Bearish Bat - GBPCHF - Weekly ChartLong term perspective of GBPCHF . Spotted Bearish Bat in GBPCHF.
It will be a dream setup if this is fulfilled.
TP1: 1.3779 (1270 pips)
TP2: 1.2896 (2153pips)
SL: 1.5807 (-758pips)
Expected completion by 21 Sep 2020 (optimal). Latest completion before 27 Feb 2023
Open position only when price completes its retracement from 1.5049 to 1.5204 back to 1.5049.
Weeklychart
Nasdaq Weekly Profit-Taking Zones The bull run on Nasdaq continues to break records. Many don't recognize that runs that move parabolic like this are more likely to continue than reverse....but they do eventually reverse. And when that occurs, it's rarely gentle. Taking profits in a market like this is difficult. These are the zones I'm watching to act as inflection points, just in case this monster trend does reverse:
Orange (8138.5-8175.5) : This zone is the most recent and likely support at the current date. If Nasdaq stays above ~8140, the potential for a parabolic break to the upside (similar to June 2019) remains the expectation. Buy-the-Dip for short-term gains is the plan as long as we stay within orange. Break below the orange zone (a 2.4% loss from Tuesday's all-time high), and this wave higher is done. Expect at least a few weeks of rest with price going sideways, but more likely a more severe pullback period. Breaking down below the orange zone without breaking above it first will trigger exiting most long-sided trades, including the majority of longer-term bullish positions. I plan to hold only defensives, metals, maybe a few growth names with a trailing stop.
Pink (7863.5-7974.5) : This zone represents a 5%-6% drop from the all-time high. Falling into this zone on a single day that opened in the orange zone is reason for significant medium-term concern. Closing a week within the pink zone would lead me to exit any remaining long-term longs on the next sign of strength, such as a 50% retracement. I'd also be looking to open short-sided trades at that point. If the pink zone is tested from above, holds, and produces a weekly close above it, I'll scale out of bearish trades and be on the lookout for short-term, oversold, high reward:risk ratio long opportunities, anticipating at least some attempted bounce.
Red (7511-7697) : This zone is 8%-10% below the current ATH and represents the final support point before the very bottom of the long-term bullish trend (established back in 2009 and most recently tested in December, 2018). Short-term bearish trades opened in the pink zone will have 1st targets in the red zone. Close below it, and we are in for wild volatility with wide daily trading ranges. I'd not want to be watching charts if I was a long-term investor and not a trader, but it should be a fun day to day trade if given the opportunity. Main support (7270) likely holds at least once, but we're talking a 12% drop from all-time highs there. Establishing support in or below the red zone should be enough to stabilize a move back to the top of the rising wedge, but if it tries and doesn't make it back above pink, it's time to get VERY short (head and shoulders pattern).
Note the bearish divergence on the indicators (along with short-term trend change confluence on the RSI and TMF similar to January 2018). We likely test the mid-point on these indicators, then make another higher high similar to March, 2018. IF both indicators fall below the midline (like October, 2018), sell or shorting on a lower high.
GWO Double Bottom 200SMA GWO has recently passed the 200MA on the weekly chart signalling a strong reversal in the price trend from bearish to bullish. after price showed a double bottom reversal, the price rebounded to break the resistance and cross over the 200SMA indicating a strong bullish trend. Price showed a similar pattern of a double bottom reversal crossing the 200MA in late 2011/early 2012 leading to a strong rally seeing the price increase almost 50% after breaking the resistance. the price target is 45-47.50 (35%)
Weekly chart Yellow ascending triangle vs. red bear pennant: Hard to tell which one of these 2 current patterns is the more dominant chart pattern here but if the inverse h&s ends up triggering on the 1 day chart then the yellow ascending triangle here on the weekly will likely end up being the one that gets validated.
USDCAD Going Lower ?The weekly chart has been trending downward for some time. It has been making lower lows and lower highs and looks to be making a new lower low. I think I'll let this one play out for a little while and see if it pulls back to the upper trend line before placing a short position.
Please let me know what you think. I'm open to suggestions.
XAUUSD Down?For the price action, candlestick analysis people out there, The weekly chart shows a Shooting star/Bearish Pin bar on the Weekly chart and a confirmation of it with the week just passed with a weekly candle close below the low of that Shooting star/pin bar. This is a pretty compelling reason to look for sells at least down to that red zone in my opinion. However, It is in a strong bullish uptrend, so it can really continue upwards. And when trading against trend it is hard to say how far we can go but I'm leaning towards looking for sells if the market can break through the red zone it is in, and the green zone as well.
Trade at your own risk, Unfortunately, I am not a professional and this is not professional advice, maybe one day it will be, until then use your own analysis as well.
PatiencePays
XRPUSD still consolidating in a 1wk bullflag w/a target of .6368I think XRPUSD will continue to consolidate sideways for a week or 2 or 3 finding good support on the weekly 50ma...and once it nears the last 2 remaining potential top trendlines of the 1 month chart's giant descending triangle we've been in for almost 2 years(the dotted yellow line and the pink log chart line), once it nears those w will s it start to gain the momentum necessary to break out of the weekly bull flag and thus the giant descending triangle...hitting the bull flags breakout target of $.63684 cents first and then likely one of the descending triangle breakout targets depending which one is most valid.
Ethereum's path to $500 now firmly set in motion after c&h break Ethereum is now confirming a breakout of a weekly chart bullflag that should take it to at least $366 but more impressive is the cup and handle pattern on he 1 day chart it seems to be triggering at the same time which has a potential breakout target of $499. Now it's true cup and handle breakouts often fall slightly short of their projected target, but there's also several instances where price action far exceeds the projected target as well. Whatever happens I'm definitely long. I feel even if it corrects before $500 it will get there sooner rather than later.
Simple candlestick analysis on the btcusd weekly chartSimply put, our weekly candle just closed as a bullish engulfing candle...that means that it covers the entire previous weekly red candle and more. This is almost always a very reliable sign of incoming bullish action and I would think even more so on the weekly timeframe. I'm most certainly bullish and think 9.6k-10k before our first real 31-41% correction is likely...however at this point we could even visit 11,12, or even 13k before the big correction..hard to tell...I do hear talk of a gap on the CME chart at around 8500 however and we all know gaps always get filled, so whenever we have our big correction we will likely revisit 8.5k if we don't do a bear trap before then to fill the gap. Anyways, in summation: Bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart? Should be an easy long....lets see if it pans out.
Guess which trendline continues to keep breaking bitcoins fall?The weekly stochrsis ascending support trendline has performed phenomenally this entire bull run. It still refuses to submit or bend the knee. Each time during the bullrun i seemed as if the big 31-41% correction was finally about to happen the fall was stopped short as the bullish momentum was bounced up off of this trendline. Once again this has happened to our most recent price action which should allow it to get one more good bull pump before finally breaking through this trendline. Every time we've had a dip I haven't been worried and will continue to see those dips as bear traps until we close a weekly candle with the blue and orange lines under this trendline or if we flip it to clear resistance...this support line has been by far the best indicator this entire bull run and will very likely continue to be. Look up my other ideas I've posted the past few weeks and you will see just how consistant i has been.
$BTC: One final push upside, 33% correction, then rip to $11.5k!Dear all,
Enjoy this chart. All details are in the chart, showcasing the confluence of bearish indicators for the 33% correction within this BULL market.
In summary:
1- One final push to the upside (9.8-10k levels) this week
2- 33% correction to the 50% fib in June
3- rip to $11.5k in July/August, after the RSI and Stoch RSI have cooled off to oversold regions
Projected price action is in light blue on the chart.
Cheers,
Leb Crypto
The weekly stochrsi trendline that refuses to bend the kneethroughout the recent bear scare where for a moment it looked like we may finally be seeing the 31%-41% correction anticipated to follow our current parabolic uptrend, the ascending green trendline on our weekly stochrsi has held vigilant support only slightly teasing a peek below it briefly which now there is no longer any trace of. This line has held strong support through the entire 2019 bull run this far and still has 34 days left of which it may continue to hold support...if it does so we may not see the big correction until the end of June. Once we close a weekly candle below this line odds are good that's the signal that the big correction is upon us but we have a chance in the meantime to ride this further up to 9.6 -10k range and possibly even 11k before that correction sets in. So as has been this entire uptrend this trendline still remains the most important one to keep your eyes on to tell whether or not any current dips that are occurring are going to be shortlived or be much more significant. We are still currently rangebound between 7.4k support and 8,5k resistance and until either gets a close above resistance or below support we will remain that way. I think the ascending green trendline shown here will maintain support long enough to carry us up above 8.5 and onward to 9.6
Support vs Resistance Epic Showdown! 1wk Stochrsi vs 1wk 50mathe 2 big players in that have been battling it out in the charts for the past couple weeks have been this strong weekly ascending trendline on the stochrsi as support and the weekly 50ma(in orange) as strong resistance. It has been a crazy battle one it looked like only a few days ago the weekly 50ma was going to win...but as we touched down on the stochrsi we saw yet another bounce to keep price action fighting the resistance of the 50 weekly and at least for now refusing to back down. If I had to pick a safe spot to try and sell any of my position this would be it with price action touching the underside of the 50week ma still as resistance. I would then put a stop loss auto buy a few pips above here around 5670. Bottom line is what we are looking for is a weekly candle to close above the 50 weekly ma until then probability slightly favors that it will be the stochrsi trendline that breaks first....pay no mind to the random lines just under the weekly 50ma...those are triangle patterns that only make sense on smaller timeframe charts. I may sell a little more here with a tight stoploss auto buy above but we still have over 3 days left in this weekly candle and I think its true direction isn't going to reveal itself just yet until closer to the weekly candle close. one thing to watch until we get closer to that weekly close is the greed fear indicator on bitcin if there is more greed by the time we close the candle we are likely going down...if theres more fear we may actually break above. Lastly, if we do close a weekly candle above the 50 week ma it will be very interesting but it is still not absolute confirmation that we will be continuing upward we always need to show patience and see how the follow up confirmation candle behaves as well as the volume before things are fully confirmed. As of right now though, this stochrsi trendline and the 50 weekly ma are definitely the 2 that are battling it out...we should see who wins by early next week if not sooner.