Wave Analysis
EURNZD potential longEURNZD is in uptrend and currently have completed sub-wave 1 of wave 5 of higher degree. The question is the pullback for sub-wave 2 complete or still retracing lower? Given the wave structures looks like we might have a retrace lower to complete a complex correction wxy before we resume the bullish momentum. If we are correct we should expect price to find support around 78.6 fib retracement.
Lets monitor it for a possible long(This is not financial advise, always plan your trades and execute them at your own risk)
Coming recesion?
Tomorrow I m bullish predicting 5 waves UP from here.
The oracle
in 2000 when the dot.com bubble burst, I wanted to know for sure, before everyone else that a recession is coming. From extensive research I learned the signs of a BEAR market coming. one the flight to quality, traders fearing to buy stocks rush into the 1 year T bill, gold, REITS, sin stocks that never go down in a Recession. Two the technical indicator? The 50 day EMA crossing down and going under the 200 EMA,
those born before 2008 or rmember 2000 don't hav. clue what a real reccision is, it is a 50% selloff and lasts years, ys the 50 day EMA crossed below the 200 EMA a few times where you could not be long, but tey were short and soon overrun bu the Elliot Supercycle Bull market is
Weekly Cryptocurrency Market Analysis:Bitcoin(BTC)–Issue274(FreeThe analyst believes that the price of Bitcoin will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Weekly trading plan for TRUMPMarked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance.
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
XAUUSD Possible Move 21-04-2025XAU/USD Technical Analysis — April 21, 2025
The Gold shows a bullish trend continuation pattern, with price currently testing a key resistance area. Three key levels have been identified for potential buy entries depending on how price reacts:
🔴 1st Buying Level: $3,396 - Breakout and Retest Zone
Entry Strategy: Buy only if price breaks above this level and successfully retests it.
Condition for Buying: A clear breakout followed by a minor retest confirming support.
Condition for Selling: If price gets rejected at this level and shows weakness on a minor retest, a short position could be considered.
⚫ 2nd Buying Level: Around $3,370
Entry Strategy: Buy if price pulls back to this level and it holds as support.
Note: This is a more conservative buy zone, ideal if the breakout fails and price retraces.
Confirmation Needed: Look for bullish price action like a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle at this level.
⚫ 3rd Buying Level: Around $3,355 (Ideal Entry)
Entry Strategy: This is considered the “perfect” buying level.
Reason: It aligns with previous structure and demand zone.
Best For: Traders looking for a deep pullback with optimal risk-reward potential.
🎯 Bullish Target: $3,425
If price breaks and sustains above the $3,396 level, the next potential upside target is $3,425.
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Global scenario for FartcoinIn this video I considered the global possible price movement, also made possible scenarios for the current week
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
Global scenario for PEPEIn this video I considered the global possible price movement, also made possible scenarios for the current week
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
BTC - Bulls Charging... However!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the blue trendline support and has been bullish in the medium term. 📈
However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, as BTC is still trading within the falling channel marked in red. 📉
For the bulls to take over long term and initiate the next impulsive wave, a break above the $91,000 major high in blue is needed. 🔵
Meanwhile, BTC may still retest the blue trendline — where we’ll be looking for new short-term longs. 🎯
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
US30 Weekly: Support Under Threat - Prepare for More Downside?US30 Weekly Analysis - Potential Trading Setup
Technical Outlook — 21 April 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 on the weekly timeframe is trading within a long-term ascending channel. Price recently experienced a sharp correction, breaking below the middle of the channel and is now testing a key support zone.
Potential Trading Setup:
Potential Reversal/Long Setup (Primary Scenario):
Entry: Look for strong bullish reversal signals within the current support zone (around 37,500 - 38,500). This could include bullish candlestick patterns on the weekly or daily timeframe, coupled with the Stochastic indicator showing a bullish divergence or crossing up from oversold territory.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the reversal signal or below the lower boundary of the support zone (below 37,500).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The middle of the ascending channel (around 40,500 - 41,000).
TP2: The upper trendline of the ascending channel (currently around 44,000 - 45,000, and rising over time).
Bearish Continuation Setup (Secondary Scenario):
Entry: If bullish reversal signals fail to materialize and the price breaks decisively below the current support zone (below 37,500), look for short entry opportunities. The Stochastic indicator confirming downward momentum would add confluence to this setup.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the high of the breakdown candle or above the broken support zone.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The next significant support level around 34,000 - 35,000.
TP2: The lower boundary of the ascending channel (currently around 32,000 - 33,000, and rising over time).
Important Considerations:
Weekly Timeframe Significance: Trading setups on the weekly chart require patience and can take time to play out.
Confirmation is Crucial: Wait for clear confirmation signals, including price action and signals from the Stochastic indicator, before entering any trades.
Channel Dynamics: The ascending channel trendlines are dynamic and will change over time.
Risk Management: Employ appropriate position sizing and always use stop-loss orders.
If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Dogecoin trading plan through the 27th Marked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Locally the price is in a sideways correction, it is important to consider every scenario
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
GBPNZD: Long Signal Explained
GBPNZD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GBPNZD
Entry Point - 2.2295
Stop Loss - 2.2146
Take Profit - 2.2587
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
A plan for BNB trading through the 27thMarked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Locally, the price looks bullish. We have already seen a reaction from the level of $600, if the local top is renewed we may see growth to the level of $620
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
EURCHF Buy from Key Demand Zone – Recession Fears Cloud UpsideEURCHF has bounced sharply from a long-standing demand zone around 0.9200–0.9260, forming a potential double bottom. Price action suggests a bullish correction is underway, with upside targets at:
🎯 TP1: 0.9352
🎯 TP2: 0.9409
🎯 TP3: 0.9499
🚨 Invalidation Zone: Below 0.9200
The strong rejection from this support zone, combined with bullish structure building, signals the potential for a sustained recovery — if sentiment allows.
🧠 Fundamental Overview:
🔺 Eurozone PMI & Trade Data – Mixed Signals
French & German Flash Manufacturing PMIs remain under 50, indicating contraction
German Flash Services PMI (50.3) shows marginal expansion
Eurozone Trade Balance: 14.9B, slightly below expectations
⚠️ These results suggest slow economic recovery and limited growth momentum in the euro area.
🗣️ ECB Comments – Market Confidence Hit
ECB's Kazaks:
“Tariff war is adding economic risks”
“Euro area recession probability is rising”
These statements added to market caution, triggering euro weakness on concerns of slowing growth and potential ECB dovishness if downside risks worsen.
💡 CHF Context:
Safe-haven flows remain strong due to global uncertainty
However, CHF strength may be capped by Swiss low inflation and potential SNB interventions if EURCHF stays too low
🔍 EURCHF Outlook: Bullish Rebound with Caution
Technical view favors bullish retracement toward resistance zones
Fundamentals are weak, but the deeply discounted EURCHF pair could see short-term recovery before facing macro resistance
Recession and tariff war fears could keep upside limited or choppy
📌 Strategy Summary:
Buy Bias above 0.9260
Targets:
TP1: 0.9352
TP2: 0.9409
TP3: 0.9499
SL: Below 0.9200 (daily close)
CADJPY Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 102.02
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 102.88
Recommended Stop Loss - 101.50
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
The potential triple-top pattern of BitcoinFrom the previous chart, the price successfully broke through the upper trendline and started to rise. This could indicate that bullish momentum is taking over. Waiting for the price to break the upper trendline is a solid strategy for confirming bullish momentum. However, there is a potential triple top pattern forming, which could indicate that the price may face rejection at a key resistance level 86056.35
If the triple top pattern becomes more apparent and the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal the start of a bearish move. In this scenario, trading volume and price action around the resistance zone are crucial to observe. If volume declines and selling pressure increases, the price may drop further.
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel — New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below
Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below
Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven.
Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension — a level that aligns closely with $4,270.
BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty — suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets.
We’ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, gold’s breakout seems far from over.
📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market.
📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase.
📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618).
📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish.
📊 Technical Outlook:
✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point.
✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618).
✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections.
📍Key Support Levels:
❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib)
❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift
📍Key Resistance Levels:
🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib)
🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414)
🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle
🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025):
🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand
The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides.
Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East.
U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing.
Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order.
All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven.
📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels
2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize.
The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves.
This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks.
📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform?
Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly.
Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability.
With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs.
Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum.
This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold.
🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability
Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns.
The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth.
The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure.
This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely.
⚡ Summary & Alignment:
🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets.
🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case.
🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold.
🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability.
📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold
As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters.
Original idea:
Intra idea:
Tags:
gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
Weekly plan for XRPMarked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Locally, the growth may continue and we will quickly see a breakdown of the 2.2 level
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA