BTCUSD Correction Starts BTC Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Potential Correction Toward the 70–71k Zone
Below is a structured overview of Bitcoin’s price action across Monthly, Weekly, Daily, and 4H timeframes. The overarching theme is that BTC appears to be rejecting from key channel resistance, suggesting a corrective move could unfold before any renewed upside momentum.
1. Monthly Timeframe
• Ascending Parallel Channel
Since 2021, BTC has been trading within a broad ascending channel. Price recently tagged the upper boundary (around early January) and reacted lower.
• Key Support & Order Blocks
• Monthly Order Blocks: ~25k and ~60k.
• Possible Support Zones: 69k (previous ATH), 60k monthly order block.
• Moving Averages & Indicators
• SMAs (10, 50, 100): All stacked bullishly, but a pullback to the 10 SMA near 76k is possible.
• Bollinger Bands: Price poked above the upper band, hinting at mean reversion toward mid or lower bands (60k–70k).
• RSI & MACD: RSI has slipped below its moving average (bearish signal). MACD remains positive but is curling over, suggesting a loss of bullish momentum.
Monthly Conclusion: A multi-month correction could develop after reaching channel resistance. The 60k–70k region stands out as a potential support or inflection zone.
2. Weekly Timeframe
• Rising Channel Since Sept 2023
BTC touched channel resistance again in mid-December (confluence with the monthly channel top) and is now pushing lower toward the channel’s lower boundary (~66k).
• SMA & Ichimoku
• Price has fallen below the 10 SMA. Weekly close below 89k would confirm a break of consolidation support.
• Ichimoku Cloud remains bullish overall, but price is slipping beneath the conversion line (baseline near 80k could be next support).
• Retracement Levels & Order Blocks
• Broke the 0.236 Fib; next key Fibs are 0.382 near 85k and 0.618 near 71k.
• Weekly order block ~68k–71k aligns with potential Fib confluence.
• Momentum Indicators
• Weekly RSI has retreated quickly toward 50. A break below 50 often signals more downside.
• MACD has made a bearish cross (often leads to multi-week or multi-month corrections).
Weekly Conclusion: A drop to at least the 71k zone seems likely if current supports fail. Minimal volume between 88k and 70k suggests a swift move is possible.
3. Daily Timeframe
• Structure & Patterns
• BTC broke down from a rising wedge and slipped below the daily order block at 91k.
• Price is quite oversold on daily RSI (near 30), which may support a short-term bounce.
• Next Steps
• A retest of 92–95k is possible, especially if oversold conditions trigger a relief rally.
• After a bounce, the broader structure still looks poised for a deeper correction toward 70–71k if the rally fails.
Daily Conclusion: Oversold suggests a relief bounce to the mid-90k area, then sellers may resume pressure for a move toward 70–71k.
4H Timeframe (Entry Refinement)
• Momentum
• RSI is heavily oversold, and ADX is high but may be rolling over, indicating bearish momentum is maturing.
• Potential Play
• A short-term bounce to 92k (possibly overshooting to 95k) is plausible. Traders seeking short positions could consider waiting for that bounce to short, targeting 70–71k, with stops placed above the wedge breakdown or a key daily level (e.g., 95–96k).
Overall Trade Idea
1. Short-Term Bounce:
• Entry on a retest of 92–95k.
• Stop above 95–96k to allow for a volatility spike.
2. Downside Targets:
• Primary target at 71k (key weekly Fib & order block confluence).
• Secondary target or extension: 66k or 60k if momentum accelerates.
A close above 96k would invalidate the immediate bearish scenario, suggesting re-entry into the upper channel and potential upside continuation.
Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis viewpoint, not financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately. Markets can invalidate setups, and one should use disciplined stops and position sizing.
Good luck, and stay flexible in your approach!
Wave Analysis
TSLA is very close to a buy - $268 , 2-3 days ? Continuing coverage on TSLA. See other previous charts. Zeroing in on $268 as a good entry point. $249 is a stop loss for now. We are about 90 days early in time for a bottom. So caution and stops are warranted. Much lower prices are certainly possible Especially with the correction in the Nasdaq that is underway. Murrey Math, Elliotwave , Kumarwave all in play in this forecast. Posts and Dm's always welcomed. Good Luck.
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 26 February 2025
- AUDJPY broke support level 94.35
- Likely to fall support level 93.45
AUDJPY currency pair recently broke the support level 94.35 (the low of the previous minor impulse wave i from the start of February).
The breakout of the support level 94.35 accelerated the active short-term impulse wave iii, which belongs to the longer-term impulse waves 3 and (3).
Given the predominantly bullish yen sentiment seen today, AUDJPY currency pair be expected to fall to the next support level 93.45, the former monthly low from September.
COINBASE ($COIN) Q4—CRYPTO CASH PILES UPCOINBASE ( NASDAQ:COIN ) Q4—CRYPTO CASH PILES UP
(1/9)
Good evening, TradingView! Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) just dropped a Q4 banger 💰 $ 2.27B revenue, up 138% YoY 🌍 Full ‘24 hits $ 6.29B—let’s unpack this crypto hauler!
(2/9) – REVENUE SURGE
• Q4 Take: $ 2.27B 🌟 138% leap from ‘23
• Full ‘24: $ 6.29B 💼 115% climb
• Subs: $ 2.3B 📈 64% jump
NASDAQ:COIN ’s raking it in—trades and fees soar!
(3/9) – EARNINGS POP
• Q4 EPS: $ 4.68 🏆 beats $ 2.11 guess
• Net: $ 1.3B 🌞 300% YoY surge
• EBITDA: $ 3.3B 💪 two years of green
NASDAQ:COIN ’s cash flow hums—profit’s real!
(4/9) – BIG MOVES
• Global Cut: 19% Q4 from overseas 🌐
• Next Up: Derivatives, USDC push 📊
• Stock Dip: Flat post-earn 🤔 profit grabs?
NASDAQ:COIN ’s stretching wide—crypto’s workhorse!
(5/9) – RISKS ON DECK
• Crypto Swings: Price drops sting 🕸️
• SEC Suit: Regs loom ⛔ costs nip
• Rivals: Binance lurks ⚡ tight race
Hot streak—can it sidestep the traps?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Haul: $ 2.27B Q4 🚛 volume beast
• Subs: $ 2.3B 💡 steady stream
• Profit: $ 3.3B EBITDA 🏋️ cash stack
NASDAQ:COIN ’s hauling freight—built tough!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Trade lean 🌫️ thin ice
• Opportunities: Global reach 🌏 reg wins
Can NASDAQ:COIN outpace the bumps?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:COIN ’s $ 2.27B Q4—what’s your take?
1️⃣ Bullish—$ 350+ in sight 😎
2️⃣ Neutral—Good haul, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish—Crypto dips drag it down 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:COIN ’s $ 2.27B Q4 and $ 6.29B ‘24 pile up big—crypto hauler 🪙 High P/E, but cash flows—gem or jinx?
Algorand ALGOUSD Periodic Analysis (Issue 67)The analyst believes that the price of Algorand will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Bitcoin Crash Predicted! Our Call Was Spot On! We warned on January 23rd when Bitcoin was at 109K that a correction was coming, and we identified the first support at 81K … Now, our prediction is playing out perfectly! 🎯
👀 Were you paying attention, or did you ignore the signal?
💰 Congrats to those who followed the advice and avoided massive losses!
😱 Will you keep ignoring key insights, or will you stay ahead of the market next time?
⬇️ Comment "Following" if you want more exclusive market insights!
📉 Fear should not stop you from making the right move at the right time!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #BTC #MarketAnalysis #Investing #CryptoTrading
MRK 5M Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ exhaustion volume
+ volumed T1
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1/2 1M take profit
Hourly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ 1D SOS level"
Daily Trend
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
- before 1/2 correction"
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ exhaustion volume?"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ exhaustion volume?"
Wave C: The Calm Before the Bullish StormBitcoin’s Epic Comeback: From the Abyss to New Heights (2022–2024)
After the brutal 2022 crash, Bitcoin was left battered, trading near $16K. Sentiment was at rock bottom—fear, uncertainty, and doubt ruled the market. But as 2023 unfolded, a silent accumulation phase began. Institutions and whales loaded up while retail investors remained hesitant.
Then came the first sparks: inflation cooled, macro conditions improved, and whispers of a Bitcoin ETF surfaced. The market woke up. Bitcoin broke $30K, then $40K, as momentum grew. The long-awaited ETF approval in early 2024 sent shockwaves—institutions poured in, and Bitcoin exploded past $50K, then $60K.
By mid-2024, the halving event tightened supply, fueling another leg up. Bitcoin shattered expectations, briefly touching $75K. Corrections came, but the uptrend held strong. As December 2024 approached, the market braced for the next chapter. With wave C on the horizon, the question wasn’t if Bitcoin would break new all-time highs, but when.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan – 27-Feb-2025📌
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY index on February 27, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710)
If NIFTY opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur.
If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,070.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY market effectively on February 27, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
BANKNIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan – 27-Feb-2025📌
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the BANKNIFTY index on February 27, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 200+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ points)
If BANKNIFTY opens above 48,998 (a gap of 200+ points from the previous close of 48,798), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 48,998, it could target the profit-booking zone of 49,117–49,400. This zone is a key resistance area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 49,117–49,400, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 48,878–48,798 (last intraday resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 49,400 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 49,600 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 48,998 , targeting 49,117–49,400. Use a stop-loss below 48,798 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 49,117–49,400, aiming for 48,878–48,798. Place a stop-loss above 49,400 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 200+ points reflects significant bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 48,998 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 49,117–49,400 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 48,798–48,878)
If BANKNIFTY opens within the range of 48,798–48,878, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 48,878 could drive prices toward 49,117–49,400, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 48,798 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 48,396–48,167 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 47,573 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 48,878 , targeting 49,117–49,400. Use a stop-loss below 48,798 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 48,798 , targeting 48,396–48,167 or 47,573. Set a stop-loss above 48,878 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 48,798–48,878 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ points)
If BANKNIFTY opens below 48,598 (a gap of 200+ points from the previous close of 48,798), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 48,396–48,167 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 48,798–48,878 could occur.
If 48,396 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 47,573 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 48,396 , targeting a pullback to 48,798–48,878. Use a stop-loss below 48,167 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 48,396 , targeting 47,573. Place a stop-loss above 48,396 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 200+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 48,396 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 47,573 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 49,117 or 48,396) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 48,878 → Target: 49,117–49,400.
✔️ Bearish Below: 48,798 → Target: 48,396–48,167 or 47,573.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 48,798–48,878 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the BANKNIFTY market effectively on February 27, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
Gold Bullish To ATH Of $2,964?!Bare in mind Gold is not out of its danger zone just yet. While internal structures might have turned bearish, on the bigger TF we are yet to see any huge structure turn bearish.
Price still remains within a huge range & buyers are holding above our previous ‘Wave X’ low. We could still see a schematic play out between Wave X & Wave Y. This means another ATH could be incoming👀
GBPAUD Supply Zone 1:30GBPAUD Supply Zone Appears in H4 Time Frame Looking Price Action for Long Term Sell Risk and Reward Ratio is 1:30
After 50 pips Profit Set SL Entry Level
"DISCLAIMER" Trading & investing business is "Very Profitable" as well as risky, so any trading or investment decision should be made after Consultation with Certified & Regulated Investment Advisors, by Carefully Considering your Financial Situation.
XAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABCXAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABC
Based on recent analyses, gold (XAUUSD) has been on an upward trajectory, reaching record highs above $2,900 in early February 2025. This surge is attributed to factors such as newly imposed tariffs and inflation concerns.
However, some Elliott Wave analyses suggest that gold may be entering a bearish correction phase. For instance, a head and shoulders pattern has been identified, indicating potential for a downward move if key support levels are breached.
Additionally, forecasts indicate that the XAUUSD pair is correcting and may continue to decline, with an estimated pivot point around 2,788.71.
In summary, while gold has recently achieved record highs, certain technical indicators and patterns suggest a possible bearish correction in line with Elliott Wave Theory.
PI NETWORK—CRYPTO’S MOBILE STAR SHINES BRIGHT? $PIUSDTPI NETWORK—CRYPTO’S MOBILE STAR SHINES BRIGHT?
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! Pi Network’s buzzing—47M users, $ 2.57 IOUs 📈🔥. Q1 ‘25 mainnet looms—let’s unpack this tap-to-earn enigma! 🚀
(2/9) – USER RUSH
• Base: 47M users—18M KYC’d 💥
• Mainnet: 8M migrated—4.4B Pi 📊
• Model: Tap daily—no rigs, no sweat
Pi’s humming—massive crowd, mobile zip!
(3/9) – PRICE BUZZ
• IOUs: $ 2.57—up from $ 0.668 🌍
• ‘25 Hope: 1−5—$ 2B-$ 10B cap 🚗
• Bull Dream: $ 50—$ 100B stretch 🌟
Pi’s flickering—hype or gold?
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• Crypto Cap: $ 2.5T—BTC, ETH lead 📈
• Vs. Peers: Pi lags utility—Hamster flops 🌍
• Edge: 47M vs. altcoin minnows
Pi’s a wildcard—value or vapor?
(5/9) – RISKS IN VIEW
• Delay: Mainnet stalls—Q1 ‘25 shaky ⚠️
• Control: Core team grips—central snag 🏛️
• Crash: Hype fades—$ 0.50 risk 📉
Hot buzz—can it dodge the bust?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Crowd: 47M—crypto king 🌟
• Easy: Tap-to-earn—low bar 🔍
• Green: SCP—no power guzzle 🚦
Pi’s a steady beast—user gold!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: No use, locked Pi—boo 💸
• Opportunities: Emerging markets—zing 🌍
Can Pi zap past the haze?
(8/9) – Pi’s $ 2.57 buzz—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—$ 5+ shines bright.
2️⃣ Neutral—Waits, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Fades below $ 0.50.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Pi’s 47M users and $ 2.57 IOUs spark zing—crypto wildcard 🌍. Big crowd, big risks—gem or bust?
DXY Bearish to 85-90The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A zigzag corrective pattern is identified.
Resistance levels at 113 and an inverse bearish level at 115 are highlighted.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA 9) and Simple Moving Average (SMA 50) are displayed.
Elliott Wave analysis appears to be used, indicating a possible downward correction.
A bearish scenario targeting around 90 in the long term is projected.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A weakening dollar will boost growth in the export sector. I believe this will occur during President Trump's term.
GOLD M30 DETAILED OVERVIEWGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading within a range-bound structure, forming key supply and demand zones.
🔹 Key Levels & Zones:
Strong Demand Zone (2H): Price recently tested a significant demand zone near $2,900 - $2,905, showing signs of potential bullish reaction.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Fill: There is an imbalance in price action, suggesting a temporary push upward to fill the gap before further moves.
Strong Supply Zone: A major resistance area is identified around $2,945 - $2,950, making it a potential take-profit zone for buyers and an ideal level for fresh sell entries.
🔹 Trade Plan & Expectations:
Short-Term Bullish Move: Price may attempt to retrace higher towards the FVG fill area & supply zone, aiming for $2,940 - $2,945 before facing rejection.
Bearish Continuation: Once the price reaches resistance, a potential sell-off could drive XAUUSD back towards the demand zone and possibly lower towards $2,880 - $2,885.
EMA Confluence: The moving averages suggest an overall bearish trend, with price struggling to hold above key resistance levels.
📉 Bearish Bias: If rejection occurs at resistance, watch for confirmation before entering short positions targeting the demand zone and lower support.
📈 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above $2,950, it could signal further upside momentum, invalidating the bearish setup.