EOS Scenarios - Bounce off 240 day EMAEOS has broken down through my optimistic consolidation pattern and has broken down through the 120 day EMA. Seems likely at this point to retest both the wider consolidation pattern that's formed as well as touch down on the 240 day EMA. As long as your stop loss is set below the 480 day EMA, I think you'll be in the clear for a nice long position (keep that leverage down on a swing trade like this).
I've laid out three paths I see as possibly - color coded by which EMA will act as final support. I would love to see us fail the retest of the 120 day EMA and continue our bull run, but the OBV seems to indicate that we'll see a little more of a dip. Most likely scenario I see playing out is a successful retest of the 240 day EMA (and expanded consolidation triangle) and then up through the various resistances and supports - back on our way.
$8.628 is a good target. Just rolls off the tongue. Stop loss below 480 day EMA. This is a horrible risk/reward as-is, but I will DCA into the position at the 240 day EMA touch and the 480 day EMA touch. That said, a longer term target of $16 or $22 or, hell, $7000? Well that makes for a fine risk to reward.
Wedgepennet
LINKUSDT is inside falling wedge 🦐LINKUSDT is inside a falling wedge after the price broke daily ascending channel. If the price will have a breakout upwards and retest the previous daily resistance as new support, we can look for a long, otherwise, if the price will break the wedge downside, According to Plancton's strategy (check our Academy), we can set a nice order
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
QKCBTC is inside a huge descending wedge 🦐QKCBTC is inside a huge descending wedge and the price is trying to have a breakout. IF the price will have a breakout upwards and turn the current resistance into new support, According to Plancton's strategy (check our Academy), we can set a nice order
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
ADAUSDT created a rising wedge 🦐ADAUSDT created a rising wedge, and now the price is testing weekly resistance.
IF the price will lose the daily support and turns it into resistance, According to Plancton's strategy, we can set a nice order
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
BATUSDT bounce on weekly support 🦐BATUSDT bounce on weekly support and now the price is trying to have a breakout from the falling wedge.
IF the price will break the current daily resistance and turn it into support, According to Plancton's strategy, we can set a nice order
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
BTCUSDT creates wedge inside huge triangle 🦐BTCUSDT creates wedge inside huge triangle, be careful.
I'm neutral at the moment
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Bullish week ahead for USDCAD?USDCAD has been consolidating at the 1.35400 zone after making a falling wedge pattern on the 4 hour timeframe before consolidating and making high highs and higher lows shortly after, ending the previous day on a bullish pinbar candlestick rejecting the 1.35400 zone. We are likely to see the price going bullish all the way to the 1.38500 zone.
Thanks for viewing.
Comment with your thoughts I'd like to hear them.
Disclaimer
the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
The Descending Broadening WedgeA descending broadening wedge is bullish chart pattern (said to be a reversal pattern). It is formed by two diverging bullish lines.
A descending broadening wedge is confirmed/valid if it has good oscillation between the two upward lines . The upper line is the resistance line; the lower line is the support line.
Each of these lines must have been touched at least twice to validate the pattern.
NB: a line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times.
This implies that the descending broadening wedge pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
A descending broadening wedge does not mark the exhaustion of the selling current, but the buyers’ ambition to take control. The divergence of the two lines in the same direction (increase in price magnitude) informs us that the price continues to fall with movements that are increasingly low in magnitude. The sellers manage to make the price rebound on the resistance line but lose control after the formation of a new lowest point. The highest point reached during the first correction on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line forms the resistance. A second wave of decline then occurs of more magnitude, signalling the sellers' loss of control after a new lowest point. A third wave forms afterwards but the sellers lose control again after the formation of new lowest points.
During the formation of a descending broadening wedge , volumes do not behave in any particular way but they increase strongly when the support line breaks. source:Centralcharts
In 80% of cases, the exit is bullish.
In 75% of cases, a descending broadening wedge is a reversal pattern.
In 60% of cases, a descending broadening wedge’s price objective is achieved when the resistance line is broken.
In 21% of cases, the price makes a pullback in support on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line.
This type of pattern appears during the correction in a bullish movement, it is a bullish continuation pattern. Resumption of the bullish movement after correction.
The break in the resistance line definitively validates the pattern.
The price objective is given by plotting the wedge’s maximum height onto the breaking point
NB: pullbacks are harmful to the pattern’s performance.
Statistics of the descending broadening wedge after a bullish movement
- In 79% of cases, the exit is bullish.
- In 23% of cases, a descending broadening wedge occurs in a consolidation movement.
- In 81% of cases, the pattern's price objective is achieved when the resistance line is broken.
- In 40% of cases, the price makes a pullback in support on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line.
The Ascending Broadening WedgeAn ascending broadening wedge is a bearish chart pattern (said to be a reversal pattern). It is formed by two diverging bullish lines.
An ascending broadening wedge is confirmed/valid if it has good oscillation between the two upward lines. The upper line is the resistance line; the lower line is the support line.
Each of these lines must have been touched at least twice to validate the pattern.
NB: a line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times.
This implies that the ascending broadening wedge pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
An ascending broadening wedge does not mark the exhaustion of the buying current, but the sellers’ ambition to take control. The divergence of the two lines in the same direction (increase in price magnitude) informs us that the price continues to increase with movements that are increasingly high in magnitude. The buyers manage to make the price rebound on the support line but lose control after the formation of a new highest point. The lowest point reached during the first correction on the ascending broadening wedge’s support line forms the support. A second wave of increase then occurs with more magnitude, signalling the loss of buyers' control after a new highest point. A third wave is formed afterwards but buyers lose control again after the formation of new highest points.
During the formation of an ascending broadening wedge , volumes do not behave in any particular way but they increase strongly when the support line breaks.
This type of pattern appears during the correction in a bearish movement, it is a bearish continuation pattern. Resumption of the bearish movement after correction.
The break in the support line definitively validates the pattern.
The price objective is given by plotting the wedge’s maximum height onto the breaking point
NB: pullbacks are harmful to the pattern’s performance.
Statistics of the ascending broadening wedge after a trough
- In 79% of cases, the exit is bearish.
- In 23% of cases, an ascending broadening wedge occurs in a consolidation movement.
- In 81% of cases, the pattern's price objective is achieved when the support line is broken.
- In 40% of cases, the price makes a pullback in resistance on the ascending broadening wedge’s support line.
Chart of the Day: ES1! Continuation WedgeWhen's a wedge a wedge and when is it a pennant formation?
To answer this question:-
#1 The wedge occurred post a trend-break which from experience is usually an ABCD down move at the minimum
#2 The wedge is situated at a key interim support level (note the key SSR level at 2800)
#3 Price action is now clustering below a new SSR level
#4 Price action tried and failed to break through key MA resistance
#5 The intra-day high is a 61.8% retracement of the AB leg
The ES1! broke down because of a breakdown in trade negotiation between the Trump administration and China. Fundamentally speaking, nothing has changed during this consolidation phase to make me think markets are going for a melt-up. So, in my opinion, this is a continuation wedge aka pennant formation.
The Chinese have articulated their red lines which are a function of sovereignty and economic reality. Whereas the Trump administration seems hell-bent on gunboat diplomacy to achieve a Plaza Accord type agreement and is seemingly lumping China in the same vein as Iran in terms of its maximum pressure doctrine. A 90-day reprieve for Huawei does little to soothe the tensions between the US and China. Rhetoric from China suggests a hardening of attitudes reinforcing the view that China view Trump as an untrustworthy negotiating partner and is hunkering down for the long term.
Given the mutual distrust, it would appear a real deal is unlikely and the odds of a cold war type scenario is increasingly likely and the higher likelihood of Trump’s unforced policy errors upsetting an overvalued equity market with weakening fundamentals. The fact that S&P500 companies derive approximately half of their earnings from international markets seem to escape the trade hawks within the Trump administration.
As always , sell when you can. This is just an opinion, do your own homework and this is not a solicitation to trade or otherwise.
For more information on SSR levels, search scripts for Significant Force Support and Resistance.
We're still in a wedge. Get some sleep traders. My previous wedge is still valid. Had a $80 fall and rise at the wedge closing. But overall, we are in a bigger wedge. We'll be going sideways for another day.
Analysis is still that we're going down to 3200's, we might get a possible retrace to the last support around 3600, then crash down.
Go get some sleep.
We're in another wedge! Buy in and set a tight stop lossThe Wedge Master is at it again. It seems, we're in another wedge, around 4am-12pm PST we will have huge movement again. With crypto, it is hard to predict which way wedges will break out. So my technique has been to buy as the wedge closes in and set a tight stop loss about 1-2% under the line of my wedge. Here I am anticipating more down to retest our previous low at 3200. We might possibly get a small inverted bart back up before the bear market continues to retest lows. If so, I'll take the profits as soon as the price spikes. No 6k hopium smoking for me just yet.