Nifty50 Day End Analysis 2023.06.06NSE:NIFTY currently into iii (pink color) of 5 (orange color) of 5 (blue color) of 3 (gray color).
Wave ii (pink color) retraced wave i (pink color) by 61.8%.
As Nifty is currently into Wave iii (pink color), expecting Nifty to take out the trendline (purple color - from ATH to recent high) resistance around 18650 by providing a gap-up opening tomorrow above that level (this is because in 3rd waves, critical resistances are normally taken out by having a gap-up or gap-down opening).
Expecting Wave iii (pink color) to end around 18750 which is 161.8% extension of wave i (pink color).
View remains invalid if Nifty closes below 18560 on hourly candle.
Wavetheory
Hellena | EURUSD: The last wave is moving towards lower levels.At the level of 1.07500, impressive contracts on the euro futures were formed. This may indicate that the price will move towards this target, then make a new low, we will see a strong pattern, and then enter a long position with targets from the main idea.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
JPY INDEX ELLIOT BREAKDOWN Currently, we are at the last wave of the overall wave which is the wave 5. Expect rejections around 775.0 price level. baased on the previous candles that left a gap without filling, expect price to fill it in the future and that will be the target after breakout of the red trendline.
GBPAUD I Returning to the peak and possible rejectionWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Sell wheat everyday 🐻🍞Who sells wheat everyday? It’s the price-reducing wheat bears who want to provide us all with a cheap basic supply of food. "Affordable wheat for all," chant they, offering reduced-price bushels of wheat to anyone who comes their way. At the moment, they are not to be restrained in their sell-off ecstasy, however, we already see the low of the blue wave (v) lying shortly before us, which means that this sell-off should soon come to its end. The wheat price is already in our green target zone here (between USX 662 and USX 472), where we expect a trend reversal. The bulls should therefore report back before too long and point to the need for higher wheat prices. It should be noted that with the end of said blue (v) wave, an overarching and relatively long-lasting correction should also come to its end. Therefore, our green highlighted target zone can serve as an excellent entry opportunity for speculations on the long side.
USDJPY More Downside expected in the short termThe USDJPY has to retrace some of the impulse to the upside, we have seen wave structure 0,1,2 and 3, this is an ideal opportunity to enter short at wave structure 4 expecting Lower low 5.
The price from ML 3 to 4 is a deep retracement of 76.4% of the last decline, knowing this we will target the T1(137.81)
Stop Loss: 138.55.
Enjoy!
Mastering Elliott Wave Theory with Renko ChartsElliott Wave Theory is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to predict market patterns and trends. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, this method is based on the idea that financial markets move in repetitive cycles or waves. In this comprehensive guide, we will discuss the fundamentals of Elliott Wave Theory and explore how Renko charts can be used as a supplemental tool to enhance your analysis. By combining these two techniques, you can gain a deeper understanding of market movements and improve your trading strategies.
I. Understanding Elliott Wave Theory
Basic Principles of Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is built on the premise that markets exhibit specific patterns, known as waves, that reflect investor psychology. These patterns can be broken down into two types:
1. Impulsive waves: These waves move in the direction of the larger trend and consist of five smaller sub-waves. These waves are marked in green below and are numbered 1,2,3,4, and 5.
2. Corrective waves: These waves move against the primary trend and consist of three smaller sub-waves. These waves are marked in red below and are numbered A, B, and C.
The 5-3 Wave Pattern
The complete Elliott Wave cycle consists of eight waves, with the first five forming an impulsive pattern and the last three forming a corrective pattern. This 5-3 wave pattern repeats itself, creating fractal patterns in the market. Below we have taken the main Elliot wave listed above and broken it down into the first subset. The impulse waves are labeled i, ii, iii, iv, and v and the corrective waves a, b, and c.
Applying Elliott Wave Theory to Trading
To utilize Elliott Wave Theory in your trading, start by identifying the primary trend and its wave count. Analyze the price action to determine if the market is in an impulsive or corrective phase. By understanding the current wave pattern, you can predict probable future movements and make informed trading decisions.
II. Renko Charts: A Supplemental Tool for Elliott Wave Analysis
What are Renko Charts?
Renko charts are a unique type of price chart that only consider price movement and disregard time. Each block, or "brick," on a Renko chart represents a fixed price increment. When the price moves by the predetermined amount, a new brick is added to the chart at a 45 degree angle from the previous. This results in a clean, easily readable chart that highlights significant price trends.
Benefits of using Renko charts
By eliminating the noise of insignificant price fluctuations, Renko charts can help traders:
-Identify trends more easily
-Spot support and resistance levels
-Recognize chart patterns and potential reversal points
-Filter out false breakouts and whipsaws
How to incorporate Renko charts into Elliott Wave analysis
Renko charts can be a valuable addition to your Elliott Wave analysis by helping you confirm wave counts and identify high-probability trading setups. Here's how you can incorporate Renko charts into your analysis:
1. Confirming wave counts: Use Renko charts to validate your wave count by comparing the impulsive and corrective waves on both the traditional and Renko charts. If the wave count is consistent across both chart types, it increases the likelihood of a correct analysis.
2. Identifying high-probability trading setups: Renko charts can help you spot high-probability setups by highlighting significant price trends and potential reversal points. Combining this information with your Elliott Wave analysis can increase the accuracy of your trades. Indicators such as oscillators and moving averages can be useful to help identify these set-ups. Renko charts should not be used solely to make decisions as they are a synthetic chart but are a highly useful tool for identifying the underlying trends.
3. Managing risk: Utilize Renko charts to set stop-loss and take-profit levels based on support and resistance levels. This can help you manage risk effectively and protect your trading capital.
Conclusion
Elliott Wave Theory and Renko charts, when used together, can provide a powerful framework for analyzing market patterns and making informed trading decisions. By understanding the basic principles of Elliott Wave Theory and incorporating Renko charts as a supplemental tool, you can enhance your technical analysis skills and increase your trading success. As with any trading strategy, remember to practice and refine your techniques before applying them to live markets.
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AMARAJABAT Long TradeAMARAJABAT had broken its trendline into a new Impulse a year back.
The stock has managed to come to complete a Triangle wave 4 and is ready for a new leg of Wave 5
CMP 580, Target a minimum of Wave 1 which comes out to be ~700
A small SL of 34 points i.e. ~546 which is the support of A-C Trendline
USDJPY - Descending Channel Hello fellow traders, as we can see USDJPY is urgently trading in a descending channel and reached a point of resistance. This resistance is also confirmed by a key FIB level @.786. If this holds we can expect to see price move towards the next support around 128.00.
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#GBPUSD Analysis By We Trade WavesHey Traders, this is GBPUSD Analysis and update for all of you, is it forming an Ending Structure or a Leading Structure? You can trade any of the above waves if you get your setups.
I will be looking for sell setups from current levels or above the top/Reaction zone.
DO NOT JUMP IN - Jumping in without using stop loss or risking big or following anyone blindly leads to big losses, never do that. Always wait for your setups and use proper risk management!
If you want us to post more charts, setups and explain more about the next move, make sure to follow us, like and comment.
What we are sharing here is only our point of view on what could be the next move in the market based on our wave analysis concept so this is a directional bias and not signals...
DO NOT FORGET "We Trade Waves" 4 GOLDEN RULES:
1) Do not over-risk
2) Do not over-trade
3) Do not trade without stop loss
4) Never ever add to losing position
DISCLAIMER: We Trade Waves is not a signal service. Instead, it involves sharing our perspective and detailed analysis based on our unique wave analysis concept. We cannot be held responsible for any financial gain or loss that may result from following our analysis.
Trade with care
We Trade Waves Team
EURUSD & CADJPY Educational AnalysisAnalysing the current trend and wave count in the short term in the EURUSD and the CADJPY.
The pairs have both made a significant decline in the past 24Hrs and based on the wave structures count, I believe these pairs are ready to correct upwards in the short term.
Enjoy!
2 roads ahead for NVDAMy take on NVDA from an Elliott Wave perspective. Maybe it will help someone.
After clearly an impulse wave down who finished on 13th October 2022 that's intermediate wave (A)
we have 2 scenarios:
Scenario nr 1: Bearish
We have an ABC zigzag pattern finished.Why?
We have multiple Fibonacci ratios pointing for a top in NVDA.one of them 1.618multiple for minor wave C.
If this is the right count what we need to see further is an impulsive wave down for intermediate wave (C)
Scenario nr 2 Bullish
This Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 is almost a trademark for wave 3 in an impulse wave.
So key levels here to watch are 0.236 and 0.382 retracements. If this is a shallow time consuming retracement with all the signs of a wave 4 we will still have wave 5 to go.
What do you think?
Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational purposes and does not serve as financial advice.
BTC Daily Running Flat completing expecting downBTC Daily Running Flat completing, expecting to go down with big Impulse wave.
Update to my Nov 5th 2022 Chart for AAZ - Elliot Wave analysisIn this chart, I am zooming in for closer look at the chart over the last 26 months.
Jan 2021 was the peak of the first Major Wave 1 which ran from 2.5p to £1.825 & which consisted of a clear 1,2,3,4,5 pattern.
From Jan 2021 the Corrective Major Wave 2 then took hold and saw the price fall from £1.82 all the way back down to 62p on 13th October 2022 in a typical A,B,C Zig-Zag Correction.
Since that date, the price action has been very constructive and we have now seen an initial 1,2,3,4,5 advance (from 62p to £1.18) & then another A,B,C Zig-Zag correction from £1.18 back to 90p (50% Fib retracement).
Over the last month the next Motive Wave has got underway wit the price now having moved swiftly to £1.12 & has cleared (B) of the Corrective Wave 2 - first buy signal confirmed.
The longer term £3+ price target remains intact and near-term £1.75 looks highly likely as then Motive Wave gathers followers and steam.