Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG resistance area of 6176 (Wave 1).Colleagues, the previous forecast remains essentially unchanged, and the target is still 6176, but I think the forecast can be updated because the price has been flat for quite some time.
I still expect the upward movement to continue in the large wave “1” and in the medium-order wave “5”.
A small correction to the support area of 5873 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Wavetheory
USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution.
📌 Technical Confluences at Play:
Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance.
0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply.
Rising wedge structure broken to the downside.
Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint.
📉 Target Zone:
Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
“Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.”
Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor.
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone
TP1: 0.8130
TP2: 0.8101
Final TP: 0.8038
SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation)
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
XAU/USD – Bullish Reversal in Motion? Watch the Breakout ZoneGold just gave us a critical reaction off a key confluence zone — and bulls might finally be waking up. Here's the breakdown:
🔹 Falling Wedge Breakout:
Price respected the wedge support beautifully around the 0.382-0.5 Fib retracement and has now closed above the upper descending trendline. The falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern, and we may be witnessing the early stages of a trend shift.
🔹 EMAs Realignment Pending:
Price is now testing the 20 and 50 EMAs — a clean break and close above them would likely trigger algorithmic momentum back into bullish continuation, especially if we see a flip of the 0.382 Fib at $3,324 as support.
🔹 Upside Targets:
* TP1: $3,372 (0.236 Fib)
* TP2: $3,450 (previous structure high)
* TP3: $3,539 (full range expansion)
🔹 Invalidation Below:
A break back inside the wedge and below $3,285 would invalidate the bullish bias and likely open the path to deeper correction toward $3,251 or even $3,217.
📌 Key Insight:
The best trades aren’t about prediction — they’re about preparation. This setup is all about reacting to price as it confirms. Let the market tell you when it’s ready to move, then strike with confidence and precision.
💡 Watching for bullish retest + volume confirmation before entering long.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500 (Wave 3).Colleagues, the correction did take place and was quite deep, as I wrote earlier.
However, I am leaving my target unchanged—the resistance area and the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order at 3500.
The waves remain in their previous places, because none of the rules of wave analysis have been violated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USD/JPY – Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Break Incoming?USD/JPY is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle, respecting both the ascending and descending trendlines with clean touches. This structure typically precedes a volatile breakout, and the technical confluence here favors a bearish resolution.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Price failed to hold above the 0.5 Fib level of the recent swing high at 145.377, getting rejected by both the 200 EMA and the triangle resistance zone.
Currently testing the 0.382 retracement (144.607) — a break here opens the door for a drop to the 0.236 level (143.653) and potentially deeper into previous demand.
Volume compression and EMA clustering further support an imminent breakout move.
📐 Bearish Confluences:
Rising wedge/symmetrical triangle pattern showing exhaustion.
Strong rejection at the equilibrium of the range.
EMAs acting as dynamic resistance.
Major fib cluster from previous bearish leg aligning with triangle apex.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 143.653 (0.236 Fib)
TP2: 142.111 (local low)
TP3: 140.347 (-0.27 Fib extension, full measured move of triangle)
❌ Invalidation:
Clean break above 145.526 (mid-structure + fib zone) would neutralize the setup.
💬 Market Context: Watch closely for a breakout confirmation. Smart money may sweep short-term liquidity before a decisive drop. Stay nimble, and remember — structure always tells the story.
XAU/USD – Wave 3 in Motion?We’re currently monitoring what appears to be a textbook Elliott Wave 1-2 structure, with Wave (2) bottoming near $3,293. Price has since pushed up and consolidated above the 0.5–0.382 retracement zone, holding firm at key EMAs and structure.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Wave (1): Clean impulsive structure.
Wave (2): Corrective decline finding strong support at $3,293.
Current consolidation suggests accumulation before potential Wave (3) breakout.
Confluence of Fib extensions & upper trendline project Wave (3) towards $3,484, aligning with the -0.27 extension.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and retest of the $3,400–$3,415 level (0.236 Fib) to confirm bullish continuation.
Holding above $3,372–$3,390 (the golden pocket and 0.5/0.382 zone) is key to maintaining the bullish bias.
A clean break below $3,353 invalidates this immediate structure.
📈 Bias: Bullish
🎯 Next target: $3,484
⛔️ Invalidation: Break below $3,350
💬 Let me know your thoughts. Are we about to ride Wave 3, or will gold give us one more dip before lift off?
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17300.Colleagues, I believe that the upward five-wave impulse is not over yet. At the moment, I see the formation of wave “3” of the lower order and wave “3” of the middle order, which means that the upward movement will continue at least to the resistance area of 1.17300. This area is located between two levels (1.16529-1.18252) of Fibonacci extension.
A correction is possible — be careful.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500.Colleagues, I believe that, as with the euro, the upward five-wave impulse is not yet over. At the moment, I see the formation of wave “3” of the lower order and wave ‘3’ of the middle order, which means that the upward movement will continue at least to the resistance area of 3500 — this is the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order, which means that a correction is possible at this level.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BABA Stock: A Detailed Analysis using Elliott Wave Theory RulesHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Let's analyze Ali Baba Group Holdings Limited, also known as BABA, listed on the NYSE. We'll be using the Elliott Waves theory.
Friends, as we can clearly see, after hitting a low of around $95.75 on 9th April 2025, it started an impulse wave. Within this wave, we've completed intermediate degree blue bracketed (1), (2), (3), (4), (5), and primary degree ((1)) in Black. Currently, we're completing primary degree ((2)), with a low around $111.
If it breaks the level of $111, we'll assume we're still in primary degree ((2)), as marked in scenario 2 on the chart. This means wave ((2)) is unfolding, and wave ((3)) might start after wave ((2)) is complete.
If it doesn't break the $111 level, it's likely that wave ((2)) has completed, and we've started a subdivision of wave ((3)) or its further subdivisions. If it moves further up, following scenario 1 (the black line on the chart), this is a possibility.
According to Elliott Wave theory, wave ((2)) cannot retrace more than 100% of wave ((1)). So, our main invalidation level for this count is $95.75. Yes, BABA is turning up against the 95.75 low, and in the near term, we expect the stock to trade higher.
Somewhere, this stock might move towards $150 or $160 if it doesn't break down below $ 95.75.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3428.Colleagues, in the last forecast I wrote that I expect to reach the target in the area of 3439.37 and I am not giving up on it. At the moment, the price has made a strong correction and so I will make a new forecast, in which the targets will remain almost unchanged, but I see that the wave pattern has changed a bit.
Now wave “1” lower wave is located higher and at the moment I believe that the price is in wave “5”.
A correction to the support area of 3265 is possible, but in general I expect to reach the resistance area of 3428.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15691.Colleagues, I believe that wave “5” of higher order has actively started an upward movement.
At the moment I see movement in wave “1” of medium order and it means that a correction in wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level (1.12434) is expected. But I would still advise to consider only upward movement and use pending limit orders.
I see the maximum of wave “3” - resistance area 1.15691 as the target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USD/CHF 4H Analysis – Bearish Continuation Setting Up?USD/CHF is currently forming a textbook symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern just below key EMAs (20, 50, and 200), signaling potential exhaustion in bullish momentum. Price is compressing against the upper boundary of the triangle, failing to sustain above the 0.382 Fib retracement level (0.82302), which is aligned with the 50 EMA – a known area of dynamic resistance.
This consolidation follows a clear bearish leg from the swing high at 0.83472, which suggests this triangle is likely a continuation pattern. A clean break below the ascending trendline support would confirm bearish continuation, with a measured move target near the 0.81068 level, which aligns with the -0.27 Fib extension.
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 0.82302 (0.382 Fib), 0.82525 (0.5 Fib), 0.82753 (0.618 Fib)
Support: 0.82026 (0.236 Fib), 0.81579 (Swing Low), 0.81068 (Bearish Extension Target)
📌 Watch for:
A decisive break and close below triangle support
Volume spike or bearish engulfing candle for confirmation
RSI is neutral but leaning slightly bearish; room for downside
🎯 Bearish Bias
📍 Tag: #USDCHF #ForexAnalysis #WrightWayInvestments
XAU/USD 1H – Clean Impulsive Setup UnfoldingGold has completed a clean Wave (2) correction, bottoming at $3,292.30, respecting both structural demand and fib confluence. Price is now showing early signs of Wave (3) development to the upside.
📌 Key Structure:
Wave (1) High: $3,403.30
Wave (2) Low: $3,292.30 (confirmed higher low structure)
Market is now consolidating slightly above the 0.5 fib level ($3,324.45), with bullish structure still intact.
📈 Technical Confluence:
Price is holding the internal bullish trendline
RSI is neutral but building potential upside momentum
Price action is forming higher lows, indicating strength post-correction
🎯 Next Bullish Targets:
$3,366.08 (0.236 fib level of Wave (2) correction)
$3,403.30 (Wave (1) high retest)
Final Wave (3) extension zone: $3,445 – $3,500
📉 Invalidation Level:
A break and close below $3,292.30 would invalidate this Wave (2) bottom and open the door for a deeper correction.
✅ Bias:
Bullish, as long as price holds above the 0.618 – 0.705 fib zone. A strong push from this area could confirm the next leg of Wave (3).
@WrightWayInvestments
@wrightwayinvestments
@wrightwayinvestments
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 115,000.I see that price has shown a violent rise in a five-wave move and I have redrawn the waves a bit to make it clear where to expect a correction. I think we are currently seeing a correction in wave “4” (104,000).
But most importantly, I expect an update of the high. Therefore, I believe that the level of 115,000 will be reached and it may be a wave “5”, after which we can expect a deeper correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bearish Impulse Complete! Possible zigzag correction in play.Bearish wave 5 of impulse completed the Bearish Trend, now correcting to the upside in a zig zag structure, leg A & B complete, now for wave C im targeting the 1:1 of wave A. We will see if this remains a 3 wave structure, or if it runs into 5 waves it could be an A/W wave of a larger correction. I am still studying Elliott Waves so ahem, this is not financial advice!
BTCUSD Wave Count: Bitcoin Unfolding Wave ((5)) ?Hello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Let's analyze the Bitcoin chart today using Elliott Wave theory. As we can see, Bitcoin recently made a high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025. We've marked this as the completion of Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)). After that, it dropped to complete Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025. Now, it's moving up, possibly unfolding Wave ((5)). According to Elliott Wave principles, Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. So, our nearest invalidation level is the 31st May's low at $103000. If the price sustains above this level, we can expect it to move towards $115,000 as a Projected Target of wave ((5)). However, if it breaks below the invalidation level, we'll need to re-analyze the wave counts. We've also drawn some trend lines, marked in black dotted lines, which act as support and resistance. This is a 1-hour time frame chart. The red line marking the nearest invalidation level is crucial. If it breaks, we'll need to adjust our wave counts. If it holds, we can expect the price to move up towards $115,000. Let's see how the market unfolds. Please note that this is an educational analysis and not a trading tip or advice.
Analysis Summary
- Analyzing Bitcoin chart using Elliott Wave theory to understand market trends and potential price movements.
- Recent high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025, & Recent Low around $103,000 on 31st May 2025 indicates a significant turning point in the market.
Wave Count
- Completed Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)) suggests a major uptrend has concluded.
- Completed Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025 indicates a correction phase has ended.
- Possibly unfolding Wave ((5)) implies a new uptrend may be emerging.
Key Levels
- Nearest invalidation level: 31st May's low at $103,000 serves as a crucial support level.
- Projected Target: $115,000 represents a potential upside target based on Elliott Wave principles.
Elliott Wave Principles
- Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1: a key rule governing wave relationships.
- Wave ((5)) projection based on Fibonacci ratios and wave extensions.
Chart Details
- 1-hour time frame chart provides a detailed view of recent price action.
- Trend lines marked in black dotted lines highlight key support and resistance levels.
- Red line marking nearest invalidation level is crucial for validating the wave count.
Important Notes
- Breaking below the invalidation level would require re-evaluation of the wave count.
- Sustaining above the invalidation level increases confidence in the projected target.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
XAU/USD Update - Riding Wave 5 to the TopGold continues its bullish recovery, having completed Wave (4) at the channel low. We're now riding Wave (5) with strong momentum.
🔹 Entry Executed: Entered long at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement – $3,272.57, a key confluence zone with the EMA and previous structure support.
📈 Bullish Targets:
$3,396.89 (0.27 extension)
$3,463.25 (0.618 extension)
$3,499.84 (1.0 extension / Wave (5) completion)
The move is playing out cleanly, with RSI confirming upside momentum. As long as price holds above the 0.5–0.618 zone, bulls remain in control.
Letting this one breathe — eyes on higher highs. 💰📈
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
GOLD: Expanding-Leading-Diagonal, the 3-3-3-3-3 variety?#Gold (XAUUSD), 1 hour:
IMHO, a rare but probable Elliott Wave pattern is unfolding on the chart, known as an Expanding-Leading-Diagonal (the 3-3-3-3-3 variety) to the downside.
⚠️ If price breaks above red wave-2 near $3438, this bearish outlook gets invalidated.
📉 Until then, downside pressure remains on the table. Once wave-3 low ($3120) is broken, this becomes my primary wave counts for Gold.
Trade wisely and watch key levels mentioned on the chart.
~EWTIC Mentor~
GBPAUD Wave Analysis: Is a Rally to 2.13677 on the Horizon?Hey Realistic Traders!
Can $OANDA: GBPAUD Keep the Bull Run Alive? Let’s Break It Down...
Trend Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, GBPAUD has broken out of a double bottom pattern, signaling a shift from a short-term bearish trend to a bullish one. Bullish momentum is further confirmed by price action trading above the EMA-200 line. On the higher timeframe, a falling wedge breakout pattern supports the bullish continuation scenario, aligning with the broader wave structure.
Wave Analysis
Applying Elliott Wave theory, the recent price action suggests the completion of Wave 2 around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with the neckline breakout of the double bottom pattern. The potential formation of Wave 3, typically the strongest and most impulsive wave, targets 2.10265 as the first extension level with a further extension to 2.13677, calculated using Fibonacci extensions of the current bullish wave.
The outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the key stop-loss level at 2.04774, invalidating the Wave 3 setup if breached.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on GBPAUD.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.14048.Dear colleagues, it appears that this week started with a downward movement. It was decided to replace the last forecast with a new one, because the price is updating the minimum of wave “4”, now the formation of wave “c” of medium order is taking place.
I believe that the upward movement to the area of 1.14048 will start again and we have 2 options:
1) market entry
2) working with pending limit orders closer to the 1.09794 area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!