CADJPY, D1Hello Traders,
Welcome to my analysis of CADJPY.
Here I've highlighted in the chart a rising wedge in the middle of a downtrend shown with higher lows and lower highs.
I'm waiting for this pair to continue to the last bullish rally and then show signs of reversal around the 77.000 area.
After signs of reversal and confirmation is shown I will be looking to follow the trend downwards to an area of 74.700 at the minimum. Price could also continue to drop below that level if market conditions allow.
Please share your views, like and comment and even give me a follow :)
Thanks, Roo.
Please note, I am not a professional trader and do not control the market. These are simple ideas based on what I see and what I have learnt. Risk is on you if you choose to follow as I cannot be responsible for your Forex account.
Wedgepatterns
The Descending Broadening WedgeA descending broadening wedge is bullish chart pattern (said to be a reversal pattern). It is formed by two diverging bullish lines.
A descending broadening wedge is confirmed/valid if it has good oscillation between the two upward lines . The upper line is the resistance line; the lower line is the support line.
Each of these lines must have been touched at least twice to validate the pattern.
NB: a line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times.
This implies that the descending broadening wedge pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
A descending broadening wedge does not mark the exhaustion of the selling current, but the buyers’ ambition to take control. The divergence of the two lines in the same direction (increase in price magnitude) informs us that the price continues to fall with movements that are increasingly low in magnitude. The sellers manage to make the price rebound on the resistance line but lose control after the formation of a new lowest point. The highest point reached during the first correction on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line forms the resistance. A second wave of decline then occurs of more magnitude, signalling the sellers' loss of control after a new lowest point. A third wave forms afterwards but the sellers lose control again after the formation of new lowest points.
During the formation of a descending broadening wedge , volumes do not behave in any particular way but they increase strongly when the support line breaks. source:Centralcharts
In 80% of cases, the exit is bullish.
In 75% of cases, a descending broadening wedge is a reversal pattern.
In 60% of cases, a descending broadening wedge’s price objective is achieved when the resistance line is broken.
In 21% of cases, the price makes a pullback in support on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line.
This type of pattern appears during the correction in a bullish movement, it is a bullish continuation pattern. Resumption of the bullish movement after correction.
The break in the resistance line definitively validates the pattern.
The price objective is given by plotting the wedge’s maximum height onto the breaking point
NB: pullbacks are harmful to the pattern’s performance.
Statistics of the descending broadening wedge after a bullish movement
- In 79% of cases, the exit is bullish.
- In 23% of cases, a descending broadening wedge occurs in a consolidation movement.
- In 81% of cases, the pattern's price objective is achieved when the resistance line is broken.
- In 40% of cases, the price makes a pullback in support on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line.
The Ascending Broadening WedgeAn ascending broadening wedge is a bearish chart pattern (said to be a reversal pattern). It is formed by two diverging bullish lines.
An ascending broadening wedge is confirmed/valid if it has good oscillation between the two upward lines. The upper line is the resistance line; the lower line is the support line.
Each of these lines must have been touched at least twice to validate the pattern.
NB: a line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times.
This implies that the ascending broadening wedge pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
An ascending broadening wedge does not mark the exhaustion of the buying current, but the sellers’ ambition to take control. The divergence of the two lines in the same direction (increase in price magnitude) informs us that the price continues to increase with movements that are increasingly high in magnitude. The buyers manage to make the price rebound on the support line but lose control after the formation of a new highest point. The lowest point reached during the first correction on the ascending broadening wedge’s support line forms the support. A second wave of increase then occurs with more magnitude, signalling the loss of buyers' control after a new highest point. A third wave is formed afterwards but buyers lose control again after the formation of new highest points.
During the formation of an ascending broadening wedge , volumes do not behave in any particular way but they increase strongly when the support line breaks.
This type of pattern appears during the correction in a bearish movement, it is a bearish continuation pattern. Resumption of the bearish movement after correction.
The break in the support line definitively validates the pattern.
The price objective is given by plotting the wedge’s maximum height onto the breaking point
NB: pullbacks are harmful to the pattern’s performance.
Statistics of the ascending broadening wedge after a trough
- In 79% of cases, the exit is bearish.
- In 23% of cases, an ascending broadening wedge occurs in a consolidation movement.
- In 81% of cases, the pattern's price objective is achieved when the support line is broken.
- In 40% of cases, the price makes a pullback in resistance on the ascending broadening wedge’s support line.
Falling Wedge After Falling WedgeXRP/USD is forming it's third falling wedge pattern since September. If we see a breakout of the smaller falling wedge we could see a breakout of the larger wedge. I anticipate this to happen as you can see the volume has consistently risen since December 2019. A breakout really isn't a breakout unless there is volume and that is what we have. If we can break out of the long term falling wedge, $0.60-$0.70 is the target price.
*This is not financial advice*
What is an ascending broadening wedge? (Educational, Example) An ascending broadening wedge is a bearish chart pattern (said to be a reversal pattern). It is formed by two diverging bullish lines.
An ascending broadening wedge is confirmed/valid if it has good oscillation between the two upward lines. The upper line is the resistance line; the lower line is the support line.
Each of these lines must have been touched at least twice to validate the pattern.
NB: a line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times.
This implies that the ascending broadening wedge pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
An ascending broadening wedge does not mark the exhaustion of the buying current, but the sellers’ ambition to take control. The divergence of the two lines in the same direction (increase in price magnitude) informs us that the price continues to increase with movements that are increasingly high in magnitude. The buyers manage to make the price rebound on the support line but lose control after the formation of a new highest point. The lowest point reached during the first correction on the ascending broadening wedge’s support line forms the support. A second wave of increase then occurs with more magnitude, signalling the loss of buyers' control after a new highest point. A third wave is formed afterwards but buyers lose control again after the formation of new highest points.
During the formation of an ascending broadening wedge, volumes do not behave in any particular way but they increase strongly when the support line breaks.
BTC Dominance (Prj.Y19.P2.E1).Near reversal zoneA number of points to make.
> Descending wedge in play with the probability or likelyhood to break out on the upside
> Previous descending wedge did break up
> EMA ribbon is hinting a constriction and a breakout near
> We have a double bottom with an acting support line from the previous resistance, as per the red zone\line at 68.2%
Its possible that its already broken out
Close up view
Macro view on the 4 HRLY
We have the 20, 100 and 200 EMA's on the 4 HRLY
Daily chart view
ZCASH Wedge Trade Setup // ZECUSD 4R TradeTrade set up for ZCASH (ZECUSD) using the falling wedge pattern. Wait for the broken level of the resistance line becoming support. Enter on the retest of the support line for a LONG position.
ZECUSD continued to respect the horizontal support resistance line that I drew weeks ago.
long term channel and falling wedgeFalling wedge on Daily/Weekly timeframes that is in sync with a rising wedge on the USDEUR pair.
We should see a little boost up before end of august.
I'm currently spectator and see if we either retest the support line or try to break up the resistance from here.
Only sharing this chart to get some thoughts out of you guys. I'm currently in the middle of the learning curve and I'm after comments and advices.
Thanks !
We're still in a wedge. Get some sleep traders. My previous wedge is still valid. Had a $80 fall and rise at the wedge closing. But overall, we are in a bigger wedge. We'll be going sideways for another day.
Analysis is still that we're going down to 3200's, we might get a possible retrace to the last support around 3600, then crash down.
Go get some sleep.
My Past 4 Wedge calls I"ve caught these 4 wedges over the past 3 weeks. I've noticed that whether ascending or descending doesn't matter in crypto, but you will definitely get big price movement at the tip. I buy in when the wedge is closing in and set a very tight stop loss. Then ride out the ridiculous price fluctuations.