Get started

Wave Analysis

Tesla (TSLA): Profits Taken, Pullback AnticipatedWhat a rise by NASDAQ:TSLA ! The stock has now reached the targeted wave 3 zone, and we might see some asset rotation out of Tesla into underperforming stocks that could attract renewed attention and capital inflows. Many traders have booked significant profits on NASDAQ:TSLA , and larger players are likely to do the same in the coming sessions. As usual, our focus remains on building a new position during a pullback. We are targeting the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which should provide sufficient support for another push higher, potentially toward $585 or more. A key level to watch is the old all-time high. Should bulls defend it effectively, waiting for an entry at $371.35 might leave us sidelined. However, we see no reason to force or rush an entry into NASDAQ:TSLA at the moment. Patience remains critical as we wait for the market to come to us.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan After a gap down opening, prices saw first phase of recovery but could not find follow on support and traded in a narrow range. Let’s analyze potential scenarios for today. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 24,014): A gap-up above 24,014 places Nifty near the resistance zone or even at 24,103. The focus should be on observing price action for either a breakout or a rejection. Plan of Action: If Nifty approaches 24,227, monitor for bearish rejection signals (e.g., shooting stars or bearish engulfing patterns) to initiate short positions targeting 24,103 and 24,014. Stop loss can be placed above 24,250. For a breakout above 24,227, wait for an hourly close and consider long trades targeting 24,300 or higher. Stop loss below 24,200. Key Tips: For options, consider OTM calls if a breakout occurs. Hedge positions using vertical spreads to cap potential losses. Flat Opening (Within 23,900-24,000 range): A flat opening keeps Nifty in the sideways zone (yellow trend). Early market movement will determine directionality. Plan of Action: If Nifty sustains above 24,014, initiate longs targeting 24,103 and 24,227. Use a stop loss below 23,950. If the index slips below 23,900, initiate shorts targeting 23,877 and 23,748 with a stop loss above 24,000. Key Tips: A flat opening is ideal for option straddle/strangle setups. Close positions if volatility contracts or movement remains indecisive. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,877): A gap-down below 23,877 places Nifty near support or bearish breakdown zones. Focus on price action around 23,748 or 23,604. Plan of Action: If Nifty holds above 23,748, initiate long positions with targets at 23,877 and 23,961, keeping a stop loss below 23,700. A breakdown below 23,748 opens further downside to 23,604. Initiate shorts below this level with targets at 23,500 or lower. Stop loss above 23,800. Key Tips: In gap-down scenarios, avoid panic trades. For options, consider OTM puts or debit spreads for bearish strategies. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Never risk more than 2% of your capital on a single trade. Use a mix of ATM and OTM options for balanced risk/reward setups. Exit trades promptly if Nifty deviates from the expected plan. Monitor implied volatility; avoid overpaying for options in low-volatility environments. Summary and Conclusion: Today’s plan revolves around key levels: 24,014, 23,877, and 23,748. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend highlights bullish potential, and the red trend shows bearish zones. Patience and disciplined execution are crucial for trading success. Let price action confirm your trades before entering positions. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024 Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan As mentioned in Yesterday's plan BANKNIFTY has found support from level mentioned in Chart yesterday. The chart movement adhered closely to the plan, with Bank Nifty consolidating within the highlighted zones before attempting an upward breakout. The yellow trend on the chart depicted a sideways consolidation, while green and red trends outlined bullish and bearish moves respectively. Today, we prepare for potential scenarios based on expected market openings. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,902): If Bank Nifty opens above 52,068, the index is likely entering the resistance zone highlighted in orange. Watch for rejection signals around 52,381, the last intraday resistance. Plan of Action: Look for bearish reversal candles or patterns near 52,381 to initiate short positions with a target of 52,068 and a stop loss above 52,450. In case of a sustained breakout above 52,381, consider fresh longs targeting 52,600 or higher. Ensure confirmation with strong volume. Key Tips: If trading options, focus on slightly OTM puts for shorts. For breakout trades, consider ATM or slightly OTM calls. Flat Opening (Within 51,800-52,000 range): A flat opening near 51,902 keeps the market in the opening resistance zone. Price action within this zone (yellow trend) will guide the next move. Plan of Action: Observe price behavior for 30 minutes. If the index breaks below 51,800, initiate shorts targeting 51,418 with a stop loss at 52,000. If the index breaks above 52,068, initiate longs with targets at 52,381 and stop loss below 51,902. Key Tips: For flat openings, straddle or strangle strategies can help capture significant moves in either direction. Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,902): A gap-down below 51,418 enters the green support/consolidation zone. Watch for potential reversals or breakdowns near 51,092 or the Wave B lower band at 50,664. Plan of Action: If Bank Nifty reverses from 51,092, initiate long trades with targets at 51,418, maintaining a stop loss at 50,900. A breakdown below 51,092 confirms bearish momentum. Short positions can target 50,664, with stop loss above 51,200. Key Tips: For aggressive trades in this scenario, consider deep OTM puts for higher returns. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2-3% of capital per trade. Use hourly candle close as confirmation for entries and exits. Hedge positions using spreads to limit losses. Exit trades promptly if they don’t perform as expected within the first 30 minutes. Summary and Conclusion: Today's trading plan focuses on key levels derived from technical analysis. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend suggests bullish opportunities, and the red trend signals potential bearish moves. Adherence to price action at critical levels will be crucial for maximizing profits and minimizing risks. Always ensure disciplined execution and maintain a balanced approach. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Nat Gas Thursday 19 Dec Even though Script opened with a 3% gap on the upside, the day was quite rewarding. Movements weren't that quick so trading manually wasn't that difficult. Buying on dips and selling on rallies was the name of the game today. It started creeping on the downside for some time but that turned out to be a temporary fall. The Market gave abundant opportunities to cover the losses. Whoever trades moving average crossover might have lost money due to the choppiness in the market. The day rewarded someone who doesn't act on FOMO. And punished those who can't handle big but temporary drawdowns. That is it for today. Hope whatever vehicle you trade has paid you handsomely. See you all tomorrow!
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by aadityaghate79
Bitcoin 1D Chat Analysis Historically after making local top, CRYPTOCAP:BTC starting to slow down and there is a significant retracement, we could see 15 ~ 30% correction during that time, also at that point, altcoins started accumulating When #Bitcoin found its bottom and starting to recovery, this is the begin of altseason where altcoins outperform #BTC and giving bullish confirmations Our plans so far (not confirmed yet) -- Add strong utility altcoins at current support (with low exposure and lower than 5% of total balance) -- Increasing our positions to entire the market at critical support, we will probably chase trending narrative, and started accumulating more altcoins with strong FA & TA (higher than 30% of total balance) -- If we get "worse case" when bitcoin dipped at $80,000, we will probably increasing portfolio to 50% - 60% exposure to the market (dollar-cost-average all the tokens we bought) Current support at $98,000 Critical support at $90,500 & $85,000 Worse; $80,000
Long
by Whalesdesk
EURUSD M30 In the previous analysis , the momentum generated by news pushed the market sharply downward, aligning with my projections but with a slight delay. As a result, the market moved 128 pips lower, just one day off the original forecast. The overall bearish trend remains intact. However, the market is currently in a consolidation phase, which could offer a temporary buying opportunity. I anticipate that buyers may push the price higher toward 1.0423, and potentially 1.0460. From these levels, the downtrend is likely to resume. Close observation of selling pressure at these key zones will be essential to confirm the next phase of the market's movement.
Long
by GreyFX-NDS
EURGBP Wave Analysis 19 December 2024 - EURGBP reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8300 EURGBP currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone located between the key support level 0.8225 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave i) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this from the support zone is likely to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing – of the pair closes today near the current levels. Given the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8300.
Long
by FxProGlobal
Ocugen DistributionAfter going through its accumulation and euphoric stage, it is currently in distribution. $0.84~ seems to be a point of non-movement. One stimulus and catalyst could turn this. I'm going to keep an eye on upcoming trials cycles and dates and look to take a lotto. Under $1 this looks like an appealing stock. A company with huge potential. Its 3 month bullish cycle in Dec 23 to March 24 provided 484% in gains. To me, this is the end of Wave 2, in a larger bull pattern. If so, we could see wave 3 hit ~$4. I think i'll take a very small position, in case it is still in a bear cycle. One to keep an eye on. Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:OCGNLong
by k_trades11
1
Chevron: Progress!Chevron has dropped decisively, significantly advancing our primary scenario. In this scenario, we expect the ongoing turquoise wave 2 to find its low just above the support at $135.37, which should set the stage for fresh upward movement. In the meantime, the probability of our alternative scenario has been reduced to 32%. Still, the possibility of an already established low of the turquoise wave alt.2 and, thus, a direct breakout above the resistance at $166.91 should be considered.
NYSE:CVX
by MarketIntel
USD/JPY Delivers Exactly as Predicted—Next Stop: 161.92?Daily Context: The daily timeframe continues to respect the bullish structure, with strong upward momentum intact. We’ve successfully broken the last high, achieving the medium-term target of 156.74. My long-term target of 161.92 remains firmly in place, aligning perfectly with the broader trend. 4H Perspective: The market played out exactly as we talked about in the last analysis. After the accumulation phase, the breakout was clean, and the price delivered a strong markup, reaching 156.74. This perfectly confirms the bullish shift we anticipated following the distribution phase and validates the daily demand zone as a solid foundation for upward movement. Updated Trade Plan: Now that 156.74 has been achieved, I’ll monitor for a potential pullback into the 155.50–156.00 zone for a continuation setup. If the bullish structure holds, the next target remains 161.92, which aligns with the higher timeframe trend. 💡 Key Takeaway: Patience and structure-based trading paid off here—once again, the market delivered exactly as expected. The most important thing is to trade markets with clear context and solid setups. Stay focused, and let the market come to you!
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
FLOKI ON TARGET, WHATS NEXT MOVE ?NOW : FLOKI Finish drop to firat target area of Wave 3 🔥🔥🔥 What's the next move ? 📌Next move at fibonacci level 0.618 or 0.000164 📌FLOKI needs a pullback/retest first after its drop to Wave 3 for,and on going to visit next target of Wave 4, hitting the marked target area. 📌Then, it’s likely to continue its decline to complete Wave 5 in the Elliott Wave Expanded Flat Correction. 📌Be cautious about the FOMC data release on December 19. The Fed revised its rate cut projection in the Summary of Economic Projections from 3.4 to 3.9. This will significantly impact the market in 2025, as the Fed might only cut rates 2x or even just 1x next year (This could disappoint the market, which has been overly euphoric). Please follow the trend of Bitcoin and Economic Projection 2025.
Short
by kelvin_gautama9
US30 Falls to 42200 and is now in buyers ZoneUS30 Falls yesterday causing much of the traders to lose their bullish trades. The market faked like it wanted to go bullish but slid over 250 points. Price is currently closer to support 42300 and is likely to continue to consolidate between here and 92900. This is a zone to take small intraday trades to make up for any losses sustained with yesterday's slide. For bullish confirmation look for a retest above 42900. Be careful by paying attention to look for higher highs and higher lows. Be safe out there. Good trading.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by leslyjeanbaptiste
XAU/USD 14.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello traders, after we broke my last wave 4, I reinterpreted my chart view. Essentially, my second plan is now in effect. For now, we have a big (a)(b)(c) setup, within which we see a 12345 count. Currently, we are in waves 1 to 2. Wave 1 is structured as an abc correction, which itself follows an abc structure. Within the corrective wave b to c, we can also count a 12345 wave setup. Take profit for the sellers would align with the blue Fibonacci extension levels. The 100% extension (the first target) doesn't look very promising to me. It is near the 61% (orange) Fibonacci level but feels too far away. We might observe some bullish momentum there, but likely not enough. The 161% Fibonacci extension (blue), however, aligns almost exactly with the 78% Fibonacci level. If the price reaches this depth, we will likely see many traders closing their sell positions and others opening buy positions. This could generate enough momentum to create a new minor wave 1, which could then evolve into a 12345 setup for our (orange) wave (3). This is one potential scenario, but we need to observe what happens next week. If we see an impulsive move to the upside from another level, I will look for a new wave 1 and then search for higher highs. Wishing you the best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
1
XAU/USD 17.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, For the upcoming week, my Elliott Wave analysis suggests higher prices. Three days ago, I shared my long-term chart projection. Now, I’ve broken it down into the minor timeframes to refine the best entry points for my strategy. If you're curious about the current wave we're in, feel free to check out my previous post: Currently, I anticipate the formation of the green Wave 1 to 2 over the next few days, with Wave 2 potentially reaching its bottom soon. We're observing a significant ABC correction. Within the larger Wave B to C, we’ve formed another perfect AB correction, which now appears to consist of a probable 1-2-3-4-5 wave structure. Today, the smaller Wave 3 hit our Fibonacci extension levels perfectly, as shown in the chart. At the moment, we’re experiencing a pullback in Wave 4, which I hope will lead to the completion of Wave 5 tomorrow. This would mark the end of the correction for the green Wave 1 to 2. A smart entry point would be around the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which also serves as a take-profit level at the 100% Fibonacci extension of the seller. This zone will be very volatile. If we gather enough momentum to establish a new Wave 1, we can definitely expect higher prices. Stay focused on the 2630 level, and good luck! If you like my idea, I’d really appreciate some likes and feedback
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market. The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected. The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling. Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims. Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581. Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636 Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603 After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10