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SPX's weekly update. 2ed week of April 2021- P/E : @ 40 .93 .Third highest reading since "1875"!!! Tops land. " Usually bottom of crashes not tops". - SPX's Dividend Yield: @ 1.45 Possible target is 1.10 2000's bottom !!! US10Y @ 1.666 historically 10y note underperforming SPX in April & it has a sideway movements in April as well. - Insiders: 6 Sell, 2 Buy. No up date on the website, still April 1st reading !!! - Seasonality: April is the best month of the past 20 years & 2ed past 10Y. Max 12.5% Min (-6.1%) with Q2 of post presidential election, since 1950, gain of 5% (already 3.5 % in the firs 10 days LoL !!! - Deviation : Daily - @15.37 % (80 % single pullback) weekly - @39.06% (76% single pullback) and at the edge of a 54% double digits pullback. - Candles Auto recognition : White Marubozu 84 % bullish move NEXT. Nothing 7 months for monthly. - Putt/Call composite @.600 Vs. .597Vs. last week = Still holding Higher Highs/Higher low. Kind of bouncing from 50d MA. Golden Cross looming -Total Option Volume: 478329 Vs. 378667 big increase 25% up from last week. - VIX : In our safe green zone, we hit 16.69 Vs. 17. 40 last week Lowest seen # since last years crash + Closed 2020's "GAP" - VWAP: @ 58.30 = No man's land, closer to up swing.. - DIX : 44% No man's land closer to a bottom or up swing. - GEX : @ 22,999,000,000. 55% tops land, 35 % up swing 10% false signal. (HIGHEST READING IN 2Y) - SPX : Above averages . We are getting 3 of them in the 90s very rare bullishness move here. !!!! - NYSE: Above average nothing to mention. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key for this week : 1/ Bullish Barubozu Candle 84% success rate. 2/ Higher Deviation = Higher probability of a pullback. 3/ GEX is the highest in 2 years !!!
SP:SPX
by samitrading
GBPNZD Weekly TF 04/02/2021in this analysis we are focusing on a very long term position which can be kept opened for a year and half or more, we have a simple descending channel and a Fibonacci projection which is having confluences between the parallels leg and lower bound of the channel we have specified the 1 TP as the ATL and it can be achieved probably by mid or end of 2021 and the 2 TP can be for 2022 there is a Green TP zone which should be traded very carefully, we should reanalyze the market when the price had fall to the zoon or 127% of Fibonacci projection
Short
by BitonGroup
USDCHF Long with 2 confluences (Zero Indicators)Confluences: 1: Weekly chart trendline breakout. 2. Trend is bullish with price making Higher Lows and New Highs. Entry: Price is over extended at this point in time. This creates the risk of price pulling back to retest the previous high or the trendline while at the same time creating new higher low. This when we can start looking for entries and reassess the risk reward ratio for this particular trade. Will be looking to take entries later next week if the setup is till valid. Will be looking to holf this position for 3-4 week or until target is reached (Which ever comes first)
Long
by NDOBObanks
USDJPY Long with 2 confluences (Zero Indicators)Confluences: 1: Weekly Chart trendline breakout 2: Trend is bullish as price seems to be making Higher Lows and New Highs on the Weekly Time Frame Entry: We will be looking to enter this trade towards the middle of next week. As we can see by looking at the weekly chart, this is a fresh breakout. There is the risk that price may pull back towards the low of the current week, retest the trendline before continuing bullish. Lets see how the first half of next week plays out. This will give us a chance to reassess the trade as well as the risk reward ratio. Note that the pair is extremely extended so its best to wait for a Higher Low to form before we can start looking for entries.
Long
by NDOBObanks
EURUSD Short with 3 Listed Confluences (Naked Charts)Confluence: 1. Weekly Chart Trendline breakout and close. 2. Weekly Chart Double Top pattern formation (Not textbook style double top pattern). Price seems to have failed to create a new high. 3. Trend is bearish as price is making Lower Highs and New Lows. Entry: The way the market is positioned on the weekly chart shows this is a fresh breakout. 70-80% of the time, traders who enter straight after a breakout pattern occurs are likely to get stopped out. We will be looking to take the trade towards the middle of next week (Wednesday) as price might push back up to retest the trendline so it is important to wait and see how the price moves after the breakout. This will also give us a chance to reassess the risk reward ratio of the trade. Will be holding this trade between 3 - 4 week or until take profit is reached (Whichever comes first).
Short
by NDOBObanks
1
RSI Bearish divergence + Bearish Engulfing on weekly TFBearish divergence As we can see here there is a RSI bearish divergence (also in Daily TF) but as we know 1H and 4H TF have bullish divergence , in weekly BTC is not promising Bearish Engulfing We had such a this engulfing candle in Late 2017 20K which leaded BTC to 3K , now we can see a massive bearish engulfing candle that will close in 11 hours and its absolutely not a good sign for bitcoin. In case of closing this weekly candle as an engulfing one we can expect BTC to reach 12K or 8K (in very low case ) What you think about this situation ? leave your opinion on comment it can help me and many others to take more profit from this monster
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Sharifmoghadam
2
USD/JPY 4-Hour Analysis: Week's Close #1 (26 Feb 2021)The week ends with the market on the USD/JPY pair producing a high at 106.692. It approaches the weekly 50% major level of resistance with both a bearish divergence and a bullish convergence on the RSI, a conflicting information that induces us to think about a continuation in the bullish retracement of the previous weekly downtrend, but also keeping in mind that a double bearish divergence has higher probabilities and the market structure may show clearer signs of reversion to the downside, retracing on the current daily/4h move. In relation to pip advances, the current swing-high has already advanced +47.3 pips above the previous swing-high, which is greater than the previous advance of +45.1 pips, leading us to think that the current upwards move is slightly accelerating. That may be intentional by the market manipulators, in order to grab the liquidity of longs in order to fill their short orders. Bear in mind that individual retracements of each 4h swing-high are increasing, from 59.247% on the first swing, to 61.438% on the second, and lastly 71.806% on the third. If individual retracements on 4h swings keep on increasing at this rate, an over 100% retracement is possible, with price creating a lower low on the market structure, combining with an RSI convergence. All this price action and technical analysis can be considered for a moderate short bias. If you enjoy this analysis, please leave it a like and follow me on TradingView. Tell me what you think about this idea in the comments section below. Other than that, I wish all of you a nice weekend and good trading!
Short
by acsedward
3 White Soldiers on the weekly chart?3 green soldiers aka 3 white soldiers is a very bullish pattern. They also say this is a reversal pattern but we haven't had much of a downtrend from which to reverse from...hard to count the the 2 weekly red candles before it as a downtrend...but being that we are in the vertical part of the bull run parabola odds are good that this pattern should still result in bullish price action from here even through we are more or less still in an uptrend. I am unaware of whether or not a measure move can be taken from this pattern but if someone knows please let me know down in the comments. Thanks for reading *not financial advice*
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
2
EUR/CAD: Bearish trend!!! Plan to trade!!!Euro/Canadian Dollar it's continue downtrend and we see that we can to get a big opportunity to trade this par. As we break down this simetric triangle of distribution, EUR/CAD it's going to down and we hope that going to end the formation of this ascendent triangle that we formed in monthly timeframe. Another possibility it's into this ascendent triangle, we can to see a bullish channel, that it's so interesting to trade in short position in this par. I will selected this par to trade in Prime XTB for the next week becuase the trend in weekly chart it's so claearly to sell.
Short
by harisonhbn9718
Australia [ASX 200] - 2021 weekly chartPurple = weekly Blue = Monthly Orange = Daily Hello Traders and Analysts, The following analysis will be in depth to explain the out look of the Index and Based on what merit? Being a commodity based currency we need to analyse the US and commodities as Australia a produce of raw materials. The Australian economy is commodity based but also well suited to self-sufficiency in some aspects from raw material production, construction but relies on Tourism and exports to keep the Aussie afloat. With the ASX correlated with the S&P500 - we expect the ASX to over extend the Fibonacci targets to the upside into 2021 upon the global recovery. XAG We have seen a nice impulse into the channel and a rejection upon reaching the zone of $29.00. Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure to the crisis of the reluctance for the demand of the Commodities . However, this produced a demand zone to hold from so we have a buying opportunity. This imbalance was created in which created the impulse. Price re-established itself now between $22-27 zone for a further imbalance where price will now look to as a strong demand for price engineering if needed. The long term wider chart is available below; XAU Daily longs are still in play after Weekly longs Monthly long Retrace is occurring on the weekly time frame - but can this be building up Fibonacci level aligns of 50% around 1939 and 61.8% at 1907.00 USD. This retracement zone will show a great long identification Retrace needed to to confirm liquidity from the strong demand. Current market at play for XAU USD S&P500 from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure. Where price had a low of 2182, this significant point to me, showed the imbalance between the previous Fibonacci extension points 1.786, 1.618. This was essentially fulfilling the swing high and creating a swing low. Refer back to 2007-08 on the chart to see the imbalances - where; the blue Ellipse - shows the 2008 rally distribution beginning to take effect. The Red Ellipse - shows the pivotal 1.7186, 1.618 full retracement zones - where the "china trade war" and "coronavirus" fundamentals took place for the index to fall back in line. The current bullish momentum will be created from the stimulus coming further into 2021, presidential change and USD index or DXY being suppressed. This projection offers the rate of debt the debt market cycle has not been reacting negatively yet with yields still intact and further debt creation to refinance debt obligations . Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. Pure imbalance trades - with further explanations on the graphs to understand. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Many thanks, Team LVPA.
ASX:XJOLong
by LupaCapital
1
ETHUSD within $100 of retesting its athThe next resistance for ethereum is the retest of its alltime high (marked here with this horizontal yellow line). It may blow quickly past this resistance in a similar fashion to how bitcoin did after retesting its 20k all time high but there's also a more probable possibility that it would be rejected here and start to form a handle to complete this picture perfect cup that it will have completed upon the ath retest. I plan on buying whatever dip comes out of the ath retest and am hoping to see at least a 20% retracement but hopefully even more. *not financial advice*
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by DrDovetail
2
Overview Market Analysis: Great Britain Pound still bullish!!!In this macroanalysis, we see that Pound still bullish against the U.S. Dollar and then, the inflation of the U.S. Dollar it's another siganl that FED ccontinue unstable the U.S. policy market. That it's a big warning to invest in United States, as the correlation on Bitcoin it's the same of Great Britain Pound that continue bullish. So, we are in the bearish cycle for the U.S Dollar and bullish cycle for the Great Britain Pound. Now, looking in weekly update, I put a new important key trend line support that Pound still bullish. My next target will be the $1.43 USD. That it's so amazing to know it and put a long position in GBP/USD with good lots to make near of 800 pips. But,if you're looking in monthly chart, the trend on Pound it's so bullish and I have a forecast that Pound could reach up toward the $1.62 USD. What do you think about this overview? Could Pound continue agains the rival U.S. Dollar, and America could to have an issue to collapse the economy based in the more inflation?
Long
by harisonhbn9718
1