR weakens.
Eurozone inflation: Higher inflation can support EUR via hawkish ECB tone.
German economic data: Weak data = EUR bearish.
U.S. Side (USD)
Federal Reserve policy: If Fed holds rates higher for longer, USD strengthens.
U.S. inflation, jobs data: Strong numbers support the dollar.
Cookie DAO price analysis😠 Those who like high-risk trading can take a closer look at #Cookie
📈 If buyers manage to keep the price of OKX:COOKIEUSDT.P above $0.25, then the chance for another powerful upward momentum will be very, very high.
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