GBP-JPY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY collapsed on Friday
And the pair's final move
Was absorbed by the horizontal
Support of 195.400 so as the
Pair is oversold we will be
Expecting a local rebound
And a correction on Monday
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Wave Analysis
Bitcoin – Time to Book Profits?📉 Bitcoin – Time to Book Profits? 📈
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had a phenomenal run! On Nov 22, 2022, it bottomed out at around $15,500 — and then, on July 14, 2025, it smashed records by hitting an all-time high of $123,000! 💥
That’s a jaw-dropping gain of approximately 693% in just under 3 years! 🤑📊
🚨 But all that glitters isn't gold...
📉 Technical outlook based on Elliott Wave Theory suggests we might be in either:
An extended Wave 4 correction, or
A fizzling Wave 5 move that’s losing steam.
🔍 Adding to this concern:
Volume is below average – a classic warning sign 🚨
Price action shows weakening momentum
No strong buying confirmation near the highs
👉 The pattern now resembles a potential distribution phase, not a fresh breakout. That means: The smart money might already be booking profits.
💡 What should investors do?
If you’ve ridden the wave up — consider taking some money off the table. This could be a good time to lock in gains and wait for a better re-entry opportunity. Remember, discipline beats excitement in trading.
📛 Caution is advised — especially for late entrants who might get caught in a correction or a prolonged sideways phase.
6F EUR/USD Trade Plan (15-Minute Chart)Structure & Fibonacci Setup
Swing low at 1.14994 (Aug 1 15:30) → swing high at 1.15935 (Aug 4 09:30).
Draw 0–100% retracement; project extensions beyond 100% for targets (Murphy, 1999).
Entries
First Scale-In:
Sell 1 contract at the 14.6% retracement (~1.15835).
Full Position:
Sell 10 contracts at the Fib 61.8–161.8% extension confluence (~1.17103).
Profit-Taking Levels
TP 1: Fib 78.6% extension at 1.14141
TP 2: Fib 100% extension at 1.12778
TP 3: Fib 161.8% extension (“risk-off” zone) at 1.10559 (Smith, 2023)
Risk Management
Stop-Loss: Above the 200% extension (~1.17857), just beyond the recent swing high (CME Group, 2025).
Position Sizing: Scale in to control risk; initial 1-lot entry limits drawdown if confluence fails.
Rationale
Anticipate Monday risk-off flows to strengthen USD and push EUR/USD lower.
Multi-leg entries align with high-probability Fib confluence zones and macro USD bias (Murphy, 1999; Smith, 2023).
References
CME Group. (2025). Euro FX Futures contract specifications. Retrieved from www.cmegroup.com
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical analysis of the financial markets: A comprehensive guide to trading methods and applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Smith, A. (2023). Risk-off and currency correlations. Journal of FX Markets, 5(2), 45–60.
NZD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is retsting a
Strong horizontal support
Level around 87.044 and
As the pair is locally
Oversold we will be expecting
A local rebound and a move
Up on Monday!
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SUI/USDT Update – Bounce Setup from Demand Zone?In the previous analysis, we highlighted a short opportunity near $4.20, which played out perfectly. Now, SUI has reached a key demand zone around $3.40–$3.55, overlapping with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and a previously defined bullish order block.
🔹 Market Structure:
After breaking the bullish structure, price is now revisiting a major liquidity zone between $3.40 and $3.55.
🔹 Price Behavior:
Wicks to the downside suggest buy-side absorption and potential for short-term reversal.
🔹 Possible Scenario:
If the $3.40 zone holds, we could see a corrective move up to the supply zone around $3.90–$4.00.
📌 Key Levels:
• Support: $3.40–$3.55
• Resistance: $3.90–$4.00
❗️If the $3.40 support fails, bullish momentum will likely be invalidated in the short term.
🧠 Pro Tip (SMC-based):
When a demand zone aligns with liquidity sweep and channel support, it often becomes a high-probability area for institutional re-entries. Wait for a clear confirmation like BOS or bullish engulfing candle before entering.
⸻
🔗 Like, share, and follow for more Smart Money & Elliott Wave-based insights!
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 1 August 2025
- Dow Jones broke the support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 43000.00
The Dow Jones index broke the support zone between the support level 44000.00 and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term correction iv.
Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level at 43000.00 (target for the completion of the active correction iv and the former resistance from May and June).
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is:
What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here?
Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure
May–June Range:
BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C:
✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE)
✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE)
Full Bull Market TBFE:
➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected
➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone
Pitchfork (log scale):
➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting.
Previous Bear Market Fib Extension:
➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit.
2018–2022 Cycle TBFE:
➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped.
Macro Fibonacci Channel:
➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) →
1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K.
✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance.
Daily Timeframe
➡️ FVG / Imbalance:
Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low.
BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely.
Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook
We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting.
The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C.
➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K
➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326
➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry: $120,300–$121,000
Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300)
Target: $113,500
R:R ≈ 1:2.3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000
Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500)
Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes
When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools.
Here’s why:
➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings.
➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves.
➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone.
In short:
When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry.
That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes.
⚡ Final Thoughts
Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
SPY: I think dollar milkshake is brewing, buying for long term📉 SPY Daily Breakdown – Aug 1, 2025 | VolanX Observations
🧠 Bot failed today, but the market taught more than any trade could have. Sitting out gave me the clarity to reassess structure and edge.
🔍 Market Structure Update:
Gap Down from Premium Zone: Today’s price action rejected the weak high and created a clean daily gap — signaling potential distribution at the top.
ORB (15-min) marked and ready: Likely to be retested on Monday. If price rallies into this zone and rejects, that’s where I’ll look for short entries.
Friday Bearish Close Rule: Statistically, when Friday closes red with strong momentum, Monday tends to follow — especially after a gap-down open.
🧭 Big Picture Outlook:
Liquidity Zones Below:
600 → First institutional reaction zone.
580 → Deeper demand and equilibrium area from previous consolidation.
Dollar Milkshake Brewing: Strong USD thesis could pressure equities short-term. This aligns with potential flow into defensives and out of high beta.
Long-Term Bias: Watching for deep discounts. If price moves into high-value demand zones, I’ll accumulate for the long haul — buying fear when it's priced in.
📌 What I’m Watching Next Week:
Monday open – will we see Gap & Go or a Gap Fill + Fade?
Reaction to ORB zone.
Volatility behavior and volume footprint in the first 90 minutes.
🔻 No trades today due to a bot error, but ironically, that gave me better vision. Sometimes, the best trades are the ones you don’t take.
VolanX Protocol engaged. Standing by.
XAUUSD – the calm before the next breakout?Hello traders, what’s your take on the current trend in OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Looking back over the past 12 months, gold has delivered a truly impressive performance. From around $2,380 in August 2024, the precious metal surged to an all-time high of $3,432 by April this year — a gain of more than $1,000 in less than a year. But what’s more telling than the rise itself is how the market behaved afterward: instead of crashing, gold has maintained a high consolidation range, suggesting the uptrend is still very much alive.
This powerful rally didn’t happen in isolation. In a world marked by uncertainty, gold has once again asserted its role as a safe-haven asset. Inflation remains persistent across major economies, geopolitical tensions continue to stretch from Eastern Europe to the Middle East and Asia, and de-dollarization efforts by countries like China and Russia are reshaping global capital flows. None of these events alone could shake the markets, but together, they have laid the groundwork for gold’s sustained relevance.
From a technical standpoint, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. Following its peak at $3,432, gold has entered a modest correction phase — one that may well be a healthy consolidation before the next directional move.
Interestingly, while many investors remain cautious, the chart paints a different story: a market that isn’t afraid, but simply catching its breath. The real question is no longer “Can gold hold above $3,400?” but rather “Is the market gearing up for a fresh breakout — or a deeper correction?”
We may not be able to predict the future, but we can observe how price reacts at key levels. And sometimes, it’s in these seemingly quiet phases that the biggest turning points begin to form.
What do you think — is gold preparing for another leg up?
Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
WXY structure with a double topTesla has been in a uptrend with a corrective structure WXY. I am not sure if the WXY is a part of wave 5 terminal structure or a B wave. However expecting a double top or 78.6 retrace to 425-430 range as a minimum. For this scenario, an impulsive upside move is expected within the next few weeks. However the price needs to move back into the channel next week as a first step.
USOIL Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 69.178.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 66.684 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CHFJPY On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below:
The market is trading on 183.63 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 184.54
Recommended Stop Loss - 183.16
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPNZD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPNZD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SP500 → Countertrend correction before growthFX:SPX500 is correcting against an upward trend. In the second half of the week, the market received fairly positive fundamentals during the reporting period.
S&P 500 futures found support after strong reports from Meta and Microsoft, which exceeded earnings expectations and forecasts thanks to AI. The rise in futures supported demand for the “Magnificent Seven” despite Powell's hawkish comments. The focus is on Apple and Amazon reports in the evening, which could strengthen the tech rally. On Friday, we are seeing a countertrend correction in which the market is testing the 6288 zone of interest.
Support levels: 6288.4, 6262.6
Resistance levels: 6342, 6371
Most likely, the market will form a false breakout of support during the correction. If the bulls keep the index above the key level, we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Panic sets in. but its all goodThe crypto market has experienced a strong panic driven correction as the FED refuses to cut rates and inflation is on the rise while wages are slowly in decline.
CRYPTOCAP:ADA continues to provide thrills and chills
Is it time to dump? and cry into your empty wallet?
IMO NO, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has recently taken out liquidity below the $117,000.00 price point which is a normal move, if you are over leveraged it can feel horrible but I assess as a normal correction.
CRYPTOCAP:ADA price remains in the range in which it has formed .93 - .71 the possibility that CRYPTOCAP:ADA can dip deeper to .65 is possible but unlikely. This correction provides a cooling off of MACD and RSI on higher timeframes and the chart still remains BULLISH.
Remember be greedy when others are fearful.
A man who says he never had a chance never took a chance!
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. We have finished the pink X wave directly, then we have gone to the final pink Y wave, which consists of wxy in orange counting. Now we are moving into the final Orange Y wave.
>> our confirmations:
* 4Hr TF: Breaking 118990 for the next hours, we will end the whole Yellow B "correction" wave successfully. .
Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – August 1, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hello.
This is SeoVereign.
My fundamental view on Bitcoin, as mentioned in the previous idea, is that I am anticipating an overall downward trend. In the mid- to long-term, I believe the downward pressure will gradually increase, and this is partially confirmed by various indicators and the overall market sentiment.
However, before we fully enter this downward phase, I have been judging that one more upward wave is likely to remain. I have focused my strategy on capturing this upward segment, and I have recently reached a point where I can specifically predict the development of that particular wave.
If this upward move unfolds successfully, I plan to set my take-profit range conservatively. The reason is simple: I still believe there is a high possibility that the market will shift back into a downtrend afterward. The core of this strategy is to minimize risk while realizing profits as efficiently as possible toward the tail end of the wave.
The relevant pattern and structure have been marked in detail on the chart, so please refer to it for a clearer understanding.
In summary, I view this rise as a limited rebound that could represent the last opportunity before a downturn, and I believe this idea marks the beginning of that move.
I will continue to monitor the movement and update this idea with additional evidence. Thank you.