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Wave Analysis

View Of #BTC for 2025 on 2D Time FrameMy target of 1 #BTC = 100K$ is completed. Now, on 12/24/2024, I update my new technical analysis of #BTC for 2025. The red top 3 can stop anywhere in the 108K-130K zone. The blue 12345 is the small wave of the red wave 3. The blue top 5 can also stop anywhere in the 108K-130K zone to create the red top 3. Supposing the red wave 3 ended at the 108K peak, the blue 4 will not stop in the 92K-85K zone, but there will be a D1 candle closing below 85K to confirm that the price can go deeper to the red bottom 4 before continuing to increase in price according to the red wave 5.
by LuckyStudent02
GOLD // How can it reach the correction fibo 38.2?The daily short countertrend is valid, and the W/D/H4 timeframes are in sync, resulting in my bearish view. As long as the daily impulse base is not broken by the buyers, there are two clean breakouts that may trigger the shorts and lead the price to the target zone. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheMarketFlow
Comparing US10Y/DXY/US500/VIX, fundamental/technical analysisProposed technical/fundamental analysis for US10Y/DXY/US500/VIX. Bank unrealized losses on available-for-sale and held to maturity securities was $364 billion in Q3 2024; this number will continue to increase as long-term treasure rates increase (www.fdic.gov). US10Y yield chart looks for yield to go higher, north of 5%. If treasury rates continue to increase, there may be a bank run, as banks get more and more underwater with their unrealized losses. DXY will go up above 120, US500 will crater below October 2022 low of 3490.2, and VIX will pop towards 80.
TVC:US10Y
by discobiscuit
BTC/USD Weekly Chart Analysis: Potential Price Scenarios in 2025Overview: Bitcoin has displayed remarkable strength in the past few months, approaching critical levels in its long-term ascending channel. The current price action reflects bullish momentum, but there are key levels to watch for potential corrections or continuations. Here’s my detailed analysis based on this weekly chart. Key Observations: Ascending Channel: BTC is trading near the upper boundary of a well-established ascending channel, which has historically acted as resistance. If this boundary is broken with strong volume, the next potential target lies around $116,000. Structure Levels: A Weak High at $102,000 indicates the possibility of a short-term pullback before testing the resistance zone. Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals confirm bullish dominance, but corrections are part of healthy price action. Moving Averages: The 50-week and 100-week moving averages continue to slope upward, with price trading well above these levels, signaling a strong bullish trend. Any retracement could find support at the 50-week MA or the mid-range of the channel. Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance: $102,000–$116,000. Support: $76,000 (Golden Pocket) and $64,000. Indicators: RSI is currently overbought at 75, indicating the potential for a cooling-off phase. MACD shows bullish momentum but hints at overextension as the histogram peaks. Projected Scenario: Scenario 1: BTC tests the Weak High at $102,000, faces rejection, and consolidates near the mid-range before attempting to break higher. Scenario 2: BTC breaks out of the ascending channel, initiating a parabolic move toward $116,000. Potential Risks: A failure to hold support at $76,000 could lead to a deeper correction, testing key structural levels like $64,000 and $42,000. Macro factors such as interest rate decisions or global economic uncertainties could heavily impact sentiment. Conclusion: Bitcoin is in a strong bull market phase, but caution is warranted near the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor key levels and volume for confirmation of breakout or rejection. A pullback to the mid-range could provide an excellent buying opportunity for long-term holders. Would love to hear your thoughts—do you expect a breakout or a correction? Let me know in the comments below! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by rukshan2102
VARAUSD - Updated Technical AnalysisAs anticipated, price action broke through the middle band of the bollinger bands on the weekly and sadly did not produce a wick. Price action rejected off of the lower band placing us in a range bound movement again. While overall movement is sideways, with two red candles preceding this a green candle is stastically more likely and overnight on Sunday (tonight) will hopefully yield some movement out of USDX to the downside as I anticipate that this most recent market volatility is due to the over-active Federal Reserve board trying to shake things up prior to Trump taking office. It is no secret that the Board and Donald Trump do not see eye to eye and do not like each other. The thing is, these markets are hitting record volumes monthly. The entire market has pulled back which is a normal knee jerk reaction to the Fed loosening up on printing. I am in the banking sector professionally and know that the high rates have caused banks to fail and did very little to help slow inflation anyway. I do not foresee the rapid lowering of interest rates to do very much damage over the long run considering oil prices can be weaponized by the whitehouse to target high inflation, simply by making fuel dirt cheap inflation will go away. I would say, lets keep watching these order walls that are just below and above current price action within whatever order flow program you choose and lets see if that lower order wall moves up. I have a gut feeling that it is going to move up and when it does the price will level up.
COINBASE:VARAUSDLong
by fritbjorn
Micron Technology ($MU): Breaking Resistance or Building Moment "Undervalued tech stocks are like treasure maps—the trick is knowing where the 'X' marks the breakout. Let’s see where NASDAQ:MU might lead us." Valuation Insight: "Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is trading at $87.50, with valuation metrics that scream potential: P/E Ratio: 10.5—well below industry averages. P/B Ratio: 1.7—value investors, take note. EV/Revenue Ratio: 3.5—a discount on future growth." Key Resistance Levels to Watch: $97.18 – The First Test 🎯 "This level marks the first hurdle for $MU. A breakout above could indicate momentum building toward a bullish trend." $118.54 – The Big Break ⚡ "Crossing this level would confirm renewed bullish sentiment. Look for strong volume as a signal for sustained movement." $181.66 – The Bullish Peak 🏔️ "While distant, this historical high serves as a long-term target for investors betting on sustained industry growth." Growth Catalysts: AI and 5G Demand: DRAM and NAND memory are critical for emerging technologies. Institutional Activity: Dark pool orders and market-on-close volume indicate increased interest from big players. Risks to Watch: Cyclical Nature: Overproduction or slowing demand could impact prices. Macroeconomic Headwinds: Higher interest rates might dampen near-term spending in tech. Conclusion: " NASDAQ:MU is undervalued and approaching critical levels—$97.18, $118.54, and $181.66—that could define its path forward. Keep these zones on your radar and watch for volume to validate potential moves."
NASDAQ:MULong
by DCAChampion
SCHD Long-Term Outlook - 40%+ in the Next 3 YearsTicker: SCHD (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF) Timeframe: 1M (Monthly) Analysis: SCHD has consistently shown strong performance since its inception, benefiting from a diversified portfolio of dividend-paying stocks. The chart highlights a classic Elliott Wave structure: Wave (1): Initial growth phase after inception. Wave (2): Consolidation during the 2015-2016 market slowdown. Wave (3): Long-term bullish rally, supported by broader market trends and stable dividends. Wave (4): Recent pullback due to macroeconomic headwinds (rising rates, inflation concerns). Wave (5): Forecasted bullish continuation toward $36.63 (Target 2), with an interim target at $32.64 (Target 1). The ETF's resilience through economic cycles and its consistent dividend growth make it an excellent candidate for long-term portfolios. Key Levels - Entry Zone: Current price around $27.37. - Target 1: $32.64 (+19% from current levels). - Target 2: $36.63 (+33% from current levels). I- Invalidation: A breakdown below $24.00 would negate the bullish wave structure. Fundamentals - Dividend Yield: ~3.5% (Varies slightly due to reinvestments). - Macro Outlook: Dividend-focused ETFs like SCHD are attractive in high-rate environments due to their steady cash flow. This complements a balanced portfolio seeking growth and income. - Sector Weighting: Heavy allocation toward financials, healthcare, and consumer staples—stable industries in uncertain markets. Conclusion SCHD presents a compelling long-term growth opportunity with solid dividend reinvestment potential. Investors looking for a buy-and-hold strategy should consider adding this ETF to their portfolios, especially for retirement-focused accounts like Roth IRAs. 📈 Let me know your thoughts! Are you holding SCHD in your portfolio?
AMEX:SCHDLong
by MrStockWhale
AUDNZD will soon finish bullish cycle and usher in a sell-off? AUDNZD has been on a 2-year rally for 2 years. However, it appears price is correcting the sell-off in the last quarter of 2022 before the eventual resurgence. Structurally, a zigzag structure is emerging with (A) and (B) finished as impulse and double zigzag structures respectively. Meanwhile, wave (C) is on the verge of completing an ending diagonal structure. Price is currently in the 5th leg of wave (C) and may continue to 1.12 which is roughly 100% of (A) from (B). So I believe, the sellers may have a chance between 1.12-1.135 in 2025. Caveats 1. The 4th wave of the proposed ending diagonal could extend lower but should finish above 1.081 to keep the diagonal valid. Thus, buyers can buy lower again toward the zone mentioned above. 2. The (A)-(B)-(C) of ((B)) doesn't correspond in time magnitude with the sharp wave ((A)) impulse decline. Thus, the current rally alternatively could be a leading diagonal. If so, a pullback should happen as expected but shallower (should end above ((A)). Similar path but different counts.
Short
by The_Wave_Chartist