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Wave Analysis

USD/JPY BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG Hello, Friends! Previous week’s red candle means that for us the USD/JPY pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 150.465. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG Hello, Friends! NZD/USD is trending up which is clear from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 0.573. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Hang Seng Short: Expecting Wave 2 of 3 and 3 of 3Hang Seng had been amazingly resilient on Friday, falling much lesser than the US indices. However, I believe it is just lagging by 1 impulse wave. If you have seen my last few updates on the wave counts, you will know that I counted completion of wave 3 of 3 for the tech stocks and that Nasdaq itself is nearing the target completion of 5 waves of wave 3 (now on wave 4 of 3). Thus, to me, Hang Seng is lagging by 1 impulse wave. Back to this analysis, for the last down wave on Friday, you will see that I've plotted a purple minute wave with the 5th wave further broken down into orange minuette waves. The orange minuette wave is only on it's 4th wave. However, I believe that we might not actually see a proper wave draw by price movement. I propose that the fifth wave will be unseen. How so? Gap down on Monday opening (marking the end of minuette wave 5) and then a shallow retracement up that is likely to happen during the 1st hour of HK trading session to complete purple minute wave 2 before we see Hang Seng crashing for a wave 3. It might be similar to what happened to Nikkei on Friday's Japan trading hours. Good luck!
OANDA:HK33HKDShort
by yuchaosng
4
MEWUSDT → False breakout of resistance after distributionBINANCE:MEWUSDT.P in the distribution phase is testing a strong resistance and liquidity zone against which it makes a false breakout. Regarding the current situation, we should pay attention to several key levels - support and upper resistance. A retest of 0.00300 - 0.00312 is possible, the target of which could be another liquidity zone, before MEW continues its fall according to the current local and global trend, which have a common direction on the background of weak bitcoin and weak cryptocurrency market. Resistance levels: 0.002793, 0.003, 0.00312 Support levels: 0.002696 The key support area plays the role of 0.002696, which are trying to contain the market. Below this line is a free zone and there are no levels that can prevent the movement. Thus, the breakdown and consolidation of the price under 0.026969 can provoke a strong impulse towards the zones of interest 0.00222, 0.002 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around. Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly! Resistance levels: 1.400 Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets. But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
15
NASDAQ: Wave Analysis & Forecast for April-MayHello, traders! Let’s analyze the current wave structure of the NASDAQ index. At the moment, there is a high probability that the index is forming wave C of a correction. Most likely, this is a horizontal expanded correction. ✅ Sub-wave 1 of wave C has already formed. ✅ Sub-wave 2 is also likely completed. On Friday, the index showed a strong decline and closed at the day’s lows, indicating a high probability of further downside movement next week. What’s next? We expect the formation of the third sub-wave within wave C. Most likely: 🔻 The index will continue to decline toward 17,700, where the 38% Fibonacci level is located. 🔻 The key support zone is 17,300. 🔻 After a short correction, the decline may extend to 16,300. 🔻 In a deeper scenario – down to 15,700-15,000. Technical factors ⚡ The price failed to break above the 200-day moving average, bounced off it, and started declining. ⚡ The next major support is the 200-week moving average, around 16,200. ⚡ Throughout April – May, the market is likely to remain in a correction phase. Once key levels are reached, we expect a potential reversal and new highs in the second half of 2025. Stay tuned and share your thoughts in the comments!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AUREA_RATIO
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 3/29/2025Gold has been in undisputed bullish trend. There were some days of consolidation at the beginning of the past week. I almost thought there were some serious corrections ahead. However, it quickly went up at the last two days of the week. Currently in 2W TF, gold is in its third wave, which is normally the longest. There is no sign of slow down of bullish trend at this moment. I am expecting continuous rising in the next two weeks. For next week's trading strategy, I am looking to buy from 3055, targeting to 3178. Let's see how the market plays out next week.
TVC:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
Bitcoin is in a Down Trend, Where is the bottom?Hi Guys, I am sorry to see that Bitcoin is dropping. this an interesting chart which most people love. I love bitcoin too. just want to see when Mr. Trump will allow me to buy in. if You short it, it's good timing, All the MAs (5/10/20/60 ) are pointing down, no buying power. I will long the Bitcoin when i see the good try point. However, Try GOLD, this is a hot beauty keep going up. it May go to $5000 / once. Next week, it is when Mr. Trump will apply Trade Tariff on trading countries. We will see, it will be very exciting!!!
Long
by Alf200020
Avalanche AVAX Will Reach $100+ In 2025!Hello, Skyrexians! Let's make an update on BINANCE:AVAXUSDT the coin with the most clear Elliott waves structure. We have some changes since our last update. Let's take a look at the weekly chart. We can count the growth from the bottom to the March 2024 top as the wave 1. After that we can see the flat correction ABC in the wave 2. The great sign that price has printed even 2 green dots on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator inside the Fibonacci 0.61 zone. We expect that for this asset correction is over and the next target is 1.61 extension for the wave 3. Now it's located at $105. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
8
SPX On Verge Of A Bearish Decent - Weekly ViewThe S&P 500 is pointing at a long descent downwards based upon simple technical analysis. To further bolster our projection of the market it is no secret the recent trade wars are going to have a major negative impact upon the US & world economy for obvious reasons. With this in mind we can paint a clear picture of where price action is going to head. The question remains where do we enter short? As we can see in our chart we have broke the current upwards bullish weekly trend line #2. Price action has quickly took a swing downwards to our second trend line #1. In short trend lines simply put are the bottom lows of a bullish market. We can clearly define these trend lines over a long period of time where price action has risen, declined, and then continued its current trend upwards. By marking three bottom or more bottoms lows in a bullish market we can project bottom prices of where price action should never cross below. So what happens when price crosses below these said trend lines? Easy, price action will decrease. This is the case on our chart viewing for trend #2. As for where price action will continue downwards and stop we can simply view the past history of the market to determine this. Viewing trend line #1 we can see this was the bottom start of the bullish market was 2023 Oct on the weekly chart. Price action has increased aprox. 48 percent with no more than a 8.5 percent in the summer of 2024. That is until our King Donny Trump entered office. From the top of last peak in this bullish cycle SPX has fallen roughly 6.5 percent. Price has clearly broken trend line #2 and is now testing the resistance of price at trend line #1. If price shall break the trend line #2 we will easily fall into our support zone #1. Support zones are nothing more than where price action consolidated sideways for a period of time. These zones are like magnets. Price almost always 'pulls' towards these zones as it is a proven history of the market resistance and support. The earning moving average(EMA) of the SPX is even more concerning. The red(10 day), blue(21 day), yellow(50day) are the thin lines just below the candles in the chart. The EMA is exactly what it sounds like. The past earning moving average over the past 'x' amount of days. Viewing the EMA data allows you see if the price average is above, on par, or below 'x' amount of past days. This is very important key metric to determine the average market price over a period of time as you can imagine. Even more so important is when price declines below the EMA line. Price going below a 50, 100, or 200 day moving average are levels we want to watch. Currently price action has bounced right off the 50 day EMA. No surprise as this is a very important resistance level day traders will buy only to sell off shortly after. Crossing below the 50 day(yellow line) is known as the 'death cross' for a reason. If price crosses below it we can certainly count on a decline in price action into support zone #1 with easy.
SP:SPXShort
by remarkableCake99061
2
BITCOIN - Small Long Trade Within Wave iii Zig-Zag...In this video, I break down a straightforward long trade based on an internal corrective zig-zag pattern. This setup demonstrates how to capitalize on short-term trades with a solid risk-reward ratio, securing profits before looking for a re-entry opportunity. The trade aligns with the anticipation of Bitcoin approaching its recent highs, potentially forming a double top. Currently, the trade has a protective stop at $83,169 and a target of $89,176.
Long
by AriasWave
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups. Short Trade Setup Resistance Zone: The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63. Setup Details: A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high. Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1. Support Backup: Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open. This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky. Long Trade Setup When to Consider a Long: If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77. Support Confluence: Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area. Additional Layers: The monthly level at $1.5988. The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351. Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level. And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5. Setup Details: This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark. XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions. If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
Long
by SiDec
2
Meta Short: Wave 4 then Wave 5 (Price Taget: $549.50)Update on Meta Elliott Wave counts. While I was right on the last wave up move last time in Feb, I was early by one week for the peak. I left the previous short targets (SL and TP) as a reference and reminder to my mistake in making an early call. What I expect is that price will range for a short while in wave 4 before coming down as wave 5 on a price target between $549.18 (a historical support price) and $549.83 (old target). The mid point is $549.50 and thus the final price target.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by yuchaosng
MSFT Short to Neutral: Last Wave 5 of 3 (Target: $364)A video update to Elliott Wave Counts and Price target for MSFT (and Nasdaq). A summary: 1. Intermediate wave 3 of 3 has ended. 2. Intermediate wave 4 of 3 has ended in a double combination. 3. We are in Minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave 5 of Primary wave 3. 4. Using Fibonacci Extension from Minor wave 1 of against overall Intermediate wave 5 gives us a target of $364, which is within a support zone. This is the Primary Wave 3 completion target. 5. Using Nasdaq, we also noted that we still have a little bit more to our final target.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by yuchaosng
2
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, # Bearish >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea.we reached successfully to our target as we prefered. >> I have adjusted my Yellow wxy after recheck Higher TF, and now I am waiting to see another correction through the Yellow Y between 85k~85.5k then go down again to retest our final target of the White wave W between 81.4~82.4, I prefered 82k >> breaking 83.6k means we will go down directly # Bullish >> Breaking 85700 and close above it will lead to extension to Green A wave See you soon! Thanks, Bros
by MASCryptoAna
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Market Cycle Analysis – Correction coming ?This chart presents a macro view of SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) on a bi-weekly timeframe, highlighting key market cycle corrections and potential upcoming trends. Key Observations: 🔴 Trendline Support: The price action has consistently respected a long-term ascending trendline, with previous corrections bouncing off similar levels. 📉 Historical Market Corrections: Red vertical lines mark significant past corrections (Feb 2020, Dec 2021), aligning with dips in the lower indicator, suggesting cyclical downturns. 📊 Momentum Indicator (Lower Panel): Past dips in this momentum indicator (highlighted with red arrows) coincided with major corrections in the SPY chart. The recent downward trend raises concerns about another potential market pullback. 🔮 Future Projection (March 2025?): Based on previous cycles, the next major correction could occur around March 2025, aligning with potential trendline retests. If history repeats, we may see a pullback before resuming the uptrend. Key Questions for Traders & Investors: ✅ Will SPY respect the trendline and recover, or are we heading for a deeper correction? ✅ Does the current market structure resemble past cycle downturns? ✅ How will macroeconomic conditions influence SPY’s next move? Let me know your thoughts! Are you preparing for a correction, or do you see more upside potential? 🚀📉 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Brian_Heady