Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern Signals & BreakdownThis chart illustrates a Rising Wedge Pattern on the weekly timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), which is generally considered a bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appears after a strong upward move and typically signals that the price is losing momentum and may be preparing for a significant correction.
📐 What is a Rising Wedge Pattern?
A rising wedge is a chart pattern formed when the price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines – the support line (bottom) and the resistance line (top) – with the two lines converging toward each other.
As price climbs higher, it forms higher highs and higher lows.
However, the slope of the highs is less steep than the slope of the lows, showing a loss of bullish strength.
Eventually, the price breaks below the support line, often leading to a sharp move downward.
🔍 Key Highlights from the Chart:
📌 1. Major Resistance Zone (~$110K–$120K):
BTC is currently facing heavy resistance in this area.
This zone has historically acted as a supply zone where bulls have struggled to break through.
Multiple rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
📌 2. Pattern Touchpoints:
BTC has now formed multiple touchpoints on both the support and resistance lines of the wedge, confirming the structure.
This gives the pattern higher validity from a technical analysis perspective.
📌 3. SR Interchange Zone (~$65K–$70K):
This is a key horizontal zone where past resistance could act as future support.
A successful breakdown may first test this level before continuation.
📌 4. Retesting After Breakdown:
After breaking the wedge support, a retest of the broken trendline is often seen.
If the retest is rejected, it confirms the breakdown and opens the door to deeper bearish movement.
🎯 Target Projection:
If the wedge breaks down and the bearish scenario plays out, we could see Bitcoin fall to the $22,000–$25,000 region – marked as the final target zone on the chart. This level aligns with:
Previous macro-support zones from 2021
Fibonacci retracement levels
Psychological price levels where buyers may re-enter
⚠️ Bearish Factors to Watch:
Bearish divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (not shown on chart but worth checking)
Volume decreasing as price rises – a classic wedge behavior
Macroeconomic headwinds or Bitcoin halving-related exhaustion
Rejection from major resistance with strong bearish candles
🕒 Timeframe & Patience:
This is a weekly chart, which means the pattern will play out over weeks or months, not days. Patience is key. A clear break, retest, and rejection would be the most reliable confirmation to expect further downside.
✅ Invalidation Scenario:
If BTC breaks above the wedge resistance line with strong bullish volume and holds above the $120K level, this bearish thesis becomes invalid.
In that case, BTC could enter price discovery mode, making new all-time highs.
💬 Final Thoughts:
This analysis is a technical outlook, not financial advice. Always use stop-loss strategies and manage your risk carefully. Market sentiment, news, and macro factors can quickly shift the scenario. However, from a purely technical standpoint, the rising wedge pattern is a powerful signal that should not be ignored.
Wedge
#SUIUSDT #1D (Bitget Futures) Rising wedge near breakdownSui got drained from Cetus LP and is about to print a spinning top candle on daily.
A retracement down towards 100EMA / descending trendline support seems likely.
⚡️⚡️ #SUI/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (4.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Current Price:
3.9642
Entry Zone:
3.9947 - 4.2035
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 3.5901
1) 3.2068
1) 2.8235
Stop Targets:
1) 4.5250
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:SUI BITGET:SUIUSDT.P #1D #SuiNetwork #L2 sui.io
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +49.7% | +87.1% | +124.5%
Possible Loss= -41.6%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
AUD/CAD: Ducks in a Row for a Drop Below .8880?The ducks look to be lining up for AUD/CAD downside.
It was comprehensively rejected at the 200DMA a fortnight ago, followed by wedge break on Tuesday before sliding below the 50DMA on Thursday. It now sits perched on .8880, a level it attracted buying from earlier this month.
With RSI (14) sub-50 and MACD crossing over from above, momentum signals are shifting neutral to moderately bearish, favouring downside. With both moving averages trending lower, it reinforces the bearish picture.
If AUD/CAD breaks beneath .8880, considering initiating shorts targeting a return to support at .8800. A stop above .8880 would provide protection against reversal.
Should it hold .8880, the bearish backdrop suggests there are better setups to consider than flipping the trade and going long.
Good luck!
DS
Bitcoin may break support level and fall to support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. In this chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago declined, but then turned around and started to grow inside an upward wedge. Price at once rebounded from the support line of the wedge and made an upward impulse to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, after which it broke it and made a retest. Then BTC rose to the resistance line, after which it corrected to the 100900 support level and then started to slowly grow in the wedge. Some time later, Bitcoin rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area and even climbed a little higher to the resistance line of the wedge, but soon dropped to the support line. Next, price turned around and made an upward impulse from this line, breaking the 105800 level, and at once made a retest. After this movement, BTC continued to grow and reached the resistance line of the wedge, but recently it rolled down, so now I expect that the price can rise a little. After this movement, in my opinion, BTC can drop to the support line of the wedge, breaking the current support level. Therefore, I set my TP at this line - 104200 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
NEAR is here to stay!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After breaking above the falling wedge pattern, CBOE:NEAR has been overall bullish, trading within a rising broadening wedge 🔼 marked in blue and red.
📉 As it approaches the lower bound of the wedge — which perfectly intersects with the green support zone — we’ll be watching for short-term long opportunities 🎯.
From a long-term perspective, for the bulls to fully take control, a break above the $3.6 resistance is needed to confirm the next bullish wave 🚀.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
$GOOGL the pattern is there, target $152, short setup.NASDAQ:GOOGL You tell me. This looks so ready to go back below $150. My target is $152. I am entering puts right now with a strike price of $150 for 6/20 starting at $1.33 entry. I will add some on a push towards $167-$168. I will give up if it pushes through or holds at $170. This just looks to good TECHNICALLY in my opinion. I will keep you updated. I am willing to watch this position go down 65% where I will consider selling; looking at price and time to expiration. We are not out of the weeds yet when it comes to political rhetoric regarding tariffs even though this name shouldn't be affected by such because it is software, nothing physical but when the idea of tariffs are spewed the market as a whole reacts in negatively.
WSL.
Cryptocurrency: Analyzing the Digital Asset RevolutionSince Bitcoin’s creation in 2009, cryptocurrencies have evolved from a niche tech experiment into a dynamic sector disrupting global finance. Grounded in decentralization and blockchain technology, cryptocurrencies aim to remove intermediaries and redefine money.
Key Characteristics
Decentralization: Operate on peer-to-peer networks, free from central authority.
Blockchain Technology: Immutable, transparent ledger ensures trust and security.
Tokenization: Real-world assets like real estate or art can be turned into digital tokens.
Market Dynamics
As of 2024, total crypto market cap exceeded $2.5 trillion.
Bitcoin remains the dominant asset, but Ethereum’s smart contract ecosystem has catalyzed massive growth across DeFi and NFTs.
Opportunities and Risks
Opportunities:
Financial Inclusion: Access for the unbanked via mobile wallets and stablecoins.
Innovation: Enabling decentralized apps, automated lending, and cross-border payments.
Risks:
Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments are actively evaluating oversight frameworks.
Volatility: Sudden price swings create high risk for investors.
Security: Hacks and scams continue to plague the sector, especially in DeFi.
Conclusion
Cryptocurrencies have launched a financial paradigm shift, but for mass adoption to take root, regulation, user protection, and scalability must mature.
Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Setup on Silver (XAGUSD)Silver (XAG/USD) is currently trading within a bearish rising wedge formation on the 8-hour timeframe, and the market structure is hinting at a potential reversal to the downside. The confluence of resistance zones, pattern anatomy, and historical price action all point to a high-probability short setup, especially if key support levels are breached.
📈 Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge
A rising wedge is typically a bearish chart pattern that forms when price consolidates between two upward sloping trendlines. However, the upper trendline rises at a slower pace than the lower one—indicating decelerating bullish strength. It often precedes a bearish breakout, especially if volume decreases near the apex.
In this case, the wedge is forming just below a major resistance zone around the $34.00 area, adding weight to the bearish scenario.
🔹 Key Technical Levels :
🟥 Resistance Zone ($33.80–$34.80): Price has tested and rejected this area multiple times in recent weeks. It marks a clear liquidity zone where sellers are in control.
🟩 Support Zone ($29.50–$30.30): This zone has provided strong support in previous retracements. If broken, it may flip into resistance upon retest.
🟦 Retest Zone (~$31.00–$31.50): If the wedge breaks downward, price may retest this area—creating an opportunity for traders to enter short with better risk-reward.
🎯 Final Bearish Target : $26.85: This level is derived from the height of the wedge and prior demand zones, making it a strong target area in a fully played-out bearish move.
🧠 Market Structure & Sentiment:
Volume Analysis – Volume has been tapering off as the price squeezes within the wedge, which is a typical trait of rising wedges. A volume spike on breakdown would serve as confirmation.
Trend Analysis – While the overall trend in the medium term has been bullish, the weakening upward momentum suggests that buyers are losing strength, and sellers may regain control soon.
Rejection Candle s – Several recent candle wicks above the $33.50 zone show clear rejection and failure to close above, reinforcing the resistance level.
📊 Trade Plan (Educational Purposes Only):
Criteria Details
Bias Bearish (Rising Wedge Breakdown)
Entry Option 1 On breakdown of wedge + retest
Entry Option 2 Aggressive entry on breakdown candle close below $31.50
Stop Loss Above $33.80 (last resistance)
Take Profit 1 $30.00 (support zone)
Take Profit 2 $28.00 (partial exit)
Take Profit 3 $26.85 (final target)
📌 Trading Psychology Note:
Traders should remain patient and avoid entering prematurely. Let the pattern confirm itself with a clean break and retest. Risk management is critical—wedge patterns can also fake out before reversing hard.
🧾 Summary:
Silver is nearing the end of a rising wedge pattern, right under a heavy resistance zone. Historical behavior, weakening momentum, and classic wedge structure suggest a potential bearish reversal. A break below the wedge support and a retest around $31.00 could present a high-probability short trade setup targeting the $26.85 area.
Keep this chart on watch. A decisive move is likely coming soon.
XAUUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown in Play? | Bearish Setup Alert🧠 Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) has shown incredible bullish strength in recent months, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation uncertainty, and increased demand for safe-haven assets. However, every trend experiences a pause or correction — and that’s where we may currently be.
📊 Pattern Overview: Rising Wedge Formation
One of the most prominent technical patterns right now is the Rising Wedge. This is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when price action consolidates upwards in a narrowing range, indicating waning bullish momentum and an imminent breakdown.
In this chart:
We see a clear series of higher highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines.
The upper trendline acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower one has been supporting price until now.
The wedge has now broken to the downside, signaling the potential start of a new short-term downtrend.
🔍 Key Technical Elements Explained:
🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone
Marked in the blue rectangular box, this zone has acted as a historical pivot area — both as support and resistance in the past.
The market respected this zone multiple times.
Price action tends to hesitate or reverse in such regions due to large institutional order flows.
🧠 2. Black Mind Curve Resistance
Unlike flat trendlines, the "Black Mind Curve" represents a curved, psychological dynamic resistance — often based on market sentiment, Fibonacci arcs, or logarithmic regression.
It reflects the market’s natural rhythm and is respected due to the hidden behavior of algorithmic trading systems.
Price just rejected this resistance after touching it during the wedge formation — a strong bearish clue.
🔄 3. Retest in Progress
After breaking out of the rising wedge to the downside, price is now retesting the broken wedge support.
This is a common price behavior known as the “kiss of death” — a final tap before continuation.
If the price fails to reclaim this broken support zone, it confirms a bearish continuation is on the table.
🎯 Trade Plan: Entry, Target & Stop
Trade Element Details
Bias Bearish
Entry Idea On confirmation of retest rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing candle)
Stop Loss (SL) Above the recent high or resistance – near $3,413.58
Take Profit (TP) First major support near $3,153.70 (SR Interchange)
Risk-Reward Ratio Estimated between 1:2 to 1:3, depending on entry
🔥 Bonus Target: If momentum increases, an extended drop toward $3,100–$3,080 is possible — where deeper demand lies.
🧘♂️ Trading Psychology & Risk Management:
Let’s face it: Even the best setup can fail — which is why discipline is your edge.
Confirmation is Key: Never short just because of a pattern. Wait for structure + candlestick confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.).
Emotions Kill Accounts : Don’t let greed convince you to skip stop-losses or over-leverage.
Let Price Come to You: If you missed the perfect entry, don’t chase. The market always gives second chances.
🧠 Educational Insight : What Makes This Setup Powerful?
This setup is a confluence trade, meaning:
You’re not relying on one signal, but multiple confirmations:
Rising wedge (pattern-based)
Resistance zone (horizontal S&D)
Curved dynamic resistance (psychological + advanced trendline)
Retest + rejection behavior (price action)
These stacked layers of confirmation increase the probability of a successful trade.
📌 Final Thoughts:
Gold is showing all the technical signs of a short-term bearish correction, despite the broader bullish narrative. For smart traders, this is an opportunity to catch a swing short with a clear entry, stop, and target.
The key to winning here? Patience and confirmation.
You don’t have to predict the market — just react to it with logic and discipline. Let the setup unfold naturally, and let the trade come to you.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Are you shorting Gold here or waiting for more confirmation?
Have you used curved resistance lines before in your analysis?
Drop your thoughts below — and if this helped you, smash the like button, share with others, and follow me for more high-probability setups!
#FETUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Falling wedge breakout and retestFetch just regained 100EMA support and looks good for bullish continuation from here.
⚡️⚡️ #FET/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (4.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
0.7863
Entry Zone:
0.7806 - 0.7504
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 0.8561
1) 0.9244
1) 0.9926
Stop Targets:
1) 0.6897
Published By: @Zblaba
NYSE:FET BITGET:FETUSDT.P #4h #Fetch #AI fetch.ai
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.3% | +83.0% | +118.7%
Possible Loss= -39.6%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
BTC Potential Short-Term PullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT could be setting itself up for a short-term pullback.
It might be forming a Daily RSI Bear Divergence, with the latest retest of the the main supply zone, and RSI Divs/Breakouts have been reliable leading signals for recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA.
Key Levels to Watch
• $119k - Measured wedge target, confirmed with last month's breakout.
• $106.2k-$109.5k - Main supply and ATH, a sustained break above it would invalidate any bearish PA.
• $89.6k-$91.9k - Lots of confluence here:
- Unmitigated daily FVG
- The 200-day EMA is sitting there
- A move here would be between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement of the last leg up, consistent with the typical pullback length of Wave 2 (Elliott Waves theory)
- It has also been an important S/R since November 2024, and a retracement here could form an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
I would be patient with it, as I still see a lot of uncertainty short-term, but I think a pullback to ~$90k could offer a great long entry. Worth keeping a close eye on it.
FILUSDT — the formation is repeating, the structure is familiar.Filecoin(FIL) - is a decentralized storage system with the goal of "storing humanity's most important information." During its initial coin offering (ICO) in 2017, the project raised $205 million. The launch was initially planned for mid-2019, but the mainnet launch date was postponed until block 148,888, which occurred on October 15, 2020.
📍 CoinMarketCap : #50
📍 Twitter(X) : 667.3K
🔍 What I observe:
I’ve added the full trading history to the chart for better understanding (the chart on exchanges is cut off). The coin is liquid. I also added the prices for the public and private offerings.
There’s a large horizontal channel, or more specifically, a channel within a channel, which has been active for about 1111 days.
After another drop, a descending wedge formed, and now we are witnessing a breakout of its resistance (a retest is possible).
These patterns are ones I regularly track and trade, based on personal experience accumulated over the years and my strategy.
📊 I’ve plotted the nearest resistances and target prices with movement percentage calculations.
💭 It’s quite possible that this formation in the lower part of the wedge, coinciding with the area of lows on the support of the outer channel, was used to gather liquidity and shake out weak hands.
I also want to point out the large wicks in this zone - a characteristic pattern for accumulation points and subsequent reversals.
______
📌 Not financial advice. Observing structure and recurring phases.
Operate within your strategy and with an awareness of risks.
Huge crash for Usdt Dominance Ignore the smaller Time frames guys let's see the bigger and better picture of where BTC can top this cycle
As you can see i have shared the Monthly Chart of USDT Dominance.
It's already broke the trendline support and rising channel on monthly. NOW we are heading to our targets of approx 1.91% and 1.5%. It seems like a joke today but yes it's possible. Ignore the 4h charts and total mess that people are showing. Hold Tight and Enjoy the ride.
Let's see where btc price can go if USDT dominance hits our targets.
If USDT dominance drops to 1.91% we can see Btc at range of 220000$ - 250000$
If USDT dominance drops to 1.51% we can see Btc at range of 250000$ to 350000$
Yes it's possible.
Wait and watch enjoy the ride you can exit anywhere you want it's not a financial advise.
But exiting too early after a long wait will be a regret.
👍 Regards Trader Scorpio ♏
Ugly SP500 Reaction to Treasury YieldsUnlike other headline news, long term interest rates breaking out to the upside is an immediate threat to equity prices especially if it's driven by bond vigilantes rather than strong economic news. This will immediately compress valuations and particularly hurt high growth and small caps the most. In addition, this is not a one-off headline where equities markets can easily shake it off and continue to rally. I think we're going to test the gap ~$567 on AMEX:SPY after breaking down from a rising wedge and triggering the PSAR flip.
GBPUSD Bearish Setup📌 Current Market Structure
Liquidity Sweep + Rejection in Premium Zone:
Price tapped into the major supply zone (red box) sitting above the last high.
Liquidity above previous highs was swept, and now price is rejecting → a classic buy-side liquidity grab setup.
Bearish Rising Wedge Structure Broken:
Price broke the inner rising wedge (red trendlines) to the downside and is now retesting the supply zone.
Breakdown aligns with a potential reversal entry or at least a bearish pullback.
Higher Timeframe Supply Zone:
The red zone coincides with the 1.34782 resistance, which price failed to break cleanly above.
This zone holds institutional footprints → possible smart money distribution.
🧠 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias Confirmed)
✅ Entry: Already activated inside the red supply zone.
📍 Stop Loss: Just above the red box (around 1.3480).
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: 1.33281 → minor demand zone and previous consolidation.
TP2: 1.32870 → previous BOS retest zone.
TP3: 1.32543 → deep demand zone and trendline intersection.
TP4: 1.31759–1.31554 → external liquidity resting below structure (long-term target).
🔻 Risk-to-Reward: Excellent potential up to 1:5+ RR if TP4 hits.
🔄 Reversal Signals Confirmation
Watch for:
Bearish engulfing candles with rising volume inside the red zone (VSA style).
Displacement candle or M5–M15 BOS confirming internal structure shift.
⚠️ Invalidation Zone
If price closes a 1H candle above 1.3480, setup is invalidated.
Watch out for possible manipulation during the vertical blue lines (likely high-impact news).
🔮 Forecast:
Expecting a mid- to long-term retracement or reversal back to the 1.31700s – 1.32800s region, based on the current rejection from premium supply and completion of a liquidity sweep.
BB/USDT – Bullish Setup with Wedge Breakout Potential | 1H ChartBBUSDT is currently presenting a strong bullish technical structure backed by multiple confirmations:
🔹 A double bottom has formed, signaling potential trend reversal.
🔹 Bullish divergence on the RSI strengthens the bullish outlook, showing hidden buying pressure.
🔹 Price action is compressing within a symmetrical wedge, and no bearish reversal patterns are currently observed.
A breakout above the wedge resistance trendline could lead to further upside continuation.
📌 Entry: $0.18554 (upon confirmed breakout)
🛡️ Stop Loss: $0.16322 (below structure support)
🎯 Target: $0.21591 (+15.13%) — You may also set your take-profit levels based on your own risk-reward ratio and trading style.
As long as the structure holds and no bearish confirmation appears, the setup remains valid. Always manage risk accordingly.
FETUSDT : Massive Opportunity or Fakeout Trap?Yello Paradisers, have you been watching FET lately? If not, now is the time to pay close attention—because this setup could be gearing up for a serious move, and missing it might mean missing one of the cleanest opportunities this month. Let’s break it down before it’s too late.
💎FETUSDT is currently displaying a bullish market structure on the higher timeframes, signaling growing strength beneath the surface. Even more compelling is the fact that it has just formed a classic falling wedge pattern—a powerful reversal setup—paired with a bullish divergence. This combination significantly increases the probability of a bullish breakout from current levels.
💎Right now, price is sitting right on a key support zone, which is reinforced by the 200 EMA. This confluence of support gives added confidence to the setup and boosts the probability of an upside move. The risk-to-reward ratio from this zone is also highly attractive, making this one of those clean opportunities that traders should never ignore. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as price holds above our invalidation zone.
💎However, if the price breaks down and closes below this invalidation level, then the entire bullish idea is off the table. In that scenario, it’s wiser to stay patient and wait for stronger, more reliable price action to develop before re-entering the market. There’s no need to rush a trade when better setups are always around the corner.
Discipline, timing, and execution will always separate the professionals from the crowd. Stay focused, Paradisers—the market rewards those who move with purpose, not panic.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
XAUUSD | Liquidity Grab to BreakoutHello traders!
We’re currently observing a clean breakout setup on Gold (XAUUSD).
After a strong bullish structure with higher lows, price formed a rising wedge pattern, followed by a sharp fake-out and liquidity grab below trendline support.
The market quickly reclaimed the zone and is now breaking above the wedge’s descending resistance line with strength.
I’m anticipating a continuation to the upside, potentially toward the $3340–$3350 area, marked by the green target zone.
This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward opportunity, especially as price respected the lower liquidity sweep and confirmed with a bullish engulfing on the retest.
⚠️ Still, this is a reactive play — if the price closes below the grey zone, I will exit and reassess.
This is a short-to-medium term idea based on market structure, volume reaction, and breakout dynamics.
Good Luck!
DISCIPLINE
Strive for patience, perseverance, determination, & rational action.
Protect your capital. Use stop losses.
Never move or remove your stop just because price moves against you.
This is just my perspective — feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
If you find this analysis helpful, your support is appreciated! 🙌
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Always plan your trade, and trade your plan.
Bearish Reversal Confirmed – BTC Rising Wedge TrapBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1H timeframe is displaying a bearish reversal structure after failing to sustain a breakout above key resistance. The recent price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which typically precedes a downside correction, especially when formed near a key supply zone. Let’s break down the setup:
🔍 Technical Analysis Overview:
🔹 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish)
A rising wedge is visible near the top of the recent bullish impulse. This wedge is characterized by converging trendlines with higher highs and higher lows, but with diminishing momentum. It typically signals a weakening uptrend and a potential trend reversal or correction once price breaks below the lower wedge boundary.
The breakout to the downside has already begun, confirming bearish intent.
🔹 2. SR Interchange Zone
The blue zone marked in the chart represents a Support-Resistance Interchange (SR Flip). This was previously an area of consolidation and breakout, acting as a key decision zone. Price is expected to retest this zone after the wedge breakdown before continuing further down.
This creates a perfect "Break → Retest → Drop" scenario, often favored by institutional and swing traders.
🔹 3. Consolidation Structure
Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was stuck in a prolonged consolidation phase. This type of ranging price action often accumulates orders before a breakout. Once broken, these zones serve as magnets for pullbacks or liquidity grabs, and are frequently retested.
🔹 4. Target Zone
The measured move from the rising wedge pattern points to a target near $101,617, which aligns with a previous structural low and a potential demand zone. This area could serve as the next major support level.
🎯 Trade Strategy & Setup:
Entry: After confirmation of breakdown and a clean retest of the SR zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Just above the wedge high and structural resistance (~$108,020).
Target (TP): $101,617 (downside projection based on wedge height and price structure).
📌 Risk-Reward Setup: 1:3+ possible if retest confirms.
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
This setup reflects a common smart-money behavior where price forms a bullish-looking structure (rising wedge), entices buyers, and then traps them with a swift breakdown. The SR retest provides a low-risk shorting opportunity. Patience is key — let price come to your level before entering.
🚨 Risk Note:
If BTC reclaims and holds above the $108,020 level, the bearish thesis may be invalidated. Always wait for confirmation before execution.