Current wave structure of US30 heading into next week.A majority of the beginning of this week we saw US30 decline, almost at a rapid pace. This was due to the end of a long term Elliot Wave Cycle 5 at the top, then that rapid decline was an ABC(3) wave correction downwards which is where we just had our first W1 and W2 of a new cycle, with W3 in the midst of an impulse wave.
Wavetheory
💨𝙀𝙒 𝙋𝙖𝙩𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙣: 𝙎𝙞𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 𝙕𝙞𝙜𝙯𝙖𝙜🌊●●● 𝙎𝙞𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 𝙕𝙞𝙜𝙯𝙖𝙜 (SZ or ZZ)
❗❗ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨
● A zigzag always subdivides into three waves.
● Wave A always subdivides into an impulse or leading diagonal .
● Wave C always subdivides into an impulse or ending diagonal .
● Wave B always subdivides into a zigzag, flat , triangle or combination thereof .
● Wave B never moves beyond the start of wave A .
● Wave B always ends within the price territory of wave A .
● Wave C almost always ends beyond the end of wave A . (failure to comply with this requirement is called «truncation» *
* Guideline, but should be followed as a rule
❗ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨
● Wave C should not fail to reach the end of wave A by more than 10% of the length of wave A .
● In a zigzag, the length of wave C is usually equal to that of wave A , although it is not uncommonly 1.618 or .618 times the length of wave A (rarely 2.618 )
● Wave B typically retraces 38 to 79 percent of wave A .
● If wave B is a contracting triangle, it will typically retrace 38 to 50 percent of wave A .
● If wave B is a running contracting triangle , it will typically retrace between 10 and 40 percent of wave A .
● If wave B is a zigzag, it will typically retrace 50 to 79 percent of wave A .
● In a zigzag, if wave A is a leading diagonal , then we would not expect to see an ending diagonal for wave C .
● A line connecting the ends of waves A and C is often parallel to a line connecting the end of wave B and the start of wave A . (Forecasting guideline: Wave C often ends upon reaching a line drawn from the end of wave A that is parallel to a line connecting the start of wave A and the end of wave B .)
Elliott Wave Principal 2005 and Q&A EWI.
Wave Pattern - Ending Diagonal & Smart Money ConceptHere I was able to label the start of a 5 wave structure (1,2,3,4,5), the 5th wave is currently being formed (which is an ending diagonal and it isn't complete yet but I've labeled it as well. In this 5th wave which is an ending diagonal, I've also used the smart money concept to identify a distribution pattern which is in play, the break of structure which shows the market bias has changed, a stop hunt (liquidity raid) which further confirms the interests of large financial institutions and where their orders are. These two theories are the confluences that suggest a trend reversal.
AMC BULLISH, ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSISAMC looking to push upwards for a wave 5 in the future after some sideways consolidation for a wave 4. We are currently working on completing that wave 4 consolidation which could take some time, but overall looking for a high probability chance of pushing to the upside in the future.
Going to be looking to buy into calls to target this upside. Entry is set to be around the 0.5-0.618 fib retracement zones from 30-38.
Note that 4th waves can take time and can trap both bulls and bears, so be careful with the entry as the upside may not happen right away.
SPY (S&P 500) BULLISH until July/August ELLIOTT WAVE THEORYThe S&P500 ( SPY ) has seen lots of sideways price action and consolidation for the past few weeks or so, but I believe that we could be seeing an impulsive break-out in the near future. This would form the impulsive wave 3 of a final wave 5 push to the upside before the bear markets kick in around the summertime months (July-August).
We will need to see confirmation of a bullish break-out to know that we have entered an impulse wave to the upside. If SPY can break-out over 421-422 (heavy resistance levels), targets of 430+ are very achievable as denoted in the charts. A possible explanation for the recent lack of volume and price direction could be due to the fact that meme stocks ( AMC , GME , BB, BBBY , WKHS , etc.) have taken over the market and soaked up buying interest. Once buying power gets re-directed back into S&P500 stocks, we should see some bullish momentum that is needed to kickstart the impulse wave to the upside.
All Bullish for Cardano /ADA (but it depends on BTC) Lots of news for Cardano so I had to check out the chart.
Two two scenarios show bullish price action from Cardano, which is highly correlated with BTC.
First scenario, plotted in blue, showing the rebound from the BTC crash (just above the .618FIB) as leg one. Leg 2 being a shallow retracement with ADA currently in leg 3 moving through it's current resistance. with an ultimate price target of $1.86.
Second scenario, plotted in green, shows ADA currently in the rebound from the BTC crash as and the historic resistance line (plotted in white) as the end of leg one (where we are currently). Leg 2 being a more severe retracement with ADA in leg 3 moving through both it's current resistance and historic resistance levels making a new ATH close to PT 1 and then retracing on leg 4 before ultimately topping out at the 2.618 FIB and a PT of $2.34.
Both scenarios are highly dependent on BTC at least maintaining current levels.
[EW] ASX:BAP targets 1.74 short-termUpcoming downleg will complete wave (v) of to finish off a correction. Even if it combos there is upside regardless if you catch the end of this correction correctly.
Buy region is ~6.17 - ~6.84, but watch for clear rejection of 6.36 (0.618 of previous impulse). Also note the deep retracement of this (iv), may result in truncated (v). Count internal waves on (v).
NFA DYOR
$BNB wanting to hit new highs this month? This week? March is a notoriously bearish month for Bitcoin and cryptos in general so its no wonder the bulls came out swinging like, "It's March, and? This is life now" and I love it. I am a believe that Bitcoin is not going to have another bear market and instead continue to go through these market cycles at the speed of light.
My analysys on $BNB , when I noticed it followed the original waves I drew, the red ones being triple combo triangle waves, the purple are correction waves and the yellow are impulse waves which is what I believe is going to happen next. I find Elliot Wave Analysis to be a very accurate price predictor in all the time I have used it.
RSI very bullish with lots of room for growth
It is hard to see but the conversion line has been rallying back about the base line.
All this consindered, I am thinking that if you are not in BNB yet that today, March 9th its possible you could catch some coins for 240/250 because it looks like it will be taking a small dip over the next day or two.
After that we are going for 300, and then 340!
If you like my idea please give me a like and comment and follow and all that awesome stuff!
TRX/USDT Potential ending of Triangle Correction->WAVE2I think we're closing in to the end of this long triangle correction (ABCDE), currently seeking the C of the E of the wave 2 of the larger degree count, which would technically take us to the start of the wave 3 of the larger degree. Please guys let me know what you think about this count in the comments below and hit that like button!!
BTC Wave Analysis Theory - I like to use history to predict future wave patterns.
- I fully understand that it is very unlikely that history always repeats.
- This chart took me five minutes to make.
- The point is to point out that we are still early in this bull run.
- I expect not the same wave patterns to play out. There is good probability it could look something like this.
- This theory is based on the moving averages & historical wave pattern of BTC.
BOLD PREDICTION FOR BTC 2021 - Ath may come sooner than most think. Indicated in the chart.
This is not a price prediction!
Feel free to leave any comments. I would love know what other people are thinking. Oh and if you like drop a like.
EURCHF analysisI think the corrective wave two on EURCHF is now complete with a complete breakout of blue channel on wave AB and a clean retest on wave BC.
Impulsive wave three now looks clear.
DISCLAIMER:
This is only an idea and must not be taken as a trading signal.
Please leave a like or your comment below 😊.
Follow me for more updates coming soon.
''The Great Gartley Controversy''Here is a link to Scott Carney's own web-page, supposedly something he has written himself:
harmonictrader.weebly.com
I want to outline something interesting here. I quote from the article above:
'' It is important to note that there are others who have assigned different Fibonacci numbers to the framework of the Gartley Pattern. However, they have used a variety of Fibonacci numbers at the D points, essentially labeling any AB=CD pattern as a Gartley if it completes at a 0.618 or 0.786 without regard for the precise alignment. This has created much confusion among the technical community and it has challenged the reputation of the pattern. ''
Before going further into this, I also want to note a key takeaway from this quote. When he says that there are ''others'' who have assigned different Fibonacci numbers to Gartley patterns, he is talking about Larry Pesavento.
Before ''The Harmonic Trader'' was released by Carney in 1998, Pesavento had already published books on the subject in 1997.
It did not take Carney long to trademark harmonic patterns thus eliminating Pesavento's chances of ever mentioning it again.
In the article above, Carney talks about people spreading misinformation, when in fact it turns out he's actually the one doing it.
He went on to market it, and of course the brokers loved it!
So enough about all this controversy.... Lets look at the chart!
Here we see what appears to be a Gartley pattern formation with a completion at the 0.618 retracement! I wonder what Carney has to say about that?
Should you wait for the 0.786 retracement to enter as the mainstream harmonic trading strategies suggest?
Pesavento simply explained that what we are looking for is golden triangles
Carney makes it very complicated.
What are your thoughts on The Great Gartley Controversy??
Leave a comment below
Dollar Index Strength and USDJPY Targeting 106.800Hello Fellow Trader!
Dollar Index Strength and USDJPY Targeting 106.800
DXY – US Dollar Index 6 month sell off due to FED stimulus and investors seeking larger returns from the equity market has possibly found a short-term floor.
In September, DXY has already risen 1% and has more room to move technically as it eyes off 106.800.
Key Points:
- Price holding above the 200 EMA
- Price holding above the 50 EMA
- Price finds support at Fibonacci 50% of September range
- Support cluster with trend line
- The 50 EMA may be violated before the next move up. This is not a reason to exit the trade.
- IF: The 200 EMA is met, it is critical to wait patiently for a candle reversal that you have back tested and proves to have an edge with USDJPY.
- Optimal entry is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Key Levels:
Support – 105.850, 106.000, 200 EMA
Resistance – 106.550, 106.700, 106.800, 106.944
Entry Zone:
Optimal entry provides the greatest reward to risk ratio while supporting entry is a zone for reversal signals.
Optimal Entry – 105.960
Supporting Entry – 106.060 – 106.150
Candle Reversals for entry
- Bullish Hammer
- Bullish Engulfing
- Bullish Piercing
The Risk:
As traders, it is your job to mitigate the risk and only trade structures that provide high probability and great reward to risk ratios.
If you are not comfortable with defined exit levels, experiment with Moving Averages to help set solid exit rules to protect your capital.
IF: Price breaks below 105.850 level and violates 200 EMA – this would suggest the structure is not in our favour and would be wise to reduce exposure or close the trade until a solid signal gives us reasons to re-enter.
Reward / Reward Targets:
Optimal Entry 105.960 – Target 1 106.550 = 4x Reward to Risk
Optimal Entry 105.960 – Target 2 106.700 = 5x Reward to Risk
Optimal Entry 105.960 – Target 3 106.944 = 6.7x Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 106.060 – Target 1 106.550 = 2x Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 106.060 – Target 2 106.700 = 2.7x Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 106.060 – Target 3 106.944 = 4x Reward to Risk
DOW : Swing, Investment 100% Price ActionDOW : Since 2008 inequalities have increased sharply, the rich are getting richer. 2020 after the economic crisis, the economy remains the same and inequality increases sharply. Follow the up trend.
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