Gold - What to expect in September?XAUUSD spent the week in a consolidation zone, trading back and forth without notable progress. The price tested resistance several times, but we didn't see higher highs or closes. On the weekly chart, two doji candles in a row suggest a breakout—above or below last week's range—could be near.
Based on price action alone, the market appears overextended, excluding fundamentals. Since March, only bullish months have been observed, with June neutral. A strong divergence on the weekly timeframe signals a possible pullback.
Reviewing September trends from the last five years shows a bearish tendency, even amid a broader bullish trend. This pattern hints at a deeper pullback toward the 50% retracement of the previous month’s range. Still, caution is needed after two neutral weekly candlesticks to avoid chasing the market.
Weeklymarketsanalysis
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly OUTLOOK. What to Expect This September?OANDA:XAUUSD market spent the entire week in a consolidation zone, trading back and forth. The price tested the resistance multiple times, but we did not see any higher highs or higher closes. Looking at the weekly chart, we can observe that the price action has created two doji candles in a row, suggesting that a breakout—either above or below last week's range—is imminent.
I believe the market may be overextended based solely on price action, not considering fundamental factors. Since March, we have seen only bullish months, with June being neutral. Additionally, the price has formed a significant divergence on the weekly timeframe signaling the pullback.
If we examine September trends over the past five years, we notice that this month has typically been bearish, despite the overall bullish trend. Given this historical context, I suspect we could see a deeper pullback toward the 50% retracement level of the previous month's range. However, it's important to note that this pullback may not happen immediately, so caution is advised in chasing the market, especially after two neutral weekly candlesticks.
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XAU/USD 02-06 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed again in last week's weekly analysis, However, CHoCH positioning remains the same.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
On Tuesday 20 August 2024 price printed all time high.
Thursday 22 August 2024 price printed a bearish CHoCH which indicated bearish pullback phase initiation. Printing of bearish CHoCH has also confirmed internal range.
Thus far, price has been unable break weak internal high which is an indicator that price may seek further liquidity before attempting to target weak internal high again.
I would expect price to either react at discount of internal 50% EQ or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 26 - 30 AugustWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: EUR/USD, NASDAQ 100, NVIDIA, Gold and Oil
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- EUR/USD falls below 1.11 support
- NASDAQ 100 consolidates ahead of NVIDIA report
- NVIDIA (NVDA) shares fall despite strong earnings
- Market analysis: Gold and Oil prices signal more upsides
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Dalmia Bharat next week target 1860Dalmia Bharat could be a good stock for the next week which looks better as per technical analysis, the stock is up trending on the daily chart. The stock is trading 53% on the daily chart as per the RSI indicator, indicating the strength of the stock. This stock can prove to be a better option for buying next week.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Technical AnalysisThe surge in OANDA:XAUUSD price following Jerome Powell's speech underscores the market's reaction to potential shifts in monetary policy. His indications of a likely interest rate cut, possibly occurring in September, have prompted a weakening of the U.S. dollar and a decline in Treasury yields, further enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. As a result, the weekly candle closed as a green doji, reflecting both investor sentiment and anticipation of shifts in economic conditions.
The market bounced off the swap zone and closed above the psychological level; however, there was not enough momentum to retest the previous higher high, which also represents an all-time high (ATH). This indicates that the market may now consolidate around the 2500 level or below the previous resistance zone to accumulate liquidity for a potential move to higher levels. On the daily timeframe, price action remains within the range of the previous day, suggesting the possibility of forming a triangle trend continuation pattern. It seems that there will be fewer high-impact news events next week, which may result in less momentum in the market. Nevertheless, we must remain cautious of the uncertainty in the market and be prepared to respond accordingly.
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XAU/USD 26-30 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed again, However, CHoCH positioning remains the same.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback.
First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH.
Bearish CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, and 50% internal EQ are almost identical.
We currently do not have any indication of price pulling back.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 19 - 23 AugustWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: Gold, Brent Oil, European Currencies, S&P 500
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
- The S&P 500 Index Approaches Historic High
- European Currencies Strengthened Ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium
- Brent Oil Price Drops Over 3.5% in Two Days
- Gold Price Surpasses $2500 for the First Time
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Ace Trading Academy - AUD/USD Pre-week Analysis Full BreakdownIn this video, we thoroughly review how last week ended and how the upcoming week will potentially set up in AUD/USD based on previous price movement.
We plan to see an initial retest at the beginning of the week and a continuation of the current 2-week uptrend after the retest.
We labeled trading zones, Support/Resistance points, and trend set-ups.
Take a listen, like and follow if you take value from this video.
More value will be coming soon!!
WEEKLY REVERSAL WEDNESDAY IN SALES
We observe a monthly macro downtrend that we believe may continue to hold. At the beginning of the week, the institution creates an accumulation, followed by a manipulation in the price, breaking that accumulation and making the masses think that the price will continue to drop. However, it is actually a buy to generate more liquidity and achieve a better price for the macro sell that the price has been respecting.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly PRE-MARKET ANALYSISOANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving sideways, fluctuating between 2365 and 2475, and is forming a triangle pattern. While the overall market has been stable for some time, we are likely to experience occasional pullbacks. Essentially, the market is building liquidity both above and below the triangle pattern, and a breakout could occur next week, especially with several high-impact news events on the horizon, such as CPI and unemployment claims.
On the daily timeframe, the picture remains consistent, with the market also showing signs of range-bound behavior. Recently, the price broke below last week’s low but subsequently moved higher, approaching the weekly opening price. I believe August may be a consolidation month, with price movements primarily confined within the triangle pattern before a new trend is established.
Looking at the weekly timeframe, the market closed with a long-tailed bar, indicating a rejection of prices below the support level at 2420 and closing above it. Notably, this is the second time in history that the price has closed above this level on the weekly timeframe. Previously, the market has consistently rejected this level and closed below it on a weekly basis. Overall, I expect price action to continue within the consolidation zone until we witness a clear breakout.
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price Action AnalysisThe last monthly candle closed bullish, despite two rejection candles in the past. On the weekly chart, OANDA:XAUUSD has finally closed above the 2420 level, which it has struggled with since April, signaling a strong bullish sign. Additionally, it broke and closed above the previous week's high. However, on the daily timeframe, the last two candles are doji, indicating indecision. This is likely due to the week being filled with high-impact news events. Next week may be slower, given the volatility we've experienced recently.
Despite the selling pressure, the overall trend remains bullish. I believe the market may form a trend continuation pattern, such as a triangle formation. After a sharp move, prices tend to consolidate, suggesting the potential for a range pattern. Overall, I see short-term pullbacks as likely buying opportunities. The recent jobs report increases the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting rates next months. The psychological level at 2400 acted as significant support, and despite market volatility, gold remains above it.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
S&P500 Index Breaks Through Long-Term Resistance on Weekly andAre you ready for some exciting news from the stock market? The S&P500 index is breaking out of a long-term resistance that has been forming since late 2021! That's right, the bulls are charging ahead and the bears are retreating as the market prepares to breach this significant and durable resistance.
What makes this breakout even more exciting is that the S&P500 is currently retesting the previous resistance level as a potential new support level. This retest is a critical step towards confirming the legitimacy of the breakout and signaling further upside for the index.
Technical analysis plays a significant role in identifying the market trend and the right time to make investment decisions. A breakout, when an index or stock crosses a critical resistance level, is a major signal of a bullish trend. Additionally, the support and resistance levels play a crucial role in determining the entry and exit points of a trade. With the S&P500 breaking out of its long-term resistance, investors should use technical analysis to identify potential entry points and exit points.
The bulls have been in control for the past few weeks, with the S&P500 trading strongly above its long-term support. Recent corrections have been shallow, indicating that the market is ready to make a big move. And with trading volume remaining above average, the breakout appears legitimate and not just a fakeout.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also giving us good news. Currently sitting in the bullish zone, the RSI shows an upward trend line that suggests the bullish trend is becoming even stronger.
So what's the next target for the S&P500? It could be around the 4,800 level, but there may be some fluctuations and retesting before the market reaches this point. It's important to remember that technical indicators should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis to make well-informed investment decisions.
Get ready for exciting times ahead in the stock market as the S&P500 index breaks out of its long-term resistance and retests it as a new support level. Stay vigilant and use technical analysis to make well-informed investment decisions during this exciting period!
Chachain
KEYWORDS
stock market, market analysis, market trend, index, technical analysis, breakout, support, resistance, trading strategy, bullish, bearish, trading indicators, RSI, trading volume, investment, investment strategy, investment decision, financial market, market performance, economic growth, market outlook, market forecast, market news, market update, market sentiment, market volatility, market movement, market prediction, market opportunity, market risk, market chart, market data, market insights, market commentary.
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 29 July - 2 AugustWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: GBP/USD, USD/JPY, MSFT and META Shares
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
- Market Reacts Mildly To Fed Decision, Focus Shifts To Nonfarm Payrolls
- USD/JPY Falls Below 150 Yen Per Dollar
- MSFT Share Price Plummets After Earnings Report, But It’s Not All Bad
- META Shares Rise Above $500
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Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 22 - 26 JulyWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: Nasdaq, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, Crude Oil, Alphabet Inc. Shares
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
- Nasdaq Composite: Worst Session since Late 2022
- Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains While USD/CHF Regains Strength
- Brent Crude Oil Price is Declining amid De-escalation in the Middle East
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Decline after Earnings Report
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U.S.Dollar / Brazilian Real Hey traders as you can see we are approaching a supply area on the USD / BRAZILIAN , my weekly fundamentals are telling me we have got a potential good set up here to sell.
Sell limit trade
Entry 5.6514
SL 5.7832
TP 5.1315
This chart material is for educational purposes only / Demo account should be traded only
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 15 - 19 JulyWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: US Banks Turn Bullish, GBP/USD, Gold Price, NVDA Stock
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
- US Banks Set a Bullish Tone at the Start of Earnings Season
- GBP/USD Exchange Rate Rises Above 1.3000 on Inflation News
- Analysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Sets Historical Record
- NVDA Stock Price Recovers After 1.5-Month Low
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST July 15-19th: DXY OIL INDICES GOLD SILVERThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast JuLY 15 - 19th
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, S&P500 NASDAQ GOLD SILVER US OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 8 - 12 JulyWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD, NVDA Stock
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
- GBP/USD Hits Four-Month High Following GDP Growth News
- Market Analysis: EUR/USD Jumps, USD/JPY Bulls Seem Unstoppable
- XAU/USD Analysis: Gold Price Falls from Six-Week High
- Analysts Raise NVDA Forecasts, Stock Price Rises
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST June 8-12th Part 2: FX PairsThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHF, JPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 1 - 5 JulyWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: S&P 500, USD/CAD, Gold Price, TSLA Stock
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
- S&P 500: Mid-Year Prospects Analysis
- USD/CAD Breaks Key Support
- Gold Price Prospects for H2
- TSLA Stock Price Hits over 5-Month High
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.