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Wave Analysis

Bitcoin's Explosive Markup Phase: Unpacking the "Banana Zone"This chart focuses on the Markup phase, examining how Bitcoin's unique characteristics create a powerful feedback loop that accelerates price growth. Bitcoin's Markup Phase: The Upward Slope and its Drivers The Markup phase for Bitcoin is characterized by a rapid price increase following a period of Accumulation. In this phase, price does not simply creep higher; it often surges, driven by a unique self-igniting mechanism comprised of interconnected factors: 1. Initial Price Appreciation and the Catalyst for Attention: Fundamental Triggers: Bitcoin's price begins its ascent, often spurred by positive developments such halvings, increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory news, or macroeconomic factors that enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a store of value or hedge against inflation. Early Recognition: This initial price movement catches the eye of keen-eyed investors, particularly those within the blockchain and cryptocurrency space. 2. Media Amplification: From Niche to Mainstream: Technical Specialists Lead the Narrative: In the early stages, discussion about Bitcoin's rising price is primarily confined to technical forums, cryptocurrency communities, and specialized financial media. Blockchain enthusiasts, crypto analysts, and financial experts who understand the underlying technology dominate the conversation, highlighting Bitcoin's potential. Mainstream Media Takes Notice: As the price continues its upward trajectory, mainstream media outlets begin to cover Bitcoin's movements. The narrative shifts from technical analysis to price-focused headlines like "Bitcoin Hits New Record High," capturing the attention of a broader audience. Increased Visibility and Speculative Interest: Every new price milestone attracts further media attention, creating a cycle of growing visibility. This coverage, while often lacking in technical depth, piques public interest and fuels speculative behavior. 3. The Influx of New Participants and Shifting Investor Sentiment: FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out): Media coverage, combined with predictions of continued price appreciation from financial experts and analysts, triggers FOMO. New investors, eager to capitalize on the perceived opportunity, enter the market. Others, more skeptical, take a cautionary approach. New Entrants Drive Demand: The influx of new investors, many of whom are unfamiliar with traditional cryptocurrency markets, directly impacts demand, pushing prices even higher. Holder Behavior Reinforces the Trend: As Bitcoin's price rises and its legitimacy as an asset class grows, existing holders become increasingly reluctant to sell. This "HODLing" (a term born from a misspelling of "hold") mentality reduces selling pressure, further supporting price increases. 4. The Feedback Loop: A Self-Reinforcing Cycle: Accelerated Price Appreciation: The interplay of these factors creates a powerful feedback loop. Increased media coverage leads to greater public awareness, attracting new investors, which in turn drives prices higher. Higher prices then garner even more media attention, perpetuating the cycle. This results in the characteristic "sharper" upward slope on Bitcoin's price charts during the Markup phase. Shifting Investment Paradigm: As returns consistently outpace volatility, Bitcoin's appeal broadens. It transitions from being perceived as a purely speculative asset to being considered a legitimate component of a diversified investment portfolio, even by some traditional investors. Volatility vs. Return: The high returns generated during this phase begin to outweigh the perceived risk associated with Bitcoin's volatility, attracting risk-tolerant investors seeking substantial gains.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by leoum
NAS100 | Currently leans bullishThe price is showing signs of consolidation after a significant recovery, with bullish momentum evident. The recent movements indicate that NAS100 is attempting to retest key resistance levels while holding above critical support zones. Key Observations: 1. Trend Structure: • The price is currently trading within an ascending channel or trend, with higher highs and higher lows. • The bullish momentum is supported by the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (red) moving averages, which are trending upwards and acting as dynamic support. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: • Resistance: • 21,750–21,800: The upper boundary of the channel and a strong resistance zone to watch. This level aligns with recent swing highs. • Support: • 21,500: A key support level and a recent consolidation area. Holding above this strengthens the bullish case. • 20,766: A major structural support zone that aligns with a previous low. A break below would signal a potential trend reversal. 3. MACD (Momentum Indicator): • The MACD is relatively flat, suggesting the market is in consolidation with reduced momentum. A bullish crossover would confirm a continuation higher, while a bearish crossover could signal retracement. 4. Moving Averages: • The 50-period MA (blue) is close to the current price and acting as a short-term support level. • The 200-period MA (red) is further below and aligns with the 21,200–21,300 support zone, providing stronger dynamic support for the medium-term trend. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: • If the price holds above 21,500, the next target is a retest of the 21,750–21,800 resistance zone. • A breakout above 21,800 could drive the price toward 22,200, the next psychological and structural resistance. Bearish Scenario: • If the price fails to hold 21,500, it could drop toward the 21,200–21,300 support zone. • A break below 21,200 might trigger a deeper correction toward 20,766, aligning with the previous low. Trading Plan: 1. For Long Trades: • Entry: Above 21,600, ideally after a retest or breakout with momentum. • Target: 21,750–21,800 and potentially 22,200. • Stop Loss: Below 21,500. 2. For Short Trades: • Entry: Below 21,500 with a clear break and retest. • Target: 21,300, then 20,766. • Stop Loss: Above 21,600. Conclusion: The market currently leans bullish, but the resistance zone around 21,750–21,800 is critical. A breakout above this level confirms continuation higher, while failure to break could lead to a pullback. Use caution with entries until momentum or volume confirms a direction.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by AutoMarkets
ORDI roadmap (1D)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that ORDI's correction has begun. This correction appears to be a diametric pattern, and we are currently in wave E of this diametric, which is a bearish wave. The green zone represents a low-risk area for buy/long positions. If the price reaches the green zone during wave E, we can enter buy/long positions. However, if it reaches this zone after completing wave F, we will not proceed with buy/long. The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
$XRP important in Trump policy?Not only does CRYPTOCAP:DOGE seem important to Trump, he also seems to want #XRP included. Previous update doesn't seem to have been released and it seems to be turning into a wave and we have completed our first wave for now. The fact is that the 2nd is generally the longest and this works out well with how the coin progresses and in what time. I expect that CRYPTOCAP:XRP will gain some more heights in the near future and especially if we believe some leaked information, #Ripple with #Solana and #Doge may well become the more important coins. Time will tell. Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:XRPUSDLong
by RidgerR
Digimarc Corp Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Digimarc Corp Stock Quote - Double Formation * A+ Set Up)) At 46.00 USD | Subdivision 1 * 1st Numbered Retracement | Uptrend Bias & Entry Settings - Triple Formation * 012345 | Wave Count | Subdivision 2 * 2nd Numbered Retracement | Support Area | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutral
CAPITALCOM:DMRC
by TradePolitics
It's $DOGE time, update #DOGECRYPTOCAP:DOGE is my largest percentage in my spot wallet. As I indicate in almost every tweet, I expect #DOGE to play an important role in Trump's plan. Looking back at previous cycles of CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , the pattern seems to be repeating fantastically again and we may see a strong breakout of #DOGE in the short term. I just don't think we will reach the top. Although I can see a Target of 1 dollar or possibly more happening and I assume so. With CRYPTOCAP:DOGE I am also starting to become more and more convinced that as soon as the alt season starts and we get more insight into what Musk wants to do with D.O.G.E, we see a possibility that #DOGE can investigate towards $5. For now I'll fill my stack with CRYPTOCAP:DOGE and get ready for a nice run. See you on the moon! Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by RidgerR
#Bitcoin update timeAs promised, here are the updates. To be honest, #Bitcoin is doing better than expected. I expected the correction to be a lot deeper before Trump's inauguration. Despite the high volatility of #BTC, it has all remained prime. Now that this is all behind us, we can straighten up and finally start setting and determining our goals. As far as I'm concerned, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is not ready yet and with Trump as president who is doing well with crypto, we have quite a positive picture. We also always see these fluctuations around the inauguration of a new American president. As soon as we look at the past and see what happens after such a period, we always see that MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN follows a strong bull run in the days after the inauguration. To be honest, I don't expect any other pattern in this cycle. The only thing I possibly expect is that we could see a higher bull run if Trump speaks positively about MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and #Crypto. For now, my target is first around 133k for Bitcoin before we can expect a small correction. I will come back to this after further confirmation. Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RidgerR
$KLS - Low Cap Gem #2Altseason is upon us, and now is the time to start dollar-cost averaging into your favorite crypto gems. One of our picks for this altseason is Karlsen TSX:KLS - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 and Proof of Work project. 🚀 Why? Our altcoin picks are based on the following criteria: High growth potential : Projects with room for exponential gains. Undervalued : Market cap still flying under the radar. Limited CEX listings (for now) : Undiscovered gems poised for exposure. Community-driven momentum : A strong, dedicated community pushing adoption. High risk, high reward : A speculative but calculated play. Partnerships and roadmap promises : Indicators of future expansion and relevance. Potential for major exchange listings : A game-changer that could drive price action. Circulating Supply Ratio : A circulating supply close to 100%, indicating robust tokenomics and minimizing dilution risk. 🌊 Prerequisites for Thrill and Euphoria For low-cap altcoins to thrive, specific market conditions need to align. Here's what we're assuming: Bitcoin follows the 4-year cycle: Maintaining historical trends of market phases. We remain in a crypto bull market: A rising tide lifts all boats. Altseason begins: A period of intense growth and volatility for altcoins. Retail money floods in: Increasing mainstream interest and participation. Global markets are "healthy-ish": No major economic black swans. Monetary policy shifts to QE (quantitative easing): A return to liquidity-friendly environments. 💬 What is your top picks for this altseason? This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
Long
by arcone
AI16Z/USDT 1H: Bulls Targeting $1.20 After BreakoutAI16Z/USDT 1H Chart Analysis 🚀 Follow me on Tradingview if you respect our charts 📈 Current Price: ~$1.03 Market Structure: Bullish breakout from the discount zone with strong upward momentum. Key Levels: Support: $0.95 (Fair Value Gap - FVG). Resistance: T1: $1.15 (Equilibrium). T2: $1.20 (Premium zone). Stop Loss: Below $0.92. Momentum Indicators: RSI: 69.48, showing strong bullish momentum but nearing overbought territory. Trade Setup (Confidence Level: 8/10): Entry Zone: ~$1.03 (current price) or pullback to $0.95. Targets: T1: $1.15 T2: $1.20 Market Maker Analysis: Accumulation at the discount zone suggests preparation for a push higher. Distribution expected near $1.15-$1.20. Notes: No hidden divergences currently, but monitor RSI for potential bearish divergence at resistance. Risk score: 7/10 due to RSI nearing overbought levels. Recommendation: Long position favored with tight risk management. Watch for volume confirmation and price reaction near $1.15. Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation. 🚀 Follow me on Tradingview if you respect our charts 📈
Long
by Cryptokijker
GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationFX:XAUUSD is rising due to high geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, within which the price tests the strong resistance 2726 and draws a false break of the resistance... The rise is shaping up more on the back of Trump's threats on tariffs, adding to the risk-negative sentiment in the markets. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if a trade agreement is not reached. These threats are supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts are limiting further upside for gold. Trading in the coming days will depend on the general market atmosphere and Trump's tariff discussions. Technically, a false break of such a strong resistance could temporarily slow the growth and move the price into correction or consolidation, but there are nuances of technical... Resistance levels: 2721, 2726, 2761 Support levels: 2703, 2697, 2690 At the moment it is worth paying attention to 0.5 fibo (2717) and 0.7-0.79 fibo. These are quite strong and important liquidity zones that can stop the correction and bring gold back to the uptrend. A retest of the local high of 2726 - 2732 will hint at the readiness of the metal to go even higher. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
What is wrong with ETH?While Bitcoin continues its high timeframe trajectory, Ethereum seems stuck at a crossroads, still undecided on its next move. Theoretically, the bearish red structure remains in play, but the recent bounce off the blue box has given the bulls a glimmer of hope. Could this be the move that breaks the bearish scenario and flips the script? Possibly—but ETH seems to be waiting for something. Is there truth to the rumors of the Ethereum Foundation selling? If so, why would they? The answer isn’t clear yet, but in my opinion, it’s only a matter of time before ETH shoots up. It’s the undisputed king of smart contracts for a reason, and despite the growing belief that Solana might dethrone it, I don’t see any evidence in the charts to support that narrative here. As tempting as it may be to act prematurely, the market rewards patience and precision. Remember: Watch. Wait. Win.
Long
by xSamu_TA
Skyrexio | Bitcoin BTC Has Cancelled The Bear Market!Hello, Skyrexians! Last month BINANCE:BTCUSDT has clearly broken $100k. Most of people think that it's too late now to buy Bitcoin because price is too high, but our analysis tells us that it was only one half of the potential bull run. Let's take a look at the monthly time frame. We can see the new Elliott Wave structure. Earlier we had a chance that this bull run could be the wave 5, but recently the Awesome Oscillator broke the previous high. The potential bearish divergence has been broken as well. Moreover, Fractal Trend Detector shows that this bull run is strong and no single sign of weakness now. This is large wave 3 which has the target at least at $125k, but most likely it will hit $190k in 2025. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio