Wave Analysis
XAUUSD Analysis🟡 XAUUSD Analysis – May 2, 2025
Chart Overview:
Price is reacting near the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (~3262–3275), a key supply area.
A bearish rejection candle is forming at 3264.51, showing resistance.
The projection curve on the chart suggests a potential pullback to the 0.236 (3232.76) or even 0 (3206.26) level.
🧠 Fundamental Catalyst (Today’s NFP):
If the NFP comes out weak (138K or lower) as expected:
USD may weaken → gold could break above 3275 and aim for 3294 or higher.
If NFP beats expectations significantly (e.g., above 200K):
Strong USD → This bearish setup could play out → Gold may drop toward 3232 or 3206.
📉 Signal (Short-term idea):
Bias: Bearish below 3275
Entry: Sell near 3265–3275 (supply zone)
TP1: 3232
TP2: 3206
Equity Research Report – TIMKEN India Ltd 📌 CMP (May 2, 2025): ₹2,728
🧭 Sector: Industrial Bearings & Motion Solutions
📈 Signal: Breakout from falling channel with strong volume confirmation
🔹 Technical Summary
Breakout Pattern: Price has decisively broken out of a long-term falling channel after a 10-month downtrend.
Volume Spike: Breakout accompanied by significant volume spike (highest in over a year) – strong institutional interest.
Momentum: RSI has broken above resistance line (~55), confirming bullish momentum.
🧭 Trade Setup
✅ Buy Zone (Swing Trade/Positional)
Buy Above: ₹2,750
Target 1: ₹2,900
Target 2: ₹3,050
Target 3: ₹3,280
Stop-Loss: ₹2,490 (just below recent breakout candle)
Timeframe: 2–6 weeks
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.5 (good for swing setups)
🚫 Invalidation Level:
Breakdown and close below ₹2,490 on weekly timeframe.
For Education purposes only
Can ETH Really Hit $80K? Adoption Trends and Technicals Say, YESEthereum’s adoption is booming in 2025, with over 50 major enterprises building on its network, a 21.7% global crypto ownership share, and $102 billion in stablecoin volume. Daily transactions hit $13.74 billion, and new addresses doubled to 200,000 in January 2025. The 3W chart shows ETH at $1,859.1, oversold (Stochastic RSI -101.5), hinting at a potential bounce. A 43x increase to $80K would need a $40 trillion market cap—steep but not impossible given historical 400x growth (2016–2021). Layer 2 scaling and ETF inflows support the bull case, but competition from Solana and privacy concerns could hinder the journey. What do you think? Or am I just insane?
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 01-02 May 2025📉 Gold Technical Outlook
Gold has decisively broken a key support zone between $3,268–$3,274, now trading near the $3,210-20 level. This move comes amid a clear downtrend structure, with price action respecting a well-defined descending trendline.
🔍 Current Technical Context:
Trend: Bearish
Support Turned Resistance: $3,268–$3,274
Immediate Support: $3,210–$3,220
Resistance: Trendline and previous support zone near $3,270
A retest of the broken support zone could offer a high-risk, high-reward shorting opportunity, especially if price fails to reclaim it. However, a clean break below the $3,210–$3,220 support could trigger another aggressive selloff, with downside targets potentially extending below $3,160.
📊 Key Drivers (Geopolitical/Fundamentals)
US Dollar Strength: The USD remains firm despite mixed economic data, applying pressure on gold prices.
Geopolitical Easing: Reduced US-China tensions are weighing on safe-haven flows, as US approaches China for talks on tariffs.
Russia-Ukarine: Russia declaring cease-fire for a week.
Technical Pullback: Gold is correcting after a strong rejection from the $3,500 zone.
Profit-Taking: Recent rejection led to bearish closes as traders locked in gains.
Liquidity Considerations: With May 1 being a public holiday in many regions, lower liquidity could amplify volatility.
Event Risk Ahead: Caution prevails ahead of key macro events including Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the FOMC statement.
📝 Strategy Notes:
Sell-on-Rally Zone: $3,268–$3,274 (if price retests and rejects)
Bearish Continuation Trigger: Break and close below $3,210
Invalidation for Bears: Sustained reclaim of $3,274 and a break above the trendline
Stay nimble and monitor for reactions around the highlighted zones as event-driven volatility can cause swift moves.
More potential downsideEveryone is picking bottoms that is dangerous in this environment, this chart is Elliott wave we are at the top of the b-wave and it is considered a bull trap but we could get a v shape and may not get follow through in which case the b-wave becomes a new wave 5. It could go either wave but my bias is we get follow through to the downside but its just an opinion you have to due whats best for you.
Simple Technical Analysis for Bitcoin
If the price closes above $69,150, then, God willing, we may head toward the next target at $107,000.
However, if it closes below this level, the likely direction would be toward $84,200.
In my personal view — and God knows best — the chances of a downward move seem higher than an upward one at the moment.
PZZA Cash & Equivalents very low = Fundamentally bad Yes/No ?According to different figures on line interest payments on debt for PZZA in 2024 will be above FWB:40M !!! Q4 could be $10M !!! $7M will be left on hand !!!
Not a financial advisor/analyst but this thing is so low !!!
Technically is bottoming Vs Fundamentally ( I do not know)
Hurst's 4.5 Year cycles is in "Time wise"=Trough is close or notHurst's Cyclic Theory:
The basic tenant behind this theory is that markets achieve significant lows (or troughs) at the beginning (or end) of a cycle. Cycles have varying degrees based on wave length (in time) and are harmonized with the higher level cycles.
- Blue is 4.5 starting the day of the IPO !!!
Non-farm data is released, and gold is still going to fall.
📌 Gold information
Today, the market will usher in the heavy non-farm data for April. From the expected value, there are only 130,000 people, far lower than the expected 228,000 people, and the unemployment rate remains at 4.2%.
If we refer to the unsatisfactory ADP data in April, then the number of non-farm people in April should have declined, or it is lower than expected, but the ADP data cannot fully correspond to the final non-farm data. This is the answer given to us by too many experiences in the past, so it cannot be concluded that the non-farm data this time will be lower than expected.
📊Comment analysis
Combined with the technical aspect, the strong technical pressure above the international gold price is around 3280, and then the 3300 mark. Even if it rebounds next, the pressure of the above two prices cannot be broken, and there is still a probability of a pullback adjustment. The initial support below is 3230, and after breaking through the position, it will follow the trend to explore 3205.
💰Strategy Package
If today's non-agricultural data cannot provide strong support for gold prices, the rise in gold prices in the short term will be difficult to sustain. The specific decision can only be made after the final release of the afternoon data and the guidance on prices. The trend fluctuations tonight will be very intense. Remember to strictly control your positions to prevent risks.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
CDSL weekly timeframeYou're analyzing the **weekly chart** of **CDSL (Central Depository Services India Ltd)**, and here's a breakdown of the key elements from your chart:
---
### **Chart Overview & Interpretation:**
1. **Current Price**: ₹1,328.20
* Showing a **modest gain of 0.62%** on the week.
2. **Chart Type**: Weekly time frame (1W), good for **long-term trend analysis**.
3. **Support & Resistance:**
* **Strong support zone** near ₹1,150–₹1,155.
* **Resistance zone** around ₹1,900–₹2,000 (marked by top of green box).
* The **target zone** is around ₹2,473.20, suggesting a **long trade setup**.
4. **Trade Setup Observed (Likely Long Position):**
* **Entry Price**: Around ₹1,328.20
* **Stop-Loss**: ₹1,038.05 (red zone)
* **Target**: ₹2,473.20 (green zone)
* **Risk-Reward Ratio**: Roughly 1:3, which is favorable
5. **Trend**:
* After a sharp fall, stock **bounced back from the support level**.
* Shows a **potential trend reversal** or **continuation of the long-term uptrend**.
6. **Indicators (not shown directly but inferred):**
* Price bounced after a pullback → likely some **demand zone**.
* Forming **higher lows**, indicating **bullish structure**.
---
### **Conclusion (Trading View):**
* **Bullish Bias**: Based on the risk-reward setup and bounce from support.
* **Good R\:R Setup**: Entry at ₹1,328 with SL at ₹1,038 and target near ₹2,473.
* Suitable for **swing or positional trading** if broader market supports.
Would you like a clearer chart with technical indicators like RSI or moving averages added?
ETHBTC - it's readyhi traders,
Let's have a look at ETHBTC chart on the weekly time frame
ETHBTC has been in a downtrend for almost 3 years.
The price came back into the support area that hasn't been tested since 2019.
Last time when RSI was at 24, ETHBTC bottomed out.
I can't see the price going much lower.
In my opinion, it's a great spot to buy ETH and just hold it for the next few months.
Do you agree? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comment section.
What if bitcoin breaks above this decade long resistancePrice action for the last 12 years on the logarithmic scale reveals a resistance trend-line that has been containing bitcoin's cycle gains from a % perspective. Similar to when we have "M"s forming against a frequently tested level of support before we see sell-offs, the opposite is true as we continue to test the upper range of this resistance trend line. A break of the trendline would also support that bitcoin is following the technology adoption s-curve. Degrading trust in traditional world economic systems only acts as a potential catalyst for massive fiat money devaluation and the transfer of the world economic order to a new technology stack.
Adobe: Keep It Up!Adobe has steadily advanced upward within our beige Target Zone between $331.93 and $449.61, moving away from the low of the beige wave x, which thus gained further confirmation. The stock should soon fight its way out of this zone and head for the resistance at $640. The ongoing wave y should eventually extend significantly above this mark to complete the corrective upward movement of the blue wave (b) there.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)We've seen a nice melt off on Gold this week. We're seeing a little push higher today as its the end of the week. But don't forget Gold is still in a downside correction in the mid term. SELL THE PUMPS.
Still looking for some form of 'Simple 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C)' or 'Complex 5 Sub-Wave (A,B,C,D,E)' correction towards our longer term buying target at $2,800📈