Wavetheory
AAPLThink AAPL is about to have a big win or lose battle here.... currently in a pretty important supply zone that I think can really have a major impact. If zone rejects, can be a pretty decent slide down. If it gets through, it also has to contend with 304 which was set back in February during the sell off.
A break above 304 can give it a really good chance to gap fill up to 313 and also be an extremely bullish indicator.
This is getting down to one of those end of day things to watch as the closing price becomes evermore important.
At end of day, with overall market health and what price action is doing, there might be potential to enter a short. If it hadn’t broke the recent high the other day of 299, I’d put more risk into whatever trade I make. Because of it breaking above 299, kind of throws some doubt as this is the second time in this supply zone. If price and momentum begin to fade with some divergence, I’m looking for a small short.
DISThink this could be another great post earnings opportunity. From being in a chop zone prior to earnings and then earnings accelerating price action to put it right into either a supply or demand zone. Obviously sold off right into a demand zone. This one is a little more "patience" involved as there are two demand zones I am seeing right on top of each other and the after hours market went into both of them, with price pre-market currently popped out of the first demand zone.
What I like is that it is in a downward trending channel (so this is against the trend) but I like it because of the potential set up it is presenting. Coming out of the demand zones, I am going to be looking for a retrace back into the top zone to potentially set up a 1 -2 ; (1) - (2) wave count. If the demand zone holds and a higher low is made within the zone on retrace, this can give it a great opportunity to begin a Wave 3 impulse up to power up and out, hopefully breaking the downward trending channel.
So, I'll be watching for a retrace back into demand. Likely we could go straight for the channel resistance and if this happens I'll still wait for a retrace. Confirmation of the set up playing out as planned will be a higher low in the demand zone and then a break above channel resistance. First price target will be $104. This will most likely just be a small risk play as the overall market health isn't looking too great in my opinion.
If zone fails, and having already entered the second zone around the 97.64 price and that zone failing, the next stop down isn't until 94.
LULUAnother one I'm watching today. LULU is just hanging out chopping up and down trying to figure out where to go. For this one, falling out from a previous wedge, my bias is to the upside ... eventually. Either 1) if we go to demand, I'd like to look for an entry long because generally after price breaks down from a wedge pattern, price action tends to retrace and backtest the wedge, with the wedge acting as resistance. Or 2) if we go straight back up to back test, just so happens that the back test area is in alignment with a supply zone.
So, eventually I see LULU making its way back up to back test. If we go to demand zone below, I'll enter a small long with price target up to the supply zone. If we go up first to supply zone and back test, I'll watch as there is potential to re-enter the channel and go trough supply. My bias is to short once price enters supply.
BAI keep seeing BA posts everywhere and the more I look at it the more I like it. It looks like we are in diagonal sold off into demand. Potentially a good risk/reward opportunity here. I’m going to actively watch this one and look to enter a long position. My long position will be less risk and I’ll look to go out to end of June / early July.
Above 133.80 will provide more confirmation for me. Another option is to wait and see if that level is broken and then look for an entry on the back test of the wedge down.
USDCHF: Watch Price Action For BuyHi Traders,
USDCHF will likely begin some bullish momentum. The ideal setup to look for is a strong impulse and subsequent correction. We can reasonably look for reversal when price reaches the 0.9881 level.
Trade with care.
Regards
Wave Theorist
SPYStill pushing, until lower lows are made, have to pivot and assess what’s being giving. Thinking we can see a push up to gap fill in short term. Market sell today sold right into a daily demand zone. If this holds, think we can see a smaller 5 wave count up to test gap fill and possibly retest 296. My plan is to watch price action in this zone here we are currently in and look to enter a small long.
If we bounce out, target will be 293. Also, 293 is still my caution: if rejects, can indicate we are starting a 5 wave count down. If we break and test 296, I’ll think if will further confirm this current count. Either way, I think we at least get 3 waves up, whether it be a 1 - 2 - 3 up or an a - b - c, both should trend the same. It is around the targets of “3” / “b” where I think a better indication of next steps will be clear.
TSLAIf you saw my prior education post of why I trade post earnings, this is another perfect example. Leading right into earnings price was right between supply and demand zones. Earnings release rocketed the price right into supply and, not surprisingly, sold right off back down into a demand zone where we currently sit.
My overall thought is leaning bearish here. Per my counts, the earnings release should have completed 5 waves up for C. Corrections can be tricky, but I think we can very possibly at least get a push up to 820 - 835 area. This will be an important one to watch as if it gets rejected there, I’ll lean to thinking it will be a wave (b) in this correction where I will look to enter a potential short position. My invalidation if I enter a short there will be a break above 886.
Bigger picture, possible we are starting a 5 wave count down for an overall larger correction. My invalidation for this overall larger correction would be a break above all time high. Will have to wait and see but short term my next thing to watch is potential small short if we get price to retrace back to 830 area.
Is Bitcoin Headed to $1000 This Year? (Elliott Wave Analysis)The break down this month has necessitated a MAJOR change in my Elliott Wave count. While the long-term is still ultra-bullish, actually even MORE bullish with this new count, the intermediate term over the next few months is looking quite bearish.
With a global liquidity crisis mounting people will need to sell ALL types of assets to be able to survive this coronavirus/liquidity crisis. As more people lose jobs and their investments depreciate people will desperately need dollars to stay afloat and pay bills. This includes people who hold cryptocurrencies. Crypto is NOT immune to a liquidity crisis. The FED will need to print A LOT more money before we can recover from this drought of dollar liquidity, it should happen by the end of the year though when the FED goes into full blown panic mode.
In the meantime, until liquidity comes back into the market en masse, BTC will likely head towards $1000 by November. This is by no means a death sentence for BTC or cryptocurrency and will simply be the largest correction ever experienced. We will recover though, and it will be a testament to cryptocurrency's resilience.
Zooming out to the largest count on the Half Yearly chart, I've had to change this count from a diametric to what is technically a neutral triangle. This new count comes directly from the S&P, where wave-C ended in 2011 and wave-D ended in 2018, and now we are forming wave-E. This is the only long-term count that really makes sense at this point so I've forced it onto this chart.
Also, having wave-E start in 2018 is MUCH MORE BULLISH than my previous count. It means after around 2022 we should begin one of the strongest, most consistent bull runs in history on both BTC and the S&P! This is consistent with the macro fundamentals as fiat currency will become significantly weaker over the next 2 years as central bankers print money on maximum overdrive to get us out of this recession.
Also this is consistent with other cryptocurrencies. If BTC drops ~80% from here I would suspect that the majority of cryptocurrencies will fall AT LEAST 80%, and many will make full recoveries as well.
For reference, here is my count on the S&P (Note the similarities between BTC and the S&P counts!)
Speculative Wave Theory, on TSLA!Speculative Wave Theory, on TSLA
Strong R 806
Impusilve wave is running
The correction wave is for short-sellers.
The tail has been created with volume raised. The recent tail ( valid ) has crossed average volume which means sellers are ready.
Very soon we will get correction waves.
I don't think the price will cross above 806 above.
XAUUSD Recent waveWe have traced wave ABC and and it gives us targets
N=1752
V=1684
E=1796
NT=1708.
We have just breached B heading upwards so they are currently in play
DXY: Further Downside Expected After CorrectionHi traders,
The dollar is poised for more downside. I'm looking for a textbook 1-2-3-4-5 structure that will complete wave C. Price is set to correct into wave 2, after which I'm expecting further downside into wave 3.
With this being said, however, it is advisable to wait for proper confirmation as this analysis is premature - more market data is needed.
Regards
Wave Theorist
XAUUSD Recent waveThis is similar to most of my other posts. We have breached B, meaning the targets listed are in play. We are approaching NT, our first projected resistance level.
It should also be noted we are near a recent ichi number. Refer to my long term post linked to see the other ones.
EUR/USD trade setup.Price has been in a bearish trajectory for the past 2 months.
According to the rules of the trend, price has completed a Lower Low.
Weekly chart shows a clear cut Pin Bar candlestick! This is a reversal candlestick pattern.
Zooming into the H4 timeframe, price closed with an engulfing candlestick resting on the 1.08612 resistance level.
I spotted a new channel within the H1.
Let's see how this plays out.
EUR Longs to 1.12700FOMC today is going to be the catalyst for this move today. We could get some spike down first though, so be careful on this. But overall the structure is tell me that his move is going to happen!
@Scalper618 on instaHi Traders hope everyone is well, Just thought id share my own thoughts on GBPUSD. I really like the REPLAY TOOL tradingview has i practice all the time (These are my own thoughts trade at own risk)
USDJPY Short ForecastLooking like UJ is coming down in the near future. Waiting on price to move up to the 109 level to see how it reacts. If we see some manipulation around here, we could be seeing some excellent shorts upcoming
NZDUSD: Early Asia Session Sees Triangle BreakoutHi Traders,
Price respected key resistance at 0.6436 during the Friday session, thereby forming a barrier triangle. The Asian session has now given us the breakout we've been waiting for. We can keep buying every pullback until we reach the target at 0.65542.
Have a good one!
COPPER - RF Copper looks interesting for some bearish action this week then after one leg down we could start looking for buy setup (purple)
USDCAD OutlookHey guys/gals!
So we caught UCAD from the very low and it's been evolving as anticipated. Hope you all got in. Now we're almost finished the daily structure - I still think there are a couple weeks left before the downside, but definitely a good time to set alerts up at the 1.3400 level so you don't miss this short.
USOIL Short ForecastOil is looking excellent for shorts for the upcoming week. I'll post when I get an entry confirmation, but follow your entry strategy & ride this thing down to around $48.
