Wave Analysis
GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest a
Horizontal resistance
Of 3,366$ and we are
Already seeing a local
Bearish reaction so a
Further local pullback
Is expected with the
Target being 3,337$ level
Sell!
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2025.05.18 BITCOIN Short-term long positionWe are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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📈 Bitcoin (BTC) Long Position Outlook
Currently, Bitcoin has confirmed support after two valid Bat patterns played out. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the market is in a consolidation phase, and it’s unclear whether the next move will be an impulse or a corrective wave.
However, what’s important is that the next wave is very likely to be bullish.
So regardless of its type, this is a zone to consider a long position.
One important point to emphasize:
Do not try to predict the distant future with Elliott Wave or Harmonic patterns.
These tools are excellent for identifying short-term direction and entries, and our accuracy over time has proven this.
Instead of drawing overly extended scenarios, focus on high-probability short-term setups and place your bets accordingly.
For this reason, I’m presenting a long position at the current level.
🎯 Target Levels
1st Target: 103341
2nd Target: 103569
3rd Target: 103793
Adapt to the market structure,
and place strong bets only on what’s predictable.
📊 Strategic Implications of Rising Bitcoin Dominance
Recently, Bitcoin dominance has been rising significantly. This indicates that Bitcoin's upward momentum is currently the leading force in the overall market.
During such periods, many novice investors tend to accumulate altcoins instead.
They expect similar gains from altcoins as they see in Bitcoin, and often bet on relatively "cheaper" assets.
However, in reality, this is precisely the time to buy more Bitcoin aggressively.
There’s always a reason why certain assets fail to rise.
If a coin doesn't move even when the broader market is going up, it should be interpreted as a lack of relative potential.
✅ In conclusion,
In a dominance environment like this, a Bitcoin-centered portfolio is a more rational strategy than focusing on altcoins.
Staying aligned with Bitcoin’s trend is the smarter approach to increase the probability of profit.
Sideways Still in Play for ETH After RejectionIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Recap
Ethereum just tapped into a key Area of Interest and got rejected. The move confirmed short-term resistance while keeping the broader wave structure intact. Although no clear breakdown has followed, the rejection signals that the asset is still mid-cycle.
The expectation now is for a sideways consolidation. This aligns with a developing wave 4, but the price action ahead will determine how this structure unfolds.
Wave Structure
At present, the count favors a completed wave 3 followed by a wave 4 that is still forming. The rejection at the AOI fits the narrative of a corrective structure underway. Whether that plays out as a triangle or a flat will depend on how the next legs print.
Key markers are in place:
AOI was respected
No breakdown of the prior key support level
Above the 0.382 to 0.5 retracement zone remains in focus as a reaction area
Should price expand beyond typical retrace/time boundaries, the degree of the count may need to be adjusted. A more complex correction or a deeper reset could shift the current interpretation from a wave 4 into something more substantial.
Outlook
• Rejection confirms resistance
• Expecting sideways movement to continue
• Watching the 0.382 to 0.5 zone for key price behavior
• Price action will determine the next wave structure
• If momentum expands rapidly, degree reassessment is on the table
Ethereum’s current posture suggests a market in digestion mode. Whether this leads to a launch into wave 5 or deeper corrective behavior, the next prints will be critical. No confirmation of bullish continuation yet.
More updates soon as the next leg develops.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
ETH/USDDISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. those videos and posts on my channel are for educational and entertainment purposes ONLY. I'm documenting my trading journey so that you have the potential to take ideas and inspiration from the videos that may help you within your own journey. But remember, trading/investing of any kind involves risk. Your trading/investments are solely your responsibility .
AUD-CAD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 0.8880 and we
Are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we are
Locally bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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USD-CHF Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is once again
Retesting a horizontal support
Level around 0.8189 and the
Pair seems to have formed
A H&S pattern, so we are bearish
Biased, however, a local bullish
Rebound from the support
Is possible so while risky
A long trade still makes sense
With the Take Profit of 0.8238
And the Stop Loss of 0.8184
Buy!
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XauUsd Expect ContinuationMarket Context & Fundamental Overview
Gold surged 4.85% last week, closing in on the critical $3,500 resistance zone, as the U.S. Dollar came under intense pressure. Key catalysts include:
Moody’s Downgrade of U.S. credit outlook, driving the DXY below 100.00
Mounting concerns over fiscal stability as the $3.8 trillion tax bill advances to the Senate
Long-dated Treasury yields topped 5%, signalling investor anxiety
Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East (Israel–Iran risks), fuelling safe-haven demand
Anticipation of a dovish shift from the Fed, with this week’s FOMC minutes (Wed) and Core PCE print (Fri) likely to influence USD direction and risk sentiment
These macro conditions reinforce the bullish case for gold, providing fundamental alignment with the current technical setup.
Technical Analysis (Elliott Wave Framework)
Gold appears to be forming a classic 5-wave impulsive structure. Current price action suggests we are in or near the end of Wave 1, which should pullback into a key Fibonacci retracement zone (50–61.8%).
Wave 1: Completed – sharp rally from previous support
Wave 2: Ongoing – corrective pullback into Fib zone
Wave 3: Anticipated next move – typically the strongest impulsive leg
Market Structure Observations:
Price respecting higher timeframe support
Momentum indicators beginning to stabilise
No sign of deeper invalidation yet
Trade Plan
Entry Strategy
Aggressive Entry: Enter on a clear bounce from the Fibonacci zone (~61.8% retracement), with a strong bullish candle or momentum signal
Conservative Entry: Wait for a break above the Wave 1 high to confirm trend continuation into Wave 3
Stop Loss
Below the Wave 2 low / structural invalidation level
Take Profit Levels
TP1: $3,500 (recent high and resistance)
TP2: $3,750 (projected Wave 3 target based on 1.618 Fib extension of Wave 1)
DEGEN/USDT - Continuation DEGEN/USDT has shown a strong bullish structure following a significant recent up move. Price action has now pulled back into a key support zone, offering a potential high-reward entry opportunity.
Entry Zone: $ 0.0051-0.0053
Stop Loss: $ 0.0048
TP1: $ 0.0061
TP2: $ 0.007
TP3 : $ 0.008
if showing strong price action above $0.0083-0.0085 will have second setup for trade
Bitcoin Update– Complex X Wave Completed, New Pattern in Pla📊 Chart Update | Advanced Structure Analysis
We’ve just completed a multi-layered X wave as part of a larger correction:
🔷 Zigzag (off-screen, higher timeframe)
🔷 X Wave structure included:
🔹 Contracting Triangle
🔹 Small timeframe x wave (thrust)
🔹 Classic Flat correction
This entire sequence forms a validated complex X wave, as per Glenn Neely’s NeoWave guidelines.
Now, a new pattern has begun on the higher timeframe:
🔷 Wave A = :3
🔷 Wave B = :3
Based on this, we are likely entering one of the following:
🔷 Flat Pattern
📈 If Wave C develops as :5, expect a strong, impulsive upward move.
🚀 This would mark the final leg of a classic A–B–C Flat.
🔷 Contracting or Running Triangle
🔁 If Wave C unfolds as :3, the market may form a triangle (C–D–E still pending).
⏳ Expect sideways movement with shrinking volatility.
🔷 Diametric Pattern
📐 If price action develops rhythmically past C, we may be inside a 7-legged Diametric.
🔄 Structure would progress to Waves D–G in a balanced fashion.
---
What’s Next?
👁 Watch Wave C closely:
🔹 If it’s emotional and impulsive → 📈 Likely a Flat
🔹 If it’s slow and overlapping → 🔁 Triangle or Diametric
Stay alert — the next move will confirm the dominant pattern!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
WTI OIL Might be close to the end of correction or finished it.there are definetly more than 1 posibilities in this one, 1 more down wave can occur and that is why i have a invalidation level. long term definetly buy but short and mid term is just not very clear, i am thinking it s time to buy. what i am going to do is keep track of it a bit more in short term and if it gives me good buying opportunity near the below i will enter the trade with a stop loss. and if it upbrakes possible impulse wave will occur and i will buy again to mid term target. so for now keep an eye on it and buy if the opportunity arise.