Wave Analysis
USDJPY at a Crossroads: Resistance Held, But What’s Ahead?USDJPY at a Crossroads: Resistance Held, But What’s Ahead?
In our previous analysis, USDJPY respected the resistance zone near 144.40, and the price has already reached our first target.
The trade situation between the US and Japan remains uncertain, which could keep USDJPY under pressure. Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Ryosei Akazawa left the US on Friday without securing a deal, suggesting that an agreement may take time. Meanwhile, Trump is frustrated with the strong Japanese yen against the US dollar. This could lead to a weaker USDJPY in the coming weeks, as Japan may seek to appease him and work toward a deal.
So far, the price is moving as expected, though at a slow pace. Let’s see how things unfold.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRRisking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
EUR/USD Neutral, AUD/USD Neutral and EUR/AUD (Trade Recap)EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GOLD/XAUUSD Long 1:2 RRGOLD/XAUUSD Long, Gold trade via my system called X1 following market algorithm says Gold will go high, with my back testing of this strategy, , manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Russell 2000 - Sell till late May & Buy in Early June?
Wave (ii) is still in progress. Slight update to the primary wave count from the previous one below.
200 & 100 SMA's are sloping firmly to the downside therefore I will continue to keep selling at technical levels. Late May or early June would be a good time to go long...
Support levels are shown in green.
CATI/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.0825 - 0.0840
HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
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HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
Let's Watch Bitcoin Dominance Together!Hello, Skyrexians!
You may think that we make analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D too often, but it's needed because as we pointed out many times we are closed to the global top and it's important to predict when altcoin season starts.
Today we have 12h time frame to look in details at final wave 5 inside global 5. Wave 3 inside this wave is about to be finished at 64.85%. This is not new information. You can check our previous 12h analysis and see it. Today price has reached the target and soon we have to see the reaction and small correction to 0.38 Fibonacci at 63%. During this drop altcoins may show great performance, but after that last shakeout will happen. After that we expect 3-5 months of dominance decrease.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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ZEREBRO ANALYSIS (12H)Note: This is a risky meme coin with high volatility.
From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, the correction of ZEREBRO has started.
This correction appears to be a double structure, with the first part being a symmetrical pattern and the second part a diametric one. After the breakout of the resistance line of wave E, it seems that the price is aiming to complete wave F.
Once wave F is completed, the price will likely be rejected downward again, making that area a low-risk zone for re-entry.
Targets are marked on the chart.
The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
EUR/USD trades with sizeable gains above 1.1500, at over three-yThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart rose above 70, reflecting overbought conditions for EUR/USD. On the downside, 1.1500 (mid-point of the ascending channel) aligns as first support before 1.1450 (static level) and 1.1400 (20-period Simple Moving Average).
Looking north, first resistance could be spotted at 1.1600 (static level, round level) ahead of 1.1670 (upper limit of the ascending channel).
EURUSD: BUY trend continuesEURUSD is taking a breather, but bulls are still in charge. The 2-hour chart shows price well above key moving averages, keeping the uptrend alive. Momentum has cooled slightly, yet indicators stay near highs—no real signs of weakness. Dips toward 1.1500 are likely to draw buyers back in.
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend Analysis for April 22, 2025The primary trend remains bullish as Nifty Futures continues to trade above the Sine Wave. However, Market Timing is indicating a bearish signal, which is further confirmed by the MastersCycleSignal indicator. If the price moves lower, the first support level is at 23,875, followed by a stronger support at 23,628 (Sine Wave level).
This is my personal view. Traders are advised to rely on their technical analysis and always trade with a Stop-Loss.
QATAR STOCK MARKET INDEX - GNRI - Since years we are still in correction in a long years called Double Three Correction, until today we are in the last side of the DTC in side ((Y)) in Triangle in side D of it which looks soon trigger up to levels between 13.000 - 13.685 , and could reach up to 14.000 points .
Market Maker suppressed and put pressure on most or lets say 90% of the most of the stocks and accumulate as much as he can until today 22/04/2025
Most of the Stocks will be in freedom soon future (MAX. 6 Months)>
it seems to me most of the stocks will goes 200 % - 300 % specially the stocks under 1 riyals in its present price .
BITCOIN - Short Trade - Take 2 - Downside Target Is 74,517...We're watching for a break below 87,000 to confirm the start of Wave (C), with a target of 74,517.
If price drops below 87,000 without making a new high, it confirms 88,894 as key resistance and an ideal stop level.
For a full breakdown, check out the video linked below in Related Ideas.
BTC Breaks Key Resistance –Pullback Your Last Chance to Enter!?To start today's analysis, it's best to look at the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) analysis I shared with you on April 10 , which can give us good insight and has performed well so far .👇
Bitcoin seems to have finally managed to break through Important Resistance lines as well as the Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) . The break volume is also high and could be a good sign for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to Elliott Wave theory , with the breaking of important resistance lines , we should wait for the next 5 impulsive waves , which I will try to analyze step by step in this idea and future ideas.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) for the first time after the pullback to the broken Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) (it is better to enter a long position on the pullback ). Basically, assets can NOT break such heavy zones for the first time . ( With very good news, it may break for the first time ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,022-$85,539
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,340-$88,000 = Important
Do you think the main uptrend has resumed or will Bitcoin correct again?
Note: The pullback is likely to start from the third point of contact with the Resistance lines.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,100, it seems we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN - Price Action Update - Have We Seen The End of Wave E..Bitcoin appears to be encountering resistance on several fronts: recent highs, the 200-day moving average, and the extended length now required for Wave (C) to complete the larger Wave B Zig-Zag pattern.
A break below the 87,000 level would likely signal the completion of Wave E. Price action remains choppy at the highs due to ongoing uncertainty, but I expect this to resolve soon.
The downside target sits at a minimum of 74,517 to complete the broader Wave B Zig-Zag.