Wave Analysis
EURNZD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURNZD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.8197
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.8280
My Stop Loss - 1.8154
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0456
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0478
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2949.5 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 2954.4
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2940.5
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$SPY February 26, 2025AMEX:SPY February 26, 2025
15 Minutes.
100% extension move was completed yesterday. Now i expect a bounce before next fall.
For the rise 589.56 to 596.67 holding 593.5 - 594 is important for 597.5 to 599 levels.
We are still in a series of LL and LH pattern and below 200 averages too.
For the extension 589.56 to 599.96 to 593.02 I have a target 597-598 levels.
That should be a good level to short again.
Psychological Traps Set by Market Makers to Ensnare InvestorsPsychological Traps Set by Market Makers to Ensnare Investors
Market Makers create a matrix of psychological traps designed to welcome "investors" when they enter the market. Every case is similar, built on a deep understanding of the behavioral psychology of the majority when participating in the market. Let’s take a case study with COWUSDT.
As you can see, on the D1 (daily) cycle, COW has dropped by approximately 77% from its peak to the current bottom. But overall, do you think the market just plummeted straight to the bottom in one go, with the amplitude measured at 77%? The answer is no. As you observe, the chart shows numerous downward waves and plenty of upward waves. The total energy of the declines must outweigh the energy of the increases because COW is in a downtrend. The net result of this relationship is -77%, meaning the COW asset has lost 77% of its value from its peak.
The upward movements subtly influence your behavioral psychology. In the first wave, the market only dropped by -34%, but shortly after, it rebounded by 24%, meaning your asset balance only took a 10% hit in terms of capital. If you bought $1,000 worth of COW, this drop would nominally feel like you only lost $100. Then, the journey of ups and downs continues—declines followed by rises. These rises are merely temporary corrective waves within the broader downtrend. For individual investors, they might still feel happy because, at times, even when their assets suffer significant losses, the market adjusts the next day, reducing the magnitude of the decline. You feel happy about that. Then your mind tells you, “Don’t overreact, folks—look, the market’s bouncing back already. See? We’re holders; this nominal loss doesn’t mean anything. We haven’t sold yet, so it’s not a real loss, just on paper.”
But the market delivers multiple blows, causing your asset to lose nearly all its value and sit there for a long enough time that your investment becomes inefficient in terms of both time and value.
This COW case is based on the D1 chart—it’s short-term. But if it were a different asset on a different cycle, like the monthly (M) chart, you might not even realize which side of the slope it’s on. If you keep buying or holding based on psychology, you’ll end up paying a price.
Wishing you successful investing!
US30FU- Small sell opportunities setting upHello,
Another easy future to trade on Trade Nation is the US30FU. US30FU is the ticker symbol for the "Wall Street 30 - Rolling Future," which is essentially a futures contract tracking the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (often abbreviated as "US30"). In other words, it's a derivative instrument that lets traders speculate on or hedge against movements in the US stock market index.
The chart above shows that the future is forming a corrective pattern (Expanding triangle). This provides us with a clear trade direction both when the price is coming down or going up. From the current point, look for sell positions to the trendline at the bottom. We shall then look for buy positions to the top again. Zero crossover on the MACD will confirm the small sell setup. You can have your stop loss above the previous top.
Good luck & happy trading
GOLD - wave analysis, update for wave 4 Hi All!
Wave 4 Correction Before Further Growth
Gold appears to have entered Wave 4 of a five-wave Elliott impulse from the 2955 level and is now in a corrective phase before resuming its uptrend.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
1️⃣ 2860 – A potential termination point for Wave 4, as multiple support levels converge here:
• 0.23 Fibonacci retracement
• Upper boundary of the Wave 1-2 channel
• Median line of the Wave 1-2-3 channel
Gold is expected to find support at this level unless significant bearish fundamental factors emerge.
2️⃣ 2800 – If 2860 is broken due to negative data, the next key support zone is around 2800, which coincides with:
• 0.38 Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3
• Previous historical high zone
• Lower boundary of the primary parallel channel
• Median line of the Wave 1-2 channel
🔹 Potential Wave 4 Structure:
• Most likely scenario: A triangle formation, making 2860 the key Wave 4 extreme.
• Alternative scenario: A zigzag correction, extending down to 2800.
🔹 Momentum Indicators to Watch:
• AO Indicator should reset to zero, eliminating overbought conditions.
• RSI should drop to at least 50-40 to confirm a sufficient correction.
🔹 Timing Expectations:
• Wave 4 is expected to complete by mid-to-late March.
• At the latest, the correction could extend into April before the uptrend resumes.
📊 First target for Wave 4: 2860. Monitoring price action at this level to refine further projections.
Gold (XAU/USD) Elliott Wave Analysis by Pro Ally MugaboWave 3 Completion: The chart suggests that Gold has completed its Wave 3, marked by a strong bullish impulse.
Wave 4 Correction Expected: A corrective decline (Wave 4) is projected, targeting the 2,200 - 2,300 USD support zone. This aligns with typical Elliott Wave structures, where Wave 4 retraces a portion of Wave 3 before resuming the trend.
Potential for Wave 5 Rally: After Wave 4 finds support, a strong Wave 5 rally is expected, potentially pushing Gold beyond 3,200 USD.
📢 Trading Considerations:
Traders should wait for Wave 4 completion and look for buy confirmation around the 2,300 - 2,400 USD zone before entering long positions.
Fibonacci retracement levels and price action confirmation can help determine the exact entry point.
💡 Final Thoughts:
Since Elliott Wave analysis evolves with price action, it’s essential to monitor the market closely and validate the expected movements. If Wave 4 unfolds as anticipated, it could present a great long-term buying opportunity.
GOLD - Still Bullish Indeed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈XAUUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge marked in orange.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GOLD is around the the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
If the blue zone is broken downward, a deeper bearish movement towards the $2,775 demand zone would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
LINK - Wait For The Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈LINK has been in a correction phase trading within the falling blue channel and it is currently retesting the lower bound of it.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and round number $15.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #LINK approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Rea Group Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Rea Group Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* A+ Set Up)) At 180.000 AUD
* 012345 Wave Feature | Completed Survey | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Uptrend Argument)) | Entry Bias & Configuration | Subdivision 2
* 0.786 Retracement Area | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias))
* (Uptrend Argument))
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
China’s Financial Power Play: CICC and Galaxy Sec. Set to MergeChina’s Financial Power Play: CICC and Galaxy Securities Set to Merge into a $193B Giant ✨💼
By: @DCAChampion
| Date: February 26, 2025
Introduction
China’s financial sector is buzzing with blockbuster news: state-owned China International Capital Corp (CICC) and China Galaxy Securities are poised to merge, creating the nation’s third-largest brokerage with a staggering $193 billion (1.4 trillion yuan) in assets. Announced on February 26, 2025, this deal signals Beijing’s bold strategy to forge domestic financial titans ready to compete with global heavyweights like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Is this the start of a new era for China’s securities industry? Let’s break it down. 🕵️♂️💰
Trending Sector Performance
🔍 Merger Highlights
Massive Scale: The CICC-Galaxy merger will form a financial powerhouse with $193 billion in assets, vaulting it past Huatai Securities to claim the No. 3 spot behind CITIC Securities and the recently merged Guotai Junan-Haitong Securities.
Market Reaction: Investors are all in—CICC’s Hong Kong shares soared over 8%, while Galaxy Securities jumped more than 10% following the news, reflecting sky-high expectations for this union.
Beijing’s Backing: Five sources confirm Chinese authorities greenlit the merger in recent weeks, with an official announcement potentially just days away. This follows a wave of consolidation, marking the second mega-merger in China’s $1.6 trillion securities industry in months.
This isn’t just a merger—it’s a seismic shift in a crowded market of over 140 brokerages.
Sector Valuation 📊
The combined entity promises to reshape the competitive landscape:
CICC (601995.SS): Known for its investment banking prowess, CICC brings expertise in IPOs and high-stakes deals to the table.
Galaxy Securities (601881.SS): A leader in retail brokerage, Galaxy adds a robust client base and operational scale.
Together, they’ll command $193 billion in assets, positioning them as a formidable player. While specific P/E ratios aren’t detailed in recent reports, the market’s enthusiastic response suggests investors see undervalued potential in this blockbuster pairing.
Risk Assessment ⚠️
Every big move comes with risks:
Regulatory Hurdles: The deal awaits approval from regulators and shareholders, a process that could hit snags despite government support.
Market Volatility: A consolidating sector faces fierce competition from global firms like Goldman Sachs, which are expanding their China footprint.
Integration Challenges: Merging CICC’s investment banking focus with Galaxy’s retail strengths could spark operational growing pains.
Strategic Sector Analysis 🛠️
SWOT Analysis
Strengths:
✅ Complementary strengths: CICC’s deal-making savvy + Galaxy’s retail dominance.
✅ Beijing’s push for world-class financial firms gives this merger strategic clout.
Weaknesses:
❌ Integration risks could slow momentum.
Opportunities:
💡 A stronger foothold in wealth management and capital markets.
💡 A chance to rival global giants on the international stage.
Threats:
🚨 Regulatory delays or shareholder pushback.
🚨 Intensifying competition from Wall Street’s China expansions.
Key Trends Shaping the Sector:
Consolidation Wave: Beijing’s directive to merge and restructure brokerages is gaining steam, aiming for 2-3 global banks by 2035.
Global Competition: As foreign firms deepen their roots in China, domestic players are bulking up to stay ahead.
Accuracy and Data Validity ✅
All insights here are drawn from the latest reports on February 26, 2025, including Reuters and X posts, ensuring this reflects the freshest developments as of 11:58 AM CET.
Conclusion 🏁
The CICC-Galaxy merger is a game-changer for China’s financial sector. With $193 billion in assets and Beijing’s blessing, this new giant could redefine the industry’s future—domestically and globally. But success hinges on navigating regulatory waters and blending two distinct powerhouses. Is this the golden ticket for China’s financial ambitions? Time will tell.
Poll Time! 📊
What’s your take on this merger?
🔺 Bullish: It’s a masterstroke for China’s markets!
➡️ Neutral: Let’s see how it plays out.
🔻 Bearish: Too many risks to shine.
Vote and share your thoughts below!