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Wave Analysis

Gold is a "BUY" @ Market Sentiment $3295 Market Sentiment Forex market sentiment can be measured using various tools and indicators. One of the most popular methods of measuring sentiment is using sentiment indicators. These indicators provide insights into market sentiment , such as the percentage of traders who are bullish or bearish on a particular currency. Forex Sentiment One of the main advantages of using forex sentiment analysis is that it can help traders make more informed trading decisions. By understanding the overall sentiment of the market, traders can better anticipate price movements, identify potential trading opportunities, and manage risk more effectively. What is Forex Sentiment? Forex Sentiment is the feeling or perception of market participants towards a currency pair. It is an essential aspect of forex trading, as it plays a crucial role in determining the direction of the market. Forex sentiment is driven by a wide range of factors, including economic data, geopolitical events, news events, and market trends. While there are various methods of measuring sentiment, traders should use sentiment analysis in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ScotThomsen
6.27 Risk aversion dissipates and gold prices adjust! The range As the Middle East war came to an end, the risk aversion sentiment in the global financial market subsided, the risk aversion funds dissipated, and the three major bullish markets of gold, crude oil, and silver all fell downward; at the same time, the US dollar index broke a new low ! Fundamentals: 1: The Middle East war has been temporarily paused, and both sides have entered the adjustment phase; however, irreconcilable contradictions may become the starting point of the next war at any time; although it has ended for now, we must not slack off. Once the two sides are on the verge of a war again, risk aversion will sweep the world again; this is not impossible; This Middle East war came suddenly and ended suddenly; it was like a child's play washing the global financial market; therefore, the possibility of a resumption of war cannot be ruled out in the future; At present, in the overall market: 1: In the short cycle, the gold price fluctuates downward, so in the short term, the short-term decline is seen, and the fluctuation is downward; 2: In terms of trend, the range is temporarily contracted, the BOLL of the daily K is contracted, the speed slows down, and the overall range is back to the range of fluctuations; there is no obvious long and short trend, and it returns to the range of fluctuations; Today's technical trend chart: 1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a main empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily under pressure from the central axis track of the 4-hour BOLL, and the empty trend continues downward, and the form tends to continue to oscillate downward; therefore, it is recommended to choose the high-altitude approach for 4 hours; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross downward, which is a empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily a broken Yin and Yang pattern, with no obvious trend; BOLL forms a contraction, the range of 3417-3277, the range is mainly in an oscillating trend, and the strong and weak dividing point is near 3347; Comprehensive: The daily K is mainly in an oscillating trend, so it is recommended to deal with it according to the oscillating trend, choose to buy low and sell high; the reference pressure position is near 3347, the support position is near 3295 and 3278; the second pressure position is 3390-3400 pressure position; continue to choose the oscillating approach, and play a oscillating treatment of buying low and selling high;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
ALL IN SPX6900In recent weeks, SPX showed signs of excessive FOMO, and a pullback into a key level was expected. That pullback happened, but SPX has since partially recovered. On the Monthly chart, the pullback appears minor. The Weekly chart shows price dipped below a key black level briefly before rebounding. Key Points Going Forward: Monthly Close needs to be above the 1.21 level to position SPX for future upside. Even with a strong Monthly Close, a volatile retest or deeper pullback in July remains possible. For a bullish outlook, SPX must Weekly Close above 1.21 level and turn it into support. I think we will get there :) ATH loading
CRYPTO:SPX6USDLong
by Ace_ALL_IN
Heading for new highs?In recent weeks, SPX showed signs of excessive FOMO, and a pullback into a key level was expected. That pullback happened, but SPX has since partially recovered. On the Monthly chart, the pullback appears minor. The Weekly chart shows price dipped below a key black level briefly before rebounding. Key Points Going Forward: Monthly Close needs to be above the 1.21 level to position SPX for future upside. Even with a strong Monthly Close, a volatile retest or deeper pullback in July remains possible. For a bullish outlook, SPX must Weekly Close above 1.21 level and turn it into support. I think we will get there :) ATH loading
CRYPTO:SPX6USDLong
by Ace_ALL_IN
1
EUR/USD Market Sentiment @ 1.1546 Market Sentiment Forex market sentiment can be measured using various tools and indicators. One of the most popular methods of measuring sentiment is using sentiment indicators. These indicators provide insights into market sentiment , such as the percentage of traders who are bullish or bearish on a particular currency. Forex Sentiment One of the main advantages of using forex sentiment analysis is that it can help traders make more informed trading decisions. By understanding the overall sentiment of the market, traders can better anticipate price movements, identify potential trading opportunities, and manage risk more effectively. What is Forex Sentiment? Forex Sentiment is the feeling or perception of market participants towards a currency pair. It is an essential aspect of forex trading, as it plays a crucial role in determining the direction of the market. Forex sentiment is driven by a wide range of factors, including economic data, geopolitical events, news events, and market trends. While there are various methods of measuring sentiment, traders should use sentiment analysis in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
Short
by ScotThomsen
#Nifty directions and levels for June 27Good morning, Friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for June 27: Market Overview Both the global markets and our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. Gift Nifty is also indicating a positive start of around 30 points today. So, what can we expect today? In the previous session, Nifty performed well and Bank Nifty also supported the move. Structurally, the trend still appears bullish. So, if the market opens with a strong candle formation, we can expect a further continuation of the rally. However, my personal opinion is based on sub-wave calculations, the upcoming wave could be the 4th wave—which is typically a consolidation phase. So, after the gap-up, the market may consolidate around the immediate resistance zone. On the other hand, if the gap-up does not sustain or if the market faces rejection near the immediate resistance, it could lead to a correction of around 38% to 50% in the minor swing. The key point here is: until the market breaks below the 50% level, the overall bias may remain bullish. But if the 50% mark is broken, it could lead to a reversal, with deeper correction possible.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
#Banknifty directions and levels for June 27Structurally, the trend still appears bullish. So, if the market opens with a strong candle formation, we can expect a further continuation of the rally. However, my personal opinion is based on sub-wave calculations, the upcoming wave could be the 4th wave—which is typically a consolidation phase. So, after the gap-up, the market may consolidate around the immediate resistance zone. On the other hand, if the gap-up does not sustain or if the market faces rejection near the immediate resistance, it could lead to a correction of around 38% to 50% in the minor swing. The key point here is: until the market breaks below the 50% level, the overall bias may remain bullish. But if the 50% mark is broken, it could lead to a reversal, with deeper correction possible
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
EURUSD Elliott Wave Update: Upward Momentum ResumesThe EURUSD Elliott Wave sequence initiated from the September 2022 low reveals an incomplete bullish structure, signaling potential for further upside. A short-term rally from the May 29, 2025 low is currently unfolding as a five-wave impulse. As depicted in the 1-hour chart below, wave ((i)) peaked at 1.16319. A corrective wave ((ii)) followed which concluded at 1.14435. The internal structure of wave ((ii)) formed a zigzag pattern, with wave (a) declining to 1.1486 and wave (b) rebounding to 1.1614. Wave (c) completed the correction at 1.144, finalizing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree. The pair has resumed its ascent in wave ((iii)), exhibiting an impulsive internal subdivision. From the wave ((ii)) low, wave i advanced to 1.1544, followed by a minor dip in wave ii to 1.1451. Wave iii surged to 1.1641, with a subsequent wave iv pullback ending at 1.1587. The final leg, wave v, culminated at 1.1745, completing wave (i) in the higher degree. A corrective wave (ii) pullback, likely a three-wave zigzag, appears to have concluded at 1.1678. However, a break above the wave (i) high at 1.1745 is required to negate the possibility of a double correction lower. Given the shallow nature of the wave (ii) pullback, the risk of a deeper correction remains. However, as long as the pivotal low at 1.144 holds, dips should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, supporting further upside momentum.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
NZD/USD Market Sentiment is at .6103Market Sentiment Forex market sentiment can be measured using various tools and indicators. One of the most popular methods of measuring sentiment is using sentiment indicators. These indicators provide insights into market sentiment , such as the percentage of traders who are bullish or bearish on a particular currency. Forex Sentiment One of the main advantages of using forex sentiment analysis is that it can help traders make more informed trading decisions. By understanding the overall sentiment of the market, traders can better anticipate price movements, identify potential trading opportunities, and manage risk more effectively. What is Forex Sentiment? Forex Sentiment is the feeling or perception of market participants towards a currency pair. It is an essential aspect of forex trading, as it plays a crucial role in determining the direction of the market. Forex sentiment is driven by a wide range of factors, including economic data, geopolitical events, news events, and market trends. While there are various methods of measuring sentiment, traders should use sentiment analysis in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
Long
by ScotThomsen
2
When Wave 3 Extends to 3.618×✅ What It Means • Wave 3 has extended to 3.618× the length of Wave 1, which is a very strong impulsive wave. • This often indicates high momentum and strong underlying trend (usually confirmed with high volume). • It’s a classic sign of an extended wave structure — common in high-volatility, trend-driven markets. ⸻ 🔄 Wave 4 Retracement Behavior In such cases, Wave 4 tends to be shallow, both in price and time. Here’s what we know: 🔍 Typical Wave 4 Retracement When Wave 3 = 3.618 × Wave 1: Type Typical Behavior Depth (Fibonacci) 0.236 to 0.382 of Wave 3 Time Often longer than Wave 2 Form Often sideways: triangle, flat Probability of Deep Retrace Low (< 25%) So when Wave 3 is extended, Wave 4 usually does not retrace deeply. 📊 Historical/Educated Probability Estimate Event Probability Wave 3 extends to 3.618× Wave 1 ~10–15% of impulsive wave cases Wave 4 retraces shallowly (0.236–0.382) ~70–80% in extended Wave 3 Wave 4 retraces deeply (>0.5) ~10–15% (rare, usually corrective failure) So: 🧠 If Wave 3 is extended (3.618×), there is ~70–80% chance that Wave 4 will be shallow and not violate Wave 1 top. 📌 Summary • ✅ Wave 3 extended to 3.618× implies strong trend • ✅ Wave 4 likely shallow (0.236–0.382 retrace) • ❌ Deep retrace into Wave 1 territory is unlikely unless structure is failing
TFEX:S50U2025
by akaake
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 Global Markets Bet on Dovish Fed Pivot Markets are pricing in more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts—approximately 125 bps by end-2026—due to speculation that President Trump may replace Chair Powell with a dovish successor. Investors caution excessive political influence could jeopardize Fed independence 🏦 Fed Governor Warns of Tariff Risks Fed’s Michael Barr emphasized that tariffs could trigger inflation and unemployment, reinforcing the Fed’s wait‑and‑see approach. Expect modest rate cuts later this year, contingent on economic signals 📉 Q1 GDP Revised Sharply Lower First-quarter U.S. GDP was downgraded to an annualized contraction of 0.5%, a deeper fall than previously reported. The revision underscores drag from weak consumer spending and trade disruptions 📃 Trade Deficit Widens in May U.S. goods trade deficit expanded 11% to $96.6 billion, driven by a $9.7 billion drop in exports. Trade gap dynamics remain a headwind for growth projections 🐘 JPMorgan Sees Stagflation Risks JPMorgan revised its U.S. GDP growth forecast down to 1.3%, warning that tariff-related “stagflationary impulse” is complicating growth and inflation outlooks—and making recession risks more real 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 27: 8:30 AM ET – U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – June (Prelim.) Expected to reflect growing economic caution. The index fell in May; traders will watch for further weakness. 10:00 AM ET – Fed Stress Test Results Fed to release annual bank stress-test outcomes. Strong results support financial stability, while weak spots could unsettle markets ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #macro #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Gold Slips Deeper – Bears in Full ControlGold extended its losing streak to a sixth straight day, sliding closer to the critical $3,300 level as a rebounding US dollar and Powell’s cautious tone dampen market sentiment. Technically, the breakdown below the short-term ascending channel has validated a bearish structure. Daily chart indicators are turning decisively negative, suggesting the path of least resistance is still to the downside. Unless a fresh risk event triggers safe-haven demand, any bounce from here may simply offer sellers a better price to re-enter. The downtrend is in motion — and it’s gaining steam.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Edward_TradingFX
Gold to $3,600? Hey traders! Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is back in the spotlight — not just for its shine, but because macro and technical signals are starting to align again. Why gold still matters? The US Dollar is weakening as markets expect the Fed to cut rates later this year. Geopolitical tensions (like Iran–Israel) are still lurking despite temporary ceasefires. Central banks are buying gold heavily — a clear long-term signal. 📈 Technically speaking: Gold remains in a long-term uptrend. Weekly EMAs are pointing upward. Strong support sits around $3,260–$3,300. A break above $3,440 could push prices toward $3,600 in the coming months. 💡 My take & strategy: As a gold trader for 7 years, I always allocate part of my portfolio to long-term gold exposure. “You don’t need to dig for gold — just wait for the market to sleep, then strike.” 😄 📌 Trade plan: Buy on dips near $3,280–$3,300 Target: $3,480 – $3,600 What’s your take? Is gold still worth holding — or is it time to chase other trades? Let’s discuss below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
3
Chart Pattern Analysis Of MSTZ From K1 to K3, It is a bullish three soldiers advancing pattern, But unfortunately, it still failed to close upon a nearest resistance. K3 start with a bull gap and break up a downtrend line of a large scale consolidation range. If the following candles break up the resistance or consolidate around it, It will be a good place to buy it there. On the other hand, If the following candles successfully retest the downtrend line, It is also a good place to buy it then. Long-4.75/Stop-4.35/Target-10
CBOE:MSTZLong
by nothingchangehere
GBP/USD Rally in Full Swing – Bullish Targets AheadHi everyone, Price achieved the 1.36850 having found support near the 1.33800 level. As previously noted, the clearance of these levels strengthens our expectation for further upside, with the next key level of interest around 1.38400. We'll be watching to see how price action develops from here. We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000. We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Rally Continues – 1.18000 in SightHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483. Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022. A successful bounce from above 1.16680 or slightly lower at 1.15998 would offer near-term support for a potential retest of the 1.17400 zone. A confirmed break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
Bitcoin Top is In! Bear considerationsPrice has been carving out an unclear correction off the high. The recent structure has many squinting. Is it done or the calm before another wave of selling? I am weighing two bearish scenarios here. One is more aggressive than the other. But both start with the same idea. No new high before another low. Let’s start at the top. The initial move down off the recent high could count as an impulse. Whether that is a wave 1 or a wave A is still up for judgment. Either way, that first leg sets a bearish tone at the larger degree. Here’s where it gets interesting. The correction since then shows traits of a flat. A running one at the moment. This opens the door to two active bearish projections: A wave C collapse, implying a completed A B C correction and a downside resolution. A wave 3 drop, for a possible top if this is an impulsive sequence. That is the fork in the road. And it all hinges on the next move. Right now, the smallest degree impulse off the low is doing some heavy lifting. If that pivot holds and we only get an internal retracement like a micro wave 2, the door is still open for upside continuation. But if that impulse gets invalidated, I would expect bears to press. First for a break below 100k, then toward the 95k area. Here is how to think about it: Hold the small impulse → Potential upside Break the impulse base → Wave C or 3 likely underway Context still leans bearish. Lower highs are still in play. But we are hunting a specific structure to confirm it.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoKnee
1
CLSK / 2hNASDAQ:CLSK may have ended the impulse in wave c of an expanded flat in wave (x) at 10.83 today. Wave Analysis >> The retracement in impulse c of the flat correction in (x) may have ended at 10.83 today, and the anticipated following decline of 26% will soon develop a three-wave sequence as wave (y) to conclude the entire correction in wave ii(circled). The retracing down target >> 7.93 Trend Analysis >> After the conclusion of the entire correction in the Minute degree wave ii(circled), the trend will turn upward soon to an impulsive third wave in the same degree. #CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:CLSK
by ElliottChart
1
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):Symbol: EUR/USD Timeframe: 1 hour Price Range Displayed: ~1.15300 to ~1.17500 Current Price: 1.16935 🔍 Key Chart Markings BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Marked at the top in the yellow zone (~1.17250–1.17500). Indicates where buy-side liquidity was likely taken—suggesting liquidity grab or stop hunt. SSL (Sell-side Liquidity): Marked at the bottom yellow zone (~1.15700–1.15900). Indicates a potential drawdown area—price may seek this liquidity next. Price Action: The price recently made a higher high into the BSL zone, followed by a bearish rejection. A projected path is shown: short-term retracement upward, followed by a larger move downward toward the SSL zone. 📉 Potential Outlook (Bearish Bias) The chart suggests a bearish move is anticipated: BSL has been swept, signaling a reversal point. Target: Sell-side liquidity around 1.15800, possibly lower. ⚙️ Technical Implication This setup follows Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or Liquidity Engineering: Liquidity is taken from one side of the market (BSL), and price is expected to move to the other (SSL). Possible setup for a short trade after confirmation of the retracement.
by King_Maker_FX