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Weeklyforecast

Dollar: Weekly Forecast 27th - 31st MayThe dollar was somewhat consolidating at the beginning and suddenly it attempted to break new high. The price went slightly above the previous high at 98.3 but immediately got rejected by strong selling pressure. This is somewhat quite expected of the dollar whenever it attempts to break a new high. The situation where the U.S. economy is in surely isn't one that favours a stronger dollar, one that is in the midst of a trade war. In this week, we do expect the dollar to fall further and test the bottom of its current range at 97 where it will probably just continue to trade within the range.
TVC:DXYShort
by AlgoVenture
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 20th - 24th MayJust like the dollar, and since EURUSD has been moving in harmony with the dollar this week, EURUSD has clearly turned bearish after breaking below the key level of 1.1173 after the break below a rising trendline. And all indicators such as MACD, moving averages and Bollinger band has pointed toward a bearish trend in the week to come. Therefore in this week, we are setting a bearish tone for the EURUSD and expecting the price to fall further and test the previous low or break new low. Should the price retrace at first, we will look for sell opportunity at the supply one right above 1.1200.
Short
by AlgoVenture
Gold: Weekly Forecast 20th - 24th MayThe gold price failed to maintain its bullishness even after it had broken above a 2-month falling trendline. The break came on the first trading day where a strong bullish candle pierced through the top of the range at 1288 together with the falling trendline. However, the bear came in unexpectedly strong, recover all losses and ended up closing with a bearish candle with a long upper shadow in the weekly chart. Nevertheless, the price continued to stay supported above 1270. This week, the gold is still likely to fall further as the bear has proven strong, and the price will eventually retest 1270 again. Should the price retrace at first, look for sell opportunity at 1288 supply zone.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AlgoVenture
Dollar: Weekly Forecast 20th - 24th MayThe dollar has shown that the consolidation has completed as it headed north through the whole of last week. Every indicator is in favour of a bullish dollar such as the 20,55 and 200 moving averages that are pointing upward, the Bollinger band that has opened its mouth, and the MACD has crossed upwards above level zero. The low and the high keep getting higher as it rises through a 4-month rising channel. This week, we are expecting the dollar to keep rising and should the price were to retrace in the beginning, the price is likely to rebound off the demand zone below 97.6.
TVC:DXYLong
by AlgoVenture
1
Gold- Weekly Forecast 6th - 10th MayGold had a week of consolidation as it failed to break previous low and rebounded off quite strongly, closing higher than its previous day high. The price is expected to climb further and test the top of the current range of 1287 and 1267. The major trend will still be unclear until the price has chosen to break out either side of the range. If the price falls a little but maintains above 1273 for the first 2 trading days, there's a good opportunity to buy from the low to the top of the range. If the price climbs and reaches 1286 - 1294 for the first 2 days and provided the candles get smaller after one another, that will be a good chance to sell again.
FX:XAUUSD
by AlgoVenture
1
EURUSD- Weekly Forecast 6th - 10th MayEURUSD has climbed strongly but got rejected at 1.126 which led it to fall for another 2 days. However, the dollar plunged and pushed EURUSD up again and the week ended with a bullish candle. Based on the structure, the price could be forming an ABCD which will be completed within a supply zone at 1.1300. But just before that, the price should face some resistance by a falling trendline at 1.1230. So, if the price were to fall at first in the first 2 trading days but managed to maintain above 1.1170, it will provide a good opportunity for a short-term long. If the price continues to climb at first, we will keep a lookout for a breakout of the falling trendline at 1.1230, and keep waiting for a selling opportunity only when it reaches 1.1300.
Long
by AlgoVenture
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 6th - 10th MayThe dollar did not turn out what was expected and the entire sentiment has turned from a bullish to bearish. It started off by falling for 2 consecutive days which dived a little deep below the breakout level of 97.7 but managed to pull another 2 days of bullish movement that covered most of the weekly losses. And then the market chose to buy the story and sell the fact which led the dollar to sink below the breakout level once again, which also cause a break at the bottom of the rising channel. So this week, more bearish movement is definitely expected and there's a good chance for it to reach the demand zone just below 97 before we see any significant rebound.
TVC:DXYShort
by AlgoVenture
Gold - Weekly Forecast 29th April - 3rd MayThe gold has climbed last week as it proceeded with the retracement after breaking below the neckline of a head n shoulder. This is also considered a break-below of a range at the top of the 34-month symmetrical triangle which will bring forth a bearish market. In this week, we will observe the price closely at its current level and as it creeps into the supply zone at 1288 and the broken neckline. Since the dollar has taken a bullish stance after it broke its previous high, it will boost the case of a bearish gold in the coming week.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AlgoVenture
EURUSD - Weekly Forecast 29th April - 3rd MayEURUSD fell and broke below a 2-month low at 1.1196 and it managed to close below despite strong rebound at 1.1120. The technical chart clearly favours a bearish market now and there will be a selling opportunity again this week. In the H4 chart, the price has completed a wave of retracement and awaiting the 2nd wave to be completed. In this week, we will wait patiently for the price to retrace towards the breakout level and find an opportunity to sell just below 1.1200.
Short
by AlgoVenture
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 29th April - 3rd MayLast trading week was an eventful one as the dollar finally broke a new high in 5 months. It was a clean break as it closed above the previous high with a strong bullish day candle and the retracement was shallow and the price still sits on to of a 23-month supply zone. However, it is unlikely that we will see the dollar climb straightaway towards the 24-month supply zone above 99. The dollar is expected to make a series of climbing and retracing, supported by a rising trendline. In this week, if we were to take a look at the H4 chart, the short-term trend actually favours a bearish market. The price is most likely to retest the previous high at 97.6 and only when the retest is successful, the price will continue to rise to a new high again.
TVC:DXYLong
by AlgoVenture
Gold- Weekly Forecast 22nd - 26th AprilThe gold continues to break lower as US stocks market continued to climb steadily. The neckline of an HnS was successfully broken creating the case for further bearish movement. And looking at the weekly chart, the price has also closed below a range at the top with a significantly bearish candle. In the first trading day of the week, we can expect further retracement before the price resumes depreciation. Look for selling opportunity within the supply zone of 1284 - 1289.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AlgoVenture
EURUSD- Weekly Forecast 22nd - 26th AprilEURUSD took an unexpectedly bearish turn as a lack of demand failed to maintain the price higher and a weak Euro data caused a snapped in the shared currency. The price broke 2 higher lows in one wave thus making a strong case for further bearish movement to follow. Due to Easter Day, volatility will be low and the price may continue to retrace higher. We can wait for a selling opportunity near 1.1280 just above the Fibonacci level 50% and short towards 1.1180.
Short
by AlgoVenture
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 22nd - 26th AprilThe dollar has made a comeback last week as a lack of sellers after breaking below a range and a strong retail sales caused the dollar to rise. Based on the current movement, the dollar is most likely to retest the 23-months supply zone at 97.6. Volatility will be low on the first trading day throughout Asia and Euro session due to East Monday which is most likely to cause the dollar to retrace lower towards the rising trendline. If the price is able to maintain above 97, it is likely to rebound during the US session on Monday or probably the following trading day. However, the dollar will still face strong resistance at the top of the symmetrical triangle which will still cause the dollar to range further since last year September. Therefore this week, we will need to watch the range between 97 and 97.6 closely and see where will the price break.
TVC:DXYLong
by AlgoVenture
Gold - Weekly Forecast 15th - 19th AprilThe gold has climbed for the first 3 trading days of last week which it found resistance at a falling trendline. The resistance has translated into a very bearish movement and broke through the bottom of a rising channel in the H4 chart. On the last trading day, gold fell into a range and there's one hour where buyers did try to push up the price but failed miserably, leaving a long upper shadow (H1 chart). The price went on to inch lower and finally closed right at the previous low. Therefore, we are expecting that the sellers will continue to take control and this time it may finally break through the neckline of the head n shoulder. Once the break happens, we hope to see that the price, with strong demand at the bottom, will retrace back to the neckline to retest and that's where we want to get ready to sell.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AlgoVenture
1
EURUSD - Weekly Forecast 15th - 19th AprilEURUSD started off last week with a strong bullish candle that broke above a 1-week range. On the 3rd day, it retested the range but buyers are strong enough to hold off the sellers thus leaving a long lower shadow. on the 4th day, the price attempts to fall again but it was obviously one without commitment. The buyers came in strong as sellers are worn off and the price closed higher with a strong bullish candle. Therefore, we are strongly expecting EURUSD to continue its bullish trend and thus we will be waiting for levels to long along the way.
Long
by AlgoVenture
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 15th - 19th AprilAfter more than a week of ranging near the top, the dollar has broken below the range. On the first day of the breakout, the price pulled back strongly the following day back into the supply zone. However, on the last trading day last week, the dollar fell through the floor, showing that the sellers are now in control. Therefore in this week, we are clearly expecting the dollar to display more bearish movement towards the bottom of a 7-month ascending triangle
TVC:DXYShort
by AlgoVenture
Gold- Weekly Forecast 8th - 12th AprilGold has ranged throughout last week and still maintained above the demand zone at 1282 but also below 1300. The bearish bat pattern has already taken effect as the gold did fall, and at the same time, a head and shoulder was formed too. Since the price failed an attempt to break the neckline, it leaves a possibility for the price to pull back and climb into the supply zone just above 1300. Should gold choose to pull back, it should happen in the first 2 trading days this week. If it doesn't, the price should have no issue with breaking through the neckline and head towards the 4-month demand zone below 1250.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AlgoVenture
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 8th - 12th AprilThe dollar was little changed last week as ranges between 97 and 97.6. By the end of last week, the price was seen closing below 97.4 within the supply zone which may lead the dollar to start another short-term bearish trend. However, we do not exclude the possibility where the price breaks new high immediately on the first trading day this week. Therefore, I would personally recommend to adopt a 'wait and see' for a clear reversal signal rather than jumping into conclusion to sell the dollar right away.
TVC:DXYShort
by AlgoVenture