TSLA contraction (retest of 260$)This is a quick update attached to the TSLL chart. I expect this breakout to give another bull trap for TSLA investors/traders. A surprise 50 basis point rate reduction could cause markets to rage in general. Investors will again realize TSLA is overvalued as it approaches 300$ and the stock will go to sub 185$ next year.
Wedge
TSLL ( and tsla) contractionTSLL is coming to a pivotal moment where price action is either going to pump VERY hard, or dump on everyone with TSLA price below 185. This wedge is reaching a conclusion and the TSLA chart which I will also post has had nearly 8 weekly attempts at breaking the long-term wedge setup. I predict a test of 16.88 $ and then another rejection dumping TSLL below 8$ again.
-Short-Term pumptown above 15$
-Next year retest of the red dashed line
Bold Maverick vs. Cautious Rabbit: XAUUSD Wedge Breakout BattleMaverick Approach: As a Maverick, you're always looking for opportunities to make aggressive moves when the risk/reward seems enticing.
Here's what stands out:
Retracement into a Key Support Zone:
The price is pulling back near the lower support channel and hovering around 2,498.860, just above the earlier consolidation zone. A Maverick would see this as a potential buying opportunity, betting that price will bounce off this support level and move back toward the previous high around 2,531.861. Given the structure, it's a chance to enter a long trade while the market is still within the rising wedge.
Action: Jump in for a quick buy at this level, looking to ride the bounce. Your bold side may put a take-profit target near the ATH or just shy of it, around 2,525 to avoid getting caught in the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Strategy: To protect from a breakdown, you'd want to place a tight stop-loss just below the wedge, around 2,490. The Maverick thrives on action, but with controlled risk in case the price falls.
Rabbit Approach: The Rabbit focuses on digging deeper into the structure, ensuring everything is aligned before taking a position.
Here’s how the analytical approach works:
Rising Wedge and Bearish Implications: The rising wedge pattern you're trading within is typically a bearish signal. This pattern suggests a potential breakdown, especially if the price doesn't hold the current support level.
The Rabbit would want to see multiple confirmations that buyers are stepping in before entering long. Waiting for a strong reaction or a higher low at the wedge boundary (around 2,490-2,495) would be ideal before considering a position.
Caution: Be wary of a break below the wedge, which could signal a bearish continuation back down to 2,470.907 or even lower.
Consolidation Zones for Reentry: The Rabbit would focus on the previous consolidation zone around 2,470.907, treating this as a potential re-entry point for longs if the price breaks the wedge support. That zone has shown strong buying pressure, making it a safer play.
Plan: If price revisits this zone with a strong bounce, it would offer a much lower-risk buy with a greater reward potential, aligning with the Rabbit’s need for precision.
Combined Strategy:
Aggressive Entry (Maverick): Buy at the current level (2,498), targeting a bounce back toward 2,525 or higher, with a stop-loss under the wedge (2,490). This setup is more for short-term profits before any wedge breakdown occurs.
Conservative Entry (Rabbit): Wait for confirmation at 2,498 or for a break below to re-enter near the 2,470 support. Ensure that the wedge pattern doesn’t break down entirely before committing to a long trade.
Conclusion:
For the Maverick: Act now if you see this as a low-risk bounce trade, aiming for quick profits near the ATH, but with the understanding that momentum could shift fast.
For the Rabbit: Be patient, observe price action at key levels, and avoid chasing a move that doesn't align with the bigger structure. Waiting for a retest of 2,470 or a clear bounce is your higher-probability play.
Whichever archetype you're channeling, stay sharp, and don’t let emotions get in the way!
EUR/USD 4H Analysis: Rising Wedge and Emerging Triangle PatternOverview:
EUR/USD on the 4-hour chart has experienced a bearish breakdown from a previously formed rising wedge pattern, followed by a retest of the broken support now acting as resistance. The price action is currently consolidating into a new triangle pattern, suggesting potential indecision or a continuation move.
Technical Indicators:
- Trend : After breaking down from the rising wedge, EUR/USD briefly retested the broken trendline as resistance. The price action is now consolidating into a triangle pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the bearish trend or neutral consolidation before the next move.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) : RSI is near neutral levels, reflecting the current consolidation phase.
- Volume : Volume has decreased during the formation of the triangle, which is typical in consolidation phases and may precede a breakout.
Key Levels :
- Resistance : The top of the triangle pattern is at 1.1195, which is also the highest point of the previous rising wedge pattern.
- Support : The lowest point of the triangle pattern is at 1.0956.
Potential Scenarios :
1. Bearish Continuation : A break below the lower boundary of the triangle at 1.0956 would suggest a continuation of the bearish trend initiated by the rising wedge breakdown. We are more inclined towards this scenario given the prior breakdown and retest behavior.
- Entry : Consider short positions on a confirmed break below the triangle support at 1.0956. Alternatively, it is possible to enter now at 1.1085, given the bearish inclination and current price level.
- Stop Loss : Place a stop loss above the recent highs within the triangle or near the triangle's upper boundary.
- Take Profit : Target lower support levels at 1.09500 and 1.08000, which are indicated on the chart, aligning with prior swing lows or significant Fibonacci levels.
2. Bullish Breakout : Although the prevailing trend and our inclination are bearish, a breakout above the triangle’s resistance at 1.1195, which aligns with the highest point of the rising wedge, could signal a potential reversal or correction to the upside.
- Entry : Look for long entries on a breakout above the triangle resistance with strong momentum.
- Stop Loss : Set stops below the lower boundary of the triangle or recent lows.
- Take Profit : The initial targets for a bullish scenario can be set at 1.1190 and 1.1240, aligning with previous resistance zones or Fibonacci retracement levels.
Market Context:
Upcoming economic events, specifically the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), and unemployment claims, could significantly impact the USD. It will be crucial to observe how EUR/USD reacts at the time of these releases, as they could act as catalysts for a breakout from the current triangle pattern or shift the market sentiment in either direction.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD is at a critical juncture, consolidating in a triangle pattern after the breakdown and retest of a rising wedge. While a breakout in either direction is possible, we are more inclined towards the bearish scenario given the prior breakdown and retest. The trading levels for the bearish scenario, including supports at 1.09500 and 1.08000, are indicated on the chart. It is also possible to enter a short position now at 1.1085, given the current price and bearish setup. Bullish targets are set at 1.1190 and 1.1240, with the triangle's top at 1.1195 aligning with the highest point of the rising wedge, and the lowest point of the triangle at 1.0956.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
Thank you for following our analysis! We hope this insight helps with your trading decisions.
— RisingStarFrX
BTC at some support levelsLets look at BTC. Some people have been saying that its getting ready to take off again, so I wanted to do my own analysis.
I've got three indicators I'm using here.
- Wedges/channels (the thin green lines)
- Fibs - the gold colored fib levels
- Wick Strength - the oscilalator at the bottom
First, Wedges.
We can see that price is at the bottom of a wedge/channel. Its been pretty consistent on the plotted wedges that breakouts have been significant. However with the support of the Wick Strength as well as support of the 0.382 fib level, it looks like we might return to the top of the channel rather than crashing through the bottom.
Next, Fibs.
Fibonacci are one of my favorite technicals and popular for a reason. Look at all the times price has bounced right off a near-exact fib level! Recently BTC hit the 0.5 with a STRONG support. And here we are again at the 0.382. Looking left on this line we can see multiple wax and wick bottoms rejecting at this price point in recent months.
Lastly, Wick Strength.
I'm still learning this one as its new, but here's what I've seen. In up markets, Wick Strength is low, because there is constant downward pressure from all the bears. So the top wicks are long, and the bottom wick are short. (Indicating that bulls are stronger since wax is bullish, but bears still have a voice and top wicks are longer than bottom). In down markets, its the opposite, and the Wick Score goes up due to longer bottom wicks by the bulls. Here, Wick Strength is relatively high actually, and we're in a flag price action pattern. Looking like Wick Strength will come down as the market takes off bullish again.
Just at thought! We'll see what happens.
What do you think?
BITCOIN BULLISH WEDGE @80K$BITSTAMP:BTCUSD. Should we be worried or be exited about the price action of #Bitcoin. Looking at the price action of BTC we can see that there is a lot going on in the market and some traders are really worried about the next move for Bitcoin. So looking at the current price action, we can clearly see that Bitcoin is forming a falling wedge pattern which is a bullish continuation patten, also if we look at the current price level of 53k, we can see that price has been experiencing some rejections at this area. If Bitcoin should bounce off from this price zone, we should see a retest of the 60k area but if fails and breaks below we should see a proper rejection from the 50k area.
Now the question is should we be worried about the 40k which stands as demand zone which we could definitely see Bitcoin retest that area if it fails to hold support around the 50k level. looking at the price action and the fundamental activities like CPI, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIM and many more, we should probably expect some huge volatility which either push the price down to 50k or up to 60k levels respectfully. My suggestion to any who want to invest in Bitcoin or any other Cryptocurrency is for them to wait for proper rejection and support for Bitcoin.
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HelenP. I Bitcoin will make small move up and then continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price rose to resistance 2, which coincided with the resistance zone and broke this level. Then it rose a little higher than the resistance zone and some time traded near until it reached the trend line and then BTC started to decline. In a short time price declined to resistance 1, which coincided with one more resistance zone, breaking resistance 2. As well, the price started to trades inside the wedge, where it rebounded from resistance 1 and tried to grow, but failed and soon dropped back. Some time later BTC fell to the resistance zone and at once rebounded to the trend line, which is the resistance line of the wedge also, and then declined to the support line of the wedge, breaking resistance 1. Recently price bounced up to this level and tried to break it, but failed and now trades below. In my mind, BTCUSDT will make a small movement up and then continue to decline to support line of the wedge. Therefore I set my goal at 54800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
QUICK/USDT: READY FOR AN ATH!!Hey everyone!
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QUICK looks good here. It breaks out from the falling wedge-like structure in the daily time frame and is currently, retesting the wedge. Buy some here and add more in the dip.
Entry range:- CMP and add more up to $0.04
Target:- 100-150%
SL:- $0.035
What are your thoughts on QUICK's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Will META's bullish case continue with these headwinds?
NASDAQ:META
Meta's Resilience: A Bullish Case Amidst Market Turmoil
While many tech giants face headwinds, Meta has been a standout performer. Despite the looming threat of a recession, I remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects.
Meta's AI-driven ad platform has proven to be remarkably sticky, even in challenging economic conditions. As businesses of all sizes continue to rely on targeted advertising, Meta's revenue stream is well-positioned for continued growth.
Technically, Meta's chart is starting to exhibit signs of a potential pullback. A rising wedge formation suggests that a short-term correction may be on the horizon. However, I believe that strong support levels at $443, $412, and $384 should provide ample opportunity for investors to accumulate shares at attractive prices.
If the market takes a significant downturn, I'm confident that Meta's underlying fundamentals will support a recovery. In such a scenario, I would view a dip below $275 as a compelling buying opportunity.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin Approaching Critical Support: Prepare for a Big MoveBitcoin is entering a decisive phase this September, with a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern forming on both the weekly and daily charts. This pattern typically signals potential volatility, and we are now approaching the descending support trendline, which also aligns with the wick from the sharp price dump on August 5th. This region, around 48K, is likely to be tested in the coming days as the market seeks to sweep liquidity.
Key Support Zones to Watch:
Crucial Support Zone 1: The first line of defense. If Bitcoin holds here, we could start seeing signs of bullish momentum returning.
Crucial Support Zone 2: A deeper level of support. Breaking below this zone could lead to a more extended bearish trend.
In the event that these levels are broken and confirmation bearish candles start forming, we could see Bitcoin testing 42K, 40K, and even 36K in the weeks ahead. However, if Bitcoin holds these zones and begins to print higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), it would be an early sign that the downtrend might be over.
Also an important element in this setup is the 100-day EMA, which aligns perfectly with Crucial Support Zone 2. This adds a layer of confidence that the price may find strong support here. The confluence of the 100-day EMA with this key support level suggests that a touch of this zone could trigger the next major move, potentially kickstarting a rally.
Strategy for Traders:
Swing Traders/Spot Traders: Pay close attention to the support zones, as these levels could present excellent buying opportunities. A bounce from these areas might indicate the start of a new rally, so it’s time to prepare and fill your bags.
Scalpers: Be mindful of the resistance zones. The price may spike slightly before retesting lower levels, providing potential shorting opportunities. Watch closely for a "soft" or "hard" landing around 50K-48K.
Caution: Bull Trap Alert
If Bitcoin encounters a pump in the near term, be cautious about falling into a bull trap. All signs currently point to a retest of the 50K and 48K zones as highly probable, so don’t get caught up in premature optimism.
Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Grow?!
Dollar Index has a nice potential to keep growing next week.
The market nicely respected a daily horizontal structure support,
bounced and violated a resistance line of a falling parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
The market may reach at least 101.44 level.
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AI/USDT LONG SCALP SETUP!!Hey everyone!
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AI looks good here. Breaking out from the falling wedge-like structure and a retest is also done. Long some here and add more in the dip.
Entry range:- $0.344-$0.354
Targets:- $0.372/$0.394/$0.419/$0.448
SL:- $0.325
Lev:- Use low leverage (Max 5x)
What are your thoughts on AI's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
ALGO/USDT Secondary trend. Wedge is a trend. 11 2023Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Linear price graph for clarity of this beauty.
The entire secondary trend is a falling wedge , a decline in price from the highs to date for 718 days (24 months, or almost 2 years). Volatility has decreased to a minimum, the price is conditionally squeezed, in the near future there may be an excess of supply/demand and a breakthrough of this long-term formation will occur. A pump impulse for a breakthrough due to super “dead faith” and rather low liquidity (price slippage) can be significant.
Decline from the low (liquidity) -96.66%.
We are in the zone of so-called capitulation (on the cryptocurrency itself).
Also, the chart shows conditionally maximum average (from the average price) potential targets of market phases:
1) “participation” (development of the bullish trend to the reset zone, i.e. distribution).
2) Distribution.
Unfair market competition by large market participants.
Prices now, it is about 0.1$, which is the price of “large capital” that “invested” in this crypto project. But, they sold out long ago on the first listings..... After all, the crowd was “sold” at the ICO at an average of about 2.5$ per coin, or even more expensive by the method of divorce with the Dutch auction. That is roughly speaking it is +25X (+2500%).
Dutch auction (in the classical sense) is a type of bidding, at the beginning of which the highest price for the lot is announced, which gradually decreases; the participant who was the first to stop the price decrease becomes the winner.
Bullish cycle 2020-2021.
Then after a dump to the 2020-2021 set zone (0.25$ average) in the bull cycle managed to pump and form a distribution (reset) zone of more than +1000%. From that reset zone and formed this truly huge downward wedge, just like on EOS.
So, this cryptocurrency "changed speculative hands" many times (huge dump/dump volatility). Anyone could make money, but not the “hamster” level. Perhaps there will be one last run of significant price pumping towards the end of 2024 -2025.
Candlestick chart of the wedge zone for comparison.
Local trend.
ALGO/USDT Local trend. Wedge breakout zone . 5 11 2023
The main trend. The entire trading history. Accumulation/distribution zones. Time frame 1 week.
ALGO/USDT Major trend. Cycles. 07 2023
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin started to rise again after Failing(Fake Break) to break the Support zone($58,000-$56,600) .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has formed a Falling Wedge Reversal Pattern , and if the upper line of this pattern breaks, we can expect a further increase in Bitcoin .
From the point of view of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin's correction waves seem to be continuing. The last corrective wave was the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , which was the end of wave C , $55,600 .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
A head and shoulders pattern could form , causing Bitcoin to decline again to nearly $50,000==Two scenarios are possible 👇
I expect Bitcoin to move according to the movements I have outlined in the chart .
Note: If Bitcoin loses the Support zone($58,000-$56,600), we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $51,000(at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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NOT/USDT: POTENTIAL FALLING WEDGE PATTERN! ACCUMULATE HERE!!Hey everyone!
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NOT/USDT looks good here. It is forming a falling wedge-like structure in the daily time frame and currently hovering near the lower trendline of the wedge. It is a good area to accumulate some on the spot or with low leverage.
Entry range:- $0.0070-$0.0076
Target:- 150-200%
SL:- $0.006(For leverage)
What are your thoughts on NOT's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
BITCOIN DOMINANCE UPDATE: WHEN ALTSEASON?Hey everyone!
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Bitcoin Dominance is a key indicator for potential altcoin seasons. While there's been anticipation, the market hasn't shown significant changes yet. Let's analyze the Bitcoin Dominance chart for clues.
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin Dominance has formed a large rising wedge pattern and is approaching strong resistance. This level acted as support in 2019-2020 but has now turned into resistance.
We're currently in a potential "maximum pain zone." This period can present opportunities to accumulate promising altcoins for potential gains during the upcoming bull run.
Important to note: Accumulating now might involve short-term losses of 20-30% due to market manipulation. However, the potential for 20x-30x returns during the bull run makes this risk worthwhile for some.
Key Takeaway:
Seize the Opportunity: Start accumulating quality altcoins now to capitalize on the potential bull run.
Embrace Risk: Be prepared for short-term losses to reap long-term rewards.
Let's discuss it! What are your thoughts on Bitcoin Dominance and the potential for an altcoin season? Share your analysis in the comments below.
Sideways No More? The Key Levels That Could Ignite NZD/USDThe outlook for NZD/USD isn't strong at the moment, and it seems likely to continue trading sideways. However, this could change with a break above the December 2023 high of 0.6365. A breach of this level would confirm a breakout from the large wedge pattern, suggesting that prices could reach 0.6738. This wedge is formed by the trendlines connecting the December 2023 high with the August 2024 high and the October 2023 and August 2024 lows.
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NVDA may form a bat harmonic within a pennant.NASDAQ:NVDA is potentially forming a bullish bat variation of the Gartley harmonic, within a pennant on the four-hour chart. As long as the earnings low at point B is maintained, there is potential for a reversal to point C next week, corresponding to the upper trendline from all-time highs.
EURUSD → A retest of the liquidity zone. Ready to go to 1.130FX:EURUSD is testing the liquidity zone within the correction. False breakdown of the channel boundary may form another bullish potential for continuation of growth to 1.1300
The currency pair forms a false breakdown of 1.1123, after which it enters the correction phase amid a strong market. The price is testing 0.236 fibo on D1, forming a false breakdown we get a reaction in the form of a pullback. On H4 the situation is even more interesting: false breakdown of the support conglomerate: 0.5 fibo + channel boundaries, which only strengthens the bullish set-up.
Today the focus is on CPI in the Eurozone, as well as Core PCE in the US. High volatility is possible and the news may set a short-term tone in the market.
Resistance levels: 1.1099, 1.1201
Support levels: channel boundary, 1.1061, 1.1047
The task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the resistance of the ascending channel, as well as above the level of 1.1099 - 1.11, in this case the price will consolidate above the lower boundary of the new bullish channel, which will open for us the potential for growth to 1.1300.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!