Understanding Complex Structures: Elliott Wave Theory in ActionTechnical Analysis on Exampled chart of RBL Bank Ltd. using Elliott Wave Theory
Understanding Complex Structures: Elliott Wave Theory in Action
This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory & Structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario. The provided information is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. The content is not advisory and does not guarantee profits. We are not responsible for any kind of profits and losses; individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Elliott Wave Principles
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, is a widely used method of technical analysis. It helps traders analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying patterns of investor psychology, reflected in price movements. According to Elliott, market prices unfold in specific patterns, termed as "waves". These waves are categorized into:
Impulse Waves: Move in the direction of the overall trend and consist of five sub-waves.
Corrective Waves: Move against the trend and consist of three sub-waves.
Impulse waves are labeled as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, and corrective waves are labeled as A, B, and C. Complex corrections are labeled as W, X, Y, and sometimes Z.
Chart Analysis Exampled of RBL Bank Ltd.
Here's a breakdown of the wave counts as illustrated in the chart:
Impulse Wave 1 - 5 as a bigger degree wave (3)
- Starting from the bottom left, the stock initiates an upward movement labeled as waves (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), and (v), culminating in a larger degree Wave (3). This indicates a bullish impulse wave consisting of five sub-waves.
Corrective Wave W-X-Y Correction as a bigger degree Wave (4)
- The chart shows a complex correction starting from top of Wave (3) with set of double correction as wave W-X-Y
Current Market Scenario
- Currently, the stock appears to be completing another corrective wave (Y), marked with sub-waves (a), (b), and potentially completing (c). of wave ((y)) of larger degree wave Y to finish one more larger degree wave (4). Can show some Dips to complete wave (4) along with Bullish Divergences.
Future Projection
Based on the Elliott Wave count, the stock seems to be in the final stages of completing Wave (c) of ((y)) of Y of (4). After this correction, it is anticipated that a new impulsive wave cycle might begin, potentially forming Wave (5) of a larger degree. The projected target for this next upward wave, post-correction, could reach above the previous high near the 300 level or more.
By understanding these principles and analyzing the provided chart, traders can gain insights into potential market movements and make more informed trading decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Wavecounts
ELECTROSTEEL CAST - AN INVESTMENT PICKHEY FRIENDS,
Here I am sharing my views on ELECTROSTEEL CAST (NSE).
First we understand the overall past structure of this stock as per ELLIOT WAVE counts.
The stock was in double correction phase in the Wave structure as WXY which is now completed and now we are in Impulse wave structure of 1-2-3-4-5, in which Wave 1 and 2 are completed and now we are unfolding bigger wave 3 of impulse wave 1-2-3-4-5.
The overall structure is given below
Now as per price action and chart patterns, the stock has given a breakout of FLAG N POLE Chart Pattern with good intensity of volume in weekly time frame.
This pattern suggest that the stock may move towards north approx. to the size of pole.
As we see that there is bullish bias for this stock, the supporting indicators such as MACD, BOLLINGER BANDS and DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT INDEX are also in our favor in double time frame.
MACD in Daily Time Frame - Positive Uptick
MACD in Weekly Time Frame - Positive Uptick
At the time of Breakout, the Price is Challenging Upper Bollinger Band
Directional Movement Index is also Positive Uptick in weekly time frame
Summary-
The Stock is in Uptrend and now this stock is ready as BUY ON DIPS so one can add this stock in their portfolio at any dip you get with the Stoploss of 26.50 RS
Thank you
-KARAN DINGRA
DISCLAIMER -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
All my studies are for educational purpose.
I am not responsible for any kind of your profits and losses.
EURUSD & CADJPY Educational AnalysisAnalysing the current trend and wave count in the short term in the EURUSD and the CADJPY.
The pairs have both made a significant decline in the past 24Hrs and based on the wave structures count, I believe these pairs are ready to correct upwards in the short term.
Enjoy!
BTC possible Elliot Wave ScenarioHello all my friends.
i hope you have good days and best things happen to you.
i have a possible idea about BTC moves.
in 1D chart historically we saw the first leg of correction with 5 wave ( I II II IV V )
that i mark it on my chart.
then we saw an extend B wave composed from 3 sub waves (A B C).
now we are in the third and final leg of correction i think , wave C.
we know that wave C typically have 5 sub wave.
and probbably we compelete 3 part of it.
so we can go up to 100% of sub wave 2 for introducing wave 4 (about 24000 to 25000).
after that if we dont see improvement in most countries inflation and
the SEC decision to increse interest rates we should go downward as wave 5 to about 14000 - 16000
and i think this will be happen.
after that BTC can make a bottom and after a while start a huge uptrend.
this proccess may take long time.
so be patience friends.
if you like my opinion plz like it and if you dont agree with me
share me your opinion in comments.
thank you all.
!!!NOTE!!!
MY POSTS ARE NOT TRADING AND INVESTING ADVISE
SO TRADE ON YOUR OWN STRATEGY AND CONSIDER MARKET RISKS.
#BankNifty Towards New High Bank nifty seems to be in Wave 3 of bigger wave 5. This leads us to a target of 36624, followed by wave 4 is expected which will be till 34367. And final wave 5 would be completed with a target of 41268 which is 61% Retracement of wave 3.
Targets:-
Wave 3 – 36,624 (Green)
Wave 4 – 34,367 (Red)
Wave 5 – 41,268 (Orange)
GOLD (XAU) 15min - EW cycles: Wave (C)We are going above than expected in the last idea (linked below), but i still think that we are in a Wave (C) before of a new low (to 1640 - 20 area), according with my counts.
Precisely, it looks to me that we stay inside the last 5th wave of a "zigzag" ABC (5-3-5) where the first 5 (the relative A) are a w-x-y-x-z.
I stay convicted that we are into a big correction so far, and only a break above 1826 (the final confirmation would be 1840) will invalidates this count.
So, here is published the whole counts from March 8 in 15 min TF to monitoring what happens.
Final levels to watch at (if 1790 will breaks) are: 1804, 1806, 1811, 1815, SLs should be above 1826 - 30 levels.
Above that area i think this idea of the C will be invalidated cause in that case we may stay into the new Bull Cycle (the big 5th wave, precisely 3rd of 5th).
I will post comments with updates of the counts here and on my old idea (on bigger tf).
"Like with Cheers" would be appreciate if u like my work, thanks you so much! ;)
May the pips be with you...
ICX BTC WAVECOUNTSHere is my attempt to count ICXBTC in detail. ICX is actually making weird moves since today, that lead me to believe that we may finised another big wave.
I cant tell how deep wave 4 is goint to retrace and if wave 5 is going to fail. Take BTC movements into account for further prognosis. What shows up here is that we seem to bottom with wave 3 @ 1.618 at the bottom of the green zone. and as we didnt retrace much in wave 2, wave 4 may retrace higher.