Weekly Analysis for 01/17/2021Welcome to my first Weekly Analysis of the New Year!! I hope trading has been well for all these past few weeks. It should be an interesting year in the ForEx Market and I'm looking forward to documenting it as much as possible. Like I said in the video, I'll be doing my best to share as much as I can of my experience and also what knowledge I do hold on trading in this market! Please do share with other's that you would see finding value in this analysis and leave some comments on your thoughts or projections for the week. Looking forward making some new connection and good luck trading this week! Be mindful of trading any pairs with the USD, might be an interesting week.
Weeklymarketsanalysis
My out look on Nas this week As we can see that price is impulsing at the moment to the downside we should be expecting that price should react to the long term trendline and move to the top side which should give us lots of opportunities that will pay out as we head to Biden inauguration.
This not always 100% but there should be a higher probability as you can see on the chart we have 3 confirmations that go with my analysis
Can WE Reach XLM ATH in Few Weeks?After Very long side way XLM has broke out two very Strong Key Level Of Resistance with very bullish weekly candles .
in the last two candles we can see great engulfing which broke resistance key level and finally nice rejection by zone and dynamic trend line.
there is two long possibility for price action now: get back to the zone one more time and start to moving up and break small ascending channel then pullback to it and then start moving up.
EUR/USD Weekly Review 1/15/20Please see my old post for context. We have confirmed a structure break and it will be interesting to see if this down move picks up steam or retraces the next week.
What I got WRONG:I anticipated more bids around 1.21 and below.
What I got RIGHT: Bearish sentiment and confirmed down trend
On the news front next week is busy, especially the later half. As I mentioned earlier it appears politics, for better/worst is driving volatility. I'll revisit this idea later this weekend
DXY USD Index Weekly Speculations with CoronaVirus Effects Hi
as we can see, there are some support areas, where there are chances of trend reversal or some retracments,
but what is clear here, is the price had broken the bullish trend and now making a new low, since a very long time. and it has the absolute potential to break more down, as Coronaviros gets more epidemic in USA. so the dollar will get effect, as wall-street as well as Nasdaq got influence.
the second scenario is that, if Coronavisus gets controlled so the News effect may reverse the dollar strength, and the price may change the entire trend, and goes bullish ...
please write your ideas in the comment section.
regards.
Ethereum to Btc Setting Up Ascending Triangle on The Weekly!!!!!It seems like the Ethereum to Bitcoin chart is setting up a large Ascending Triangle on the Weekly timeframe which is very bullish for Ethereum. It seems like we can be in this ascending triangle for about a couple more weeks or even months but once the breakout happens and fully confirms we will be seeing major moves for Ethereum and possibly reach the All Time Highs.
How to trade ascending triangle
An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs, and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle. Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. Once a breakout is confirmed typically you are looking for a retest to confirm the support line before going to the upside which is also a great buying/longing entry.
Weekly Trade-Ideas for the 11 Automobile ManufacturersWeekly Trade-Ideas for the 11 Automobile Manufacturers
#1 Li Auto Inc ADS (Symbol LI) has been trading in a narrow range between the price level of $30.09 and $33.20 since December 4, 2020. The stock found a temporary bottom at $26.68 on December 29, 2020, as part of the Double Bottom Class II Pattern. The current price is $30.99 based on the market close of January 5, 2021, 4 PM EST.
Trade Idea: Still Bearish, Price Target around $36. Maybe this stock may trade between the range of $33 and $36.
#2 Workhorse Group Inc (Symbol WKHS) has been trading in a narrow range since December 1, 2020. The stock retested the previous high price on December 24, 2020, but failed to penetrate that price level.
Trade Idea: This stock may pullback and then break out to a test price level of $26.
#3 Xpeng Inc ADS (Symbol XPEV) showed sign of a temporary bottom around $37.58 on December 28, 2020. The stock just penetrated the major bearish trendline on December 31, 2020. The current stock price is $42.34 as of the market close on January 5, 2021, 4 PM EST.
Trade Idea: Too early to determine anything.
#4 Arcimoto Inc (Symbol FUV) is currently at a major support price level of around $13.30 as of the market close on January 5, 2021, 4 PM EST.
Trade Idea: A retest of the previous high around $18.91 is possible.
#5 Nikola Corporation (Symbol NKLA) is testing the $16.03 as of the market close on January 5, 2021, at 4 PM EST.
The stock found a temporary bottom at $13.77 on December 23, 2020.
Trade Idea: Breakaway from the major bearish trendline, short-term target price at around $18.19
#6 NIO Inc (Symbol NIO) is currently retesting the previous high on Nov 25, 2020.
Trade Idea: Pullback retest low of around $51.17, and then breakout above $53.20, still too early to determine. It may become a double top pattern too.
#7 Telsa Inc (Symbol TSLA) is testing the current high price of $735.11 as of the market close on January 5, 2021, 4 PM EST.
Trade Idea: Pullback retest of the bull gap on Jan 4, 2021.
#8 Toyota Motor Corp ADR (Symbol TM) is currently testing the new high price level of around $153.40.
Trade Idea: If the momentum stops, the stock may pull back to $145.
#9 Honda Motor Co ADR (Symbol HMC) temporarily bottomed on Mar 23, 2020, at around a price of $19.92. The stock price chart just formed the inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Trade Idea: Possible retest bull gap of week November 9, 2020, and then the uptrend to continue, but this is still too early to determine.
#10 General Motors Co. (Symbol GM) is testing major resistance at around a price of $43.
Trade Idea: Possible pullback below the major bullish trendline to a possible low of $33, but if the correct momentum continues this stock may breakout from the $43.67 price level.
#11 Ford (Symbol F) is testing major resistance at around a price of $9.56.
Trade Idea: Short-term price target of $11
Thank you for reading!
Greenfield
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Disclosure: Charts and articles interpreted by Greenfield. A market idea by Greenfield Analysis LLC for educational purposes only. This is not a solicitation and not a recommendation. Greenfield Analysis LLC has no investment in any of the securities mentioned in the article, and no plan to initiate a trade in any of the securities mentioned. Greenfield does not receive any compensation for this writing. Investment involves substantial risk. You should consider carefully before making an investment and investment is at your own risk.
Can we reach to ADA ATH in few weeks?we are in a very bullish Ascending Channel now, we have passed the wave number 1 and
its correction to (61.8 of x-1) and i guess, that the wave
number 3 going to be completed , some where in the top of the ascending channel... i have two possible prediction
for price action continuation in next weeks :) what do you think 1 or 2?
SPX'S Weekly Japanese candlestick signals since inception 1957 Hey Traders ,
what's up. From me to Humanity . I know that there is allot of data, i hate that as every one else does. But,
if you want to keep it simple just study, analyze and write down the Red & Green boxes they should sum up most of the study. I have included all the
data here . So feel free to redo, redistribute, reuse or shar it here or outside of tradingview with anyone even with out mentioning the source. from me
to humanity whom are trading SPX : - ). Moreover, If anything that this data is telling us in a very short English terms "Do not chase tops on weekly candles !!! " .
Also, some weekly candles could be treated as extinct data suggesting that !!! what's up with that!!! no Golden rule for these candles.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Bullish weekly candles :-
Weekly Bullish Happened success rate Max profit Max cost Risk/reward starting date.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
***Engulfing 28 60% 50% 43% D 1953
***Hammer 21 77% 102% 4.55% C+ 1952
***Inverted Hammer 11 45% 8% 4% F 1953
***Marubozu White 65 84% 40% 33% B - 1982
***Long Lower Shadow 78 70% 68% 40% C- 1963
***Rising Window 26 85% 165% 5% B 1971
***Spining Top White 59 61% 40 % 31% F 1979
***Dragonfly Doji 8 37% 4% 9 F 1951
***Upside Tasuki Gap 6 40% comes and goes !!!
***Tweezer Bottom 11 43% Disappeared since 2007
***Doji Star 3 33% Disappeared since 1982 !!!!
***Dragon Doji 2 50%
--------------------------------------------------------
Spining Top White 59 times : since 1979
---------------------------------------------------
Profit Lost
z 4
11
z 2
4
z 13
3
z 3
31
4
17
7
z 31
3
5
21
2
2
4
z 4
2
1
z 2
2
z 1
z 5
7
14
7
11
z 10
18
21
1
z 2
3
z 7
7
3
z 4
z 3
1
z 2
z 5
2
34
9
5
z 4
25
z 2
13
z 3
15
z 7
z 4
z 18
40
z 4
12
--------------------------------------
Dragonfly Doji 8 times : since 1951
--------------------------------------------
profit lost
z 2.55
4.85
z 2.42
z 9.09
z 1.60
4.89
3.50
z 3.37
------------------------------
37% success rate
-------------------------------------------
Hammer 21 times : since 1952
---------------------------------------------------------
Profit lost
8.46
4.39
8
z 6.46
8
6
66
70
4
4
4
z 1.86
z 4.55
3.27
z 9.02
4.83
3.04
102
2.59
z .91
10.99
------------------------------------
success rate 77%
--------------------------------------------
Inverted Hammer 11 times : since 1953
------------------------------------------------------------
Profit lost
4.56
z 7.95
z 2.97
z 4.43
z 4.72
z 2.54
z 6
8.14
3.27
1.69
1.90
-----------------------------------------------------------
success rate 45%
--------------------------------------------------------------
Marubozu White 65 times : since 195
----------------------------------------------------
Profit Lost
zero 33.98
zero 14.86
zer 11.91
4.56
9.75
2.16
6.25
2.06
z 14.92
8.55
4.76
1.81
19.11
5.60
1
2.55
7
z 8.88
1.61
2.84
12.43
2.64
5.44
4.77
12.32
1.81
1.25
1.93
31.87
z 30.37
3.87
12.84
4.49
z 7.68
2.13
5.79
26.66
4.31
17.15
z 6.44
2.39
33.20
9.71
11.63
7.47
15.27
3
4.75
4.66
17.26
z 6.63
z 4
1.59
3.58
8.66
3.56
5.71
5
30.40
1
2.76
8.27
7.64
8.84
40.67
50s million signal
--------------------------------------------------
84 % success rate
----------------------------------------------------------
Long Lower shadow 78 times : Since 1966
---------------------------------------------------
profit lost
32
8
18
10
11
13
z 3.99
16.11
z 16
z 4
z 3
2.79
z 1.85
15
3
6
2
3
z 10
z 5
14
4
z 5
10
6
z 40
6
2
24
z 1
z 1
2
z 6
z 7
6
13
z 21
z 34
5
z 4
z 9
12
5
15
33
13
4
2
2
4
6
16
z 12
z 34
18
2
13
3
3
z 5
6
65
27
4
26
z 26
9
7
13
4
20
z 11
z 4
2
z 3
25
22
21
----------------------------
success rate 70%
------------------------------------------------------------
Rising Window 26 times; since 1971
---------------------------------------------------------
Profit Lost
5
2
7
5
2
1
3
z 3
12
2
4
1
1
10
1
z 3
1
19
4
165
z 5
z 1
80
3
21
4
---------------------------------
success rate 85%
-------------------------------------
Engulfing 28 times : since 1953
-----------------------------------------------------
profit lost
33
z 6.76
z 19.4
z 23.69
12.18 z
z 43.96
5.29
6.12
50.13
4
z 7
21.47
1
1
z 5.44
z 3.29
4.94
z 34.05
6.15
5.15
z 23.41
7.19
21.27
19.57
z 17.18
3.82
2.12
z 9.66
----------------------
60 % success rate
--------------------------------------------------------------
2/ Bearish weekly candles : -
weekly Bearish Happened success rate Max Profit Max opportunity cost Risk/Reward starting date
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
***Engulfing 67 68 % 55% 28% D+ 1956
*** Hanging Man 30 50% 7% 28% F 1957
***Shooting Star 23 47% 19% 63% F 1950s
***Long Upper Shadow 58 36% 46 % 95% F 1957
*** Doji Star 11 37% 13% 27% F 1952
***Dark Cloud Cover 13 77% 55% 11% C + 1955
****Tweezer Top 34 44% 18% 31% F 1954
*** Marubozu Blace 46 58 % 39% 48% F 1956
***Spining Top 77 35% 48% 35% F 1963
***Falling Window 23 47% 25% 78 % F 1953
***Harami 4 times 75 success rate.
***Downside Tasuki Gap Extinct 1957.
****Evening star once in 70 Years.
***Gravestone Doji once in 60 years.
***********************************************************************************************************
Long Upper Shadow 58 times : 1957
-----------------------------------------------------------
Profit lost
z 32.84
z 10.14
z 3.79
4.40
z 14.79
2.4211
33.02
5.88
z 25.74
8.74
z 7.02
z 8.71
z 5.13
z 2.36
z 14.33
z 9.58
1.76
z 6.25
z 12.99
11.97 z
z 8.74
z 1.78
z 14.58
3.74
3.74
z 5.72
z 95.94
3.98
3.80
z 3.52
1.92
4.54
z 4.29
9.49
z 4.23
z 22.70
z 4.51
z 12.29
7.95 z
z 10.31
z 32.59
z 53.98
3.48 z
z 10.72
z 3.88
z 6.80
46.87 z
3.28
z 8.86
5.28 z
4.45
z 2.60
z 26.37
4.7
z 3.22
19.47 z
z 7.87
---------------------------------------------
37 % success rate
Marubozu Black 46 times : since 1956.
----------------------------------------------
Profit lost
10.81 z
z 13.69
8.23
5.82
z 3.44
z 3.59
z 6.52
z 48
z 22.48
5.66
22.20
39.28
5.51
z 33
11.31
28.61
z 14.55
z 24.54
z 7.86
5.37
z 10.48
z 4.04
z 28.83
2.65
3.95
3.58
1.43
1.55
z 3.03
z 11.45
1.30
3.83
z 6.12
2.33
2.02
1.11
2.00
8
1.95
3.19
.077
z 8.58
z 15.88
4.37
8.36
z 4.20
--------------------------------------------------
58 % success rate.
------------------------------------------------------
Doji Star Bearish 11 times : since 1952
-----------------------------------------------
profite lost
zero 4.99
z 4.79
z 4.98
3.17
z 14.94
5.12
13.33
z 3.20
z 27.14
14.33
z 4.72
--------------------------------------
success rate 37 %
----------------------------
Spinning Top Black 77 times : since 1963.
-----------------------------------------
profit lost
7.17
z 4.46
z 1.69
z 8.07
z 7.06
z 30.32
z 13.68
z 3.32
9.79
z 4.66
19.39
z 15.47
z 14.17
z 3.94
z 2.65
z 3.7
z 2.82
z
z 4.14
1.75
6.49
z 10.14
2.78
3.27
7.81
2.45
z 3.29
22.29
z 26
z 30.35
z 34.07
z 2.86
z 17.74
z 30.71
z 19.36
z 35.35
z 2.33
11.65
z 4.74
3.34
z 15.59
2.79
z 4
z 5.17
z 24.81
z 2.27
7.74
z 4.34
6.97
z 9.32
z 20.40
z 2.59
z 5.50
z 14.24
9.92
11.17
13.33
z 8.9
13.55
48.82 z
3.07
4.91
9.70
z 27.97
36.37
z 5
2.90
z 2.54
z 20.69
z 9.08
z 7.76
z 2.07
z 5.37
z 2.34
4.08
3.81
------------------------------------
35 % success rate
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dark Cloud Cover 13 times: since 1955?
******************************************************
profit lost
6.10
19.62
7.60
55.83
4.7
2.22
5.63
zero 9.24
zero 8.19
3.19
zero 11.98
2.12
13.54
------------
77% success
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tweezer Top 34 times : since 1954
--------------------------------------------
profit lost
z 25.15
z 31.33
z 3.10
z 3.58
z 14.29
z 10.19
10.66
1.56
z 3.38
z 10.31
5.57
1.70
z 4.57
z 5.54
z 37.93
3.61
z 77.84
z 2.12
5.37
3.60
2.22
2.69
2.85
18.56
z 25.53
z 9.25
z 4.82
3.78
3.30
z 2.39
5.23
5.81
z 11.94
z 27.41
---------------------------
44% success rate
********************************************************************************************
Engulfing 67 times : since 1956
Big problem is that small dips then big
bull markets, need re examination.
-------------------------------------
profit lost
4.94 z
z 4.11
.84 z
z 11
2
.41
z 30.21
2.65 z
4.31
55.15 z
z 6.43
2.30
1.89
1.84
8.08
6.54
z 9.15
9.38
4.31
3.10
z 17.16
7.84
z 6.21
z 14.37
z 3.06
z 2.02
2.94
3.34
z 4.07
2.09
2.17
1.97
2.45
z 9.94
z 19.18
1.89
1.09
4.45
2.97
6.61
z 4.18
1.93
3.18
z 5.45
5.57
1.90
z 4.09
11.97
z 6.69
z 15.62
46.26
3.52
4.65
8.64
6.36
34.58
8.94
6.16
20.64
9.04
z 4.23
2.64
28.67
2.81
7.90
z 28.15
19.76
---------------------------------------------
success rate 68 %
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Shooting Star 23 times : Since 195!
---------------------------------------
profit lost
zero 7.02
2.25
9.92
z 2.36
z 4.14
z 9.18
z 6.99
2.68 z
7.77
z 63.24
z 3.52
4.45 z
z 4.81
7.36
z 4.48
z 1.61
z 7.06
3.11
z 2.56
z 26.56
19.68
11.34
2.40
----------------------------
47 success rate
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Falling Window 23 times : since 1953
come together, or during falling markets.
---------------------------------------------------
Profit Lost
18.97
5.65
z 78
25.85 z
z 60
17.63
6.92
2.83
z 3.39
z 6.12
z 6.66
z 4.63
z 1.66
z 46
1.74
z 7.55
4.80
12.43
5.01
1.62
z 116
z 2.81
z 4.47
-------------------
47 % success rate
-------------------------------------------------------------
Hanging Man 30 times : since 1957
1/ 50s was the play ground for this candle !!!
2/ sam old sam small dip then boom !!!
1996 it is a a hammer !!!not a Hang.Man
---------------------------------------------------
Profit lost
z 2.64
4.11 z
1.71
z 6.84
2.23
z 8.80
4.21
7.63
3.02
z 7.84
z 28.59
z 4.46
z 5.15
z 6.84
z 16.68
6.28
z 1.87
2.28
z .87 !!!!crash
z 5.63
3.29
2.30
6.91
z 6.38
z 2.27
3.74
z 7.60
2.02
1.50
1.12
---------------------------------------------------
50 % success rate
Is Consolidation Showing Signs of a Drop Coming?Price looks like it's showing fatigue on the daily and is consolidating for a potentially nice drop this week.
This will most likely move as a giant pullback before continuing up, but it'll be a few hundred pips before it continues.
Otherwise, I have to see is it going to do a fakeout to the weekly or actually bust through it. We're about to find out.
BEAR TPs:
• 46.93
• 46.20
• 45.72
• 44.67
• 43.90
BULL TPs:
• 49.76
• 50.26
• 51.23
• 52.34
• 53.40
VET Weekly Timeframe We can see that VET is in Ascending Channel and Now has a very Strong Key level of support behind ... also we can see AB=CD Pattern in perfect shape of 61.8 percent in C point, i am expecting that will be completed.the price could touch the Points that i have marked in the chart.
GBPAUD- Weekly AnalysisLast week GA was bullish, and i'm thinking the trend will continue this week following the new Brexit deal. Before the end of last week price created a new high, and it looks like price could just be retracing before another push to the upside. We're definitely prepared for whatever happens, but for now we will follow the trend and see what confluences price gives us before the start of London session. Right now on the 15 minute time-frame price is just consolidating so i'm going to wait for a break of structure and execute. Stay tuned for updates on my GA setup
CHFJPY Weekly AnalysisCJ appears to have created a bearish 3 drive strike pattern, as of now I believe price will reach the -27% (116.346) on the fib, and keep falling to the -68% (115.959). The market may gap up as soon as it opens and move up more to create a much more clear 3 drive strike pattern on the 4hr before falling but ultimately I think price is headed towards the bears because price reached the highest it has been this year and immediately turned around. What do you guys think?