6/25 Gold Analysis and Trading ViewGood morning, everyone!
Gold experienced a sharp decline yesterday. Technically, the conditions for a rebound are in place, but since a solid bottom structure has yet to form, a retest to the downside is likely during today’s session.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance zone: 3336–3348
Support zones: Primary support at 3313–3303, with additional support around 3296–3282
Today’s overall strategy remains buying on dips as the primary approach, with short opportunities near resistance as a secondary option.
Key scenario to monitor:
If the price drops to around 3280 but fails to rebound toward 3336, and the daily close ends below 3300, then the buy-on-dip strategy will likely continue into tomorrow.
Wave Analysis
WULF / 2hNASDAQ:WULF rose by 15.5% today! An unexpected counter-trend rally, which may be considered the last high in June.
Wave Analysis >> According to my bearish alternative >> as depicted on the 2h-frame above, the correction in wave b(circled) may have remained at the extreme of its second subdivision in wave (b), a final decline as the last subdivision in wave (c) would likely follow to complete the entire correction of wave b(circled) in a three-wave sequence like a zigzag or flat formation.
The expected targets >> 3.36 >> 3.28 >> 3.05
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
Tencent Holdings – Potential Wave Count and ForecastAs current price action unfolds, a Wave 5 (gray) forming as an ending diagonal appears to be the most likely scenario. However, the micro count remains open to interpretation and may differ slightly. Continued observation should eventually provide clarity and confirmation at the lower degrees.This ending diagonal seems to be approaching completion. A sudden reversal could suggest that Wave 4 (pink) within the diagonal is not yet finished, as the recent downward move resembles a single impulse rather than a full ABC correction. That said, this alternative is less probable given that, by the rules of a contracting ending diagonal, Wave 4 (pink) should be shorter than Wave 2 (pink). Structurally, the current labeling still fits well with Wave 4 (pink) already being completed.For now, the focus should shift to the upside, watching for a developing ABC structure within Wave 5 (pink), which would complete both the ending diagonal and the larger-degree Wave 5 (gray). Upon completion, we should anticipate a significant correction. Based on current wave dynamics, this gray Wave 5 is likely to end in a truncation or produce only a marginal new all-time high.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk, and you should perform your own due diligence before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses that may arise from reliance on this content. Always trade at your own risk.
NZD-USD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 0.6087 and as it
Is a strong key structure
We will be expecting
A local move down
Sell!
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June 27, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
The 3310 zone has shown strong support. If this level breaks, bearish pressure is likely to increase.
On the upside, the 3350 area remains a strong resistance — if price approaches but fails to break through, it could offer a good short opportunity.
Keep a close watch on these two zones. Until a breakout occurs, treat price action as range-bound.
I'll be updating again during the London session — need a quick rest now 😴. Stay tuned!
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3364 – Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint / Intraday Key Resistance
• 3345 – Resistance
• 3337 – Critical Resistance
• 3321 – Support
• 3310–3312 – Intraday Key Support
• 3300 – Psychological Support
• 3295 – Support
• 3285 – Support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3325 → watch 3321, then 3318, 3310, 3300
• BUY if price holds above 3337 → target 3343, then 3350, 3358, 3364
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
Nasdaq: At the Upper EdgeYesterday, the Nasdaq climbed above resistance at 22,475 points. Currently, the index is positioned outside our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), which remains active. Stops for short positions 1% above the zone have not yet been triggered. Our primary scenario remains intact for now: technically, there is room for wave B to reach the next resistance at 23,229 points. Following the B-wave peak, a downtrend is expected with the corrective wave C. With a 42% probability, we anticipate that wave alt.(4) is already complete, and the index may break directly higher within the magenta-colored wave alt.(5), surpassing the 23,229-point mark.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Dollar Index Bearish to $96 (UPDATE)I posted this DXY sell thesis yesterday for you all while price was still at $97.70. Since then sellers have taken out the previous Wave 3 low, creating a new daily low today at $96.90📉
We still have more downside yet to come towards our $96.60 target. So, use this 'DXY Sell Thesis' to help you with your trading, so once you can use this as a confluence to buy inverse correlated markets
2025-06-26 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Is this a bigger two-legged pullback to the 4h ema and now we strongly break above 23900 to go for 24200+ again? It’s my most likely case. It’s still not a good trade to buy above 23800 since that trapped you two times this week for 230 and 300 point pullbacks.
current market cycle: broad bull channel on the weekly chart. Daily chart is in a trading range 23000 - 24500
key levels: 23500 - 24500
bull case: Everything aligns for the bulls. They need the breakout above Tuesday’s high and then we go for the obvious big round number 24000 but I doubt we will stop here. Once the bears who sold above 23800 this week give up, I doubt there will be much resistance until maybe 24300 or higher. Anything below 23600 would be a huge bear surprise tomorrow and my bullish bias is likely wrong.
Invalidation is below 23000.
bear case: Bears don’t have much until they print below 23600 again. Can they hold the market below 24000 and keep this trading range alive? I doubt it. Bears tried 3 times this week and the bull gap to 23550 stayed open.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Bullish. Still expecting 24000 and no print below 23600 tomorrow. Everything else would be a big bear surprise and we could go much lower than 23500 but this is the most unlikely scenario.
medium-long term from 2025-06-22: New bear trend has likely started on 2025-06-05 and we saw W2 conclude on Friday. Daily close below 23000 will be the confirmation for the bears and I have drawn 2 potential final W5 targets. I have written that we will see 20000/21000 again over the summer for many weeks/months now, this even is just another excuse for “analysts” to justify the move down.
trade of the day: Longs close to 23600 were the obvious trade today. The selling for 198 was at least 100 points stronger than I expected and stopped me out but I immediately went long again on the very strong buying below 23650 and closed the day with profits.
Bitcoin Reaches PRZ with Bearish Signals — Is a Drop Imminent?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has reached the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) as I expected in yesterday's post .
Bitcoin is trading in the Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and near the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 5 with the help of the Ending Diagonal . The structure of wave 5 can be different.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $105,400 .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $107,334-$108,250
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $105,037-$103,392
Note: We could be in for a bit of excitement in the financial markets during Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $109,020 = We can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke major resistance level 22100.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 23000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke above the major resistance level 22100.00 (which has been steadily reversing the index from the end of 2024 as can be seen from the weekly NDX chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 22100.00 continues the active primary impulse wave 3 from the middle of 2025.
With the accelerating weekly momentum, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 23000.00.
EUR/USD Biases (Long, Short, and Today’s View)EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones
This will be a concise market analysis essay (around 600–700 words) suitable for a financial audience, such as forex traders or analysts. Let me begin:
EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones
The EUR/USD pair, one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, has exhibited strong bullish momentum in recent sessions. As of June 26, 2025, the euro’s ascent against the dollar has brought it to a critical juncture, testing significant technical and psychological resistance levels. Traders are now weighing the potential for continued upside against growing signals of exhaustion and looming fundamental catalysts.
Bullish Outlook: A Technically Supported Advance
From a technical perspective, the bullish case for EUR/USD remains compelling. The pair is entrenched in a sustained uptrend, marked by successive breakouts above prior resistance levels and validated by daily and weekly closes above 1.1600. The current price action is converging on a crucial supply zone located between 1.1700 and 1.1900—an area historically known for triggering reversals but also pivotal in confirming trend continuation if broken convincingly.
Technical indicators further bolster the bullish narrative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), while approaching overbought territory, is still supportive of higher prices. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a widening bullish histogram, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) confirms trend strength. Near-term resistance lies between 1.1680 and 1.1730, with potential for an extension to 1.1800 should the pair breach this upper band.
On the fundamental front, improved German Ifo business sentiment data has injected optimism into the eurozone outlook. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions and a broader risk-on sentiment in global markets have undercut the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Speculation over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts further dampens dollar strength, creating tailwinds for EUR/USD.
Bearish Considerations: Resistance and Reversal Risks
Despite the encouraging trend, caution is warranted. The area between 1.1700 and 1.1900 represents a major weekly order block (OB) resistance—territory where several past rallies have lost steam. Oscillators such as the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and RSI are showing signs of overextension, and the market is now vigilant for reversal patterns or signs of exhaustion.
Fundamentally, while the recent Ifo data is encouraging, it remains below the key threshold of 100, reflecting lingering skepticism about the eurozone's full recovery. Moreover, upcoming U.S. economic releases, particularly GDP figures and jobless claims, could act as potential catalysts for a dollar rebound. Hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials could also tilt sentiment, especially if it dampens expectations of rate cuts.
If EUR/USD fails to hold above the 1.1700–1.1730 resistance zone, a corrective move toward 1.1530–1.1500 becomes plausible. Deeper pullbacks could extend toward 1.1470 and 1.1390, especially if risk sentiment reverses or economic data surprises in favor of the dollar.
Today’s View: Bullish with a Note of Caution
For today, June 26, the prevailing bias remains bullish, yet increasingly cautious. The pair is testing the lower end of the 1.1700 OB zone. A decisive break and hold above this level would likely unleash further upside toward 1.1730 and 1.1800. However, overbought conditions and proximity to a known resistance zone suggest that traders should remain alert to potential rejection.
Intraday strategies favor buying on dips above 1.1600–1.1635, with stops placed just below 1.1600 and targets set at 1.1700–1.1730. Conversely, short positions should only be considered if there is a clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1730 area, with downside targets at 1.1530–1.1500 and stops above 1.1800.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD is currently at a pivotal inflection point. While the bullish trend is intact and supported by both technical and fundamental factors, the proximity to a major resistance zone introduces a layer of complexity. Traders must remain agile—ready to ride a breakout higher if confirmed, but equally prepared to pivot if the pair falters and signals a reversal. In markets like these, timing and confirmation are everything.
Amd - This is just the beginning!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - perfectly plays out:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the harsh drop of about -65% which we have been witnessing starting back in 2024, Amd remains bullish. Just three months ago, Amd retested a textbook confluence of support. We saw bullish confirmation, the bottom is in and Amd will rally significantly from here.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Signs of gold bottoming out are emerging
Weakened safe-haven demand: Iran and Israel ceasefire eased geopolitical risks, and gold was under pressure in the short term.
Fed policy expectations: Trump is considering appointing the Fed chairman in advance, and the market is paying attention to monetary policy trends.
Impact of the US dollar and US bonds: The weakening of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields support gold prices, but the rebound in oil prices may limit the gains.
Focus during the day: US initial jobless claims, Q1 GDP final value and durable goods orders data. If the data is positive, it may suppress the rebound in gold prices.
Two consecutive days of positive closing, bottoming out and rebounding show signs of short-term bottoming, and the key support has moved up to 3295. If the 3312 low is maintained, it is expected to break through the 3340-3345 suppression and further test the 3357-3367 resistance. The 1-hour low is gradually raised, and the 3340 mark has become a watershed between long and short positions, which may accelerate upward after breaking through.
Support: 3325-3315 (strong and weak boundary), 3295 (medium-term bottom).
Resistance: 3345 (breakthrough key), 3357-3367 (strong pressure zone).
Operation strategy
Long layout: retrace to 3325-3320 to stabilize long, stop loss 3312, target 3340-3357.
Short opportunity: light short at 3357-3367 for the first time, stop loss 3375, target 3340-3330.
Breakthrough follow-up: after stabilizing 3345, pull back to chase long, target 3360-3380.
Key tips
Data risk: If the US economic data is stronger than expected, it may suppress the gold price to step back to support.
Trend confirmation: 3295 will maintain the rebound pattern if it is not broken, and it will turn to weak shock if it breaks down.
EURUSD SHORT TIME O LOSS TIMEI opened a long position on the EURUSD pair at 1.17195 with 10 lots.
Target: 1.174 – If the target is reached, I will take profit and open a short position.
At the same time, expecting USD weakness, I also opened a short position at 1.17200 with 20 lots.
1.168 to 1.166 is a strong support zone.
If price reaches 1.174 and I have an active short, I will close the 1.17200 short and keep the other one.
Targets and support levels are marked on the chart – I plan to close the positions gradually.
I will close 75% of the position at the 1.149 support level.
This is a demo account – I’m practicing in order to qualify for a funded trading account.
Depending on my success rate, I plan to start trading live on Forex.
Analysis and strategy of gold trend on June 26:
I. Analysis of core contradictions
Focus of long and short game:
Short advantage: geopolitical risk premium fades + hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve
Multiple support: technical oversold (daily RSI 28) + physical buying intervention
Key turning point: Whether 3340 breaks through or not determines the short-term direction
Institutional capital trends:
COMEX large sell orders pile up above 3350 (about 150 million US dollars)
Shanghai gold premium maintains 9-10 US dollars (Asian buying support)
II. Technical essentials analysis
Key chart signals:
4-hour chart: The descending channel is complete (upper rail 3342, lower rail 3288)
1-hour chart: Potential double bottom formed (neckline 3332, volume cooperation)
Daily chart: 5/10-day moving average dead cross angle expands (3326 vs 3349)
Key resistance and support levels:
Resistance level: 3335 (Asian session high) → 3342 (trend line) → 3352 (breakthrough level)
Support level: 3315 (intraday low) → 3295 (weekly low) → 3280 (200-day moving average)
III. Practical trading strategy
Main strategy: trend following trading
Entry trigger: 3342-3345 test short selling (4-hour trend line suppression)
Stop loss setting: 3353 (breakthrough previous high + spread buffer)
Target: 3310 → 3295 → 3280
Auxiliary Support strategy: defensive long position
Trigger condition: bullish engulfing + volume expansion below 3300
Stop loss setting: 3285 (0.5% below the previous low)
Target position: 3320-3330
IV. Risk control matrix
Breakthrough scenario response:
Break above 3352: stop loss short immediately, reverse light position to try long (target 3375)
Break below 3285: chase short position not more than 1% (target 3265)
Operational iron rule:
Strictly follow the 1:2 risk-return ratio
Single loss ≤ 0.5% of account net value
Clear 80% of position before the US market closes
Still bearish!If the short-term bull lifeline 3330 is lost, the trend will be bearish again. The first pressure point above is 3350-the secondary top 3345, and then the 3332-35 area. If the price bulls regain 3335 again, then the operation should be carried out in the range of 3350-3310. It is not recommended to enter the market at the halfway point because it is easy to be washed out. If the daily K line closes below 3340, then 3332-35 is the best position at present. At present, the price is bearish below 40, and it can rely on 3332-31 to continue to be bearish. The target is 3310 and 3924.